Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 203
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 25, 2021, 3:53 PM EDT for 8 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Minnesota; 42 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 25, 2021, 3:53 PM EDT (19:53 UTC)
- Expired
- May 25, 2021, 11:28 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 58 counties
Baraga County, MI, Delta County, MI, Dickinson County, MI, Gogebic County, MI, Houghton County, MI, Iron County, MI, Menominee County, MI, Ontonagon County, MI, Dodge County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Houston County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Winona County, MN, Adams County, WI, Ashland County, WI, Barron County, WI, Bayfield County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Burnett County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Clark County, WI, Douglas County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Florence County, WI, Forest County, WI, Iron County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Langlade County, WI, Lincoln County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Marinette County, WI, Menominee County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Oconto County, WI, Oneida County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Portage County, WI, Price County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Sawyer County, WI, Shawano County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Vilas County, WI, Washburn County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Wood County, WI
The radar
The Marquette radar (KMQT), 204 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 3:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Barron, Dunn, Saint Croix | 31 min |
| May 25, 4:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Wabasha | 54 min |
| May 25, 4:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Barron, Chippewa, Dunn, Rusk | 25 min |
| May 25, 4:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Pepin | 21 min |
| May 25, 4:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Buffalo | 60 min |
| May 25, 4:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Chippewa, Rusk | 44 min |
| May 25, 5:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Taylor | 54 min |
| May 25, 5:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Buffalo, Trempealeau | 40 min |
| May 25, 5:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Chippewa | 25 min |
| May 25, 5:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Lincoln | 67 min |
| May 25, 6:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Taylor | 44 min |
| May 25, 6:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Clark, Jackson | 64 min |
| May 25, 6:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MQT | Ontonagon | 32 min |
| May 25, 6:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MQT | Houghton, Keweenaw | 29 min |
| May 25, 6:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Marathon, Portage, Wood | 56 min |
| May 25, 6:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MQT | Baraga, Houghton, Ontonagon | 35 min |
| May 25, 6:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Langlade, Lincoln, Oneida | 63 min |
| May 25, 7:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Marathon, Portage, Wood | 39 min |
| May 25, 7:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Forest, Langlade, Oconto | 36 min |
| May 25, 7:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MQT | Baraga, Houghton, Marquette | 30 min |
| May 25, 9:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MQT | Alger, Delta, Menominee | 45 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 208 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 96 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -140 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1118 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 125 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 155 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted.
080
WWUS20 KWNS 251950
SEL3
SPC WW 251950
MIZ000-MNZ000-WIZ000-LSZ000-260300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 203
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
250 PM CDT Tue May 25 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Upper Michigan
Southeast Minnesota
Western and Northern Wisconsin
Lake Superior
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...At least isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are
expected to develop and intensify this afternoon near/ahead of an
eastward-moving cold front. Very strong southwesterly winds through
a deep layer will support fast-moving and well-organized storms
including a few initial supercells aside from evolving
bands/clusters of storms. At least isolated instances of severe hail
and damaging winds will be the most common hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north northeast
of Ironwood MI to 25 miles south southwest of La Crosse WI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
26040.
...GuyerSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 3:15 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Gogebic | 2 hr |
| May 25, 6:17 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Gogebic, Iron, Ontonagon | 118 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.