Alert archive / New Jersey / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 97

April 21, 20217 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 21, 2021, 12:28 PM EDT for 7 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 21, 2021, 12:28 PM EDT (16:28 UTC)
Expired
Apr 21, 2021, 5:28 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 68 counties

Capitol Planning Region, CT, Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Berkshire County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Anne Arundel County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Bucks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 21, 12:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCharles, Saint Mary's33 min
Apr 21, 12:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICaroline, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot40 min
Apr 21, 12:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHISussex, Warren21 min
Apr 21, 12:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Warren27 min
Apr 21, 1:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCalvert, Saint Mary's30 min
Apr 21, 1:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHINew Castle50 min
Apr 21, 1:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIKent37 min
Apr 21, 1:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Gloucester36 min
Apr 21, 1:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union64 min
Apr 21, 1:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset33 min
Apr 21, 2:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Camden, Monmouth, Ocean43 min
Apr 21, 2:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYDutchess, Ulster41 min
Apr 21, 2:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region50 min
Apr 21, 2:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic48 min
Apr 21, 2:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic, Cumberland, Gloucester, Salem43 min
Apr 21, 2:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIKent, Sussex42 min
Apr 21, 2:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQSomerset, Worcester41 min
Apr 21, 2:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region47 min
Apr 21, 2:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMonmouth, Ocean37 min
Apr 21, 2:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region64 min
Apr 21, 2:47 PM EDTTornado WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region28 min
Apr 21, 2:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHISussex16 min
Apr 21, 2:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Ocean40 min
Apr 21, 2:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region67 min
Apr 21, 3:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic28 min
Apr 21, 3:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region58 min
Apr 21, 3:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXNassau, Suffolk19 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-04-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-04-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 206 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1427 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
206 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

256 
WWUS20 KWNS 211626
SEL7  
SPC WW 211626
CTZ000-DEZ000-MAZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-CWZ000-212200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 97
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1230 PM EDT Wed Apr 21 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Connecticut
  Delaware
  Western Massachusetts
  Eastern Maryland
  New Jersey
  Southeast New York
  Eastern Pennsylvania
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 1230 PM
  until 600 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Fast-moving thunderstorms will continue to develop and
spread east-northeastward across the region this afternoon with
damaging winds and some hail as the primary concerns.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northeast
of Westfield MA to 30 miles south southeast of Patuxent River MD.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector
21035.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 21, 11:49 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Apr 21, 2:56 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC94 min
Apr 21, 12:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex113 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.