Alert archive / Iowa / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 126

February 21, 202132 counties in Iowa; Burt County, Douglas County, Washington County, Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 21, 2021, 8:52 AM CST for 32 counties in Iowa; Burt County, Douglas County, Washington County, Nebraska. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 21, 2021, 8:52 AM CST (14:52 UTC)
Expired
Feb 21, 2021, 1:15 PM CST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Heavy snow
All 35 counties

Adair County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Linn County, IA, Madison County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Monona County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Warren County, IA, Webster County, IA, Burt County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Washington County, NE

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 28 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-02-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-02-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 184 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
590 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
184 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

766 
ACUS11 KWNS 211453
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211452 
IAZ000-NEZ000-211915-

Mesoscale Discussion 0126
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0852 AM CST Sun Feb 21 2021

Areas affected...I-80 corridor in Iowa

Concerning...Heavy snow 

Valid 211452Z - 211915Z

SUMMARY...Bands of heavy snow possible within the I-80 corridor.
Heaviest rates will generally be near 1 in. per hour and will
diminish by 2-3 PM CST.

DISCUSSION...A strong mid-level shortwave trough and strong 700 mb
warm advection has led to bands of heavy snowfall in the Omaha, NE
vicinity. A band of heavier snow is currently ongoing to the west of
Des Moines moving northeast. As this system tracks to the east
today, heavy snowfall will continue to be possible along and north
of the I-80 corridor today. Peak snowfall rates of around 1 inch per
hour with isolated heavier rates are expected to occur within the
next 4-5 hours. Thereafter, lift within the dendritic growth layer
and 700 mb warm advection become more diffuse and snowfall rates
should decrease.

..Wendt.. 02/21/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DVN...DMX...FSD...OAX...

LAT...LON   41229606 41519644 42049635 42479473 42729318 42559177
            42149148 41689174 41399236 41349290 41259366 41199474
            41209541 41229606

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.