Alert archive / Indiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 2012

December 11, 202127 counties in Indiana; 8 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Dec 11, 2021, 2:46 AM EST for 27 counties in Indiana; 8 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 59 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 11, 2021, 2:46 AM EST (07:46 UTC)
Expired
Dec 11, 2021, 3:45 AM EST
In force
59 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 557...560
All 35 counties

Bartholomew County, IN, Brown County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Greene County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Henry County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jay County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Rush County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Union County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Auglaize County, OH, Butler County, OH, Darke County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Miami County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Preble County, OH, Shelby County, OH

The radar

The Indianapolis radar (KIND), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2021-12-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2021-12-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 325 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
519 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
71 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
325 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
431 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

960 
ACUS11 KWNS 110747
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110746 
OHZ000-INZ000-110845-

Mesoscale Discussion 2012
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0146 AM CST Sat Dec 11 2021

Areas affected...central into northern IN and western OH

Concerning...Tornado Watch 557...560...

Valid 110746Z - 110845Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 557, 560 continues.

SUMMARY...Sporadic strong wind gusts and/or a tornado remain
possible across parts of central Indiana into western Ohio the next
few hours.

DISCUSSION...Strong storms continue tonight from roughly Auglaize
County in western Ohio to Knox County in west-central Indiana. Much
of this area remains within a weakly unstable (100-500 J/kg MLCAPE)
airmass. However, strong vertical shear remains present, resulting
in semi-organized line segments. Low-level shear also remains
favorable for rotation within cells and/or mesovortices. The maximum
relative threat will likely be confined to parts of central Indiana
over the next few hours where instability is greatest. Surface
dewpoints decrease into the upper 50s with northward extent, and a
large area of moderate rainfall has overspread much of western into
central Ohio, resulting in boundary-layer stabilization. As such,
the severe threat should remain confined within WW 557 (which has
been locally extended a couple of hours) and WW 560, and a
downstream watch into central OH is unlikely.

..Leitman.. 12/11/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...

LAT...LON   38738605 38918518 39288450 39728407 40498395 40658402
            40728422 40688469 40608492 40368553 40168584 39048705
            38758724 38648717 38608696 38658651 38738605

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 10, 7:21 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCClark, Crawford, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison, Jefferson and 4 more10 hr
Dec 10, 8:18 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Benton, Boone, Brown, Carroll, Cass and 37 more87 min
Dec 10, 8:47 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBartholomew, Benton, Boone, Brown, Clay, Clinton and 24 more8 hr
Dec 10, 9:35 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarrison85 min
Dec 10, 10:36 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCVigo54 min
Dec 10, 11:25 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Benton, Blackford, Boone, Brown, Carroll and 50 more95 min
Dec 11, 12:03 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCGibson, Pike, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh, Warrick5 hr
Dec 11, 12:08 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDearborn, Decatur, Delaware, Fayette, Franklin, Hamilton and 16 more67 min
Dec 11, 12:20 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Carroll, Cass, Dearborn and 27 more6 hr
Dec 11, 12:28 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Daviess, Fountain, Gibson, Greene, Knox and 9 more92 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.