Alert archive / Iowa / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 2067

December 28, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Dec 28, 2021, 8:59 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 28, 2021, 8:59 AM CST (14:59 UTC)
Expired
Dec 28, 2021, 2:00 PM CST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Winter mixed precipitation
All 96 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Henry County, IA, Howard County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Scott County, IA, Tama County, IA, Washington County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Worth County, IA, Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Marshall County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stark County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Will County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Dodge County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Houston County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Steele County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Winona County, MN, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dane County, WI, Grant County, WI, Green County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Walworth County, WI

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 57 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2021-12-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2021-12-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 411 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156175Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2991 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
107 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
411 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
554 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

990 
ACUS11 KWNS 281459
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281459 
INZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-282000-

Mesoscale Discussion 2067
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0859 AM CST Tue Dec 28 2021

Areas affected...portions of eastern IA...southeast MN...and
southern WI into northern IL

Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation 

Valid 281459Z - 282000Z

SUMMARY...Mixed winter precipitation will persist across parts of
eastern IA into northern IL, with mainly periods of moderate to
heavy snow developing further north into southeast MN and southern
WI much of today.

DISCUSSION...Strong warm advection around 850-700 mb ahead of an
eastward-progressing surface low will continue across the MCD area
this morning into this afternoon. Isentropic ascent atop a surface
warm front further south across the mid-MS Valley will support
continued moderate precipitation rates. Temperatures across the
region range from 30-34 F south, into the 20s F and upper teens
north. Periods of mixed precipitation are possible across parts of
eastern IA into northern IL, with rain, snow and possibly freezing
rain expected to persist for several hours as near-surface wet-bulb
temperatures hover around 28-32 degrees. 

Further north across northeast IA into southeast MN and southern WI,
temperatures will remain colder and periods of moderate to heavy
snow are possible. This system will remain fairly progressive
through the day, with heavier precipitation shifting from south to
north the next several hours.

..Leitman.. 12/28/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN...ARX...MPX...DMX...

LAT...LON   41069227 41289268 41889329 42539350 43279362 43739353
            44179307 44349253 44369198 44219077 43448923 42558784
            42168759 41598737 41138749 41008767 40868794 40778832
            40768916 40779025 40829123 40979195 41069227

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 28, 5:40 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Carlton, Itasca, Lake, Saint Louis4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Wisconsin, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.