Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 532
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 24, 2021, 3:47 PM CDT for 27 counties in Arkansas; 15 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 24, 2021, 3:47 PM CDT (20:47 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 24, 2021, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 42 counties
Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Wagoner County, OK
The radar
The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 6:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Muskogee | 44 min |
| Oct 24, 6:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Sequoyah | 49 min |
| Oct 24, 8:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 38 min |
| Oct 24, 8:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone, Marion | 30 min |
| Oct 24, 8:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Marion | 53 min |
| Oct 24, 9:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Logan, Scott | 35 min |
| Oct 24, 9:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Fulton | 40 min |
| Oct 24, 10:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Fulton, Randolph, Sharp | 44 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 860 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -152 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 737 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 27 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 225 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 70 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
868 WWUS20 KWNS 242045 SEL2 SPC WW 242045 ARZ000-OKZ000-250400- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 532 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 345 PM CDT Sun Oct 24 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern and western Arkansas Eastern Oklahoma * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter likely SUMMARY...Scattered severe storm development is expected late this afternoon along and just ahead of a cold front moving southeastward across eastern Oklahoma. The storm environment ahead of the front appears favorable for a mix of supercells and storm clusters capable of producing damaging winds and large hail. The more rightward-moving supercells may also pose the threat for a few tornadoes this evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles north of Harrison AR to 50 miles south of Poteau OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 531... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28025. ...Thompson
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2:40 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 26 more | 95 min |
| Oct 24, 6:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford and 18 more | 97 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2021Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.