Alert archive / California / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Sacramento, CA

July 29, 2021El Dorado County, California

NWS Sacramento, CA issued this special weather statement at Jul 29, 2021, 4:07 PM PDT for El Dorado County, California. It was in force for 53 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 29, 2021, 4:07 PM PDT (23:07 UTC)
Expired
Jul 29, 2021, 5:00 PM PDT
In force
53 min
Issued by
NWS Sacramento, CA

County El Dorado County, CA

The radar

The Reno radar (KRGX), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Reno, NV (KREV), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 190 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Reno, NV at 12:00Z on 2021-07-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Reno, NV at 12:00Z on 2021-07-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 16 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2873 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sacramento, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 29, 2:02 PM PDT, 2 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 29, 2:02 PM PDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
202 PM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Late day mountain thunderstorm chances expected through the
weekend. Above normal temperatures are expected through Friday
with a slight cooling trend for the weekend and early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Ridge of high pressure remains centered over much of the Central
US with the western edge situated over California. This will
continue to bring southwest flow into interior Northern
California, drawing in monsoon moisture into the area.
Afternoon and evening shower and thunderstorm chances continue
over the next several days. Thunderstorms already began forming
over the Sierra late this morning, and best chances will remain
along and east of the Sierra crest south of Plumas County and
along the Coastal Range. Better chances of more widespread
mountain showers and thunderstorms are possible tomorrow as the
potential spreads north into the Shasta County mountains. Any
thunderstorm may be accompanied by gusty and erratic winds, brief
downpours, and lightning.

Temperatures are forecast to remain above normal through tomorrow
as high pressure remains over the area. Current temperatures
around 1pm are overall similar to yesterday, and highs are
forecast to top out around 100 to 108 degrees in the Valley and
upper 70s to upper 90s in the mountains and foothills. Overnight
temperatures are forecast to be fairly toasty once again tonight,
only falling to the low to mid 70s in the Valley and foothills
with some thermal belt locations in the foothills only falling to
the low 80s. Wildfire smoke continues to impact temperatures
around the Dixie Fire. Smoke is forecast to continue the diurnal
flow that's generally been observed by draining into the northern
Valley in the early morning hours before the southwest flow
increases and pushes it back to the north/northeast.

An upper level trough forming off of the eastern Pacific Coast
will lower heights over Northern California this weekend,
moderating temperatures. Temperatures are forecast to fall back to
near normal by Saturday, which is 90s across the Valley and
foothills and 70s to upper 80s in the mountains. -HEC

&&

.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Monday THROUGH Thursday)...
Northern California will likely see southwesterly onshore flow
over the region throughout the extended forecast period. Cluster
analysis is in agreement high pressure over the Southwestern US
and troughing off the Pacific Northwest Coast will keep Northern
California near seasonal temperatures with little day to day
change in the forecast. Thermal belts will also continue to see
mild overnight lows. This pattern will also support a Delta
Breeze. Some discrepancies emerge by the later part of the week in
terms of the depth and location of the trough off the Pacific
Northwest Coast. This could lead to some changes in the forecast
from persistence by the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions at TAF sites with passing mid to high level clouds
AOA 15K ft AGL. Local MVFR/IFR conditions in wildfire smoke over
Plumas and Butte counties. Surface winds under 12 kts except local
southwest gusts 25-30 kts vicinity west Delta. Isolated-scattered
showers and thunderstorms over high elevations of the Sierra
south of Tahoe with isolated activity north of Tahoe through 03z,
weakening to isolated showers and dissipating after 07z. Chance of
MVFR weather in heavier storms with isolated downdrafts G40 kts
lee-side of Sierra. Temps AOA 105 deg F will result in density
altitude 3000-3500 ft Thu and Fri afternoons.

&&

.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 29, 3:27 PM PDT, 40 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
327 PM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021

CAZ069-292330-
West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada-
327 PM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN TUOLUMNE...
SOUTHWESTERN ALPINE...NORTHEASTERN CALAVERAS AND EASTERN AMADOR
COUNTIES...

At 326 PM PDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 8 miles east of
Pinecrest, or 14 miles southwest of Sonora Pass, moving north at 10
mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Bear Valley, Lake Alpine, Tamarack, Dardanelle, Lookout Peak and
Hermit Valley Basin.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3814 11969 3809 11991 3852 12012 3860 11987
      3857 11984
TIME...MOT...LOC 2226Z 164DEG 9KT 3819 11984

SLL
Special weather statement, Jul 29, 4:07 PM PDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
407 PM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021

CAZ069-300000-
West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada-
407 PM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN ALPINE...
EASTERN EL DORADO AND NORTHEASTERN AMADOR COUNTIES...

At 406 PM PDT, strong thunderstorms were clustered over Kit Carson,
or near Kirkwood, moving northwest at 20 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Carson Pass, Kirkwood, Twin Bridges, Kirkwood Meadows, Upper Blue
Lake, Kirkwood Ski Area, Kyburz, Sierra At Tahoe, Kit Carson, White
Hall and Shriner Lake Campground.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3849 12026 3893 12051 3902 12021 3898 12018
      3885 12016 3882 12006 3873 11999 3869 11998
      3868 11995 3860 11989
TIME...MOT...LOC 2306Z 157DEG 18KT 3866 12010

CS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Sacramento, CA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 29, 3:27 PM PDTSpecial Weather StatementSTOAlpine63 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in California, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.