Alert archive / Oklahoma / Winter Storm Watches in 2021
Winter Storm Watch 3, NWS Tulsa, OK
NWS Tulsa, OK issued this winter storm watch at Feb 12, 2021, 3:33 AM CST for 4 counties in Arkansas; 22 counties in Oklahoma. It took effect at Feb 14, 2021, 6:00 AM CST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 12, 2021, 3:33 AM CST (09:33 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 14, 2021, 6:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Feb 13, 2021, 3:40 AM CST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Tulsa, OK
All 26 counties
Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Madison County, AR, Washington County, AR, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 4 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 456 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 68 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 99 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 261 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
401 WWUS44 KTSA 120933 WSWTSA URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tulsa OK 333 AM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 OKZ060-061-064-121800- /O.CAN.KTSA.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210212T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KTSA.WS.A.0003.210214T1200Z-210216T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTSA.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-210212T1800Z/ Tulsa-Rogers-Creek- Including the cities of Tulsa, Claremore, and Sapulpa 333 AM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...For the Wind Chill Advisory, very cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 5 below zero. For the Winter Storm Watch, heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches possible. * WHERE...Tulsa, Rogers and Creek Counties. * WHEN...For the Wind Chill Advisory, until noon CST today. For the Winter Storm Watch, from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons should consider delaying travel on Sunday and Monday. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take water, a first aid kit, or anything else that would help you survive in case you become stranded. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ ARZ001-OKZ054>059-062-063-067-121800- /O.NEW.KTSA.WS.A.0003.210214T1200Z-210216T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTSA.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-210212T1800Z/ Benton-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Mayes- Delaware-Wagoner- Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Pawhuska, Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Pryor, Grove, Jay, and Wagoner 333 AM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...For the Wind Chill Advisory, very cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 10 below zero. For the Winter Storm Watch, heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. * WHEN...For the Wind Chill Advisory, until noon CST today. For the Winter Storm Watch, from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. The cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons should consider delaying travel on Sunday and Monday. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take water, a first aid kit, or anything else that would help you survive in case you become stranded. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ ARZ002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-065-066-068>076-121800- /O.NEW.KTSA.WS.A.0003.210214T1200Z-210216T0000Z/ Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian- Pushmataha-Choctaw-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee- McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Le Flore- Including the cities of Berryville, Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren, Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Okemah, Okmulgee, Tahlequah, Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler, Wilburton, and Poteau 333 AM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast Oklahoma and northwest and west central Arkansas. * WHEN...From Sunday morning through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons should consider delaying travel on Sunday and Monday. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take water, a first aid kit, or anything else that would help you survive in case you become stranded. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio,commercial radio or television for the latest information,forecasts,and warnings. For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/tsa
5 follow-up statements
286 WWUS44 KTSA 121623 WSWTSA URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1023 AM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ARZ001-OKZ060-064-067-130030- /O.CAN.KTSA.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-210212T1800Z/ /O.CON.KTSA.WS.A.0003.210214T1200Z-210216T0000Z/ Benton-Tulsa-Creek-Wagoner- Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Tulsa, Sapulpa, and Wagoner 1023 AM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Watch, heavy snow will be possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches possible. * WHERE...In Oklahoma, Creek, Wagoner and Tulsa Counties. In Arkansas, Benton County. * WHEN...From Sunday morning through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ OKZ054>059-061>063-130030- /O.CON.KTSA.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-210212T1800Z/ /O.CON.KTSA.WS.A.0003.210214T1200Z-210216T0000Z/ Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Rogers-Mayes- Delaware- Including the cities of Pawhuska, Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Claremore, Pryor, Grove, and Jay 1023 AM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...For the Wind Chill Advisory, very cold wind chills. Wind chills below 5 below zero at times. For the Winter Storm Watch, heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches possible. * WHERE...Tulsa, Rogers and Creek Counties. * WHEN...For the Wind Chill Advisory, until noon CST today. For the Winter Storm Watch, from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ ARZ002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-065-066-068>076-130030- /O.CON.KTSA.WS.A.0003.210214T1200Z-210216T0000Z/ Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian- Pushmataha-Choctaw-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee- McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Le Flore- Including the cities of Berryville, Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren, Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Okemah, Okmulgee, Tahlequah, Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler, Wilburton, and Poteau 1023 AM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast Oklahoma and northwest and west central Arkansas. * WHEN...From Sunday morning through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio,commercial radio or television for the latest information,forecasts,and warnings. For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/tsa
570 WWUS44 KTSA 121805 WSWTSA URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1205 PM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 OKZ054>059-061>063-130215- /O.EXP.KTSA.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-210212T1800Z/ /O.CON.KTSA.WS.A.0003.210214T1200Z-210216T0000Z/ Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Rogers-Mayes- Delaware- Including the cities of Pawhuska, Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Claremore, Pryor, Grove, and Jay 1205 PM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches possible. * WHERE...Tulsa, Rogers and Creek Counties. * WHEN...For the Wind Chill Advisory, until noon CST today. For the Winter Storm Watch, from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-060-064>076-130215- /O.CON.KTSA.WS.A.0003.210214T1200Z-210216T0000Z/ Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian- Pushmataha-Choctaw-Tulsa-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee- Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer- Le Flore- Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville, Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren, Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Tulsa, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah, Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler, Wilburton, and Poteau 1205 PM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast Oklahoma and northwest and west central Arkansas. * WHEN...From Sunday morning through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio,commercial radio or television for the latest information,forecasts,and warnings. For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/tsa
939 WWUS44 KTSA 122037 WSWTSA URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tulsa OK 237 PM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ...HIGH IMPACT WINTER STORM EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SATURDAY NIGHT THRU MONDAY... OKZ054>064-131100- /O.UPG.KTSA.WS.A.0003.210214T1200Z-210216T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTSA.WS.W.0002.210214T0600Z-210216T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTSA.WC.Y.0002.210212T2037Z-210214T0600Z/ Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes- Delaware-Creek- Including the cities of Pawhuska, Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Grove, Jay, and Sapulpa 237 PM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST SATURDAY NIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM CST MONDAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills tonight thru Monday. Wind chills as low as 20 below zero. Heavy snow expected Saturday night thru Monday. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. * WHERE...Portions of northeast Oklahoma. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from midnight Saturday night to 6 PM CST Monday. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until midnight CST Saturday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The very cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong and gusty north winds will cause significant blowing and drifting of snow, and dangerous travel conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. For the latest road conditions call 1-844-465-4997 or go to okRoads.org. && $$ OKZ049-053-065>076-131100- /O.UPG.KTSA.WS.A.0003.210214T1200Z-210216T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTSA.WS.W.0002.210214T0600Z-210216T0000Z/ Pushmataha-Choctaw-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair- Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Le Flore- Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah, Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler, Wilburton, and Poteau 237 PM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM CST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and very low wind chills expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 7 inches. Wind chills as low as 15 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast Oklahoma. * WHEN...From midnight Saturday night to 6 PM CST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong and gusty north winds will cause significant blowing and drifting of snow, and dangerous travel conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. For the latest road conditions call 1-844-465-4997 or go to okRoads.org. && $$ ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-131100- /O.CON.KTSA.WS.A.0003.210214T1200Z-210216T0000Z/ Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian- Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville, Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren, Ozark, Charleston, and Fort Smith 237 PM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow and very cold wind chills expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 7 inches possible. Wind chills as low as 15 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast Oklahoma and northwest and west central Arkansas. * WHEN...From Sunday morning through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong and gusty north winds will cause significant blowing and drifting of snow, and dangerous travel conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio,commercial radio or television for the latest information,forecasts,and warnings. For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/tsa
344 WWUS44 KTSA 130316 WSWTSA URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tulsa OK 916 PM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ...HIGH IMPACT WINTER STORM EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SATURDAY NIGHT THRU MONDAY... OKZ054>064-131300- /O.CON.KTSA.WS.W.0002.210214T0600Z-210216T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTSA.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210214T0600Z/ Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes- Delaware-Creek- Including the cities of Pawhuska, Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Grove, Jay, and Sapulpa 916 PM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST SATURDAY NIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM CST MONDAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills tonight thru Monday. Wind chills as low as 20 below zero. Heavy snow expected Saturday night thru Monday. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. * WHERE...Portions of northeast Oklahoma. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from midnight Saturday night to 6 PM CST Monday. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until midnight CST Saturday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The very cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong and gusty north winds will cause significant blowing and drifting of snow, and dangerous travel conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. For the latest road conditions call 1-844-465-4997 or go to okRoads.org. && $$ OKZ049-053-065>076-131300- /O.CON.KTSA.WS.W.0002.210214T0600Z-210216T0000Z/ Pushmataha-Choctaw-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair- Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Le Flore- Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah, Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler, Wilburton, and Poteau 916 PM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM CST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and very low wind chills expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 7 inches. Wind chills as low as 15 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast Oklahoma. * WHEN...From midnight Saturday night to 6 PM CST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong and gusty north winds will cause significant blowing and drifting of snow, and dangerous travel conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. For the latest road conditions call 1-844-465-4997 or go to okRoads.org. && $$ ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-131300- /O.CON.KTSA.WS.A.0003.210214T1200Z-210216T0000Z/ Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian- Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville, Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren, Ozark, Charleston, and Fort Smith 916 PM CST Fri Feb 12 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow and very cold wind chills expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 7 inches possible. Wind chills as low as 15 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast Oklahoma and northwest and west central Arkansas. * WHEN...From Sunday morning through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong and gusty north winds will cause significant blowing and drifting of snow, and dangerous travel conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio,commercial radio or television for the latest information,forecasts,and warnings. For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/tsa
831 WWUS44 KTSA 130940 WSWTSA URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tulsa OK 340 AM CST Sat Feb 13 2021 ...HIGH IMPACT WINTER STORM EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY... ARZ001-002-010-011-132300- /O.UPG.KTSA.WS.A.0003.210214T1200Z-210216T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KTSA.WS.W.0002.210214T1200Z-210216T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KTSA.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210214T1200Z/ Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison- Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville, Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, and Huntsville 340 AM CST Sat Feb 13 2021 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM CST MONDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow and wind chills as low as 20 below zero expected Sunday morning through Monday afternoon. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches. For the Wind Chill Advisory, very cold wind chills as low as 10 below zero expected through late Saturday night. * WHERE...Benton, Carroll, Washington and Madison Counties in northwest Arkansas. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 6 AM Sunday to 6 PM CST Monday. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until 6 AM CST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The very cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong and gusty north winds will cause significant blowing and drifting of snow, and dangerous travel conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. For the latest road conditions call 1-800-245-1672 or go to idrivearkansas.com. && $$ ARZ019-020-029-132300- /O.UPG.KTSA.WS.A.0003.210214T1200Z-210216T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KTSA.WS.W.0002.210214T1200Z-210216T0000Z/ Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian- Including the cities of Van Buren, Ozark, Charleston, and Fort Smith 340 AM CST Sat Feb 13 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM CST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches. Very low wind chill values to 10 below zero also expected. * WHERE...Crawford, Franklin and Sebastian Counties. * WHEN...From 6 AM Sunday to 6 PM CST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The very cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. For the latest road conditions call 1-800-245-1672 or go to idrivearkansas.com. && $$ OKZ054>064-132300- /O.CON.KTSA.WS.W.0002.210214T0600Z-210216T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTSA.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210214T0600Z/ Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes- Delaware-Creek- Including the cities of Pawhuska, Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Grove, Jay, and Sapulpa 340 AM CST Sat Feb 13 2021 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM CST MONDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow and wind chills as low as 25 below zero expected early Sunday morning through Monday afternoon. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. For the Wind Chill Advisory, very cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero expected through Saturday evening. * WHERE...Portions of northeast Oklahoma. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from midnight Saturday night to 6 PM CST Monday. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until midnight CST Saturday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The very cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong and gusty north winds will cause significant blowing and drifting of snow, and dangerous travel conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. For the latest road conditions call 1-844-465-4997 or go to okRoads.org. && $$ OKZ049-053-065>076-132300- /O.CON.KTSA.WS.W.0002.210214T0600Z-210216T0000Z/ Pushmataha-Choctaw-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair- Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Le Flore- Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah, Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler, Wilburton, and Poteau 340 AM CST Sat Feb 13 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM CST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. Very low wind chill values to 15 below zero also expected. * WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast Oklahoma. * WHEN...From midnight Saturday night to 6 PM CST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The very cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong and gusty north winds will cause significant blowing and drifting of snow, and dangerous travel conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. For the latest road conditions call 1-844-465-4997 or go to okRoads.org. && $$ Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio,commercial radio or television for the latest information,forecasts,and warnings. For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/tsa
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Feb 12, 3:28 AM CST, 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 12, 3:28 AM CST, 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
328 AM CST Fri Feb 12 2021
.DISCUSSION...
The main forecast concern this morning is, well, pretty much the
entire forecast, with multiple winter weather impacts expected
through the middle of next week. Specifically, the potential for
two major snow storms - one Sunday/Monday and another
Tuesday/Wednesday - to affect the forecast area, as well as a
continuation and eventual worsening of the prolonged life-
threatening cold. One major update to the previous forecast is
that a Winter Storm Watch will be issued for all of eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas from Sunday morning through Monday
afternoon.
In the near term, the lake effect snow machine continues to
function, with the plume coming off Lake Oologah remaining well
defined on radar. With little variation expected in the wind
direction today, will extend the localized mention of accumulating
snow and the more widespread very light snow mention through this
afternoon, although will decrease POPs associated with the band
during the afternoon as dry air starts to move into the area. The
bulk of tonight should be dry. Another Wind Chill Advisory may be
needed for areas near the Kansas border late tonight but will
hold off on issuance for now, with the current forecast being
fairly marginal from a temporal standpoint.
Wintry precipitation potential on Saturday remains somewhat
uncertain. Most indications favor the previously noted trend of
holding off until Sunday on the accumulating snow potential with
the bulk of the forcing associated with the lead wave being well
south into Texas. The last two runs of the NAM are the outliers to
this trend. Will maintain the patchy freezing drizzle mention
Saturday morning across southeast Oklahoma, however, with the
later periods of the HRRR showing some ice accumulation there.
Accumulating snow will become increasingly likely beginning Sunday
morning, spreading from west to east, as the nose of the upper
jet begins to move into the region. Peak snowfall accumulation
continues to be favored Sunday night and into Monday as the main
upper level disturbance moves closer and eventually over the area.
Snow will taper off from southwest to northeast Monday afternoon,
with dry conditions probable by Monday night. Very cold
conditions will favor snow-to-liquid ratios in the 20 to 25:1
range, leading to a lot of accumulation with relatively little
QPF. Widespread 6-10" with this initial storm continues to look
likely, especially across northern portions of the forecast area,
and are not unreasonable given ensemble plume guidance.
Very cold air remains on track to arrive with and following this
system. Single digit high temperatures can still be expected for
parts of the forecast area both Sunday and Monday, in addition to
subzero lows. Wind chills well below zero will again occur during
this time frame.
The second potential winter storm currently looks to affect the
area late Tuesday and into Wednesday, although as you might
expect, there is more uncertainty associated with this one. This
includes low confidence in timing, area, and amounts. Will keep
things close to the blended guidance POP and snow amount wise
during this time frame, which favor lower amounts in northern
parts of the forecast area and higher to the south and east.
Expect some variation in this portion of the forecast in the
coming days.
After we get past the midweek system, we should emerge from the
Arctic Tundra. However, if we get all the snow that we're
expecting, the initial warmup will be delayed until we melt the
snowpack. As such, have trended the forecast temperatures colder
than most guidance Thursday and Friday of next week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL 19 11 19 7 / 60 10 0 10
FSM 31 24 31 20 / 10 0 0 10
MLC 26 16 26 13 / 10 0 0 10
BVO 16 8 16 6 / 10 0 0 10
FYV 24 14 23 11 / 10 0 10 10
BYV 21 12 20 9 / 10 0 10 0
MKO 23 15 23 11 / 10 0 0 10
MIO 16 7 16 4 / 10 0 10 10
F10 22 13 22 9 / 10 0 0 10
HHW 31 24 32 24 / 10 0 10 20
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Winter Storm Watch from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon
for OKZ049-053>076.
Wind Chill Advisory until noon CST today for OKZ054>064-067.
AR...Winter Storm Watch from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon
for ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029.
Wind Chill Advisory until noon CST today for ARZ001.
&&
LONG TERM....22Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 11, 4:46 PM CST, 10 hours 47 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
446 PM CST Thu Feb 11 2021
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-121130-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
446 PM CST Thu Feb 11 2021
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.
WINTER WEATHER.
SNOW ACCUMULATION.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Parts of Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.
WIND CHILL.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Tonight.
DISCUSSION...
Light snow showers and flurries will remain possible through this
evening for parts of northeast Oklahoma due to a lake effect snow
band from consistent northerly flow over relatively warm lake
waters. A light dusting up to an inch of snow is possible in some
locations, especially around north Tulsa.
Winds will begin to pick up more tonight out of the north and wind
chill values will drop tonight, ranging from 5 below zero to as
low as 15 below in some locations. A wind chill advisory has been
issued for northeast Oklahoma beginning tonight.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Dangerous Wind Chill Potential.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...Winter Weather Potential...
Dangerous Wind Chill Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A slight chance of light snow will be possible over parts of
eastern Oklahoma Saturday as a weak disturbance pushes across the
Southern Plains. The greater potential for accumulating snowfall
for eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas will be with a low
pressure system forecast to push through the region Sunday and
Monday. There continues to be some uncertainty within the details
for this system, however there is increasing potential for a
period of impactful snowfall Sunday night into Monday. Continue to
monitor latest forecasts as accumulations and locations are
updated. A third low pressure system around the middle part of
next week could bring additional chances for snowfall to the
region.
Also through the upcoming weekend and into next week will be the
cold conditions across the region. Breezy northerly winds Friday
through Monday will aid in dangerous wind chill values for eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas each morning. The coldest values
look to be each morning Sunday through Tuesday with wind chills
forecast in the range of near 20 below zero to near zero degree
over the region.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
A significant winter storm is becoming increasing likely for
parts of the region Sunday into Monday. Continue to monitor for
the latest updates on timing and totals as the system comes into
greater focus.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.The office that day
Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2:37 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | TSA | Benton, Carroll, Madison, Washington | 39 hr |
| Feb 12, 2:37 PM CST | Winter Storm Warning | TSA | Benton, Carroll, Madison, Washington | 69 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Winter Storm Watches in Arkansas, 2021Every winter storm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.