Areal Flood Advisory 149, NWS Tulsa, OK

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
740 PM CDT Wed Oct 13 2021

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-141015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
740 PM CDT Wed Oct 13 2021

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma, Northwestern Arkansas, east of Highway 69.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Southeastern Oklahoma and Northwestern Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Southeastern Oklahoma and Northwestern Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms are expected to continue to develop across eastern
Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas through tonight. Atmospheric
instability has decreased this evening across the area, but enough
will persist overnight, combined with the wind shear that is
present, to support a limited threat of severe weather.

Heavy rainfall will become more of a concern, as tropical
moisture continues to stream into the area. Thunderstorms will be
capable of producing very heavy rainfall rates. Some repeat
activity over the same areas is also possible as the storms move
to the northeast. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for much
of southeastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY through TUESDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
There is a limited risk of severe storms Thursday afternoon and night
across northeast Oklahoma, eventually spreading into northwest
Arkansas by early Friday ahead of a strong cold front. Large hail and
damaging winds are the primary threats.

Strong north winds can be expected on Friday behind a strong cold
front, with gusts 30 to 35 mph expected across eastern Oklahoma.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
908 PM CDT Wed Oct 13 2021

OKZ049-074>076-140300-
Haskell OK-Latimer OK-Pushmataha OK-Le Flore OK-
908 PM CDT Wed Oct 13 2021

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern Haskell,
northeastern Pushmataha, eastern Latimer and western Le Flore
Counties through 1000 PM CDT...

At 908 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from 2 miles north of Lequire to 4 miles southwest of
Red Oak to 3 miles northwest of Kiamichi. Movement was northeast at
40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Talihina...                       Keota...
Red Oak...                        Mccurtain...
Bokoshe...                        Fanshawe...
Kinta...                          Albion...
Talimena State Park...            Bengal...
Tuskahoma...                      Mc Curtain...
Kiamichi...                       Whitesboro...
Lequire...                        Panola...
Summerfield...                    Milton...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3517 9523 3532 9482 3532 9480 3534 9479
      3535 9475 3467 9482 3460 9529
TIME...MOT...LOC 0208Z 222DEG 34KT 3515 9510 3491 9514 3468 9522

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

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