Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 247
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 8, 2021, 3:52 PM MDT for 14 counties in Montana. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 8, 2021, 3:52 PM MDT (21:52 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 8, 2021, 11:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
Counties Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Daniels County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Garfield County, MT, McCone County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Sheridan County, MT, Valley County, MT, Wibaux County, MT
The radar
The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 60%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 60%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 4:37 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Richland, Wibaux | 53 min |
| Jun 8, 5:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, Valley | 64 min |
| Jun 8, 5:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Richland, Roosevelt, Wibaux | 63 min |
| Jun 8, 5:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Richland, Roosevelt | 63 min |
| Jun 8, 6:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, McCone, Valley | 60 min |
| Jun 8, 6:16 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Phillips, Valley | 59 min |
| Jun 8, 6:19 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, Valley | 56 min |
| Jun 8, 6:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Wibaux | 26 min |
| Jun 8, 6:38 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | McCone, Roosevelt, Valley | 67 min |
| Jun 8, 6:50 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, Valley | 42 min |
| Jun 8, 6:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Roosevelt, Sheridan | 56 min |
| Jun 8, 6:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Wibaux | 21 min |
| Jun 8, 7:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Rosebud | 58 min |
| Jun 8, 7:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Phillips, Valley | 24 min |
| Jun 8, 7:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, McCone | 63 min |
| Jun 8, 7:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | McCone, Roosevelt, Valley | 55 min |
| Jun 8, 7:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, McCone, Roosevelt, Valley | 59 min |
| Jun 8, 7:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, McCone, Prairie | 45 min |
| Jun 8, 7:52 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Custer, Rosebud | 42 min |
| Jun 8, 8:07 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Daniels, McCone, Roosevelt | 53 min |
| Jun 8, 8:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Garfield, McCone, Prairie, Richland, Valley and 1 more | 55 min |
| Jun 8, 8:26 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GGW | Roosevelt | 118 min |
| Jun 8, 8:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Daniels, Roosevelt, Sheridan | 27 min |
| Jun 8, 9:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Richland, Roosevelt, Wibaux | 53 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3157 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 60 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 175 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 408 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
111
WWUS20 KWNS 082150
SEL7
SPC WW 082150
MTZ000-090500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 247
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM MDT Tue Jun 8 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Montana
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
1100 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm development is expected in the next
1-2 hours across eastern Montana, and storms will persist through
late evening while spreading northeastward. The storm environment
favors a mix of supercells and clusters, with the primary threats of
very large hail (near or larger than the size of baseballs) and
significant damaging winds (up to 80 mph). An isolated tornado or
two will also be possible with any supercells interacting with the
surface warm front.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north of Wolf
Point MT to 30 miles south of Broadus MT. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 246...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
22025.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2:39 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Custer, Dawson, Garfield, McCone, Prairie, Richland and 5 more | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.