Alert archive / Washington / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 51, NWS Seattle, WA

November 11, 2021Mason County, Washington

NWS Seattle, WA issued this river flood warning at Nov 11, 2021, 1:59 PM PST for Mason County, Washington. It took effect at Nov 11, 2021, 5:52 PM PST. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 11, 2021, 1:59 PM PST (21:59 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 11, 2021, 5:52 PM PST
Expired
Nov 17, 2021, 1:18 PM PST
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS Seattle, WA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

County Mason County, WA

The radar

The Langley Hill radar (KLGX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Skokomish River near Potlatch (SRPW1). The gauge peaked at 17.84 ft at Nov 15, 2021, 4:00 PM PST.

actionminormoderatemajor14161811/1111/1211/1311/1411/1511/1611/1711/18
Action stage
15 ft
Minor stage
16.5 ft
Moderate stage
17.5 ft
Major stage
18 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 12061500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

344 
WGUS46 KSEW 112159
FLWSEW

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Seattle WA
159 PM PST Thu Nov 11 2021

...The National Weather Service in Seattle WA has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.Heavy rain over the south slopes of the Olympics, 3 to 5 inches 
forecast through Friday morning, will drive the Skokomish river 
above flood stage Thursday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by late tonight at 1200 AM PST.

&&


WAC045-120800-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0051.211112T0152Z-000000T0000Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211112T0152Z.211112T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
159 PM PST Thu Nov 11 2021

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...From this afternoon until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 17.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause moderate 
  flooding, with deep and quick flood waters inundating some 
  residential areas, many roads, and much of the farm land in the 
  Skokomish Valley. Inundated roads include the Skokomish Valley 
  road, Bourgault Road West, Purdy Cutoff Road, and Highway 106.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:45 PM PST Thursday the stage was 16.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this afternoon and continue rising to a crest of 17.8
    feet late tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.8 feet on 03/19/1997.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

44
20 follow-up statements
261 
WGUS86 KSEW 120743
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
1143 PM PST Thu Nov 11 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.Heavy rain over the south slopes of the Olympics, 1 to 2 inches of 
additional rainfall forecast through Friday afternoon, will keep the 
Skokomish river above flood stage through Friday, with moderate 
flooding possible by Friday afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by Friday morning at 745 AM PST.

&&


WAC045-121545-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211112T0152Z.211112T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1143 PM PST Thu Nov 11 2021

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 17.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause moderate 
  flooding, with deep and quick flood waters inundating some 
  residential areas, many roads, and much of the farm land in the 
  Skokomish Valley. Inundated roads include the Skokomish Valley 
  road, Bourgault Road West, Purdy Cutoff Road, and Highway 106.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:45 PM PST Thursday the stage was 16.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this afternoon and continue rising to a crest of 17.8
    feet late tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.8 feet on 03/19/1997.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

CK
599 
WGUS86 KSEW 121501
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
701 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Snoqualmie River Near Snoqualmie Falls affecting King County.

  Puyallup River Near Orting affecting Pierce County.

  Nisqually River Near National affecting Lewis and Pierce Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

  Tolt River Above Carnation affecting King County.

.Heavy rain has led to river rises across western Washington. 
Additional rainfall is expected through much of today, gradually 
tapering off this evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this afternoon at 300 PM PST.

&&


WAC033-122315-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-211113T1939Z/
/SQUW1.2.ER.211112T1520Z.211113T0000Z.211113T1039Z.NO/
701 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Snoqualmie River Near Snoqualmie Falls.

* WHEN...Until late tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 30000.0 cfs, the Snoqualmie River will cause 
  widespread flooding of pasture lands and roads along the river 
  from the town of Snoqualmie downstream through Fall City. Roads 
  that may become flooded include Fall City-Carnation...Tolt Hill...
  and Novelty Flats Roads. This river level on the Snoqualmie 
  corresponds roughly to a phase 3 flood in the King County flood 
  system.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:30 AM PST Friday the flow was 15900.0 cfs.
  - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this morning
    to 40661.3 cfs late this afternoon. It will then fall below
    flood stage just after midnight tonight to 7742.8 cfs and
    begin rising again late tomorrow evening. It will rise to
    16862.8 cfs Sunday afternoon. It will then fall again and
    remain below flood stage.
  - Flood flow is 20000.0 cfs.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    40600.0 cfs on 01/25/1984.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4742 12175 4752 12186 4756 12196 4761 12188
      4758 12178 4756 12170


$$

WAC053-122315-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-211113T1207Z/
/ORTW1.3.ER.211112T0625Z.211112T1800Z.211113T0307Z.NO/
701 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Puyallup River Near Orting.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 16000.0 cfs, the Puyallup River will cause major 
  flooding from Orting downstream through McMillan to Sumner. Swift 
  and deep flood waters will inundate roads...residential areas...
  and farms. Erosion will likely damage levees.  Flooding will occur 
  all along the river including headwaters...tributaries...and other 
  streams within and near the Puyallup River Basin.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:15 AM PST Friday the flow was 10900.0 cfs.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river flow in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:15 AM PST Friday was 11200.0 cfs.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 16207.0 cfs late this
    morning. It will then fall below flood stage this evening to
    2737.5 cfs and begin rising again late tomorrow evening. It
    will rise to 3576.6 cfs late Sunday morning. It will then
    fall again and remain below flood stage.
  - Flood flow is 10000.0 cfs.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15300.0 cfs on 11/20/1962.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4692 12227 4705 12228 4712 12233 4724 12219
      4715 12214 4700 12207


$$

WAC033-122315-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-211113T1235Z/
/TOLW1.2.ER.211112T1447Z.211112T1800Z.211113T0335Z.NO/
701 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tolt River Above Carnation.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 5000.0 cfs, the Tolt River will flood Tolt River Rd 
  NE and many driveways. Some homes in the San Souci area could be 
  inaccessible due to deep and quick flood waters. This river level 
  on the Tolt corresponds to a phase 3 flood in the King County 
  flood system.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:15 AM PST Friday the flow was 4640.0 cfs.
  - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this morning
    to 7117.0 cfs late this morning. It will then fall below
    flood stage this evening to 990.7 cfs and begin rising again
    late tomorrow evening. It will rise to 2399.1 cfs Sunday
    afternoon. It will then fall to 2236.4 cfs and begin rising
    again late Sunday evening. It will then rise again but remain
    below flood stage.
  - Flood flow is 5000.0 cfs.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    7100.0 cfs on 11/09/1990.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4768 12176 4761 12185 4761 12194 4767 12196
      4771 12189 4774 12184


$$

WAC041-053-122315-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-211114T0141Z/
/NISW1.3.ER.211112T0541Z.211112T1800Z.211113T1641Z.NO/
701 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Nisqually River Near National.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 15000.0 cfs, the Nisqually River will cause major 
  flooding along the upper reaches of the river from Mt Rainier 
  National Park downstream to Alder Lake. Deep and swift flood 
  waters will inundate roads...pasture lands...and farms. The river 
  will likely overtop some levees.   Flooding will occur all along 
  the river including headwaters...tributaries...and other streams 
  within and near the Nisqually River Basin.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:00 AM PST Friday the flow was 10800.0 cfs.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river flow in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:00 AM PST Friday was 11200.0 cfs.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 15399.3 cfs late this
    morning. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow morning
    to 4054.6 cfs and begin rising again early Sunday morning. It
    will rise to 4442.9 cfs late Sunday morning. It will then
    fall again and remain below flood stage.
  - Flood flow is 8000.0 cfs.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15000.0 cfs on 01/15/1974.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4674 12165 4664 12189 4670 12227 4683 12213
      4681 12198 4683 12187


$$

WAC045-122315-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-211113T2322Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211112T0152Z.211112T1800Z.211113T1421Z.NO/
701 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 17.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause moderate 
  flooding, with deep and quick flood waters inundating some 
  residential areas, many roads, and much of the farm land in the 
  Skokomish Valley. Inundated roads include the Skokomish Valley 
  road, Bourgault Road West, Purdy Cutoff Road, and Highway 106.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:30 AM PST Friday the stage was 17.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:30 AM PST Friday was 17.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow morning and continue falling to 16.2 feet tomorrow
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.8 feet on 03/19/1997.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

Wolcott
726 
WGUS86 KSEW 122246
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
246 PM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.The Skokomish River has crested but will remain in minor flood 
stage through Saturday afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this evening at 1045 PM PST.

&&


WAC045-130700-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-211113T2043Z/
/SRPW1.1.ER.211112T0152Z.211112T1900Z.211113T1143Z.NO/
246 PM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until early tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 16.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause widespread 
  flooding of pasture lands, with water flowing quickly over West 
  Bourgault Road and Skokomish Valley Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:00 PM PST Friday the stage was 17.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 2:00 PM PST Friday was 17.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tonight and continue falling to 16.0 feet late tomorrow
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.5 feet on 12/20/1994.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

33
254 
WGUS46 KSEW 130625
FLWSEW

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Seattle WA
1025 PM PST Fri Nov 12 2021


.The Skokomish River has crested but will remain in minor flood 
stage Saturday. A second round of rainfall Saturday night will 
result in another rise on the river above flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by Saturday morning at 700 AM PST.

&&


WAC045-131630-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-211114T0303Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211112T0152Z.211112T1900Z.211113T1755Z.NO/
1025 PM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and minor flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 16.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause widespread 
  flooding of pasture lands, with water flowing quickly over West 
  Bourgault Road and Skokomish Valley Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 PM PST Friday the stage was 17.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:45 PM PST Friday was 17.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tomorrow morning. There will be additional rises Sunday.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.2 feet on 12/17/2001.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

45
566 
WGUS86 KSEW 131508
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
708 AM PST Sat Nov 13 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.The Skokomish River has crested but will remain in minor flood 
stage Saturday. A second round of rainfall Saturday night will 
result in another rise on the river above flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this afternoon at 315 PM PST.

&&


WAC045-132315-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-211113T2321Z/
/SRPW1.1.ER.211112T0152Z.211112T1900Z.211113T1727Z.NO/
708 AM PST Sat Nov 13 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until late this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, the Skokomish River will locally spill 
  over its banks into low-lying areas of the Skokomish Valley.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:45 AM PST Saturday the stage was 16.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:45 AM PST Saturday was 17.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    16.8 feet on 11/23/1990.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

45
941 
WGUS86 KSEW 131934
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
1134 AM PST Sat Nov 13 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.The Skokomish River will recede today but will rise again on Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this afternoon at 330 PM PST.

&&


WAC045-132330-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-211113T2321Z/
/SRPW1.1.ER.211112T0152Z.211112T1900Z.211113T1727Z.NO/
1134 AM PST Sat Nov 13 2021

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until late this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 16.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause widespread 
  flooding of pasture lands, with water flowing quickly over West 
  Bourgault Road and Skokomish Valley Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:45 AM PST Saturday the stage was 16.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:45 AM PST Saturday was 17.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this morning. It will then rise above flood stage
    tomorrow morning and continue rising to 17.0 feet tomorrow
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    16.8 feet on 11/23/1990.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

33
424 
WGUS86 KSEW 132248
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
248 PM PST Sat Nov 13 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.The Skokomish River will recede tonight but will quickly rise on 
Sunday and continue to rise through Sunday night and Monday with 
moderate flooding possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this evening at 1045 PM PST.

&&


WAC045-140700-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-211117T0601Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211114T1340Z.211115T1816Z.211116T2345Z.NO/
248 PM PST Sat Nov 13 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 17.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause moderate 
  flooding, with deep and quick flood waters inundating some 
  residential areas, many roads, and much of the farm land in the 
  Skokomish Valley. Inundated roads include the Skokomish Valley 
  road, Bourgault Road West, Purdy Cutoff Road, and Highway 106.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:30 PM PST Saturday the stage was 16.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    early Sunday morning. It will continue to rise Sunday night
    and Monday to 17.9 feet.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.1 feet on 12/13/1998.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

33
526 
WGUS46 KSEW 140701
FLWSEW

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Seattle WA
1101 PM PST Sat Nov 13 2021

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration for the following rivers in Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.Rainfall is already driving the Skokomish River to flood stage and 
a higher second crest later..

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by Sunday morning at 700 AM PST.

&&


WAC045-141515-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-211117T0412Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211114T0600Z.211115T1800Z.211116T2008Z.NO/
1101 PM PST Sat Nov 13 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 17.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause moderate 
  flooding, with deep and quick flood waters inundating some 
  residential areas, many roads, and much of the farm land in the 
  Skokomish Valley. Inundated roads include the Skokomish Valley 
  road, Bourgault Road West, Purdy Cutoff Road, and Highway 106.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 PM PST Saturday the stage was 16.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:30 PM PST Saturday was 16.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.4
    feet tonight, then rise again Sunday night eventually
    cresting at 17.7 feet late Monday morning. It will then fall
    below flood stage early Tuesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.6 feet on 10/20/2003.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

JBB
911 
WGUS86 KSEW 141503
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
703 AM PST Sun Nov 14 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

  Chehalis River At Porter affecting Grays Harbor County.

.Rainfall is already driving the Skokomish River to flood stage and 
a higher second crest later, while the lower Chehalis River is 
slowly creeping up and is now above flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this afternoon at 300 PM PST.

&&


WAC027-142315-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-211115T1543Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.211114T1205Z.211114T1345Z.211115T0643Z.NO/
703 AM PST Sun Nov 14 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH MONDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Chehalis River At Porter.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 48.0 feet, the Chehalis River in Grays Harbor will 
  flood low pasture lands and some roads. High tidal levels at 
  Aberdeen will worsen flooding along the lower reaches.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:45 AM PST Sunday the stage was 48.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 5:45 AM PST Sunday was 48.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 48.1
    feet late this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
    late this evening.
  - Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
  - Flood History...No available flood history.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4682 12340 4689 12347 4689 12362 4706 12360
      4707 12333 4693 12318


$$

WAC045-142315-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-211117T0503Z/
/SRPW1.1.ER.211114T0600Z.211114T1731Z.211116T2059Z.NO/
703 AM PST Sun Nov 14 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 17.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause moderate 
  flooding, with deep and quick flood waters inundating some 
  residential areas, many roads, and much of the farm land in the 
  Skokomish Valley. Inundated roads include the Skokomish Valley 
  road, Bourgault Road West, Purdy Cutoff Road, and Highway 106.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:45 AM PST Sunday the stage was 17.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:45 AM PST Sunday was 17.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.3
    feet late this morning. It will then fall briefly, staying
    above flood stage. The river will then begin to rise again.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.6 feet on 10/20/2003.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

JBB
889 
WGUS86 KSEW 142240
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
240 PM PST Sun Nov 14 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.The Skokomish River will remain above flood stage through Tuesday 
evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this evening at 1045 PM PST.

&&


WAC045-150645-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-211117T0542Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211114T0600Z.211116T0000Z.211116T2348Z.NO/
240 PM PST Sun Nov 14 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 17.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause moderate 
  flooding, with deep and quick flood waters inundating some 
  residential areas, many roads, and much of the farm land in the 
  Skokomish Valley. Inundated roads include the Skokomish Valley 
  road, Bourgault Road West, Purdy Cutoff Road, and Highway 106.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:15 PM PST Sunday the stage was 17.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 2:15 PM PST Sunday was 17.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.7
    feet tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
    Tuesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.6 feet on 10/20/2003.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

33
801 
WGUS86 KSEW 150616
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
1016 PM PST Sun Nov 14 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.Heavy rain will continue over the southern portion of the Olympics 
through Monday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by Monday morning at 615 AM PST.

&&


WAC045-151430-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211114T0600Z.211116T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1016 PM PST Sun Nov 14 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 17.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause moderate 
  flooding, with deep and quick flood waters inundating some 
  residential areas, many roads, and much of the farm land in the 
  Skokomish Valley. Inundated roads include the Skokomish Valley 
  road, Bourgault Road West, Purdy Cutoff Road, and Highway 106.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 PM PST Sunday the stage was 17.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:00 PM PST Sunday was 17.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.9
    feet Monday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.6 feet on 10/20/2003.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

44
022 
WGUS86 KSEW 151416
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
616 AM PST Mon Nov 15 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.Heavy rain will come to an end over the Olympics this morning. Snow 
levels will drop significantly this afternoon and tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this afternoon at 215 PM PST.

&&


WAC045-152230-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-211117T0814Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211114T0600Z.211115T1300Z.211116T2314Z.NO/
616 AM PST Mon Nov 15 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE 
TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until early Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 17.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause moderate 
  flooding, with deep and quick flood waters inundating some 
  residential areas, many roads, and much of the farm land in the 
  Skokomish Valley. Inundated roads include the Skokomish Valley 
  road, Bourgault Road West, Purdy Cutoff Road, and Highway 106.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:15 AM PST Monday the stage was 17.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 5:15 AM PST Monday was 17.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to remain near 17.7 feet
    through this afternoon.  The river will slowly recede tonight
    and Tuesday dropping below flood stage late Tuesday.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.6 feet on 10/20/2003.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

44
812 
WGUS86 KSEW 152221
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
221 PM PST Mon Nov 15 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.Rain will continue to taper off over the Olympics this evening. 
Snow levels will drop significantly tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this evening at 1030 PM PST.

&&


WAC045-160630-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-211119T0451Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211114T0600Z.211116T0000Z.211118T2256Z.NR/
221 PM PST Mon Nov 15 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast. This approaches the flood of record.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 17.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause moderate 
  flooding, with deep and quick flood waters inundating some 
  residential areas, many roads, and much of the farm land in the 
  Skokomish Valley. Inundated roads include the Skokomish Valley 
  road, Bourgault Road West, Purdy Cutoff Road, and Highway 106.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:30 PM PST Monday the stage was 17.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 1:30 PM PST Monday was 17.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Thursday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.8 feet on 03/19/1997.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

45
616 
WGUS86 KSEW 160049
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
449 PM PST Mon Nov 15 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Elwha River At McDonald Bridge affecting Clallam County.

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Bogachiel River Near La Push affecting Clallam County.

.Heavy rain has transitioned to showers. The Bogachiel and Elwha 
Rivers have crested and will continue to fall overnight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by late tonight at 400 AM PST.

&&


WAC009-161215-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-211116T2213Z/
/ELWW1.1.ER.211115T1153Z.211115T2230Z.211116T1313Z.NO/
449 PM PST Mon Nov 15 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Elwha River At McDonald Bridge.

* WHEN...Until early tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 21.5 feet, the Elwha River will flood roads...much of 
  the pasture land along the river...and several residential areas. 
  Erosion may damage river banks.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:00 PM PST Monday the stage was 21.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 4:00 PM PST Monday was 22.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tonight.
  - Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    21.5 feet on 11/22/1959.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4800 12365 4807 12364 4814 12357 4814 12353
      4807 12354 4800 12354


$$

WAC045-161215-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-211119T0834Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211114T0600Z.211116T0000Z.211119T0009Z.NR/
449 PM PST Mon Nov 15 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE 
THURSDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 17.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause moderate 
  flooding, with deep and quick flood waters inundating some 
  residential areas, many roads, and much of the farm land in the 
  Skokomish Valley. Inundated roads include the Skokomish Valley 
  road, Bourgault Road West, Purdy Cutoff Road, and Highway 106.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:00 PM PST Monday the stage was 17.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 4:00 PM PST Monday was 17.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Thursday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.8 feet on 03/19/1997.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

WAC009-161215-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-211116T1949Z/
/BOGW1.3.ER.211115T0518Z.211115T2200Z.211116T1049Z.NR/
449 PM PST Mon Nov 15 2021

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH 
TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast. 
  This approaches the flood of record.

* WHERE...Bogachiel River Near La Push.

* WHEN...Until late tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 41.0 feet, the Bogachiel River will cause major 
  flooding from State Highway 110 near the Bogachiel bridge down to 
  its mouth.  Deep...swiftly moving water will inundate residential 
  areas and SR 110 in the valley near the Bogachiel River bridge.  
  Homes and businesses will be inundated in La Push near the mouth 
  of the river.  Flooding will occur all along the river including 
  headwaters...tributaries...and other streams within and near the 
  Bogachiel River Basin.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:30 PM PST Monday the stage was 44.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 3:30 PM PST Monday was 44.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tonight.
  - Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    42.6 feet on 11/06/2006.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4789 12440 4789 12453 4789 12463 4795 12467
      4796 12455 4798 12443


$$

45
676 
WGUS86 KSEW 161126
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
326 AM PST Tue Nov 16 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.Steady rain came to an end Monday. Any additional precipitation 
today will be light.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this morning at 1130 AM PST.

&&


WAC045-161930-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211114T0600Z.211116T0215Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
326 AM PST Tue Nov 16 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS MORNING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 17.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause moderate 
  flooding, with deep and quick flood waters inundating some 
  residential areas, many roads, and much of the farm land in the 
  Skokomish Valley. Inundated roads include the Skokomish Valley 
  road, Bourgault Road West, Purdy Cutoff Road, and Highway 106.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:30 AM PST Tuesday the stage was 17.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 2:30 AM PST Tuesday was 17.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady around 17.5
    feet today then slowly recede Tuesday.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.6 feet on 10/20/2003.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

44
601 
WGUS86 KSEW 161927
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
1127 AM PST Tue Nov 16 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.Steady rain came to an end Monday. Any additional precipitation 
today will be light.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this evening at 730 PM PST.

&&


WAC045-170330-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211114T0600Z.211116T0215Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1127 AM PST Tue Nov 16 2021

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. 
  This approaches the flood of record.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 16.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause widespread 
  flooding of pasture lands, with water flowing quickly over West 
  Bourgault Road and Skokomish Valley Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:15 AM PST Tuesday the stage was 17.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 11:15 AM PST Tuesday was 17.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 16.9 feet
    tomorrow afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.3 feet on 03/06/2014.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

12
420 
WGUS86 KSEW 170100
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
500 PM PST Tue Nov 16 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.Dry weather for next couple of days will allow the Skokomish River 
to continue to recede.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by late tonight at 115 AM PST.

&&


WAC045-170900-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-211118T1729Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211114T0600Z.211116T0215Z.211118T0828Z.NO/
500 PM PST Tue Nov 16 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until late Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 16.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause widespread 
  flooding of pasture lands, with water flowing quickly over West 
  Bourgault Road and Skokomish Valley Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:30 PM PST Tuesday the stage was 17.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to continue to fall below
    flood stage early Thursday morning. It will rise again
    Thursday morning to near flood stage and then resume falling.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    17.2 feet on 12/17/2001.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

JBB
508 
WGUS86 KSEW 170858
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
1258 AM PST Wed Nov 17 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.Drier weather will allow the Skokomish River to continue to recede 
through Thursday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this morning at 845 AM PST.

&&


WAC045-171700-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-211118T0908Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211114T0600Z.211116T0215Z.211118T0008Z.NO/
1258 AM PST Wed Nov 17 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...late Thursday afternoon. 

* IMPACTS...At 16.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause widespread 
  flooding of pasture lands, with water flowing quickly over West 
  Bourgault Road and Skokomish Valley Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 12:15 AM PST Wednesday the stage was 16.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to continue to fall below
    flood stage late Thursday afternoon. It will rise again
    Friday to near flood stage and then resume falling.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    16.8 feet on 11/23/1990.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

14
403 
WGUS86 KSEW 171546
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
746 AM PST Wed Nov 17 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.Drier weather will allow the Skokomish River to continue to recede 
through Thursday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this afternoon at 345 PM PST.

&&


WAC045-180000-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-211118T0908Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211114T0600Z.211116T0215Z.211118T0008Z.NO/
746 AM PST Wed Nov 17 2021

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 16.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause widespread 
  flooding of pasture lands, with water flowing quickly over West 
  Bourgault Road and Skokomish Valley Road.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 AM PST Wednesday the stage was 16.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 12:15 AM PST Wednesday was 17.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    today and continue falling to 16.2 feet late tomorrow
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    16.8 feet on 11/23/1990.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

19
711 
WGUS86 KSEW 172118
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
118 PM PST Wed Nov 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

.Dry weather has allowed the river to drop below flood stage. The 
next weather system will not be particularly wet, and snow will fall 
at the higher elevations of the Olympics.

WAC045-172230-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-211117T2118Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.211114T0600Z.211116T0215Z.211118T0008Z.NO/
118 PM PST Wed Nov 17 2021

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED THIS AFTERNOON...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Skokomish River At Potlatch.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:00 PM PST Wednesday the stage was 16.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 12:15 AM PST Wednesday was 17.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will continue to recede through Thursday
    morning.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340


$$

19

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 11, 8:42 AM PST, 5 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 11, 8:42 AM PST, 5 hours 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Seattle WA
842 AM PST Thu Nov 11 2021

.SYNOPSIS...Rainy weather is on tap for Western Washington through
Friday. Periods of heavy rain will fall in the mountains as the
snow level rises well above the passes. Rivers across Western
Washington will rise sharply Friday, but Saturday will see a
break in the weather. Another wet frontal system will move into
British Columbia Sunday and that system will sag south through
Western Washington Sunday night and Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...There is a warm front over
the area--at 8am the more significant rain was over southwest
Washington, but it was cloudy and drizzling elsewhere. The
mountains will see periods of heavy rain and the water vapor
transport forecast certainly looks like a typical atmospheric
river later today through the day Friday. Looking at the past ten
forecasts from the WRFGFS shows very little change in the qpf with
a total 48hr rainfall up to daybreak Saturday of roughly 3-5"
over Western Washington with very little shift north or south of
this bullseye. Naturally if you look closer at a finer 1km
forecast, then details like a nice Quimper Peninsula rain shadow
show up--it might only rain half an inch between Discovery Bay and
Dabob Bay while the heaviest rain totals on the higher peaks
between about Monte Cristo and Mount Rainier could be closer to
7". I'd say this sort of atmospheric river event happens a couple
of times each winter on average but is only about half of what our
bigger flood events are like and, because of the relatively short
duration, falls far short of the big events that have ruined
roads and campgrounds. That said, the rivers will still come up
quickly tonight and Friday and there is of course no change to the
flood watch. After some more rain gets into the gauges later
today and tonight, the RFC forecasts ought to have a pretty good
fix on what the rivers will do. Saturday will see a break in the
weather while rivers crest. 19

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...Next week looks to begin
rather active as the transient upper ridge weakens enough to allow
a few additional disturbances to reach Western Washington. Another
system late Sunday into Monday will likely bring breezy winds and
another shot of heavy rain. Snow levels likely lower with this
system and while there may be a fair amount of moisture with it,
it may be more progressive in nature than the AR across the region
today and Friday. Nevertheless, with many area rivers likely still
running high from this week's rain, will need to continue to
closely monitor for potential additional hydro concerns. With a
fairly robust cold front crossing late Monday into Tuesday, will
see a prominent shift to much cooler temperatures back into the
40s after a more mild stretch. With ensembles favoring another
weak ridge toward midweek after this front, will need to keep an
eye on the potential for a few significantly cooler nights across
the region by Tuesday night with lows well into the 30s. Cullen

&&

.AVIATION...Warm fronts give Western Washington lousy weather with
low cigs and poor vsby, and today will be no exception. Strong
westerly flow aloft will give heavy rain over the mountains which
will be completely obscured--for that matter the hills in the
lowlands will be mostly obscured. Expect areas of IFR candidness.
19

KSEA...Typical low cigs and poor vsby under a warm front but at
least pressure gradients are light and winds will not be a factor.

&&

.MARINE...For now the inland waters do not have much wind, but we
will probably see a breeze kicking in tonight for small craft
advisories. The coastal waters should mostly stay in a range of
SE20-30kt with a slow moving frontal system over the area through
the end of the week. Saturday will see a break with a surface high
over the area before another frontal system arrives Sunday and
Monday--and that front could bring gales into the area. 19

&&

.HYDROLOGY...I will repeat what I wrote above--the rivers will
rise sharply tonight and Friday and there is no change to the
flood watch. After some more rain gets into the gauges later
today and tonight there ought to be a pretty good fix on what the
rivers will do--there is always a little fog of war in the
beginning of a heavy rain event, but it sure helps that this is a
relatively short duration event and that Saturday will see a
break in the weather while rivers crest. The frontal system that
arrives Sunday night and Monday might give us a second round of
river flooding--however most models have been showing the heaviest
rain is spent up on the the northern half of Vancouver Island and
the BC coast, so that is encouraging. 19

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...Flood Watch from 4 PM PST this afternoon through Saturday
     afternoon for Admiralty Inlet Area-Bellevue and Vicinity-
     Cascades of Pierce and Lewis Counties-Cascades of Snohomish
     and King Counties-Cascades of Whatcom and Skagit Counties-
     Central Coast-East Puget Sound Lowlands-Eastern Strait of
     Juan de Fuca-Everett and Vicinity-Hood Canal Area-Lower
     Chehalis Valley Area-North Coast-Olympics-Seattle and
     Vicinity-Southwest Interior-Tacoma Area-Western Skagit
     County-Western Strait of Juan De Fuca-Western Whatcom
     County.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM PST Friday for Coastal Waters
     From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal
     Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal
     Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-
     Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10
     Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater
     10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape
     Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.

     Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 4 AM PST Friday
     for East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-
     Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.

     Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM PST this afternoon for West
     Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

&&

www.weather.gov/seattle

The office that day

Everything else NWS Seattle, WA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 11, 2:40 AM PSTSmall Craft AdvisorySEW25 hr
Nov 11, 3:51 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWLewis, Pierce37 hr
Nov 11, 3:56 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWKing38 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Washington, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.