Alert archive / North Carolina / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Raleigh, NC

May 7, 2021Cumberland County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this special weather statement at May 7, 2021, 8:18 AM EDT for Cumberland County, North Carolina. It was in force for 57 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 7, 2021, 8:18 AM EDT (12:18 UTC)
Expired: May 7, 2021, 9:15 AM EDT
In force: 57 min
Issued by: NWS Raleigh, NC

County Cumberland County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 167 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -138 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 954 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -127 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -25 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 7, 7:30 AM EDT, 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 7, 7:30 AM EDT, 48 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, May 7, 4:08 AM EDT, 4 hours 10 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
408 AM EDT Fri May 7 2021

NCZ008>011-025>028-041>043-078-089-080815-
Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Wake-
Johnston-Wilson-Wayne-Sampson-
408 AM EDT Fri May 7 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms will have the potential to efficiently
produce small hail. Some storms may produce hail as big as quarters
and possibly a damaging wind gust.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ038-039-073>077-083>086-088-080815-
Davidson-Randolph-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Anson-Richmond-
Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-
408 AM EDT Fri May 7 2021

...INCREASED FIRE DANGER IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   INCREASED FIRE DANGER.

Scattered thunderstorms will have the potential to efficiently
produce small hail. Some storms may produce hail as big as quarters
and possibly a damaging wind gust.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ007-021>024-040-080815-
Person-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Chatham-
408 AM EDT Fri May 7 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms will have the potential to efficiently
produce small hail. Some storms may produce hail as big as quarters
and possibly a damaging wind gust.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 7, 5:39 AM EDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
539 AM EDT Fri May 7 2021

NCZ040-074>076-084-071045-
Richmond NC-Lee NC-Chatham NC-Montgomery NC-Moore NC-
539 AM EDT Fri May 7 2021

...AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MOORE...
MONTGOMERY...NORTHEASTERN RICHMOND...SOUTHWESTERN LEE AND
SOUTHWESTERN CHATHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 645 AM EDT...

At 538 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking an area of showers and
strong thunderstorms near Pinehurst, or 9 miles west of Southern
Pines, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Half inch hail will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Southern Pines, Troy, Carthage, Pinehurst, Aberdeen, Biscoe,
Whispering Pines, Pinebluff, Mount Gilead and Robbins.

LAT...LON 3527 8008 3543 7992 3552 7962 3551 7956
      3553 7955 3557 7942 3534 7915 3527 7922
      3525 7920 3506 7960 3517 7977 3518 7997
TIME...MOT...LOC 0938Z 231DEG 22KT 3522 7956

JJT

Local storm report, May 7, 6:21 AM EDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before

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Local storm report, May 7, 6:54 AM EDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 7, 6:54 AM EDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 7, 7:34 AM EDT, 44 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 7, 8:18 AM EDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
818 AM EDT Fri May 7 2021

NCZ088-071315-
Cumberland NC-
818 AM EDT Fri May 7 2021

...A PAIR OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN CUMBERLAND
COUNTY UNTIL 915 AM EDT...

At 815 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a pair of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 2 miles south of Hope
Mills to Tolarsville. Movement was east at 20 mph.

Mostly small hail of one half inch or less will accompany these
storms, some of which may cover the ground. Locations impacted
include... Hope Mills, Stedman, Autryville, Vander, Bushy Lake
Natural Area and Cedar Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3486 7893 3489 7893 3492 7896 3495 7903
      3508 7866 3499 7864 3495 7861 3494 7857
      3491 7856 3491 7854 3490 7855 3488 7851
      3487 7851 3486 7850 3485 7851 3485 7883
      3483 7890
TIME...MOT...LOC 1215Z 253DEG 16KT 3491 7891 3475 7888

26

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 7, 4:31 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Montgomery, Moore	59 min
May 7, 5:39 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Montgomery, Moore	66 min
May 7, 6:00 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Harnett, Hoke, Moore	45 min
May 7, 6:54 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Cumberland	66 min
May 7, 7:34 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Hoke	56 min
May 7, 9:04 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Sampson	41 min
May 7, 1:36 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Orange	39 min
May 7, 2:18 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Chatham	42 min
May 7, 3:58 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Wayne	62 min
May 7, 7:13 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Sampson	62 min
May 7, 7:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Sampson	62 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in North Carolina, 2021 Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.