Alert archive / Wyoming / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 376

July 13, 20216 counties in Nebraska; 7 counties in South Dakota; 10 counties in Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 13, 2021, 4:25 PM MDT for 6 counties in Nebraska; 7 counties in South Dakota; 10 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 13, 2021, 4:25 PM MDT (22:25 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2021, 12:00 AM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 23 counties

Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Butte County, SD, Custer County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Meade County, SD, Oglala Lakota County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Campbell County, WY, Converse County, WY, Crook County, WY, Goshen County, WY, Johnson County, WY, Natrona County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY, Sheridan County, WY, Weston County, WY

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 180 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 6:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCampbell, Crook60 min
Jul 13, 6:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCampbell36 min
Jul 13, 7:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRIWNatrona24 min
Jul 13, 7:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCrook65 min
Jul 13, 7:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCampbell, Crook62 min
Jul 13, 8:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte, Lawrence50 min
Jul 13, 8:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCampbell, Crook, Weston31 min
Jul 13, 9:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte, Lawrence, Meade63 min
Jul 13, 9:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Lawrence, Meade, Pennington62 min
Jul 13, 10:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade, Pennington51 min
Jul 13, 11:07 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningCYSScotts Bluff2 hr
Jul 13, 11:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBanner, Cheyenne, Kimball, Morrill, Scotts Bluff44 min
Jul 13, 11:31 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningCYSBanner, Morrill, Scotts Bluff2 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2021-07-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2021-07-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -27 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1617 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-27 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

181 
WWUS20 KWNS 132222
SEL6  
SPC WW 132222
MTZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-140500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 376
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
425 PM MDT Tue Jul 13 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Extreme southeast Montana
  The Nebraska Panhandle
  West central and southwest South Dakota
  Northeast and east central Wyoming

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 425 PM until
  1100 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of storms, including some supercells, are
expected to form this afternoon and spread east-southeastward
through late evening.  The primary threats are expected to be
outflow gusts up to 70 mph and isolated large hail near 1.5 inches
in diameter.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles west southwest
of Gillette WY to 20 miles southeast of Chadron NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 375...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28025.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 1:38 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Chase, Cheyenne, Deuel, Dundy, Kimball2 hr
Jul 13, 2:21 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBox Butte, Dawes, Sheridan, Sioux84 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wyoming, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.