Alert archive / Washington / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 15, NWS Seattle, WA

January 12, 2021Thurston County, Washington

NWS Seattle, WA issued this river flood warning at Jan 12, 2021, 4:32 PM PST for Thurston County, Washington. It took effect at Jan 13, 2021, 2:40 AM PST. It was in force for 33 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 12, 2021, 4:32 PM PST (00:32 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 13, 2021, 2:40 AM PST
Expired
Jan 14, 2021, 11:39 AM PST
In force
33 hr
Issued by
NWS Seattle, WA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Thurston County, WA

The radar

The Langley Hill radar (KLGX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Skookumchuck River near Bucoda (BCDW1). The gauge peaked at 213.23 ft at Jan 13, 2021, 4:00 PM PST.

actionminormoderate20521001/1201/1301/1401/15
Action stage
209.5 ft
Minor stage
211.5 ft
Moderate stage
213 ft
Major stage
215 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 12026400, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

726 
WGUS46 KSEW 130032
FLWSEW

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Seattle WA
432 PM PST Tue Jan 12 2021

...The National Weather Service in Seattle WA has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Washington...

  Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda affecting Thurston County.

  Cowlitz River At Randle affecting Lewis County.

.Heavy rain overnight and today and again tonight will drive the 
Skookumchuck and Cowliz Rivers above flood stage. rain is continuing 
this afternoon and will intensify this evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by late tonight at 1230 AM PST.

&&


WAC067-130845-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0015.210113T1040Z-210114T0843Z/
/BCDW1.1.ER.210113T1040Z.210113T1800Z.210114T0242Z.NO/
432 PM PST Tue Jan 12 2021

The National Weather Service in Seattle has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda.
* From late tonight to late Wednesday night.
* At 3:45 PM PST Tuesday the stage was 209.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 211.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight to a crest of 212.0 feet late tomorrow 
  morning. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 211.5 feet, the Skookumchuck River in Thurston County 
  will flood a few roads and low pasture lands near Bucoda.


&&

LAT...LON 4677 12251 4676 12274 4672 12286 4681 12293
      4688 12278 4692 12260

$$

WAC041-130845-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0016.210113T1041Z-210115T0127Z/
/RAWW1.2.ER.210113T1041Z.210114T0000Z.210114T1626Z.NO/
432 PM PST Tue Jan 12 2021

The National Weather Service in Seattle has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Cowlitz River At Randle.
* From late tonight to Thursday afternoon.
* At 4:15 PM PST Tuesday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight to a crest of 21.2 feet tomorrow afternoon. 
  It will then fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, the Cowlitz River will cause flooding from 
  the vicinity of Randle downstream through Riffe Lake...inundating 
  many roads including US Highway 12 and much of the farm lands.


&&

LAT...LON 4645 12180 4645 12194 4640 12219 4654 12220
      4659 12198 4661 12183

$$

JBB
9 follow-up statements
602 
WGUS86 KSEW 130757
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
1157 PM PST Tue Jan 12 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda affecting Thurston County.

.River will continue to rise tonight toward minor flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by Wednesday morning at 800 AM PST.

&&


WAC067-131600-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0015.210113T1040Z-210114T0843Z/
/BCDW1.1.ER.210113T1040Z.210113T1800Z.210114T0242Z.NO/
1157 PM PST Tue Jan 12 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda.
* Until late Wednesday night.
* At 10:45 PM PST Tuesday the stage was 211.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 211.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight to a crest of 211.5 feet late tomorrow 
  morning. It will then recede on Wednesday.
* Impact...At 211.5 feet, the Skookumchuck River in Thurston County 
  will flood a few roads and low pasture lands near Bucoda.


&&

LAT...LON 4677 12251 4676 12274 4672 12286 4681 12293
      4688 12278 4692 12260

$$

CC
517 
WGUS86 KSEW 131420
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
620 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Stillaguamish River At Arlington affecting Snohomish County.

  Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda affecting Thurston County.

  Cowlitz River At Randle affecting Lewis County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Satsop River Near Satsop affecting Grays Harbor County.

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

  South Fork Stillaguamish River Near Granite Falls affecting 
  Snohomish County.

  Skykomish River Near Gold Bar affecting Snohomish County.

  Snoqualmie River Near Carnation affecting King County.

  Snoqualmie River Near Snoqualmie Falls affecting King County.

  Tolt River Above Carnation affecting King County.

  Newaukum River Near Chehalis affecting Lewis County.

  Chehalis River Above Doty affecting Lewis County.

  Chehalis River At Porter affecting Grays Harbor County.

  Chehalis River Above Grand Mound affecting Grays Harbor and 
  Thurston Counties.

.Heavy rainfall has ended but flooding remains on area rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this morning at 1130 AM PST.

&&


WAC061-132230-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0022.210113T1420Z-210114T0745Z/
/ARLW1.1.ER.210113T1316Z.210113T1800Z.210113T2059Z.NO/
620 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Stillaguamish River At Arlington.
* From this morning to this evening.
* At 6:10 AM PST Wednesday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 6:10 AM PST Wednesday was 14.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 14.9 feet late this morning. It 
  will then fall below flood stage this afternoon to 3.8 feet and 
  begin rising again early Friday morning. It will rise to 4.0 feet 
  Friday afternoon. It will then fall again and remain below flood 
  stage.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, the Stillaguamish River will locally spill 
  over its banks.  Minor flooding around Silvana will occur...
  including over Pioneer Highway.  A stage of 14 feet on the 
  Stillaguamish River corresponds roughly to Phase 2 in the 
  Snohomish County Flood program.


&&

LAT...LON 4816 12211 4817 12223 4816 12237 4826 12240
      4823 12224 4824 12214

$$

WAC067-132230-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210114T0925Z/
/BCDW1.1.ER.210113T0947Z.210113T1345Z.210114T0436Z.NO/
620 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until just after midnight 
tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda.
* Until late tonight.
* At 5:45 AM PST Wednesday the stage was 212.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 211.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:45 AM PST Wednesday was 212.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this 
  evening and continue falling to 206.6 feet early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 211.5 feet, the Skookumchuck River in Thurston County 
  will flood a few roads and low pasture lands near Bucoda.


&&

LAT...LON 4677 12251 4676 12274 4672 12286 4681 12293
      4688 12278 4692 12260

$$

WAC041-132230-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0016.210113T1541Z-210115T0127Z/
/RAWW1.2.ER.210113T1541Z.210114T0000Z.210114T1515Z.NO/
620 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cowlitz River At Randle.
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 6:00 AM PST Wednesday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  morning to a crest of 20.8 feet late this afternoon. It will then 
  fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, the Cowlitz River will cause flooding from 
  the vicinity of Randle downstream through Riffe Lake...inundating 
  many roads including US Highway 12 and much of the farm lands.


&&

LAT...LON 4645 12180 4645 12194 4640 12219 4654 12220
      4659 12198 4661 12183

$$

WAC061-132230-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-210114T0105Z/
/GLBW1.1.ER.210113T1225Z.210113T1800Z.210113T2030Z.NO/
620 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Skykomish River Near Gold Bar.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 5:30 AM PST Wednesday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:30 AM PST Wednesday was 15.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.6 feet 
  late this morning. It will then fall below flood stage this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, the Skykomish River will cause minor 
  flooding of low pasture lands and some roads along the river...
  including Ben Howard road...Index-Galena Rd and Tualco Loop Rd.  A 
  stage of 16 feet on the Skykomish River corresponds to a Phase 3 
  in the Snohomish County flood program.


&&

LAT...LON 4774 12150 4780 12173 4780 12196 4793 12197
      4794 12169 4787 12147

$$

WAC061-132145-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-210113T2142Z/
/GFLW1.1.ER.210113T1138Z.210113T1230Z.210113T1334Z.NO/
620 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fork Stillaguamish River Near Granite Falls.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 5:15 AM PST Wednesday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:15 AM PST Wednesday was 14.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.8 feet early 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, the South Fork Stillaguamish River will 
  cause flooding along the river and tributaries.  A stage of 14 
  feet corresponds to Phase 2 in the Snohomish County Flood Warning 
  System.


&&

LAT...LON 4806 12191 4808 12204 4816 12211 4824 12214
      4816 12202 4815 12192

$$

WAC041-132230-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-210114T0316Z/
/NEWW1.1.ER.210113T1045Z.210113T1345Z.210113T2046Z.NO/
620 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Newaukum River Near Chehalis.
* Until this evening.
* At 5:45 AM PST Wednesday the stage was 203.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 202.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:45 AM PST Wednesday was 203.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this 
  afternoon and continue falling to 196.6 feet early Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 202.5 feet, flood waters will inundate many roads and 
  residential and commercial areas along the Newaukum River and its 
  forks.  Flooding in some areas may be deep and hazardous 
  especially near rivers. Impacted roadways and surrounding areas 
  include Jackson Hwy. and Tune...Rush...Sommerville...Griel...
  Hamilton...Tauscher...Guerrier...Kirkland...Macomber...Rice...
  Senn...Lucas Creek...Middle Fork and North Fork Roads.  A stage of 
  10.5 on the Newaukum roughly corresponds to Phase 2 flood in the 
  Lewis County flood system.


&&

LAT...LON 4657 12248 4652 12289 4662 12305 4675 12295
      4668 12286 4676 12264

$$

WAC041-132230-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-210114T0420Z/
/DOTW1.1.ER.210113T0913Z.210113T1100Z.210113T1919Z.NO/
620 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chehalis River Above Doty.
* Until this evening.
* At 5:30 AM PST Wednesday the stage was 317.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 318.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  morning. It will then fall below flood stage late this morning to 
  318.5 feet late this morning. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact...At 318.0 feet, flood waters of the upper Chehalis and 
  South Fork Chehalis will inundate many roads and some residential 
  and commercial areas.  Impacted roadways and surrounding areas 
  include Curtis Hill...Lake Creek...Moon Hill...Wildwood Roads in 
  the Boisfort Valley and Labri Rd. and Front St. below Doty. A 
  stage of 13 feet on the Chehalis near Doty corresponds to just 
  below Phase 2 in the Lewis County flood system.


&&

LAT...LON 4654 12334 4667 12332 4667 12307 4657 12309
      4660 12323 4654 12323

$$

WAC027-131930-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-210113T1920Z/
/SATW1.1.ER.210112T1951Z.210113T0300Z.210113T1711Z.NO/
620 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Satsop River Near Satsop.
* Until this morning.
* At 5:15 AM PST Wednesday the stage was 39.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 38.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:15 AM PST Wednesday was 39.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this morning and continue falling to 32.1 feet early Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, the Satsop River will flood...inundating 
  farms...roads...and some residential areas. Erosion will likely 
  damage some areas along the river.


&&

LAT...LON 4696 12345 4696 12354 4702 12354 4708 12354
      4708 12345 4702 12345

$$

WAC027-132230-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-210116T1452Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.210113T1127Z.210115T0000Z.210116T1426Z.NO/
620 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chehalis River At Porter.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 5:45 AM PST Wednesday the stage was 48.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:45 AM PST Wednesday was 48.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 49.6 feet 
  tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet, feet...the Chehalis River in Grays Harbor 
  will flood numerous farms and roads including SR 12. High tidal 
  levels at Aberdeen will worsen flooding along the lower reaches.


&&

LAT...LON 4682 12340 4689 12347 4689 12362 4706 12360
      4707 12333 4693 12318

$$

WAC027-067-132230-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-210115T0701Z/
/CGMW1.1.ER.210113T1025Z.210114T0600Z.210115T0442Z.NO/
620 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chehalis River Above Grand Mound.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 6:00 AM PST Wednesday the stage was 141.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 141.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 6:00 AM PST Wednesday was 141.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 142.4 feet 
  late this evening. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  evening.
* Impact...At 142.5 feet, the Chehalis River in Thurston County will 
  flood several roads in Independence Valley with swiftly moving 
  water including SR-12 and James, Independence, Moon and Anderson 
  Roads. Flood waters will cut off access to and from Chehalis 
  Reservation and inundate nearby farm lands.  Some residential 
  structures may be threatened.


&&

LAT...LON 4672 12305 4677 12315 4682 12340 4693 12318
      4690 12304 4681 12289

$$

WAC033-132230-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210115T0632Z/
/CRNW1.1.ER.210113T1454Z.210114T1200Z.210114T2331Z.NO/
620 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Snoqualmie River Near Carnation.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 5:15 AM PST Wednesday the stage was 53.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 54.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  morning to a crest of 55.7 feet late tonight. It will then fall 
  below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 56.0 feet, the Snoqualmie River will cause widespread 
  flooding from Fall City downstream through Carnation and Duvall...
  inundating much of the farm land and numerous roads.


&&

LAT...LON 4756 12196 4770 12204 4784 12202 4783 12194
      4771 12193 4761 12188

$$

WAC033-132230-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-210114T0505Z/
/SQUW1.1.ER.210113T1306Z.210114T0000Z.210114T0510Z.NO/
620 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Snoqualmie River Near Snoqualmie Falls.
* Until this evening.
* At 5:15 AM PST Wednesday the flow was 20400.0 cfs.
* Flood flow is 20000.0 cfs.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river flow in the 24 hours ending at 
  5:15 AM PST Wednesday was 20400.0 cfs.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29017.3 cfs 
  late this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late this 
  evening.
* Impact...At 30000.0 cfs, the Snoqualmie River will cause 
  widespread flooding of pasture lands and roads along the river 
  from the town of Snoqualmie downstream through Fall City. Roads 
  that may become flooded include Fall City-Carnation...Tolt Hill...
  and Novelty Flats Roads. This river level on the Snoqualmie 
  corresponds roughly to a phase 3 flood in the King County flood 
  system.


&&

LAT...LON 4742 12175 4752 12186 4756 12196 4761 12188
      4758 12178 4756 12170

$$

WAC033-132230-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-210114T0753Z/
/TOLW1.1.ER.210113T1543Z.210113T1800Z.210113T2158Z.NO/
620 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tolt River Above Carnation.
* Until this evening.
* At 5:15 AM PST Wednesday the flow was 3680.0 cfs.
* Flood flow is 5000.0 cfs.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  morning. It will then fall below flood stage this afternoon to 
  6207.0 cfs late this morning. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.


&&

LAT...LON 4768 12176 4761 12185 4761 12194 4767 12196
      4771 12189 4774 12184

$$

WAC045-132230-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.210112T0500Z.210113T1315Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
620 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Skokomish River At Potlatch.
* Until further notice.
* At 5:45 AM PST Wednesday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:45 AM PST Wednesday was 17.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 17.0 feet early 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 17.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause moderate 
  flooding, with deep and quick flood waters inundating some 
  residential areas, many roads, and much of the farm land in the 
  Skokomish Valley. Inundated roads include the Skokomish Valley 
  road, Bourgault Road West, Purdy Cutoff Road, and Highway 106.


&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340

$$

CC
649 
WGUS46 KSEW 131704
FLWSEW

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Seattle WA
904 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Washington...

  Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda affecting Thurston County.

.Although the heaviest rainfall has ended, the Skookumchuck River 
near Bucoda is expected to continue to rise, likely cresting around 
moderate flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this afternoon at 500 PM PST.

&&


WAC067-140100-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210114T0925Z/
/BCDW1.2.ER.210113T0947Z.210114T0000Z.210114T1227Z.NO/
904 AM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda.
* Until late tonight.
* At 7:45 AM PST Wednesday the stage was 212.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 211.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:45 AM PST Wednesday was 212.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 213.1 feet 
  late this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late 
  tonight.
* Impact...At 213.0 feet, the Skookumchuck River in Thurston County 
  will flood several residential and business areas around Bucoda. 
  Flood waters will cover many roads


&&

LAT...LON 4677 12251 4676 12274 4672 12286 4681 12293
      4688 12278 4692 12260

$$

CK
673 
WGUS86 KSEW 132223
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
223 PM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skokomish River At Potlatch affecting Mason County.

  Stillaguamish River At Arlington affecting Snohomish County.

  Newaukum River Near Chehalis affecting Lewis County.

  Cowlitz River At Randle affecting Lewis County.

  Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda affecting Thurston County.

  Chehalis River At Porter affecting Grays Harbor County.

  Chehalis River Above Grand Mound affecting Grays Harbor and 
  Thurston Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this evening at 730 PM PST.

&&


WAC045-140630-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-210114T1225Z/
/SRPW1.2.ER.210112T0500Z.210113T1315Z.210115T1049Z.NR/
223 PM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Skokomish River At Potlatch.
* Until late tonight.
* At 2:00 PM PST Wednesday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast. 
  This approaches the flood of record.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 2:00 PM PST Wednesday was 17.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  Friday morning and continue falling to 16.3 feet late Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 17.5 feet, the Skokomish River will cause moderate 
  flooding, with deep and quick flood waters inundating some 
  residential areas, many roads, and much of the farm land in the 
  Skokomish Valley. Inundated roads include the Skokomish Valley 
  road, Bourgault Road West, Purdy Cutoff Road, and Highway 106.


&&

LAT...LON 4744 12326 4733 12321 4736 12317 4733 12308
      4721 12321 4738 12340

$$

WAC061-140630-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-210114T0745Z/
/ARLW1.N.ER.210113T1316Z.210113T1540Z.210113T1842Z.NO/
223 PM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Stillaguamish River At Arlington.
* Until this evening.
* At 2:10 PM PST Wednesday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 3.7 feet late Saturday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4816 12211 4817 12223 4816 12237 4826 12240
      4823 12224 4824 12214

$$

WAC041-140330-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-210114T0316Z/
/NEWW1.1.ER.210113T1045Z.210113T1830Z.210113T2314Z.NO/
223 PM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Newaukum River Near Chehalis.
* Until this evening.
* At 1:45 PM PST Wednesday the stage was 203.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 202.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 1:45 PM PST Wednesday was 203.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this afternoon and continue falling to 196.5 feet late Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 202.5 feet, flood waters will inundate many roads and 
  residential and commercial areas along the Newaukum River and its 
  forks.  Flooding in some areas may be deep and hazardous 
  especially near rivers. Impacted roadways and surrounding areas 
  include Jackson Hwy. and Tune...Rush...Sommerville...Griel...
  Hamilton...Tauscher...Guerrier...Kirkland...Macomber...Rice...
  Senn...Lucas Creek...Middle Fork and North Fork Roads.  A stage of 
  10.5 on the Newaukum roughly corresponds to Phase 2 flood in the 
  Lewis County flood system.


&&

LAT...LON 4657 12248 4652 12289 4662 12305 4675 12295
      4668 12286 4676 12264

$$

WAC041-140630-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-210115T0127Z/
/RAWW1.2.ER.210113T1633Z.210114T0000Z.210114T1046Z.NO/
223 PM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cowlitz River At Randle.
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 2:15 PM PST Wednesday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 2:15 PM PST Wednesday was 19.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.1 feet 
  late this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, the Cowlitz River will cause flooding from 
  the vicinity of Randle downstream through Riffe Lake...inundating 
  many roads including US Highway 12 and much of the farm lands.


&&

LAT...LON 4645 12180 4645 12194 4640 12219 4654 12220
      4659 12198 4661 12183

$$

WAC067-140630-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210114T0925Z/
/BCDW1.2.ER.210113T0947Z.210113T2145Z.210114T1227Z.NO/
223 PM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda.
* Until late tonight.
* At 1:45 PM PST Wednesday the stage was 213.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 211.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 1:45 PM PST Wednesday was 213.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tonight and continue falling to 206.5 feet late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 213.0 feet, the Skookumchuck River in Thurston County 
  will flood several residential and business areas around Bucoda. 
  Flood waters will cover many roads


&&

LAT...LON 4677 12251 4676 12274 4672 12286 4681 12293
      4688 12278 4692 12260

$$

WAC027-140630-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-210116T1452Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.210113T1127Z.210115T0000Z.210116T1444Z.NO/
223 PM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chehalis River At Porter.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 1:45 PM PST Wednesday the stage was 48.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 1:45 PM PST Wednesday was 48.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 49.6 feet 
  tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet, feet...the Chehalis River in Grays Harbor 
  will flood numerous farms and roads including SR 12. High tidal 
  levels at Aberdeen will worsen flooding along the lower reaches.


&&

LAT...LON 4682 12340 4689 12347 4689 12362 4706 12360
      4707 12333 4693 12318

$$

WAC027-067-140630-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-210115T0701Z/
/CGMW1.1.ER.210113T1025Z.210114T1200Z.210115T0638Z.NO/
223 PM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chehalis River Above Grand Mound.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 2:00 PM PST Wednesday the stage was 142.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 141.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 2:00 PM PST Wednesday was 142.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 142.3 feet 
  late tonight. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow 
  evening.
* Impact...At 142.5 feet, the Chehalis River in Thurston County will 
  flood several roads in Independence Valley with swiftly moving 
  water including SR-12 and James, Independence, Moon and Anderson 
  Roads. Flood waters will cut off access to and from Chehalis 
  Reservation and inundate nearby farm lands.  Some residential 
  structures may be threatened.


&&

LAT...LON 4672 12305 4677 12315 4682 12340 4693 12318
      4690 12304 4681 12289

$$

CK
216 
WGUS86 KSEW 140014
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
414 PM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  White River At R Street Bridge affecting King and Pierce Counties.

  Newaukum River Near Chehalis affecting Lewis County.

  Cowlitz River At Randle affecting Lewis County.

  Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda affecting Thurston County.

  Chehalis River At Porter affecting Grays Harbor County.

  Chehalis River Above Grand Mound affecting Grays Harbor and 
  Thurston Counties.

.Mostly dry conditions through the weekend, with a chance for 
showers early Friday and Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this evening at 730 PM PST.

&&


WAC033-053-140815-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-210114T1850Z/
/WRAW1.1.ER.210113T2037Z.210114T0000Z.210114T1018Z.UU/
414 PM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the White River At R Street Bridge.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 12:45 PM PST Wednesday the flow was 6510.0 cfs.
* Flood flow is 6500.0 cfs.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river flow in the 24 hours ending at 
  12:45 PM PST Wednesday was 6510.0 cfs.
* Forecast...The river is cresting now around 6500 cfs and will 
  continue to fluctuate near this level until Thursday night before 
  then beginning to fall.
* Impact...At 6500.0 cfs, River flooding is possible in the City of 
  Pacific near Government Canal and Butte Avenue and is likely to 
  occur near low bank areas around and downstream of the Stewart 
  Streat Bridge in the city of Sumner.


&&

LAT...LON 4721 12214 4724 12219 4719 12223 4724 12230
      4732 12226 4732 12214

$$

WAC041-140330-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-210114T0316Z/
/NEWW1.1.ER.210113T1045Z.210113T1830Z.210113T2314Z.NO/
414 PM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Newaukum River Near Chehalis.
* Until this evening.
* At 1:45 PM PST Wednesday the stage was 203.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 202.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 1:45 PM PST Wednesday was 203.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this afternoon and continue falling to 196.5 feet late Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 202.5 feet, flood waters will inundate many roads and 
  residential and commercial areas along the Newaukum River and its 
  forks.  Flooding in some areas may be deep and hazardous 
  especially near rivers. Impacted roadways and surrounding areas 
  include Jackson Hwy. and Tune...Rush...Sommerville...Griel...
  Hamilton...Tauscher...Guerrier...Kirkland...Macomber...Rice...
  Senn...Lucas Creek...Middle Fork and North Fork Roads.  A stage of 
  10.5 on the Newaukum roughly corresponds to Phase 2 flood in the 
  Lewis County flood system.


&&

LAT...LON 4657 12248 4652 12289 4662 12305 4675 12295
      4668 12286 4676 12264

$$

WAC041-140815-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-210115T0127Z/
/RAWW1.1.ER.210113T1633Z.210114T0000Z.210114T1011Z.NO/
414 PM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cowlitz River At Randle.
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 2:45 PM PST Wednesday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 2:45 PM PST Wednesday was 19.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is cresting now around 19.3 ft. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage just after midnight tonight and 
  continue falling to 8.3 feet late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, the Cowlitz River will cause minor flooding 
  from the vicinity of Randle downstream through Riffe Lake...
  covering nearby farm lands and several roads.


&&

LAT...LON 4645 12180 4645 12194 4640 12219 4654 12220
      4659 12198 4661 12183

$$

WAC067-140815-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210114T0925Z/
/BCDW1.2.ER.210113T0947Z.210113T2145Z.210114T1227Z.NO/
414 PM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda.
* Until late tonight.
* At 1:45 PM PST Wednesday the stage was 213.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 211.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 1:45 PM PST Wednesday was 213.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest within the next few hours around 
  213.2 ft. The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tonight and continue falling to 206.5 feet late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 213.0 feet, the Skookumchuck River in Thurston County 
  will flood several residential and business areas around Bucoda. 
  Flood waters will cover many roads


&&

LAT...LON 4677 12251 4676 12274 4672 12286 4681 12293
      4688 12278 4692 12260

$$

WAC027-140815-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-210116T1452Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.210113T1127Z.210115T0000Z.210116T1444Z.NO/
414 PM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chehalis River At Porter.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 1:45 PM PST Wednesday the stage was 48.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 1:45 PM PST Wednesday was 48.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 49.6 feet 
  and then fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 49.0 feet, the Chehalis River in Grays Harbor will 
  flood pasture lands and many roads...including SR 12 between 
  Oakville and Rochester. High tidal levels at Aberdeen will worsen 
  flooding along the lower reaches.


&&

LAT...LON 4682 12340 4689 12347 4689 12362 4706 12360
      4707 12333 4693 12318

$$

WAC027-067-140815-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-210115T0701Z/
/CGMW1.1.ER.210113T1025Z.210114T1200Z.210115T0638Z.NO/
414 PM PST Wed Jan 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chehalis River Above Grand Mound.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 2:00 PM PST Wednesday the stage was 142.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 141.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 2:00 PM PST Wednesday was 142.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 142.3 feet 
  late tonight. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow 
  evening.
* Impact...At 141.0 feet, the Chehalis River in Thurston County will 
  flood several roads in Independence Valley including James Road, 
  Independence Road, and Moon road. Flood waters will also cover 
  nearby farm lands.


&&

LAT...LON 4672 12305 4677 12315 4682 12340 4693 12318
      4690 12304 4681 12289

$$

CK
828 
WGUS86 KSEW 140806
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
1206 AM PST Thu Jan 14 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda affecting Thurston County.

.Mostly dry conditions through the weekend, with a chance for 
showers early Friday and Sunday. The river will continue to recede 
below flood stage later this morning, receding through the weekend.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by early this morning at 130 AM 
PST.

&&


WAC067-140930-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210114T0925Z/
/BCDW1.1.ER.210113T0947Z.210113T2145Z.210114T1227Z.NO/
1206 AM PST Thu Jan 14 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda.
* Until early this morning.
* At 10:45 PM PST Wednesday the stage was 212.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 211.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 1:45 PM PST Wednesday was 213.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage later 
  this morning and continue falling to 206.5 feet late Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 211.5 feet, the Skookumchuck River in Thurston County 
  will flood a few roads and low pasture lands near Bucoda.


&&

LAT...LON 4677 12251 4676 12274 4672 12286 4681 12293
      4688 12278 4692 12260

$$

Pullin
841 
WGUS86 KSEW 140832
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
1232 AM PST Thu Jan 14 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda affecting Thurston County.

.Mostly dry conditions through the weekend, with a chance for 
showers early Friday and Sunday. The river will continue to recede 
below flood stage later this morning, receding through the weekend.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this morning at 845 AM PST.

&&


WAC067-141645-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210115T0606Z/
/BCDW1.1.ER.210113T0947Z.210114T0030Z.210114T1213Z.NO/
1232 AM PST Thu Jan 14 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda.
* Until this evening.
* At 11:45 PM PST Wednesday the stage was 212.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 211.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 11:45 PM PST Wednesday was 213.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  this morning and continue falling to 206.1 feet late Saturday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 213.0 feet, the Skookumchuck River in Thurston County 
  will flood several residential and business areas around Bucoda. 
  Flood waters will cover many roads


&&

LAT...LON 4677 12251 4676 12274 4672 12286 4681 12293
      4688 12278 4692 12260

$$

Pullin
821 
WGUS86 KSEW 141629
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
829 AM PST Thu Jan 14 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda affecting Thurston County.

.The river will continue to fall below flood stage through the 
morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by this afternoon at 1200 PM PST.

&&


WAC067-142000-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210114T2000Z/
/BCDW1.N.ER.210113T0947Z.210114T0030Z.210114T1121Z.NO/
829 AM PST Thu Jan 14 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until this afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 6:45 AM PST Thursday the stage was 210.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 211.5 feet.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 206.0 feet early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 211.5 feet, the Skookumchuck River in Thurston County 
  will flood a few roads and low pasture lands near Bucoda.


&&

LAT...LON 4677 12251 4676 12274 4672 12286 4681 12293
      4688 12278 4692 12260

$$

CK
735 
WGUS86 KSEW 141939
FLSSEW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Seattle WA
1139 AM PST Thu Jan 14 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda affecting Thurston County.

.The river has fallen below flood stage and will continue to fall 
today.

WAC067-142045-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210114T1939Z/
/BCDW1.N.ER.700119T1522Z.700119T1523Z.700119T1523Z.NO/
1139 AM PST Thu Jan 14 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Skookumchuck River Near Bucoda.
* At 6:45 AM PST Thursday the stage was 210.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 206.0 feet early 
  Sunday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4677 12251 4676 12274 4672 12286 4681 12293
      4688 12278 4692 12260

$$

CK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 12, 3:57 PM PST, 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 12, 3:57 PM PST, 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Seattle WA
357 PM PST Tue Jan 12 2021

.SYNOPSIS...Wet weather will persist into Wednesday as an
atmospheric river continues to funnel moisture into the Pacific
Northwest, bringing additional periods of moderate to heavy rain
to the region. Strong winds, flooding, an increased risk of landslides,
and mountain snow will also impact the area through midweek. Western
Washington will see a brief break in the wet weather on Thursday,
before additional weaker systems traverse the area late in the
week and into the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...Wet weather will continue
across Western Washington into Wednesday as an atmospheric river
continues to funnel moisture into the region. Radar this afternoon
shows a brief lull in precipitation across the Sound, with the
remaining rain from this morning pushing into the Cascades. The
next round is right on its heels, however, with rain already making
its way across the Olympic Peninsula and Southwest Interior. Snow
levels have increased to 6000-7000 feet, so will continue to see
rain at the passes through this evening. Expect another round of
moderate to heavy rain tonight into Wednesday. Various hazards
associated with this system have been outlined in detail below:

Rain: Another round of moderate to heavy rain is expected to move
across Western Washington tonight into Wednesday morning. Additional
rainfall amounts of half an inch to an inch are expected across
the majority of the lowlands, with locally heavier amounts of 1-2
inches possible. The threat for urban and small stream flooding
will continue into Wednesday. With snow levels starting off high,
area rivers will continue to rise--details are outlined in the
hydro section below. Given saturated soil conditions, expect the
landslide threat to continue through Wednesday.

Mountain Snow: Snow levels have climbed to 6000-7000 ft across
the region today, however are expected to plummet back down to
3000-4000 feet overnight. This will allow for rain to transition
back to snow at the passes overnight. Current snow totals remain
just shy of winter weather advisory criteria, however will need to
continue to monitor this trend on the evening and overnight
shifts. Periods of heaviest snow look to be early through late
Wednesday morning. Those with pass travel planned on Wednesday
should keep an eye on the forecast and WSDOT pass conditions
before heading out.

Strong Winds: Southerly winds will pick up across the region
tonight, becoming blustery at times with gusts generally 30 to 40
mph. Winds will remain strongest near the water, with some spots
along the Pacific coast and Northern Interior seeing gusts to 45
mph at times. Localized tree damage and power outages will be
possible. Winds will peak overnight and gradually ease by late
Wednesday morning.

Coastal Flooding: The combination of high tide, an incoming low
pressure system, and strong winds could result in minor tidal
overflow, mainly for areas along the interior coast early Wednesday
morning. Gusty west winds could bring added waves on top of the
high tides to westerly facing areas along Admiralty Inlet and San
Juan Islands.

Expect precipitation to gradually taper across the region through
the afternoon and evening hours. Western Washington will then see
a break in the wet weather pattern on Thursday as an upper level
ridge traverses the region. Expect this break to be short- lived,
however, as a weak system is slated to move across the region
Thursday night into Friday.

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...Guidance looks to trend
drier for Saturday with upper level ridging nudging its way back
into Pacific Northwest. Another quick shot of precipitation looks
to move across the region with a weak disturbance on Sunday.
Ensembles then hint at ridging remaining the dominant influence
across the region into early next week, with some weak systems
possibly brushing Western Washington in northwesterly flow aloft.
Have maintained a chance of POPs in the forecast for early next
week for now, but will need to see how this trend continues over
the coming days. 14

&&

.AVIATION...A front will push inland tonight and early Wednesday
morning with west to southwest flow aloft. Onshore flow behind the
front will ease Wednesday afternoon and evening as surface high
pressure settles over the area. The air mass will be moist and
stable with widespread low clouds through tonight. Moisture and
low clouds will decrease quickly behind the front Wednesday
morning.

KSEA...Low clouds through tonight. Ceilings should lift and break
up Wednesday morning behind the front. Southerly wind 8-12 knots
will increase to 15-25 knots and become gusty tonight. Schneider

&&

.MARINE...A front will push inland tonight and Wednesday morning.
Small craft advisory strength winds are likely most waters
through Wednesday. Gale force west winds are expected for the
Central Strait of Juan de Fuca and East Entrance later tonight
into Wednesday morning. Seas 16 to 20 feet over the Coastal
Waters and West Entrance Strait of Juan de Fuca will subside later
tonight through Wednesday night.

A second front will cross the area later Thursday and Thursday
night with another round of small craft advisory strength winds
most waters. High pressure will move over the area Friday. A
third, relatively weak front will cross the area around Saturday
night. Schneider

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Rainfall accumulations over the last 36 hours have been
5 to 7 inches on the Olympic Peninsula, 2 to 5 Ines in the
Cascades, and 1 to 3 inches in the lowlands. This afternoon into the
evening will see scattered showers but then heavy rain will resume
this evening with an expected additional 1 to 2.5 inches in the
Olympic Peninsula, 2 to 4 inches in the Cascades, and 0.25 to 0.75
inches in the lowlands. Snow levels are hanging around 6000 feet.

Greater than normal precipitation for the last couple of weeks shows
up in the USGS landslide indexes for soil moisture. The additional
heavy rainfall is resulting in landslides and the elevated landslide
threat will continue into Wednesday until after the rain stops.
Urban and small stream flooding is subsiding slowly this afternoon.
Increasing rainfall this evening could renew that but the heavier
rain looks to be a little more focused in the mountains for this
upcoming round.

Several rivers are under flood warnings, a handful more are forecast
to crest right near flood, with a few looking like they will crest
near moderate flood - particularly the Snoqualmie, Snohomish, and
Cowlitz rivers. The flood watch continues for the possibility of
more river flooding and renewed urban and small stream flooding. The
flood threat will continue into Wednesday. The slower moving lower
Chehalis River could have point above flood stage into Friday. River
forecasts can change frequently so those with interest should keep a
close eye on things and keep checking the river forecast webpage.
JBB

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...Flood Watch through Wednesday evening for Admiralty Inlet Area-
     Bellevue and Vicinity-Bremerton and Vicinity-Cascades of
     Pierce and Lewis Counties-Cascades of Snohomish and King
     Counties-Cascades of Whatcom and Skagit Counties-Central
     Coast-East Puget Sound Lowlands-Eastern Strait of Juan de
     Fuca-Everett and Vicinity-Hood Canal Area-Lower Chehalis
     Valley Area-North Coast-Olympics-San Juan County-Seattle
     and Vicinity-Southwest Interior-Tacoma Area-Western Skagit
     County-Western Strait of Juan De Fuca-Western Whatcom
     County.

     Coastal Flood Advisory from 2 AM to 10 AM PST Wednesday for
     Admiralty Inlet Area-Bremerton and Vicinity-Everett and
     Vicinity-Hood Canal Area-San Juan County-Seattle and
     Vicinity-Southwest Interior-Tacoma Area-Western Skagit
     County-Western Whatcom County.

     Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 PM PST this afternoon for Eastern
     Strait of Juan de Fuca-Western Strait of Juan De Fuca.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM PST Wednesday for Grays Harbor
     Bar.

     Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM PST Thursday for Coastal Waters
     From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal
     Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal
     Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-
     Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10
     Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater
     10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape
     Shoalwater Out 10 Nm-West Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of
     Juan De Fuca.

     Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening for East
     Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

     Gale Warning from 10 PM this evening to noon PST Wednesday for
     Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance
     U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

     Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM PST Wednesday for Admiralty
     Inlet-Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.

     Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM PST Wednesday for Puget Sound
     and Hood Canal.

&&

www.weather.gov/seattle

The office that day

Everything else NWS Seattle, WA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 12, 4:32 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWLewis39 hr
Jan 12, 8:02 PM PSTWind AdvisorySEWSan Juan10 hr
Jan 12, 9:08 PM PSTSmall Craft AdvisorySEW6 days
Jan 12, 11:14 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWGrays Harbor12 hr
Jan 13, 12:19 AM PSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSEWIsland, Jefferson, San Juan, Skagit, Snohomish39 min
Jan 13, 12:27 AM PSTSpecial Marine WarningSEW33 min
Jan 13, 1:09 AM PSTSpecial Weather StatementSEWSnohomish51 min
Jan 13, 1:57 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWLewis18 hr
Jan 13, 1:57 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWLewis17 hr
Jan 13, 4:50 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish9 hr
Jan 13, 4:50 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish12 hr
Jan 13, 5:03 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish19 hr
Jan 13, 6:27 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWKing, Pierce41 hr
Jan 13, 6:27 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish22 hr
Jan 13, 8:32 AM PSTGale WarningSEW3 hr
Jan 13, 8:32 AM PSTSmall Craft AdvisorySEW5 hr
Jan 13, 12:31 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWGrays Harbor12 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Washington, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.