Alert archive / North Carolina / Areal Flood Advisories in 2021

Areal Flood Advisory 47, NWS Raleigh, NC

July 16, 2021Guilford County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this areal flood advisory at Jul 16, 2021, 1:32 PM EDT for Guilford County, North Carolina. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2021, 1:32 PM EDT (17:32 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2021, 3:04 PM EDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
Area
Storm-based polygon

County Guilford County, NC

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 10 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2021-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 172 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2021-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -5 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
172 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-79 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1372 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Jul 16, 12:15 PM EDT, 1 hour 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 12:15 PM EDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 6:47 AM EDT, 6 hours 45 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
647 AM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-171100-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-
Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-
Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-
Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
647 AM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Numerous showers and storms are possible Sunday through Tuesday as
a front stalls out across central NC. Locally heavy rainfall will
lead to the risk of flooding, especially in low lying or poor
drainage areas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 1:44 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatRAHGuilford80 min
Jul 16, 3:14 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHOrange31 min
Jul 16, 4:19 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHFranklin, Nash41 min
Jul 16, 4:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHHarnett46 min
Jul 16, 6:24 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHRandolph66 min
Jul 16, 6:53 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHFranklin67 min

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in North Carolina, 2021Every areal flood advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.