Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 247

June 8, 202114 counties in Montana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 8, 2021, 3:52 PM MDT for 14 counties in Montana. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 8, 2021, 3:52 PM MDT (21:52 UTC)
Expired
Jun 8, 2021, 11:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt

Counties Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Daniels County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Garfield County, MT, McCone County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Sheridan County, MT, Valley County, MT, Wibaux County, MT

The radar

The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 8, 4:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Richland, Wibaux53 min
Jun 8, 5:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, Valley64 min
Jun 8, 5:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Richland, Roosevelt, Wibaux63 min
Jun 8, 5:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWRichland, Roosevelt63 min
Jun 8, 6:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone, Valley60 min
Jun 8, 6:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWPhillips, Valley59 min
Jun 8, 6:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, Valley56 min
Jun 8, 6:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWWibaux26 min
Jun 8, 6:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWMcCone, Roosevelt, Valley67 min
Jun 8, 6:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, Valley42 min
Jun 8, 6:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWRoosevelt, Sheridan56 min
Jun 8, 6:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWWibaux21 min
Jun 8, 7:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZRosebud58 min
Jun 8, 7:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWPhillips, Valley24 min
Jun 8, 7:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone63 min
Jun 8, 7:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWMcCone, Roosevelt, Valley55 min
Jun 8, 7:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone, Roosevelt, Valley59 min
Jun 8, 7:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone, Prairie45 min
Jun 8, 7:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCuster, Rosebud42 min
Jun 8, 8:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, McCone, Roosevelt53 min
Jun 8, 8:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Garfield, McCone, Prairie, Richland, Valley and 1 more55 min
Jun 8, 8:26 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWRoosevelt118 min
Jun 8, 8:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Roosevelt, Sheridan27 min
Jun 8, 9:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Richland, Roosevelt, Wibaux53 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2021-06-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2021-06-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 175 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3157 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
175 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
408 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

111 
WWUS20 KWNS 082150
SEL7  
SPC WW 082150
MTZ000-090500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 247
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM MDT Tue Jun 8 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Montana

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
  1100 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm development is expected in the next
1-2 hours across eastern Montana, and storms will persist through
late evening while spreading northeastward.  The storm environment
favors a mix of supercells and clusters, with the primary threats of
very large hail (near or larger than the size of baseballs) and
significant damaging winds (up to 80 mph).  An isolated tornado or
two will also be possible with any supercells interacting with the
surface warm front.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north of Wolf
Point MT to 30 miles south of Broadus MT. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 246...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
22025.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 8, 2:39 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Dawson, Garfield, McCone, Prairie, Richland and 5 more3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.