Alert archive / Colorado / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 98, NWS Pueblo, CO

July 31, 2021Custer County, Pueblo County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this flash flood warning at Jul 31, 2021, 4:50 PM MDT for Custer County, Pueblo County, Colorado. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 31, 2021, 4:50 PM MDT (22:50 UTC)
Expired
Jul 31, 2021, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

Counties Custer County, CO, Pueblo County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 253 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-07-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 44 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-07-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -71 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
44 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-277 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1127 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-71 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-21 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

012 
WGUS55 KPUB 312250
FFWPUB
COC027-101-010200-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FF.W.0098.210731T2250Z-210801T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
450 PM MDT Sat Jul 31 2021

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  The Junkins Burn Scar in...
  East Central Custer County in southeastern Colorado...
  West Central Pueblo County in southeastern Colorado...

* Until 800 PM MDT.

* At 450 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain over the Junkins Burn Scar. Between 1 and 2 inches of 
  rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.25 to 0.5 inches 
  in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are 
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the warning area may cause mud slides near 
steep terrain. The mud slide can consist of rock, mud, vegetation 
and other loose materials.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding in and around the Junkins
           Burn Scar.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
           the Junkins Burn Scar.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Junkins Burn Scar and Beulah

This includes the following high risk locations...
County Road 165 near Junkins Burn Scar, Forest Road 387 Bridge at 
South Hardscrabble Creek, Northcreek Road county line to Red 
Mountain Camp and Northcreek Road from Red Mountain Camp to Beulah.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall may cause 
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks...streams...and 
ditches in the Junkins Burn Scar. Severe debris flows can also be 
anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed away in 
places. If you encounter flood waters...climb to safety.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3816 10526 3819 10505 3820 10502 3811 10499
      3810 10505 3807 10525

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL...0.25-0.5 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

Hodanish
2 follow-up statements
321 
WGUS75 KPUB 010052
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
652 PM MDT Sat Jul 31 2021

COC027-101-010200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0098.000000T0000Z-210801T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Custer CO-Pueblo CO-
652 PM MDT Sat Jul 31 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE JUNKINS BURN SCAR REMAINS IN EFFECT 
UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR EAST CENTRAL CUSTER AND WEST CENTRAL 
PUEBLO COUNTIES...

At 652 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain over the Junkins Burn Scar. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain have 
fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.25 to 0.5 inches in 1 hour. 
Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the 
warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the warning area will cause mud slides near 
steep terrain. The mud slide can consist of rock, mud, vegetation 
and other loose materials.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding in and around the Junkins Burn Scar.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
         the Junkins Burn Scar.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Junkins Burn Scar.

This includes the following high risk locations...
County Road 165 near Junkins Burn Scar, Forest Road 387 Bridge at 
South Hardscrabble Creek, Northcreek Road county line to Red 
Mountain Camp and Northcreek Road from Red Mountain Camp to Beulah.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall will cause 
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks...streams...and 
ditches in the Junkins Burn Scar. Severe debris flows can also be 
anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed away in 
places. If you encounter flood waters...climb to safety.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3816 10526 3819 10505 3820 10502 3811 10499
      3810 10505 3807 10525

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL...0.25-0.5 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

KS
125 
WGUS75 KPUB 010150
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
750 PM MDT Sat Jul 31 2021

COC027-101-010200-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FF.W.0098.000000T0000Z-210801T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Custer CO-Pueblo CO-
750 PM MDT Sat Jul 31 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE JUNKINS BURN SCAR WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM 
MDT THIS EVENING FOR EAST CENTRAL CUSTER AND WEST CENTRAL PUEBLO 
COUNTIES...

Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no 
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining 
road closures.

A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect until 100 AM MDT for portions 
of central Colorado, east central Colorado, south central Colorado 
and southeast Colorado.

LAT...LON 3816 10526 3819 10505 3820 10502 3811 10499
      3810 10505 3807 10525

$$

KS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 30, 6:13 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBDouglas17 min
Jul 31, 12:57 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCostilla63 min
Jul 31, 1:12 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCuster33 min
Jul 31, 1:39 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBFremont3 hr
Jul 31, 1:56 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBCuster49 min
Jul 31, 1:59 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBChaffee46 min
Jul 31, 2:01 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBChaffee44 min
Jul 31, 2:12 PM MDTRiver Flood WatchPUBPueblo18 hr
Jul 31, 2:12 PM MDTRiver Flood WatchPUBPueblo15 hr
Jul 31, 2:12 PM MDTRiver Flood WatchPUBPueblo13 hr
Jul 31, 2:13 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBConejos32 min
Jul 31, 2:36 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatPUBChaffee3 hr
Jul 31, 2:38 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBCuster118 min
Jul 31, 2:48 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBChaffee3 hr
Jul 31, 3:11 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBConejos34 min
Jul 31, 3:22 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBSaguache38 min
Jul 31, 3:25 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBAlamosa35 min
Jul 31, 3:30 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBRio Grande45 min
Jul 31, 3:39 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBLas Animas36 min
Jul 31, 3:43 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBaca32 min
Jul 31, 3:56 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBHuerfano49 min
Jul 31, 4:05 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBEl Paso25 min
Jul 31, 4:31 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso3 hr
Jul 31, 4:46 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatPUBHuerfano4 hr
Jul 31, 4:59 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBaca31 min
Jul 31, 5:03 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBCuster, Huerfano, Pueblo3 hr
Jul 31, 5:13 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatPUBCostilla, Huerfano4 hr
Jul 31, 5:28 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBaca32 min
Jul 31, 5:29 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBaca46 min
Jul 31, 5:35 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso3 hr
Jul 31, 5:43 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatPUBCostilla, Huerfano3 hr
Jul 31, 5:45 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBaca30 min
Jul 31, 5:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca35 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Colorado, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.