Alert archive / Louisiana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 117, NWS Shreveport, LA

May 4, 2021Natchitoches Parish, Sabine Parish, Louisiana

NWS Shreveport, LA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 4, 2021, 12:17 PM CDT for Natchitoches Parish, Sabine Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 43 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 4, 2021, 12:17 PM CDT (17:17 UTC)
Expired: May 4, 2021, 1:00 PM CDT
In force: 43 min
Issued by: NWS Shreveport, LA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Natchitoches Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA

The radar

The Ft Polk radar (KPOE), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 4, 12:30 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	5 Sw Natchez, LA	TREES DOWN NEAR FLORA AND PROVENCAL ALONG HWY 120.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 13 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 4, 10:52 AM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 128 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2618 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -96 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 873 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 208 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 182 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.3
Supercell composite: 6.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

188 
WUUS54 KSHV 041717
SVRSHV
LAC069-085-041800-
/O.NEW.KSHV.SV.W.0117.210504T1717Z-210504T1800Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1217 PM CDT Tue May 4 2021

The National Weather Service in Shreveport has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southern Natchitoches Parish in northwestern Louisiana...
  Eastern Sabine Parish in northwestern Louisiana...

* Until 100 PM CDT.

* At 1217 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from near Many to near Hornbeck, moving northeast at 35
  mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Natchitoches, Many, Montgomery, Florien, Provencal, Natchez,
  Fisher, Robeline, Kisatchie, Cloutierville, Melrose, Mount Carmel,
  Bellwood, Chopin, Flora, Bermuda, Aloha, Gorum, Marthaville and
  Hagewood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CDT for north central
and northwestern Louisiana.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3173 9351 3173 9297 3168 9297 3168 9293
      3166 9290 3162 9290 3160 9280 3156 9276
      3155 9276 3152 9272 3142 9285 3142 9287
      3139 9291 3137 9292 3137 9295 3135 9295
      3137 9303 3136 9339 3128 9344 3128 9353
TIME...MOT...LOC 1717Z 243DEG 29KT 3165 9348 3132 9349 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

05

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 4, 11:13 AM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 4, 11:13 AM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1113 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021

.UPDATE...

Large hail and damaging winds are the main severe weather threat
today and winds are mostly veered ahead of the cold front. With
that said, isolated tornadoes can't be ruled out, especially in
Northern Louisiana and eastward as low-level shear of at least 30
kts is available for any discrete supercells that develop.

Therefore, Tornado Watch #146 has been issued for all of Northern
Louisiana and parts of South Central Arkansas until 6 PM. /16/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1037 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021/

UPDATE...

Any plans made today should account for impacts from severe
thunderstorms, including large hail and damaging winds. As of
10:30 AM, the frontal boundary is clearly evident on radar, having
crossed Marshall, TX in a line from Mount Enterprise, TX
northwestward to Magnolia, AR. Convection is ongoing, with the
most robust cluster of storms west of Lufkin, TX. Surface moisture
ahead of the front continues to be plentiful with dew points
exceeding the 70-degree mark. High-resolution guidance indicates
storm initiations to continue along the front through the rest of
the afternoon as it shifts eastward, with severe thunderstorms
likely to occur in Deep East Texas and North-central Louisiana.

Temperatures have been adjusted, especially ahead of the frontal
boundary, to account for compressional heating. Winds and
precipitation chances have all been updated to account for frontal
position and current activity. Otherwise, all necessary
forecast adjustments have been made.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #142 remains in effect for Deep East
Texas until 1PM CDT, with a downstream watch likely this afternoon
for parts of northeast Louisiana and eastward. /16/

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 655 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021/

AVIATION...

A mix bag of ceilings expected through the TAF period as cold
front moves across the area. Over the next several hours, showers
and thunderstorms will start to develop near a frontal boundary as
it slowly moves across the region. Ceilings may drop into IFR
category along with reduced visibility during heaviest rain
activity. Winds could also gusts up to 50kts with large as well.
Expect gradual clearing behind the front and thunderstorms, with
northwest winds and VFR conditions. /20/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  82  56  78  56 /  60   0   0   0
MLU  83  57  76  55 /  80  10   0   0
DEQ  74  48  76  51 /  20   0   0   0
TXK  77  53  75  55 /  40   0   0   0
ELD  82  52  76  51 /  60   0   0   0
TYR  77  53  77  56 /  30   0   0   0
GGG  78  53  77  54 /  50   0   0   0
LFK  80  56  79  56 /  80   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

16/16/20

Hazardous weather outlook, May 4, 4:48 AM CDT, 7 hours 29 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
448 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-051000-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
448 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Showers and thunderstorms will redevelop along a boundary
situated from deep east Texas to southwest Arkansas and progress
southeast through the day Tuesday. Storm activity is expected to
remain south of the I-30 corridor. The primary threats associated
with these storms are expected to be damaging winds, large hail,
and locally heavy rainfall. An isolated tornado or two cannot be
ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

No hazardous weather is expected through the remainder of the work
week, until thunderstorms chances return this weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters may be needed for today. Please
relay any information about observed severe weather to the NWS
while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 4, 11:12 AM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1112 AM CDT TUE MAY 4 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1111 AM     HAIL             STONEWALL               32.27N 93.82W
05/04/2021  M0.50 INCH       DE SOTO            LA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            RETIRED NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH
            HAIL STONEWALL.

&&

25

Local storm report, May 4, 11:36 AM CDT, 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1136 AM CDT TUE MAY 4 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1129 AM     TSTM WND DMG     9 WSW NACOGDOCHES       31.58N 94.79W
05/04/2021                   NACOGDOCHES        TX   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: 1-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN;
            SHINGLES BLOWN OFF.

&&

25

Special weather statement, May 4, 11:45 AM CDT, 32 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1145 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021

LAZ017-018-041730-
Natchitoches LA-Sabine LA-
1145 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN NATCHITOCHES AND
EAST CENTRAL SABINE PARISHES UNTIL 1230 PM CDT...

At 1145 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles northwest of Kurthwood, or 15 miles north of Anacoco, moving
northeast at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Natchitoches, Provencal, Natchez, Kisatchie, Cloutierville, Melrose,
Flora, Mount Carmel and Bellwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CDT for northwestern
Louisiana.

LAT...LON 3149 9340 3174 9310 3155 9291 3136 9325
      3136 9328
TIME...MOT...LOC 1645Z 230DEG 26KT 3147 9327

05

Special weather statement, May 4, 11:48 AM CDT, 29 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1148 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021

LAZ014-041730-
Ouachita LA-
1148 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN OUACHITA PARISH UNTIL
1230 PM CDT...

At 1147 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Brownsville-Bawcom, moving northeast at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Monroe, Claiborne, West Monroe, Swartz, Brownsville-Bawcom,
Brownsville-Bawcomville, Richwood, Sterlington, Drew, Fairbanks,
Perryville, Millhaven, Pine Grove, Guthrie and Deshard.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CDT for north central
Louisiana.

LAT...LON 3248 9194 3235 9214 3248 9229 3272 9206
      3269 9205 3270 9204 3271 9204 3270 9203
      3271 9197 3268 9197 3266 9194 3267 9192
      3266 9191 3260 9193 3251 9190
TIME...MOT...LOC 1647Z 226DEG 18KT 3247 9215

05

Local storm report, May 4, 12:09 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1209 PM CDT TUE MAY 4 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1145 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ENE STANLEY           31.98N 93.87W
05/04/2021                   DE SOTO            LA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FALLEN TREE HAS TAKEN DOWN HIGH VOLTAGE
            POWER LINES.

&&

25

Local storm report, May 4, 12:12 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1212 PM CDT TUE MAY 4 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1145 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 WSW SOUTH MANSFIELD   31.99N 93.79W
05/04/2021                   DE SOTO            LA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE BLOCKING HIGHWAY 84 IN BOTH
            DIRECTIONS 5 WSW OF SOUTH MANSFIELD.

&&

25

The office that day

Everything else NWS Shreveport, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 4, 10:44 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SHV	Bossier, Caddo	46 min
May 4, 10:54 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SHV	Caddo	66 min
May 4, 11:07 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	De Soto	38 min
May 4, 11:10 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, De Soto, Webster	50 min
May 4, 11:14 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Bossier, Caddo, De Soto	31 min
May 4, 11:24 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Bienville, Claiborne, Jackson, Lincoln	51 min
May 4, 11:45 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SHV	Natchitoches	45 min
May 4, 11:48 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SHV	Ouachita	42 min
May 4, 12:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Bienville, De Soto, Natchitoches, Red River, Sabine	40 min
May 4, 12:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Bienville, Jackson, Lincoln, Ouachita, Union	65 min
May 4, 12:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Caldwell, Jackson, Ouachita, Union, Winn	47 min
May 4, 12:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Bienville, Jackson, Natchitoches, Winn	64 min
May 4, 12:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Grant, LaSalle, Winn	57 min
May 4, 12:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Caldwell, Jackson, LaSalle	52 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Louisiana, 2021 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.