Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 530

May 4, 202141 counties in Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 4, 2021, 3:07 PM EDT for 41 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 113 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 4, 2021, 3:07 PM EDT (19:07 UTC)
Expired
May 4, 2021, 5:00 PM EDT
In force
113 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 145
All 41 counties

Banks County, GA, Barrow County, GA, Bartow County, GA, Butts County, GA, Carroll County, GA, Cherokee County, GA, Clarke County, GA, Clayton County, GA, Cobb County, GA, Coweta County, GA, Dawson County, GA, DeKalb County, GA, Douglas County, GA, Elbert County, GA, Fayette County, GA, Forsyth County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Fulton County, GA, Greene County, GA, Gwinnett County, GA, Hall County, GA, Haralson County, GA, Hart County, GA, Heard County, GA, Henry County, GA, Jackson County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Madison County, GA, Morgan County, GA, Newton County, GA, Oconee County, GA, Oglethorpe County, GA, Paulding County, GA, Pickens County, GA, Polk County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Rockdale County, GA, Spalding County, GA, Taliaferro County, GA, Walton County, GA, Wilkes County, GA

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 64 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2021-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 590 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2021-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 207 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
590 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-114 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
753 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
207 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
213 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

478 
ACUS11 KWNS 041908
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041907 
SCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-042100-

Mesoscale Discussion 0530
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0207 PM CDT Tue May 04 2021

Areas affected...Northern Georgia

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 145...

Valid 041907Z - 042100Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 145
continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging winds remain possible across northern Georgia for
the next 1-2 hours. A gradual weakening trend is possible heading
into the late afternoon hours.

DISCUSSION...A few reports of wind damage have been noted across
northern GA associated with the ongoing MCS across the northern and
northeastern portion of the state. Recent reflectivity/velocity data
from KFFC suggests that the MCS is becoming outflow dominant across
north-central GA with a discernible outflow boundary outrunning the
higher reflectivity. GOES IR imagery also points to a gradual
weakening trend in the initial MCS as cloud tops begin to warm. A
few stronger updraft pulses remain likely within remnants of the
MCS, but will mainly be confined to northeast GA. 

To the west, a bowing segment is emerging from northeast AL into
northwest GA and has a history of producing at least sporadic wind
damage and severe hail across AL. This segment is expected to move
north of the outflow boundary from the GA MCS and into a cooler,
more stable air mass. Strong velocities noted with this line (per
KFFC) suggests wind damage remains possible for northwest GA for the
next hour or so, but a gradual weakening seems likely as this
activity continues northeast.

..Moore.. 05/04/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...BMX...

LAT...LON   33148523 33678541 34448513 34538407 34548328 34278264
            33968250 33638266 33118350 33138446 33148523

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 4, 8:31 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDade89 min
May 4, 10:03 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartow, Carroll, Chattooga, Cherokee, Cobb, Douglas and 8 more117 min
May 4, 10:48 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBanks, Barrow, Bartow, Butts, Carroll, Catoosa and 43 more6 hr
May 4, 1:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanks, Barrow, Bartow, Carroll, Cherokee, Clarke and 34 more114 min
May 4, 4:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBurke, Columbia, McDuffie, Richmond3 hr
May 4, 6:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Bibb, Calhoun, Chattahoochee, Clay, Colquitt and 34 more85 min
May 4, 7:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Bibb, Bleckley, Brooks and 45 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.