Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 507
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 20, 2021, 2:07 PM CDT for 62 counties in Iowa; 14 counties in Minnesota; 20 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 20, 2021, 2:07 PM CDT (19:07 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 20, 2021, 8:41 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 96 counties
Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Allamakee County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Howard County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Linn County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Dakota County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Houston County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Rice County, MN, Steele County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Winona County, MN, Barron County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Clark County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Grant County, WI, Jackson County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vernon County, WI
The radar
The La Crosse radar (KARX), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 3:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Clarke, Madison, Union, Warren | 52 min |
| Sep 20, 3:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Dodge, Fillmore, Mower, Olmsted | 43 min |
| Sep 20, 4:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Clarke, Lucas, Marion, Warren | 52 min |
| Sep 20, 4:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Chickasaw, Floyd, Howard, Mitchell | 50 min |
| Sep 20, 4:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Fillmore, Mower, Olmsted, Wabasha, Winona | 45 min |
| Sep 20, 4:43 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MPX | Dunn, Pepin, Pierce | 14 min |
| Sep 20, 4:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Lucas, Marion, Monroe, Warren | 48 min |
| Sep 20, 5:03 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ARX | Fillmore | 27 min |
| Sep 20, 5:46 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ARX | Buffalo, Trempealeau | 29 min |
| Sep 20, 6:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ARX | Clark, Trempealeau | 19 min |
| Sep 20, 6:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Appanoose, Davis, Wayne | 41 min |
| Sep 20, 6:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Delaware | 38 min |
| Sep 20, 7:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Davis | 35 min |
| Sep 20, 7:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Henry, Jefferson, Keokuk, Washington | 47 min |
| Sep 20, 7:17 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ARX | Richland, Vernon | 28 min |
| Sep 20, 7:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Crawford, Grant, Richland | 40 min |
| Sep 20, 7:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Juneau, Monroe, Richland, Vernon | 34 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 198 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 148 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -141 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1002 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 210 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 162 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.4
The text
As transmitted.
839 WWUS20 KWNS 201906 SEL7 SPC WW 201906 IAZ000-MNZ000-WIZ000-210300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 507 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 210 PM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Eastern Iowa Southeast Minnesota Western Wisconsin * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop rapidly this afternoon along a cold front moving into southeast Minnesota and central Iowa. These storms will track quickly eastward across the watch area, posing a risk of damaging winds and hail. An isolated tornado or two is also possible over western Wisconsin later this afternoon. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north of Eau Claire WI to 25 miles east of Lamoni IA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Hart
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 12:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Allamakee, Appanoose, Benton, Black Hawk and 49 more | 2 hr |
| Sep 20, 3:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Appanoose, Benton, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer and 49 more | 95 min |
| Sep 20, 5:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Appanoose, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan and 30 more | 113 min |
| Sep 20, 5:14 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ashland, Bayfield, Iron, Price, Sawyer, Washburn | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.