Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 480
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 31, 2021, 7:36 PM EDT for 55 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 31, 2021, 7:36 PM EDT (23:36 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 1, 2021, 3:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 55 counties
Albemarle County, VA, Alleghany County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Augusta County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Carroll County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, Craig County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Giles County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Madison County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA
The radar
The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 20%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 30%
Warnings issued inside it
17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 7:50 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RNK | Giles, Montgomery | 25 min |
| Aug 31, 9:35 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RNK | Bedford, Botetourt | 25 min |
| Aug 31, 9:44 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RNK | Botetourt, Craig, Roanoke | 5 hr |
| Aug 31, 9:58 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RNK | Bedford, Botetourt, Rockbridge | 32 min |
| Aug 31, 10:29 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Albemarle | 17 min |
| Aug 31, 10:39 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Albemarle, Nelson | 36 min |
| Aug 31, 10:44 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RNK | Amherst, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista | 31 min |
| Aug 31, 10:58 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Albemarle, Nelson | 32 min |
| Aug 31, 11:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Albemarle, Augusta, Nelson, City of Waynesboro | 47 min |
| Aug 31, 11:23 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Albemarle, City of Charlottesville | 37 min |
| Aug 31, 11:41 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Albemarle, City of Charlottesville | 87 min |
| Aug 31, 11:49 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Albemarle, Augusta, Nelson, Rockingham, City of Waynesboro | 15 min |
| Aug 31, 11:56 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Albemarle | 34 min |
| Sep 1, 12:18 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Madison, Orange | 42 min |
| Sep 1, 12:25 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Madison, Orange | 35 min |
| Sep 1, 12:53 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier, Orange | 52 min |
| Sep 1, 1:09 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier, Orange | 51 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 51 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 46 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -156 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1029 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 1 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 107 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted.
462 WWUS20 KWNS 312333 SEL0 SPC WW 312333 NCZ000-VAZ000-010700- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 480 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 735 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Extreme north-central North Carolina Western and central Virginia * Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 735 PM until 300 AM EDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...One supercell formed and quickly became tornadic in the Blacksburg area in the past hour, and overall tornado potential should increase through the evening. The threat should spread northeastward over the watch area, as additional thunderstorms develop in a favorably unstable air mass and interact with a warm-frontal zone, where low-level shear is maximized. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles either side of a line from 30 miles southwest of Roanoke VA to 40 miles east northeast of Charlottesville VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 23025. ...Edwards
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 6:57 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bland, Carroll, Craig, Floyd, Franklin, Giles and 12 more | 93 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.