Alert archive / Oklahoma / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

September 30, 2021Choctaw County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Sep 30, 2021, 5:16 PM CDT for Choctaw County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Sep 30, 2021, 5:16 PM CDT (22:16 UTC)
Expired: Sep 30, 2021, 6:00 PM CDT
In force: 44 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Hail: 0.00 in
Wind: 50

County Choctaw County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 192 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1415 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -87 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 687 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 46 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Sep 30, 3:07 PM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 3:07 PM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 30, 4:58 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
458 PM CDT Thu Sep 30 2021

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
458 PM CDT Thu Sep 30 2021

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Far Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Far Eastern Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Far Eastern Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
A broken line of thunderstorms will continue to slowly push east
across far eastern Oklahoma and into parts of northwest Arkansas,
continuing to weaken as it does. The overall severe weather
threat remains very low, however one or two cells may yet produce
marginally severe wind gusts through the early evening. Locally
heavy rainfall also remains possible with isolated rates of 1 to 2
inches per hour. This may cause localized flooding. The overall
potential for rain and thunderstorms will diminish by later this
evening.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY through WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
There is some potential for early morning storms on Friday across
eastern Oklahoma. By Friday afternoon, scattered storms are
expected along and east of Highway 69. Severe weather is not
expected, but some locally heavy rainfall is possible. Another
round of storms is expected Friday night into Saturday ahead of an
upper level storm system. Locally heavy rainfall and isolated
flooding is possible. If storms can develop ahead of a
front/dryline Saturday afternoon across central or eastern
Oklahoma, those storms may become severe given favorable shear
and instability. At this time the early part of next week looks
dry with seasonable temperatures.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 30, 1:54 PM CDT, 3 hours 22 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Sep 30, 1:59 PM CDT, 3 hours 17 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Sep 30, 2:14 PM CDT, 3 hours 2 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Sep 30, 2:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 36 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Sep 30, 3:22 PM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Sep 30, 5:16 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 30, 12:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	30 min
Sep 30, 12:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Tulsa	34 min
Sep 30, 1:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Tulsa	23 min
Sep 30, 1:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	36 min
Sep 30, 1:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	16 min
Sep 30, 2:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Rogers	31 min
Sep 30, 2:40 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Mayes	35 min
Sep 30, 3:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Cherokee	23 min
Sep 30, 5:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Delaware	26 min
Sep 30, 5:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Choctaw	47 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oklahoma, 2021 Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.