Special Weather Statement, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
233 PM EDT Sun Aug 8 2021

.DISCUSSION...
Ridging over the area today is giving us a neutral flow regime. This
normally gives us inland showers and storms as the seabreeze collide
and coastal areas tend to stay dry.

The regime will change for the work week as the ridge started to
push north. This is going to shift our flow to a more easterly
direction. This will bring us showers and storms inland in the
early afternoon before the storms push towards the west coast in
the late afternoon and evening hours. This regime looks to stick
in place for most of the work week.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions expected through the period. Ridging overhead will
keep winds light with seabreeze coming into coastal sites in the
late afternoon and evening hours. VCTS will be possible at most
terminals starting in the late afternoon with coastal sites
clearing out quicker than inland sites.

&&

.MARINE...
Pretty quiet weather expected over the next few days. winds
will remain generally below 10 knots and will shift to the east
tomorrow as the ridge pushes to the north. The main marine hazard
will be showers and storms that should push off the coast every day
during the late afternoon and evening hours.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Plenty of tropical moisture over the area through the period with
light winds. No fire weather concerns.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  79  93  78  93 /  20  60  40  50
FMY  76  93  77  94 /  40  50  30  60
GIF  76  92  76  92 /  40  60  20  60
SRQ  76  91  76  92 /  30  60  40  50
BKV  73  92  72  93 /  20  60  30  50
SPG  80  91  79  91 /  20  50  40  50

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Today: 1
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tomorrow: 1

For Additional Information On Sea Breeze Regimes go to the link below
https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...27/Shiveley
DECISION SUPPORT...05/Carlisle

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
531 PM EDT Sun Aug 8 2021

FLZ251-082145-
Inland Hillsborough FL-
531 PM EDT Sun Aug 8 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central
Hillsborough County through 545 PM EDT...

At 531 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Brandon. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Plant City, Brandon, Fish Hawk, Valrico, Dover, Lithia Springs State
Park and Bloomingdale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 2796 8230 2802 8219 2793 8210 2787 8217
      2786 8225
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 320DEG 3KT 2793 8221

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

TBW