Winter Weather Advisory 25, NWS Pueblo, CO

389 
WWUS45 KPUB 020446
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1046 PM MDT Sat May 1 2021

COZ073-075-080>082-021300-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0025.210503T0000Z-210504T0600Z/
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
1046 PM MDT Sat May 1 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 12 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet, Pikes Peak
  Above 11000 Feet, Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet and Teller
  County and the Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet.

* WHEN...From 6 PM Sunday to midnight MDT Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

962 
WWUS45 KPUB 021001
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
401 AM MDT Sun May 2 2021

COZ080-082-030500-
/O.UPG.KPUB.WW.Y.0025.210503T0000Z-210504T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.W.0008.210503T0600Z-210504T0600Z/
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
401 AM MDT Sun May 2 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT MDT MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 18 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet and Pikes Peak Above 
  11000 Feet Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to midnight MDT Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Patchy 
  blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-066-068-030500-
/O.EXB.KPUB.WW.Y.0025.210503T0600Z-210504T0600Z/
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
401 AM MDT Sun May 2 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT MDT MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 14 
  inches.

* WHERE...Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 
  Feet, Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet, La Garita 
  Mountains Above 10000 Feet and Eastern San Juan Mountains 
  Above 10000 Feet Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to midnight MDT Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ073-075-081-030500-
/O.EXT.KPUB.WW.Y.0025.210503T0600Z-210504T0600Z/
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-
401 AM MDT Sun May 2 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT MDT MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 14 
  inches.

* WHERE...Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak 
  Between 7500 and 11000 Feet, Northern Sangre de Cristo 
  Mountains Above 11000 Feet and Southern Sangre de Cristo 
  Mountains Above 11000 Feet Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to midnight MDT Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

Cohen

104 
WWUS45 KPUB 022112
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
312 PM MDT Sun May 2 2021

COZ080-082-031300-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0008.210503T0600Z-210504T0600Z/
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
312 PM MDT Sun May 2 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO MIDNIGHT MDT MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 
  18 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet and Pikes Peak Above 
  11000 Feet Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to midnight MDT Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Patchy 
  blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-066-068-073-075-081-031300-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0025.210503T0600Z-210504T0600Z/
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-
312 PM MDT Sun May 2 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT MDT MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 14 
  inches.

* WHERE...Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 
  Feet, Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet, La Garita 
  Mountains Above 10000 Feet and Eastern San Juan Mountains 
  Above 10000 Feet Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to midnight MDT Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

270 
WWUS45 KPUB 030443
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1043 PM MDT Sun May 2 2021

COZ080-082-031245-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0008.210503T0600Z-210504T0600Z/
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
1043 PM MDT Sun May 2 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 
  15 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet and Pikes Peak Above 
  11000 Feet Counties.

* WHEN...Until midnight MDT Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-066-068-073-075-081-031245-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0025.210503T0600Z-210504T0600Z/
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-
1043 PM MDT Sun May 2 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 10 
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of central, south central and southeast 
  Colorado.

* WHEN...Until midnight MDT Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

Hodanish

669 
WWUS45 KPUB 031007
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
407 AM MDT Mon May 3 2021

COZ080-082-031815-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-210504T0600Z/
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
407 AM MDT Mon May 3 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 10 
  inches.

* WHERE...Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet and Pikes Peak Above
  11000 Feet.

* WHEN...Until midnight MDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult with slick and snow 
  covered roads. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ061-063-072-074-076-079-031815-
/O.EXA.KPUB.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-210504T0600Z/
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
407 AM MDT Mon May 3 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to 7
  inches...with most of the accumulating snow occuring above 8000
  feet.  

* WHERE...The eastern Sawatch range between 9000 and 11000 feet,
  the lower elevations of the Sangre De Cristo and Wet mountains
  and northern Fremont county.

* WHEN...Until midnight MDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Travel could difficult across the higher areas due to
  slushy roads at times and poor visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-066-068-073-075-081-031815-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-210504T0600Z/
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-
407 AM MDT Mon May 3 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 10 inches.

* WHERE...The western Mosquito and eastern Sawatch Ranges above
  11000 feet, the Eastern San Juan and La Garita mountains above
  10000 feet, the Sangre De Cristo mountains above 11000 feet and
  Pikes Peak and Teller county below 11000 feet. 

* WHEN...Until midnight MDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult at times, especially
  over the mountain passes due to slushy and snow covered roads
  and poor visibility in heavy snow. The hazardous conditions 
  could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

259 
WWUS45 KPUB 031747
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1147 AM MDT Mon May 3 2021

COZ080-082-040200-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-210504T0600Z/
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
1147 AM MDT Mon May 3 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 8 
  inches.

* WHERE...Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet and Pikes Peak Above 
  11000 Feet.

* WHEN...Until midnight MDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult with slick and snow 
  covered roads.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-061-063-066-068-072>076-079-081-040200-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-210504T0600Z/
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-
1147 AM MDT Mon May 3 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to 3 to 6 
  inches... with most of the accumulating snow occuring above 8000
  feet.

* WHERE...the Sawatch Range, Mosquito Range, Sangre de Cristo
  Mountains, Wet Mountains, La Garita Mountains, eastern San Juan
  Mountains, Teller County and northwestern Fremont County.

* WHEN...Until midnight MDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Travel could difficult across the higher areas due to
  slushy roads at times and poor visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

406 
WWUS45 KPUB 040149
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
749 PM MDT Mon May 3 2021

COZ080-082-040300-
/O.CAN.KPUB.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-210504T0600Z/
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
749 PM MDT Mon May 3 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Periods of light snow will continue the rest of the evening with
an inch or two of additional snow possible. 

$$

COZ058-060-061-063-066-068-072>076-079-081-040300-
/O.CAN.KPUB.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-210504T0600Z/
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-
749 PM MDT Mon May 3 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Over the Pikes Peak region and central mountains, snow showers
will be possible the rest of this evening, with an inch or two of
snow still possible. Over the southwest mountains, local areas of
1 to 3 inches of snow could still be possible.

$$

Hodanish

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1122 AM MDT Sat May 1 2021

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 455 AM MDT Sat May 1 2021

Today and tonight...

Broad ridging, embedded within a channel of enhanced midlevel flow,
extends eastward from the northern Great Basin to the northern
Rockies. Water vapor imagery indicates a shortwave trough farther
west, presently emerging over northern California from the eastern
Pacific. The forecast area is currently positioned beneath a
weakness in the midlevel flow -- between the broad ridging, and a
midlevel cyclone that will spread east-northeastward across Texas
through tonight. However, through the day today, midlevel heights
are expected to gradually fall over central and southern Colorado,
in response to the approach of the aforementioned shortwave trough.
This is expected to result in a gradual increase in midlevel
westerlies later today into tonight.

In response to these developments, downslope trajectories will favor
enhanced adiabatic warming within the boundary layer, along with
pronounced lee troughing over the Colorado plains. This should
foster even warmer high temperatures today compared to yesterday,
with highs today expected to reach the middle 80s to the lower 90
over the plains, the 70s to lower 80s over the mountain valleys, and
the 50s and 60s over the mountains. These temperatures could
approach record values in some locations over the plains.

Meanwhile, a tightened low-level pressure gradient, facilitated by
the aforementioned lee troughing, should foster enhanced low-level
southerly flow across the far eastern plains, with surface wind
gusts around 25-35 mph this afternoon. This area will remain well to
the west of the core of a broader plume of moisture return, with
diurnal mixing/boundary-layer drying supporting minimum relative
humidity of 10-15 percent. As a result critical fire-weather
conditions remain likely across Kiowa, Prowers, and Baca Counties
this afternoon into the early evening. Later this evening into
tonight, decreasing winds and modest humidity recovery will decrease
the overall fire-weather risk.

An increase in mid/high-level moisture and related cloud coverage is
anticipated through the day, particularly over the mountains, in
advance of the shortwave trough. The phasing of ascent associated
with the midlevel height falls, and diurnally enhanced orographic
circulations over the mountains, may support the development of
isolated high-based convection this afternoon -- especially over the
central Colorado mountains. This activity may be accompanied by
occasional lightning, locally gusty winds given strong evaporative
cooling in downdrafts within deep/dry sub-cloud layers, and little
if any precipitation. This activity may approach the Interstate-25
corridor this evening while weakening. Any high-based convective
activity should dissipate after sunset, while encountering
increasing static stability over the plains. With additional
increases in cloud coverage tonight, low temperatures are expected
to be in the lower/middle 50s over the plains, the middle 30s to the
lower 40s over mountain valleys, and the 30s over the mountains.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 455 AM MDT Sat May 1 2021

Long Term Key Messages...

1) Fire Weather Concerns Sunday afternoon across the San Luis Valley.
2) Severe Weather Threat Sunday afternoon/evening southeast Plains.
3) Potential for Heavy Rainfall Sunday afternoon/evening southeast
   Plains and Sunday evening/night southeast Mountains.
4) Potential for late season Heavy Snowfall central and eastern
   mountains Sunday night through Monday night.

There continues to be good agreement through the early portion of
the long term period, with short wave energy translating across the
northern Rockies Saturday night as secondary energy digs across the
Great Basin. Passing northern Rockies wave sends a cold front across
eastern Colorado through the day Sunday, as the digging trough
slowly translates east across the central and southern Rockies and
into the High Plains through Monday night. These passing system's
will bring multiple concerns to the forecast area through Monday
night.

Increasing west to southwest flow aloft ahead of the trough digging
across the Great Basin will allow for breezy conditions to develop
across the higher terrain and the San Luis Valley, where dry
conditions and expected low humidity levels will lead to the
potential for critical fire weather conditions to develop Sunday.
With that said, we have issued a fire weather watch for the San Luis
Valley Sunday afternoon through the early evening.

As for the severe weather potential...the expected cold front moves
south across the plains into the Palmer Divide Sunday afternoon,
with latest models continuing to indicate a good setup for severe
thunderstorms, as low level moisture and dew pts in the 40s to
lower 50s move into the region along and behind the front,
supporting MLCAPE around 1000 j/kg by midday Sunday. This, along
with steep lapse rates, and deep layer shear of over 40kts, will
lead to strong to severe storms possibly developing across the
Palmer Dvd Sunday afternoon, with storms sliding south across the
plains Sunday night, as the front continues to push south and west
into New Mexico. Storm threats would include damaging wind gusts
of over 60 mph, large hail in excess of 1 inch in diameter, as
well as the potential for a few tornadoes, especially along and
south of the Palmer Dvd, as latest models continue to indicate an
area of enhanced helicity values along the Palmer. There will also
be threat of locally heavy rainfall Sunday afternoon and evening,
as storms move into richer moisture across the far southeast
plains and western Kansas. The latest SPC Day 2 Outlook has a
marginal risk across northern portions of the southeast plains,
including portions of the Kiowa and Prowers Counties. However,
given the details mentioned above, would not be surprised to see
the severe weather threat expanded further south and west across
most of the southeast plains in further updates.

After the frontal passage, deep, moist upslope flow is forecast to
develop across eastern Colorado Sunday night and Monday, and with
broad uvv and moisture expected with the passing Great Basin trough,
a period of enhanced rainfall and higher elevation snowfall is
expected into Monday night. Will qpf will continue to fluctuate,
models continue to indicate values of an inch or possible across the
eastern mountains and portions of the plains. With snow levels
initially at or above 10000 feet Sunday, there will be the potential
for heavy rain across the southeast mountains late Sunday afternoon
and evening, leading to the potential for flash flooding across the
most recent burn scars of Spring, Junkins, Hayden and Decker Fires.
Snow levels are expected to gradually lower to between 7000-8000
feet Monday, leading to the locally heavy snowfall across the
central and eastern mountains. Current grids are indicating snowfall
of 3 to 6 inches possible below 10000 feet 6 to 12 inches above
10000 feet. Later shifts may need to issue winter weather
highlights in the late Sunday night through Monday night timeframe.

As for temperatures, Sunday still looks warm ahead of the front,
with highs in the 70s and 80s across the plains. Much cooler weather
is then expected on Monday, with highs in the 40s and 50s across the
lower elevations, and 20s and 30s across the higher terrain. May
also need freeze highlights across higher portions of the plains
Monday night, with lows in upper 20s and lower 30s possible
by Tuesday morning.

Tuesday-Wednesday...More short wave energy is progged to move across
the Rockies, bringing chances of showers and a few thunderstorms,
especially over and near the higher terrain, with temperatures
warming back to near seasonal levels.

Thursday-Saturday....Warmer and drier weather remains on tap into
early next weekend, as models indicate upper level ridging building
across the region once again.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1119 AM MDT Sat May 1 2021

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours at all three terminals
with increasing mid and high level clouds expected this afternoon.
Areas over the San Luis Valley including KALS could see a few
gusts this afternoon to 25 kts. Isolated thunderstorms are
possible over the Mountains, but do not look to impact any of the
terminals at this time. Strong thunderstorms may be possible on
Sunday at KCOS, and strong winds with a cold front may be
possible as well at both KCOS and KPUB. Mozley

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for COZ234-236-237.

Fire Weather Watch from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening
for COZ224.

&&

SHORT TERM...COHEN
LONG TERM...MW
AVIATION...MOZLEY

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1127 AM MDT Sat May 1 2021

COZ058>089-093>099-021730-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1127 AM MDT Sat May 1 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Critical fire weather conditions are expected across the far
eastern plains this afternoon into the early evening due to low
humidity values and gusty winds.

Isolated thunderstorms with locally strong wind gusts may develop
over the central and southern Colorado Mountains this afternoon. A
couple of storms may move off the Eastern Mountains and into the
adjacent Plains before dissipating this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Critical fire weather conditions will be possible on Sunday
afternoon and early evening over the San Luis Valley due to low
humidity values and gusty winds.

There will be the potential for thunderstorms to occur Sunday
afternoon and evening. Some of these storms could become strong to
severe over the plains. Large hail and damaging wind gusts may
accompany the strongest storms, especially for locations north of
a line from Colorado Springs to Lamar.

From Sunday night through Tuesday, heavy snow could affect the
mountains, especially the higher elevations of the eastern
mountains, where significant snow accumulations could occur.

Heavy precipitation could lead to localized flooding over the burn
scars early next week, especially on Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters will not be needed today or tonight.

88/88