Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Pittsburgh, PA

July 12, 2021Lawrence County, Pennsylvania

NWS Pittsburgh, PA issued this special weather statement at Jul 12, 2021, 7:01 PM EDT for Lawrence County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 12, 2021, 7:01 PM EDT (23:01 UTC)
Expired
Jul 12, 2021, 7:30 PM EDT
In force
29 min
Issued by
NWS Pittsburgh, PA

County Lawrence County, PA

The radar

The Pittsburgh radar (KPBZ), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 65 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2021-07-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 173 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2021-07-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 26 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
173 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-65 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
637 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
26 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pittsburgh, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 12, 4:41 PM EDT, 2 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 12, 4:41 PM EDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
441 PM EDT Mon Jul 12 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Warm and humid conditions will linger through the week along with
daily shower and thunderstorm chance.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
No major changes were needed for the eve update as warm, moist
advection continues in sw flow aloft. That flow, on the wrn periphery
of a wrn Atlantic/E Coast ridge, will continue to support isold to
sct convection this aftn and eve as weak shrtwv ripples move through
the flow. Better coverage can still be expected from the I 80
corridor and nwd where a warm front is indicated extending frm Great
Lakes low pres. The svr potential rmns limited to some possible isold
wind gusts as only pockets of mid level dry air may cause sufficient
evaporative cooling to initiate a downbursts. Otherwise, very lazy
updrafts are indicated with very warm air in the mid lvls and
minimal deep layer shear. Furthermore, flow is sufficient to move
convection fast enough to offset warm rain processes resulting from
that same mid lvl warmth.

No change in airmass should be expected ovrngt. Warmth and humidity
will continue.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
A closed upper low, currently over Missouri, will begin to fill and
lift towards the Great Lakes tonight and into Tuesday.  In response,
the ridge on the Atlantic Seaboard will strengthen a bit, which will
also edge the frontal boundary further north into Michigan and New
York State. This will push the deeper moisture north of our region.
Enough instability will remain in place for scattered showers and
storms in the afternoon and evening, but with a slightly drier air
mass and continued weakish flow, any severe or flooding threat looks
to be a bit lower than today. High temperatures may creep a degree
or two higher.

For Tuesday night and Wednesday, that Great Lakes shortwave,
followed by another quickly on its heels, will cross the region
through Wednesday.  This will return good shower and thunderstorm
chances to the region.  However, with destabilization appearing
muted and with generally unimpressive shear, the severe weather
threat remains low.  Also, precipitable water values will be a bit
lower as compared to today.  Along with this, storm motion should be
sufficient to keep any heavy rain/flood threat low. The clouds and
rain will help to cool high temperatures to either side of 80
degrees. Quieter weather returns Wednesday night behind the second
shortwave.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Overall, warm and humid conditions will continue into the upcoming
weekend with 500mb heights remaining seasonably high.  Daytime
temperatures may be tempered by periods of clouds/rain.

Thursday may end up being the quietest day of the week.  The mid-
level ridge appears to reach its greatest strength over our region
on that day, and surface high pressure will also be present.  This
quiet period could last into Friday morning.  Thereafter, the next
trough will arrive in the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region, with a
slow-moving surface boundary in the area into the weekend at least.
While strength and timing details differ among the models, it does
appear that decent rain chances will need to remain in the forecast
from Friday night through the weekend, with drier and slightly
cooler weather perhaps arriving by Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Isolated to scattered showers and storms possible this eve, particularly
ports north and west of PIT closer to the edge of ridging over the
region.

.Outlook...
Periodic restrictions with showers and storms, mainly during the
afternoon and evening hours, will be possible through the week.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
OH...None.
WV...None.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 12, 3:43 AM EDT, 15 hours 18 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
343 AM EDT Mon Jul 12 2021

OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-029-
031-073>076-WVZ001>004-012-021-509>514-130745-
Tuscarawas-Carroll-Columbiana-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson OH-
Muskingum-Guernsey-Belmont-Noble-Monroe-Mercer-Venango-Forest-
Lawrence-Butler-Clarion-Jefferson PA-Beaver-Allegheny-Armstrong-
Indiana-Washington-Greene-Westmoreland-
Higher Elevations of Westmoreland-Fayette-
Higher Elevations of Fayette-Hancock-Brooke-Ohio-Marshall-Wetzel-
Marion-Monongalia-
Ridges of Eastern Monongalia and Northwestern Preston-Preston-
Eastern Preston-Western Tucker-Eastern Tucker-
343 AM EDT Mon Jul 12 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Ohio, northwest
Pennsylvania, southwest Pennsylvania, western Pennsylvania,
northern West Virginia and the northern panhandle of West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Isolated severe storms are possible today. Damaging wind gusts are
the main threat. Any storms will produce heavy downpours which could
lead to localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Isolated severe storms are possible Tuesday. Damaging wind gusts are
the main threat. Any storms will produce heavy downpours which could
lead to localized flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 12, 7:01 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
701 PM EDT Mon Jul 12 2021

PAZ007-013-014-122330-
Butler-Lawrence-Mercer-
701 PM EDT Mon Jul 12 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WIND WILL AFFECT
SOUTHEASTERN MERCER...EASTERN LAWRENCE AND NORTHWESTERN BUTLER
COUNTIES...

At 700 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Ellwood City,
or near New Castle, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Wind gusts up to 45 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Slippery Rock...                  Harrisville...
Plain Grove Township...           West Liberty...
Harlansburg...                    Portersville...
Moraine State Park...             McConnells Mill...
Rose Point Park...                Cooper's Lake Campground...

This includes Interstate 79 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 98
and 113.

LAT...LON 4089 8023 4096 8030 4114 8015 4113 7995
      4098 7994
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 225DEG 12KT 4094 8023

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pittsburgh, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 12, 7:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPBZVenango35 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Pennsylvania, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.