Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 3, 2021, 2:48 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 3, 2021, 2:48 PM EDT (18:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 3, 2021, 9:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 55 kt
All 84 counties
Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Washington County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Camden County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Perry County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, York County, PA, Albemarle County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Caroline County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Greene County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Madison County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA
The radar
The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 3:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Clarke, Frederick, City of Winchester | 50 min |
| Jun 3, 3:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Frederick, Montgomery | 46 min |
| Jun 3, 3:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Carroll, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery | 43 min |
| Jun 3, 3:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Frederick, Washington | 40 min |
| Jun 3, 3:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Albemarle, Culpeper, Greene, Madison, Orange, Page and 2 more | 49 min |
| Jun 3, 4:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Clarke, Fauquier, Loudoun | 52 min |
| Jun 3, 4:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore | 33 min |
| Jun 3, 4:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Carroll, Howard, City of Baltimore | 40 min |
| Jun 3, 4:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Cecil, Harford, City of Baltimore | 47 min |
| Jun 3, 4:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier, Madison, Orange | 45 min |
| Jun 3, 4:51 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford | 9 min |
| Jun 3, 4:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Frederick, Montgomery | 36 min |
| Jun 3, 4:59 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford | 16 min |
| Jun 3, 5:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Berks, Chester | 27 min |
| Jun 3, 5:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier, Orange, Prince William, Spotsylvania, Stafford | 41 min |
| Jun 3, 5:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Cecil, Harford | 49 min |
| Jun 3, 5:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Howard, Montgomery | 33 min |
| Jun 3, 5:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Fluvanna, Louisa | 47 min |
| Jun 3, 5:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Orange, Spotsylvania | 43 min |
| Jun 3, 5:59 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Berks, Chester | 108 min |
| Jun 3, 6:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's | 28 min |
| Jun 3, 6:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Cecil, Harford | 34 min |
| Jun 3, 6:19 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Berks, Chester, Montgomery | 115 min |
| Jun 3, 6:29 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford | 3 hr |
| Jun 3, 6:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland, Salem | 42 min |
| Jun 3, 6:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford | 39 min |
| Jun 3, 6:53 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | Harford | 10 min |
| Jun 3, 7:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 2 more | 38 min |
| Jun 3, 7:09 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | New Castle | 2 hr |
| Jun 3, 8:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth | 30 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 73 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -52 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 511 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 116 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 118 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted.
798 WWUS20 KWNS 031845 SEL4 SPC WW 031845 DCZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-CWZ000-040100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 234 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 245 PM EDT Thu Jun 3 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Delaware Maryland New Jersey Southeast and Eastern Pennsylvania Northern and Eastern Virginia Far Eastern West Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 245 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon initially across southeast Pennsylvania into Maryland/Virginia Blue Ridge vicinity. A relatively moist/unstable environment along with moderately strong southwesterly deep-layer winds will support sustained multicells and potentially some supercells. Thunderstorm-related wind damage is the most probable risk, but some hail and a low tornado risk will exist as well. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of Allentown PA to 45 miles east southeast of Charlottesville VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24025. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 1:46 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle | 119 min |
| Jun 3, 4:47 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle | 88 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.