River Flood Warning 30, NWS Portland, OR

420 
WGUS86 KPQR 120647
FLSPQR

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Portland OR
1047 PM PST Thu Nov 11 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...Oregon...

  Grays River near Rosburg affecting Wahkiakum County.

  Wilson River near Tillamook affecting Tillamook County.

For the Nw Oregon / Sw Washington Coast...including Willapa, 
Naselle, Rosburg, Vernonia, Foss, Tillamook, Tillamook, Beaver, 
Siletz, Tidewater, Mapleton...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

River forecasts are based on observed and forecast rainfall and 
temperatures, and they include current and planned reservoir 
releases. For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit 
weather.gov/portland.

The next statement will be issued by 5 AM PST Friday.

&&


WAC069-121315-
/O.EXT.KPQR.FL.W.0029.211112T0647Z-211113T1804Z/
/GRRW1.1.ER.211112T0322Z.211112T1800Z.211113T1204Z.UU/
1047 PM PST Thu Nov 11 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Grays River near Rosburg.

* WHEN...From this evening to late Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Above 14.0 feet, expect widespread lowland flooding and 
  numerous flooded roads near Rosburg and Hwy 4. This includes the 
  roadway approaches to the Altoona Bridge over the Grays River.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 PM PST Thursday the stage was 12.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:15 PM PST Thursday was 12.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 14.4
    feet Friday morning. It will then fall below flood stage by
    early Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 4632 12368 4633 12368 4636 12361 4636 12358
      4637 12356 4636 12355 4634 12358 4634 12361
      4631 12366


$$

ORC057-121315-
/O.CON.KPQR.FL.W.0030.211112T0805Z-211113T1043Z/
/TLMO3.1.ER.211112T0805Z.211112T1800Z.211113T0442Z.UU/
1047 PM PST Thu Nov 11 2021

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE 
FRIDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Wilson River near Tillamook.

* WHEN...Until early Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Above 12.0 feet, minor flooding of low lying dairy and 
  pasture land north and east of Tillamook can be expected, 
  particularly during high tides.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM PST Thursday the stage was 10.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    just after midnight tonight to a crest near 13.5 feet around
    10 am Friday. It will then fall below flood stage Friday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 4548 12387 4549 12386 4548 12384 4548 12377
      4549 12371 4547 12370 4546 12375 4546 12384


$$

ab

181 
WGUS86 KPQR 121302
FLSPQR

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Portland OR
502 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Oregon...Washington...

  Wilson River near Tillamook affecting Tillamook County.

  Grays River near Rosburg affecting Wahkiakum County.

  Nehalem River near Foss affecting Tillamook and Clatsop Counties.

For the Nw Oregon / Sw Washington Coast...including Willapa, 
Naselle, Rosburg, Vernonia, Foss, Tillamook, Tillamook, Beaver, 
Siletz, Tidewater, Mapleton...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on observed and forecast rainfall and 
temperatures, and they include current and planned reservoir 
releases. For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit 
weather.gov/portland.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 300 PM PST.

&&


ORC057-122315-
/O.EXT.KPQR.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-211113T1215Z/
/TLMO3.1.ER.211112T0610Z.211112T1800Z.211113T0615Z.UU/
502 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Wilson River near Tillamook.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...Above 14 feet, expect widespread lowland and dairy land 
  flooding.  Sloughs north of the city, mainly Dougherty, begin to 
  overflow. Minor flooding begins in the business district north of 
  Tillamook and along Hwy 101.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:30 AM PST Friday the stage was 14.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 14.8
    feet late this morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    late this evening.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4548 12387 4549 12386 4548 12384 4548 12377
      4549 12371 4547 12370 4546 12375 4546 12384


$$

WAC069-122315-
/O.EXT.KPQR.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-211113T1919Z/
/GRRW1.1.ER.211112T0322Z.211112T1800Z.211113T1319Z.UU/
502 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS MORNING THROUGH 
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grays River near Rosburg.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...Above 14.0 feet, expect widespread lowland flooding and 
  numerous flooded roads near Rosburg and Hwy 4. This includes the 
  roadway approaches to the Altoona Bridge over the Grays River.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:15 AM PST Friday the stage was 14.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 2:15 AM PST Friday was 14.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.5
    feet late this morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4632 12368 4633 12368 4636 12361 4636 12358
      4637 12356 4636 12355 4634 12358 4634 12361
      4631 12366


$$

ORC007-057-122315-
/O.EXT.KPQR.FL.W.0031.211112T2143Z-211113T1238Z/
/FSSO3.1.ER.211112T2143Z.211113T0000Z.211113T0638Z.NO/
502 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Nehalem River near Foss.

* WHEN...From this afternoon to late tonight.

* IMPACTS...Above 15.0 feet, expect minor flooding of low lying farm 
  land and structures.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:15 AM PST Friday the stage was 12.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this afternoon to a crest of 15.5 feet late this afternoon.
    It will then fall below flood stage late this evening.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4570 12390 4572 12390 4574 12388 4574 12386
      4573 12385 4571 12385 4570 12380 4571 12377
      4571 12376 4570 12375 4569 12377 4569 12383


$$

26

294 
WGUS86 KPQR 121903
FLSPQR

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Portland OR
1103 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oregon...

  Nehalem River near Foss affecting Tillamook and Clatsop Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Cowlitz River at Kelso affecting Cowlitz County.

  Grays River near Rosburg affecting Wahkiakum County.

  Siletz River at Siletz affecting Lincoln County.

  Trask River near Tillamook affecting Tillamook County.

  Wilson River near Tillamook affecting Tillamook County.

For the Nw Oregon / Sw Washington Coast...including Willapa, 
Naselle, Rosburg, Vernonia, Foss, Tillamook, Tillamook, Beaver, 
Siletz, Tidewater, Mapleton...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by 500 PM PST.

&&


ORC007-057-122015-
/O.CAN.KPQR.FL.W.0031.211112T2143Z-211112T1903Z/
/FSSO3.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1103 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS 
MORNING...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Nehalem River near Foss.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:15 AM PST Friday the stage was 13.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to crest just below flood
    stage this afternoon and continue to fall through the
    weekend.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4570 12390 4572 12390 4574 12388 4574 12386
      4573 12385 4571 12385 4570 12380 4571 12377
      4571 12376 4570 12375 4569 12377 4569 12383


$$

ORC041-130115-
/O.EXT.KPQR.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-211113T1712Z/
/SILO3.1.ER.211112T1626Z.211113T0000Z.211113T1112Z.NO/
1103 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Siletz River at Siletz.

* WHEN...Until late tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...Above 18.0 feet, expect minor flooding of a small 
  housing development near mile post 8 down stream from Mack 
  Landing. Widespread lowland and pasture land flooding also occurs 
  at this level. Flooding may be exacerbated during high tide.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 AM PST Friday the stage was 16.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:30 AM PST Friday was 16.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.9
    feet late this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4488 12399 4489 12398 4489 12394 4488 12391
      4485 12393 4481 12393 4480 12389 4475 12388
      4475 12379 4473 12379 4471 12388 4471 12394
      4473 12395 4479 12395 4480 12402 4486 12400


$$

ORC057-130115-
/O.EXT.KPQR.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-211113T0819Z/
/TRAO3.1.ER.211112T1336Z.211112T1615Z.211113T0219Z.NO/
1103 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Trask River near Tillamook.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...Above 16.5 feet, expect minor flooding along the lower 
  Trask River. Dairy farms, buildings, and a few residences adjacent 
  to the Trask in the vicinity of Hwy 101 may be threatened.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM PST Friday the stage was 16.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:00 AM PST Friday was 16.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this evening and continue falling through the weekend.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4546 12388 4547 12387 4544 12382 4545 12378
      4545 12374 4546 12369 4545 12369 4543 12372
      4543 12378 4542 12381 4543 12384


$$

ORC057-130115-
/O.EXT.KPQR.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-211113T1229Z/
/TLMO3.1.ER.211112T0610Z.211112T1645Z.211113T0629Z.UU/
1103 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Wilson River near Tillamook.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...Above 14.0 feet, widespread lowland and dairy land 
  flooding begins. Sloughs north of the city, mainly Dougherty, 
  begin to overflow. Minor flooding begins in the business district 
  north of Tillamook and along Hwy 101, particularly during high 
  tide.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 AM PST Friday the stage was 14.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:30 AM PST Friday was 14.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this evening and continue falling through the weekend.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4548 12387 4549 12386 4548 12384 4548 12377
      4549 12371 4547 12370 4546 12375 4546 12384


$$

WAC015-130115-
/O.EXT.KPQR.FL.W.0034.211112T1905Z-211113T1906Z/
/KELW1.1.ER.211112T1905Z.211113T0600Z.211113T1306Z.NO/
1103 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Cowlitz River at Kelso.

* WHEN...Until late tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...Above 21.5 feet, flooding of several low lying and 
  secondary roads begins, including the Cowlitz Gardens 
  neighborhood, along with flooding of pasture and lowland upstream 
  of Kelso.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:27 AM PST Friday the stage was 21.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    before noon to a crest of 22.1 feet late this evening. It
    will then fall below flood stage early Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 21.5 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4621 12292 4621 12290 4620 12290 4619 12289
      4618 12289 4613 12290 4611 12288 4610 12290
      4613 12294


$$

WAC069-130115-
/O.CON.KPQR.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-211113T1919Z/
/GRRW1.1.ER.211112T0322Z.211112T1345Z.211113T1319Z.UU/
1103 AM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH 
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Grays River near Rosburg.

* WHEN...Until late tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...Above 14.0 feet, expect widespread lowland flooding and 
  numerous flooded roads near Rosburg and Hwy 4. This includes the 
  roadway approaches to the Altoona Bridge over the Grays River.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 AM PST Friday the stage was 15.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:15 AM PST Friday was 15.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Saturday morning and continue falling through the
    weekend.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4632 12368 4633 12368 4636 12361 4636 12358
      4637 12356 4636 12355 4634 12358 4634 12361
      4631 12366


$$

Kriederman

485 
WGUS86 KPQR 130017
FLSPQR

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Portland OR
417 PM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...Oregon...

  Cowlitz River at Kelso affecting Cowlitz County.

  Siletz River at Siletz affecting Lincoln County.

  Trask River near Tillamook affecting Tillamook County.

  Wilson River near Tillamook affecting Tillamook County.

  Grays River near Rosburg affecting Wahkiakum County.



For the Southwest Washington...including Kelso...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or through 
flooded areas.

River forecasts are based on observed and forecast rainfall and 
temperatures, and they include current and planned reservoir 
releases. For the latest river stages and forecasts, visit 
weather.gov/portland.

The next statement will be issued this evening by 1030 PM PST.

&&


WAC015-130645-
/O.EXT.KPQR.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-211113T1428Z/
/KELW1.1.ER.211112T2027Z.211113T0100Z.211113T0828Z.NO/
417 PM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Cowlitz River at Kelso.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...Above 21.5 feet, flooding of several low lying and 
  secondary roads begins, including the Cowlitz Gardens 
  neighborhood, along with flooding of pasture and lowland upstream 
  of Kelso.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:42 PM PST Friday the stage was 21.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 21.7
    feet late this evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    just after midnight tonight.
  - Flood stage is 21.5 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 4621 12292 4621 12290 4620 12290 4619 12289
      4618 12289 4613 12290 4611 12288 4610 12290
      4613 12294


$$

ORC041-130645-
/O.EXT.KPQR.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-211113T1503Z/
/SILO3.1.ER.211112T1626Z.211112T2245Z.211113T0903Z.NO/
417 PM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Siletz River at Siletz.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...Above 18.0 feet, expect minor flooding of a small 
  housing development near mile post 8 down stream from Mack 
  Landing. Widespread lowland and pasture land flooding also occurs 
  at this level. Flooding may be exacerbated during high tide.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:30 PM PST Friday the stage was 18.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river crested at 18.1 feet and is expected to
    fall below flood stage just after midnight tonight and
    continue falling through the weekend.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 4488 12399 4489 12398 4489 12394 4488 12391
      4485 12393 4481 12393 4480 12389 4475 12388
      4475 12379 4473 12379 4471 12388 4471 12394
      4473 12395 4479 12395 4480 12402 4486 12400


$$

ORC057-130515-
/O.EXT.KPQR.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-211113T0505Z/
/TRAO3.1.ER.211112T1336Z.211112T1945Z.211112T2305Z.NO/
417 PM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Trask River near Tillamook.

* WHEN...Until late this evening.

* IMPACTS...Above 16.5 feet, expect minor flooding along the lower 
  Trask River. Dairy farms, buildings, and a few residences adjacent 
  to the Trask in the vicinity of Hwy 101 may be threatened.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:00 PM PST Friday the stage was 16.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 3:00 PM PST Friday was 16.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    around 5 pm and continue to drop through the weekend.
  - Flood stage is 16.5 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 4546 12388 4547 12387 4544 12382 4545 12378
      4545 12374 4546 12369 4545 12369 4543 12372
      4543 12378 4542 12381 4543 12384


$$

ORC057-130645-
/O.EXT.KPQR.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-211113T1410Z/
/TLMO3.1.ER.211112T0610Z.211112T1645Z.211113T0810Z.UU/
417 PM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Wilson River near Tillamook.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...Above 14.0 feet, widespread lowland and dairy land 
  flooding begins. Sloughs north of the city, mainly Dougherty, 
  begin to overflow. Minor flooding begins in the business district 
  north of Tillamook and along Hwy 101, particularly during high 
  tide.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:30 PM PST Friday the stage was 14.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river crested at 14.8 feet and is expected to
    fall below flood stage just after midnight tonight and
    continue falling through the weekend.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 4548 12387 4549 12386 4548 12384 4548 12377
      4549 12371 4547 12370 4546 12375 4546 12384


$$

WAC069-130645-
/O.CON.KPQR.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-211113T1919Z/
/GRRW1.1.ER.211112T0322Z.211112T1345Z.211113T1319Z.UU/
417 PM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH 
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Grays River near Rosburg.

* WHEN...Until late tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...Above 14.0 feet, expect widespread lowland flooding and 
  numerous flooded roads near Rosburg and Hwy 4. This includes the 
  roadway approaches to the Altoona Bridge over the Grays River.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:15 PM PST Friday the stage was 15.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 2:15 PM PST Friday was 15.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tonight and continue falling through the weekend.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 4632 12368 4633 12368 4636 12361 4636 12358
      4637 12356 4636 12355 4634 12358 4634 12361
      4631 12366


$$

ab

255 
WGUS86 KPQR 130651
FLSPQR

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Portland OR
1051 PM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oregon...

  Siletz River at Siletz affecting Lincoln County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Washington...Oregon...

  Cowlitz River at Kelso affecting Cowlitz County.

  Wilson River near Tillamook affecting Tillamook County.

  Grays River near Rosburg affecting Wahkiakum County.

For the Nw Oregon / Sw Washington Coast...including Rosburg, 
Tillamook, Tillamook, Beaver, Siletz...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/portland.

The next statement will be issued by 500 AM PST Saturday.

&&


ORC041-130800-
/O.CAN.KPQR.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-211113T0651Z/
/SILO3.1.ER.211112T1626Z.211112T2245Z.211113T0903Z.NO/
1051 PM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED THIS EVENING...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Siletz River at Siletz.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 PM PST Friday the stage was 16.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The heavy rain has ended and water levels will
    continue to subside.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4488 12399 4489 12398 4489 12394 4488 12391
      4485 12393 4481 12393 4480 12389 4475 12388
      4475 12379 4473 12379 4471 12388 4471 12394
      4473 12395 4479 12395 4480 12402 4486 12400


$$

WAC015-131315-
/O.CON.KPQR.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-211113T1428Z/
/KELW1.1.ER.211112T2027Z.211113T0100Z.211113T0828Z.NO/
1051 PM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH 
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Cowlitz River at Kelso.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...Above 21.5 feet, flooding of several low lying and 
  secondary roads begins, including the Cowlitz Gardens 
  neighborhood, along with flooding of pasture and lowland upstream 
  of Kelso.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:15 PM PST Friday the stage was 21.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest near 22
    feet tonight. It is expected to fall below flood stage late
    Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 21.5 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4621 12292 4621 12290 4620 12290 4619 12289
      4618 12289 4613 12290 4611 12288 4610 12290
      4613 12294


$$

ORC057-131315-
/O.CON.KPQR.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-211113T1410Z/
/TLMO3.1.ER.211112T0610Z.211112T1645Z.211113T0810Z.UU/
1051 PM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH 
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Wilson River near Tillamook.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...Above 14.0 feet, widespread lowland and dairy land 
  flooding begins. Sloughs north of the city, mainly Dougherty, 
  begin to overflow. Minor flooding begins in the business district 
  north of Tillamook and along Hwy 101, particularly during high 
  tide.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 PM PST Friday the stage was 12.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    just after midnight tonight and continue falling through the
    weekend.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4548 12387 4549 12386 4548 12384 4548 12377
      4549 12371 4547 12370 4546 12375 4546 12384


$$

WAC069-131315-
/O.CON.KPQR.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-211113T1919Z/
/GRRW1.1.ER.211112T0322Z.211112T1345Z.211113T1319Z.UU/
1051 PM PST Fri Nov 12 2021

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH 
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grays River near Rosburg.

* WHEN...Until late tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...Above 14.0 feet, expect widespread lowland flooding and 
  numerous flooded roads near Rosburg and Hwy 4. This includes the 
  roadway approaches to the Altoona Bridge over the Grays River.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 PM PST Friday the stage was 13.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 2:15 PM PST Friday was 15.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tonight and continue falling through the weekend.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4632 12368 4633 12368 4636 12361 4636 12358
      4637 12356 4636 12355 4634 12358 4634 12361
      4631 12366


$$

26

968 
WGUS86 KPQR 130952
FLSPQR

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Portland OR
152 AM PST Sat Nov 13 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Washington...

  Cowlitz River at Kelso affecting Cowlitz County.

  Grays River near Rosburg affecting Wahkiakum County.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oregon...

  Wilson River near Tillamook affecting Tillamook County.

For the Nw Oregon / Sw Washington Coast...including Rosburg, 
Tillamook...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/portland.

The next statement will be issued by 10 AM PST Saturday.

&&


ORC057-131100-
/O.CAN.KPQR.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-211113T0952Z/
/TLMO3.1.ER.211112T0610Z.211112T1645Z.211113T0735Z.UU/
152 AM PST Sat Nov 13 2021

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED EARLY THIS MORNING...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Wilson River near Tillamook.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 12:30 AM PST Saturday the stage was 11.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to continue to fall through
    the weekend.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4548 12387 4549 12386 4548 12384 4548 12377
      4549 12371 4547 12370 4546 12375 4546 12384


$$

WAC015-131830-
/O.EXT.KPQR.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-211114T0203Z/
/KELW1.1.ER.211112T2027Z.211113T0912Z.211113T2003Z.NO/
152 AM PST Sat Nov 13 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Cowlitz River at Kelso.

* WHEN...Through this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Above 21.5 feet, flooding of several low lying and 
  secondary roads begins, including the Cowlitz Gardens 
  neighborhood, along with flooding of pasture and lowland upstream 
  of Kelso.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:12 AM PST Saturday the stage was 21.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this afternoon and continue to fall through the weekend.
  - Flood stage is 21.5 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4621 12292 4621 12290 4620 12290 4619 12289
      4618 12289 4613 12290 4611 12288 4610 12290
      4613 12294


$$

WAC069-131830-
/O.EXT.KPQR.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-211113T2144Z/
/GRRW1.1.ER.211112T0322Z.211112T1345Z.211113T1544Z.UU/
152 AM PST Sat Nov 13 2021

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grays River near Rosburg.

* WHEN...Through this morning.

* IMPACTS...Above 12.0 feet, expect some flooding of roads along and 
  near the Grays River, including roadway approaches to the Altoona 
  Bridge over the Grays, and portions of Covered Bridge Road, 
  Barr-Durrah Road, and Loop Road near Rosburg and Hwy 4.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:15 PM PST Friday the stage was 13.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this morning and continue to fall through the weekend.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4632 12368 4633 12368 4636 12361 4636 12358
      4637 12356 4636 12355 4634 12358 4634 12361
      4631 12366


$$

26

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Portland OR
325 PM PST Thu Nov 11 2021

.SYNOPSIS...An atmospheric river will result in periods of
moderate to heavy rain through Friday, especially for locations to
the north of Salem. High pressure will bring a break from the rain
this weekend, except for southwest Washington zones which will most
likely see precipitation return by Sunday. Then, a cold front will
bring widespread precipitation to the region on Monday and set the
stage for a cool and showery weather pattern heading into Tuesday
and Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Sunday...Water vapor satellite imagery
reveals a broad shortwave trough over the northeast Pacific with an
elongated front and attendant atmospheric river taking aim at far
northwest Oregon and western Washington this afternoon. Doppler radar
and surface observations show most of the rain has shifted across the
northern half of the CWA. Models are in good agreement rain will be
focused primarily across western Washington for much of the night
including the Willapa Hills before shifting southeastward across the
rest of the area late tonight into Friday.

HREF guidance suggests hourly rainfall rates will peak in the
0.25-0.50" across the higher terrain of the north Oregon Coast Range,
south Washington Cascades and Willapa Hills overnight. HREF guidance
also suggests that there is over a 90% chance of 1" of rain in 6
hours across the higher portions of the north Oregon Cascades and
Willapa Hills this evening and later tonight with the odds of 2" of
rain falling in 6 hours at ~30-40%. This should result in rising
rivers overnight and potentially some flooding of low lying areas
across Pacific and Clatsop Counties. Will monitor rainfall trends
before issuing any products. Models are in good agreement rainfall
rates will gradually decrease as the front drops southeastward
across the area on Friday. This should result in the threat of
flooding diminishing as rainfall amounts decrease with time. /Neuman

The cold front will continue to drop south Friday evening, allowing
rain to diminish from northwest to southeast, although hanging into
the central OR Cascades into Saturday morning time frame. Some
partial clearing skies Friday night will allow for the moisture rich
lower boundary layer to easily allow the formation of fog. Have
added areas of fog into the forecast, especially in the lower
valleys.

Upper ridging will stretch along the US west coast Saturday while a
surface high moves inland. This will promote dry weather for the
day. Lower stratus in the morning will give way to increasing high
level clouds from the next incoming atmospheric river system off the
Pacific. Temperatures over most of the forecast area should be
slightly cooler following Friday night's cold front passage, however
areas south of Salem may remain unchanged from Friday's highs due to
warm advection from the south under the ridging.

As for the next AR system, this one has been trending slower and
further north into Washington, so have decreased PoPs for Saturday
afternoon across the whole area, then slowly reintroduced them into
the northern third of our forecast area, mainly north of Salem,
Saturday night and into Sunday. This AR looks to be another weak to
moderate event, but again further north and a quicker mover. Snow
levels will once again rise to above 9000 feet. At this time, a
quarter to three-quarters of an inch of rain is forecast Saturday
night into Sunday afternoon, again, mainly north of Salem with the
highest amounts in the Willapa Hills and the southern WA Cascades.
/Kriederman

&&

.LONG TERM...Sunday night through Thursday...The momentary drier
period of the weekend looks to end by Sunday night/Monday as the
upper level ridge starts to break down and a upper level trough
drops down from western Canada as the typical work week starts.
Models are showing good agreement in the overall pattern as well as
timing. There are still some subtle differences within the models
themselves, but they all show the same general solution. The system
looks to bring precipitation and cool temperatures across the CWA.
While this will bring colder temperatures and lowering snow levels,
the bulk of the moisture will likely be east of the Cascades by the
time the colder -3C to -4C 850mb temperatures arrive. As a result of
the cooler air expect, daytime highs look to be in the mid 40s to
low 50s along the coast and within the Willamette Valley, with highs
in the low 30s to low 40s in the Cascades. In addition snow levels
look to drop from 8000 ft Sunday towards 2500 to 3500 through the
middle of the week.

While we know that people are wondering when/if the valley floor
will see snow, we look for 850 mb temperatures around -7C to -8C
when under onshore flow along with precipitation. On average the
first snowfall for the valley will happen around mid December. /42

&&

.HYDROLOGY...At this time, the Grays River near Rosburg appears
likely to go well above minor flood stage later tonight. However, the
rainfall rates needed for it to reach major flood stage appear
relatively unlikely to occur (less than 30% chance), but are
nonetheless not insignificant. The Wilson River at Tillamook appears
to be the next most likely river to reach minor flood stage tonight.
The Nehalem at Foss is another river to watch. Unless the Willapa
Hills get 1.75-2.50"+ of rain in two 6 hour periods tonight, it
appears the Naselle and Willapa should escape reaching minor flood
stage. Rainfall amounts will also be high across the south
Washington Cascades overnight so will need to monitor the Cowlitz
River in case upstream dam releases are larger than expected.

It appears rainfall rates should diminish enough as the frontal rain
band shifts southeastward across the area on Friday that the threat
of debris flow and flash flooding appears to be diminishing across
the Oregon Cascade burn areas. Will keep the flood watch in effect
for now to make sure everything continues to evolve as expected, but
we may be able to drop our central Coast Range watches and our
Oregon Cascade Flood Watches early. /Neuman

&&

.AVIATION...00Z TAFs: Radar continues to show widespread
stratiform rain this afternoon which is decreasing visibilities
at times in areas of heaviest rain showers. This system remains
convective, especially along the coast, so a slight chance for
thunderstorms persists right along the northern Oregon/south
Washington coastal terminals. Little confidence as to whether
those storms will manifest. Winds are generally S-SW everywhere
aside from the Columbia River Gorge, and are beginning to
intensify this afternoon. Coastal areas will likely gust upwards
of 30 kt, with interior locations closer to 20-25 kt. The
Columbia Gorge into KPDX are experiencing more E-SE winds,
becoming gusty at times.

In general expecting a mix of all levels of CIGs with all IFR,
MVFR and VFR conditions possible. CIGs will be highly reliant on
rain as it moves in (lower decks with heavier rain). In
generally though, trending towards most areas experiencing CIGs
at or below 3000 ft AGL. Some models are suggesting a brief
period of improvement overnight as the warm front moves inland
and a cold front quickly approaches from the eastern Pacific.
However, conditions have yet to improve and with the more
stationary nature of this system, it appears that they will not
improve.

For detailed  regional Pac NW aviation weather information, go
online to: https://weather.gov/zse

KPDX AND APPROACHES...Low MVFR to IFR with minimal improvement
expected. May see higher CIGs overnight as the warm front exits,
but quickly the cold front will approach which will cause those
CIGs to drop once again and precipitation to fall once more. Will
likely see some pooling of water on runways and decreased
visibility due to increased rain rates at times. Winds will
generally remain E-SE through the forecast.  -Muessle

&&

.MARINE...Minimal change in the forecast as it looks to be on
track. The warm front continues to push inland today, and will
shift slightly to the north tonight. This shift will cause winds
to begin to ease from 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt to 15 to
20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt around Friday morning. Seas will
remain around 7 to 9 ft at 9 seconds, increasing to 12 ft by
Friday afternoon. Saturday likely will be fairly settled with
lower winds and seas around 7 to 9 ft. On Sunday though, another
active weather pattern is expected which will cause winds to
increase once again to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 ft.

-Muessle

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...Flood Watch from noon PST today through late Friday night for
     Central Coast Range of Western Oregon-Central Columbia
     River Gorge-Central Oregon Coast-Central Willamette Valley-
     Coast Range of Northwest Oregon-Greater Portland Metro
     Area-Lower Columbia-North Oregon Coast-Northern Oregon
     Cascade Foothills-Northern Oregon Cascades-Upper Hood
     River Valley-Western Columbia River Gorge.

WA...Flood Watch from noon PST today through late Friday night for
     Central Columbia River Gorge-Greater Vancouver Area-I-5
     Corridor in Cowlitz County-South Washington Cascade
     Foothills-South Washington Cascades-South Washington Coast-
     Western Columbia River Gorge-Willapa Hills.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM PST Friday for coastal waters
     from Cape Shoalwater WA to Cascade Head OR out 60 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM PST Friday for coastal waters
     from Cascade Head OR to Florence OR out 60 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM PST this evening for Columbia
     River Bar.

&&

www.weather.gov/portland

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