Alert archive / Texas / Areal Flood Warnings in 2021

Areal Flood Warning 4, NWS San Angelo, TX

July 12, 2021San Saba County, Texas

NWS San Angelo, TX issued this areal flood warning at Jul 12, 2021, 2:23 PM CDT for San Saba County, Texas. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 12, 2021, 2:23 PM CDT (19:23 UTC)
Expired
Jul 12, 2021, 5:30 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS San Angelo, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County San Saba County, TX

The radar

The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 236 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-07-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 373 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-07-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 28 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
373 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-177 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1322 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
28 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
72 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood warning went out at Jul 11, 6:41 PM CDT, 19 hours 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 11, 6:41 PM CDT, 19 hours 42 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
641 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 200 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

A weak cold front will provide a focus for scattered thunderstorms
to develop across the region through tonight. In fact, conditions
may allow for hail and damaging winds to occur with any of the
stronger cells that develop. In addition, many of these storms will
be efficient rain producers allowing for locally heavy rainfall to
occur.

Otherwise, look for slightly cooler temperatures during the day
tomorrow. However, you will likely not notice a huge difference as
temperatures will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Isolated
thunderstorms will remain a possibility through tomorrow
afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 200 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

Typical summer weather pattern for the upcoming week across West
Central Texas. Enough of the upper level ridge builds into place
that rain chances are minimal through most of the week, with
afternoon temperatures inching up into the mid 90s for most
locations. Ridge may break down a little for next weekend, enough
at least to allow a weak upper trough to slide into the area. A
few storms possible, especially across the western half of the
area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 640 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

Areas of scattered to numerous SHRA/TSRA, bringing heavy downpours
(which could result in brief LIFR/VLIFR conditions), strong
downdraft winds and large hail, are possible through around 07Z
north of the I-10. Then, additional SHRA/TSRA will be possible again
across areas north of I-10. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected through
00Z Tues, except for the slight chance of MVFR CIGs developing
across the I-10 corridor between 08Z and 16Z, potentially impacting
KSOA and KJCT. However, confidence too low to put in the TAFs. Winds
will be mostly around 5-10 KT through 00Z Tues.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 69  89  70  92 /  40  30   5   0
San Angelo 	 69  90  69  93 /  40  30   5   0
Junction 	 71  91  68  92 /  20  20   0   0
Brownwood 	 70  89  69  93 /  50  40   5   0
Sweetwater 	 68  88  69  91 /  30  20   0   0
Ozona      	 69  89  69  91 /  30  20   5   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...SJH

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 11, 7:16 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySJTIrion, Tom Green3 hr
Jul 11, 7:28 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySJTTom Green3 hr
Jul 11, 7:40 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatSJTTom Green3 hr
Jul 11, 7:57 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySJTBrown, Coleman, Concho, McCulloch, Runnels, San Saba2 hr
Jul 11, 8:19 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSJTRunnels41 min
Jul 11, 8:59 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySJTBrown, Coke, Coleman, Runnels104 min
Jul 11, 9:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSJTBrown42 min
Jul 12, 10:06 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySJTSan Saba3 hr
Jul 12, 11:31 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatSJTSan Saba3 hr
Jul 12, 12:36 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySJTMcCulloch, Mason114 min
Jul 12, 12:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSJTMason50 min
Jul 12, 1:30 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySJTConcho, McCulloch, Menard2 hr
Jul 12, 3:08 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySJTTom Green3 hr
Jul 12, 3:19 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatSJTTom Green3 hr
Jul 12, 3:42 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSJTNolan48 min
Jul 12, 3:46 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySJTCoke, Nolan3 hr
Jul 12, 3:59 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSJTSterling46 min

Nearby

Areal Flood Warnings in Texas, 2021Every areal flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.