Alert archive / Kentucky / Ice Storm Warnings in 2021
Ice Storm Warning 1, NWS Paducah, KY
NWS Paducah, KY issued this ice storm warning at Feb 9, 2021, 3:10 PM CST for 22 counties in Kentucky; 6 counties in Missouri; 5 counties in Illinois. It took effect at Feb 10, 2021, 12:00 AM CST. It was in force for 35 hr. 32 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 9, 2021, 3:10 PM CST (21:10 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 10, 2021, 12:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Feb 11, 2021, 10:53 AM CST
- In force
- 35 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Paducah, KY
All 33 counties
Alexander County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Butler County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO
The radar
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2:03 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | 1 W Karbers Ridge, IL | GLAZING ON TREES AND SECONDARY ROADS. |
| Feb 10, 7:43 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.01 | 3 Wsw Goldon Pond, KY | *** 1 FATAL *** FREEZING DRIZZLE LED TO A FATAL ACCIDENT ON US 68/KY 80 AT THE WOODLAND TRACE INTERCHANGE. TIME ESTIMATED. |
| Feb 10, 9:00 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.01 | 5 Sw Henderson, KY | *** 1 FATAL *** FREEZING DRIZZLE CAUSED A FATAL THREE VEHICLE ACCIDENT ON US 60 IN HENDERSON COUNTY. TIME AND LOCATION APPROXIMATE. |
| Feb 10, 10:11 AM CST | SLEET 0.2 | 5 Nnw Oxly, MO | FREEZING DRIZZLE HAS TRANSITION TO SLEET WITH APPROXIMATELY 0.2 INCH OF ACCUMULATION ON US 160. ROADS ARE EXTREMELY SLICK. |
| Feb 10, 10:56 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.05 | Poplar Bluff, MO | ACCUMULATION OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. ROADS ARE VERY SLICK IN POPLAR BLUFF, WITH SEVERAL SLIDE OFFS REPORTED ON US 67. |
| Feb 10, 2:03 PM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | 1 W Karbers Ridge, IL | CORRECTS TIME FROM PREVIOUS FREEZING RAIN REPORT FROM 1 W KARBERS RIDGE. GLAZING ON TREES AND SECONDARY ROADS. |
| Feb 10, 2:05 PM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | La Center, KY | PICTURE RELAYED VIA TWITTER SHOWING ABOUT ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION. |
| Feb 10, 3:12 PM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.13 | 6 Ese Henderson, KY | RELAYED VIA TWITTER. |
| Feb 10, 5:00 PM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Henderson, KY | NEARLY 2 TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION, RELAYED VIA TWITTER. |
| Feb 10, 5:30 PM CST | ICE STORM | 5 S Stanley, KY | 2 POLES SNAPPED WITH MULTIPLE WIRES COVERING BOTH WEST/EAST BOUND LANES OF THE AUBUBON PARKWAY WEST OF OWENSBORO. STATE TROOPERS HAVE CLOSED THE PARKWAY IN BOTH DIRECTIONS. |
| Feb 10, 6:25 PM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Doniphan, MO | 1/4 INCH OF SLEET/ICE COMBINATION. |
| Feb 10, 6:36 PM CST | ICE STORM | 3 Nw Philpot, KY | TREE DOWN ON THRUSTON-DERMONT ROAD EAST OF OWENSBORO. |
| Feb 10, 7:00 PM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | 3 S Calvert City, KY | ALL SURFACES GLAZED EXCEPT ROADWAYS JUST BEGINNING TO ICE OVER AGAIN. ICE ACCUMULATION AT A STEADY PACE. |
| Feb 10, 7:00 PM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.12 | 2 W Scott City, MO | ICE ACCUMULATION AT THE CAPE GIRARDEAU ASOS SINCE MIDNIGHT. |
| Feb 10, 7:00 PM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.19 | 2 Sse Heath, KY | ICE ACCUMULATION AT THE PADUCAH, KY ASOS STATION SINCE MIDNIGHT. |
| Feb 10, 7:15 PM CST | ICE STORM | Owensboro, KY | MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES DOWN AND POWER POLES ON FIRE IN OWENSBORO AND AROUND THE COUNTY DUE TO ICING. |
| Feb 10, 8:00 PM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | La Center, KY | MEASURED AROUND A QUARTER INCH OF ICE. |
| Feb 10, 9:00 PM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.21 | 2 Ne Lone Oak, KY | MEASURED AT WPSD-TV STATION IN PADUCAH. LARGE SLEET PELLETS FALLING AT TIME OF OBSERVATION. |
| Feb 10, 9:25 PM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.19 | 3 S Calvert City, KY | 3/16 INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION. ROADS STILL MOSTLY JUST WET, BUT MOST ALL OTHER SURFACES GLAZED OVER. |
| Feb 10, 10:30 PM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.4 | Henderson, KY | MEASURED ABOUT 3/8 INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION ON NORTH SIDE OF HENDERSON. |
| Feb 11, 6:38 AM CST | ICE STORM | Murray, KY | 0.20 LAST 24 HOURS, 0.25 STORM TOTAL ICE. |
| Feb 11, 7:45 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | 1 Wnw Central City, KY | RELAYED VIA TWITTER. |
| Feb 11, 7:45 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | 3 S Calvert City, KY | EVENT TOTAL FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATION. |
| Feb 11, 7:45 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Greenville, KY | AVERAGE ICE THICKNESS. RELAYED VIA TWITTER. |
| Feb 11, 7:50 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.22 | Harris Grove, KY | FREEZING RAIN HAS TRANSITIONED TO SLEET. |
| Feb 11, 8:15 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.19 | 1 S Paducah, KY | STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW ACCUMULATION. |
| Feb 11, 8:45 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | La Center, KY | STORM TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATION. RELAYED VIA TWITTER. |
| Feb 11, 9:45 AM CST | SLEET 0.3 | 5 N Oxly, MO | TOTAL SLEET/SNOW/FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATION. |
| Feb 11, 10:13 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.3 | 3 Ese Corydon, KY | MEASURED NEAR CAIRO, KY. RELAYED VIA TWITTER. |
| Feb 11, 10:19 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Owensboro, KY | MINOR TREE LIMB DAMAGE REPORTED IN OWENSBORO. |
| Feb 11, 10:30 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.38 | 2 W Owensboro, KY | MEASURED ON THE WEST SIDE OF OWENSBORO. RELAYED VIA FACEBOOK. |
| Feb 11, 10:50 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Murray, KY | 0.25 OF ICE AND 0.1 OF SLEET. MEASURED IN DOWNTOWN MURRAY. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 852 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 78 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 276 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 259 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
045 WWUS43 KPAH 092110 WSWPAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Paducah KY 310 PM CST Tue Feb 9 2021 ...Prolonged wintry precipitation event expected later Tonight through Thursday... .A significant wintry precipitation event is expected to return across the Quad State later tonight and persist through Thursday. At this time, significant and dangerous ice accumulations are expected by Thursday morning, especially over parts of west Kentucky, the southern tip of Illinois, and the Delta region of southeast Missouri. However, notable ice accumulation is possible over the remainder of southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and southwest Indiana. ILZ090>094-KYZ001>013-015>017-020>022-MOZ108>112-114-101000- /O.UPG.KPAH.WS.A.0001.210210T0600Z-210212T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KPAH.IS.W.0001.210210T0600Z-210212T0000Z/ Pope-Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle- Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden- Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-McLean-Muhlenberg- Todd-Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- Including the cities of Golconda, Elizabethtown, Cairo, Mound City, Metropolis, Hickman, Clinton, Bardwell, Wickliffe, Paducah, Mayfield, Smithland, Benton, Murray, Marion, Eddyville, Cadiz, Princeton, Dixon, Madisonville, Hopkinsville, Calhoun, Greenville, Elkton, Doniphan, Poplar Bluff, Bloomfield, Sikeston, Charleston, and New Madrid 310 PM CST Tue Feb 9 2021 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total ice accumulations of two tenths to a half inch possible with the highest amounts along the southern portions of the Kentucky Pennyrile and Purchase Area. Additionally, up to a quarter inch of sleet is possible Thursday. * WHERE...Along and south of a line extending from Doniphan, Missouri, northeastward to Eddyville, Illinois, then eastward to Calhoun, Kentucky. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 PM CST Thursday with most of the precipitation occurring Wednesday night through Thursday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are possible due to the ice. Hazardous travel conditions are expected and could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ ILZ075>078-080>089-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-018-019-MOZ076-086- 087-100-107-101000- /O.UPG.KPAH.WS.A.0001.210210T0600Z-210212T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KPAH.WW.Y.0004.210210T0600Z-210212T0000Z/ Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Gibson- Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-Spencer-Union KY-Henderson-Daviess- Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Including the cities of Mount Vernon, Fairfield, Albion, Mount Carmel, Pinckneyville, West Frankfort, McLeansboro, Carmi, Carbondale, Murphysboro, Herrin, Harrisburg, Shawneetown, Jonesboro, Vienna, Fort Branch, Petersburg, Poseyville, Evansville, Boonville, Rockport, Morganfield, Henderson, Owensboro, Perryville, Marble Hill, Cape Girardeau, Jackson, Piedmont, and Van Buren 310 PM CST Tue Feb 9 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of one tenth to two tenths of an inch. Some sleet is possible Thursday. * WHERE...Along and north of a line extending from Elsinore, Missouri, northeastward to Harrisburg, Illinois, then eastward to Owensboro, Kentucky. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 PM CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery and dangerous road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$
7 follow-up statements
835 WWUS43 KPAH 100840 WSWPAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Paducah KY 240 AM CST Wed Feb 10 2021 ILZ090>094-KYZ001>013-015>017-020>022-MOZ108>112-114-102200- /O.CON.KPAH.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Pope-Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle- Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden- Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-McLean-Muhlenberg- Todd-Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- Including the cities of Golconda, Elizabethtown, Cairo, Mound City, Metropolis, Hickman, Clinton, Bardwell, Wickliffe, Paducah, Mayfield, Smithland, Benton, Murray, Marion, Eddyville, Cadiz, Princeton, Dixon, Madisonville, Hopkinsville, Calhoun, Greenville, Elkton, Doniphan, Poplar Bluff, Bloomfield, Sikeston, Charleston, and New Madrid 240 AM CST Wed Feb 10 2021 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total ice accumulations of two tenths to almost a half inch is possible, with the highest amounts along the southern portions of the Western Kentucky Pennyrile and Jackson Purchase areas. Some sleet is possible as well. * WHERE...Along and south of a line extending from Doniphan, Missouri, northeastward to Eddyville, Illinois, then eastward to Calhoun, Kentucky. * WHEN...Ongoing until 6 PM CST Thursday with most of the precipitation occurring Wednesday night through Thursday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are possible due to the ice. Hazardous travel conditions are expected and could impact the morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ ILZ075>078-080>089-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-018-019-MOZ076-086- 087-100-107-102200- /O.CON.KPAH.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Gibson- Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-Spencer-Union KY-Henderson-Daviess- Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Including the cities of Mount Vernon, Fairfield, Albion, Mount Carmel, Pinckneyville, West Frankfort, McLeansboro, Carmi, Carbondale, Murphysboro, Herrin, Harrisburg, Shawneetown, Jonesboro, Vienna, Fort Branch, Petersburg, Poseyville, Evansville, Boonville, Rockport, Morganfield, Henderson, Owensboro, Perryville, Marble Hill, Cape Girardeau, Jackson, Piedmont, and Van Buren 240 AM CST Wed Feb 10 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Ice accumulations of one to two tenths of an inch, with some light snow and sleet possible as well. * WHERE...Along and north of a line extending from Elsinore, Missouri, northeastward to Harrisburg, Illinois, then eastward to Owensboro, Kentucky. * WHEN...Ongoing until 6 PM CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery and dangerous road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$
744 WWUS43 KPAH 101552 WSWPAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Paducah KY 952 AM CST Wed Feb 10 2021 ...Prolonged icing event expected Today through Thursday... .Significant ice accumulations are expected to produce treacherous, potentially life-threatening travel conditions through Thursday morning. While ice accumulations are expected to be higher over parts of West Kentucky, the southern tip of Illinois, and the Delta region of Southeast Missouri, dangerous road conditions are anticipated across the entire Quad State. KYZ014-018-019-102300- /O.UPG.KPAH.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KPAH.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Union KY-Henderson-Daviess- Including the cities of Morganfield, Henderson, and Owensboro 952 AM CST Wed Feb 10 2021 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total ice accumulation of a quarter inch is possible. Sleet is anticipated to mix in tonight. * WHERE...Union, Henderson and Daviess Counties in Kentucky. * WHEN...Until 6 PM CST Thursday, with the majority of the ice accumulation expected Wednesday afternoon and evening. * IMPACTS...Expect dangerous and potentially life-threatening road conditions. Cold temperatures will keep surfaces frozen long after precipitation ends. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commutes. Some tree damage and power outages are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged as roads are likely to be treacherous. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ ILZ090>094-KYZ001>013-015>017-020>022-MOZ108>112-114-102300- /O.CON.KPAH.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Pope-Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle- Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden- Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-McLean-Muhlenberg- Todd-Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- Including the cities of Golconda, Elizabethtown, Cairo, Mound City, Metropolis, Hickman, Clinton, Bardwell, Wickliffe, Paducah, Mayfield, Smithland, Benton, Murray, Marion, Eddyville, Cadiz, Princeton, Dixon, Madisonville, Hopkinsville, Calhoun, Greenville, Elkton, Doniphan, Poplar Bluff, Bloomfield, Sikeston, Charleston, and New Madrid 952 AM CST Wed Feb 10 2021 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total ice accumulations of two tenths to almost a half inch is possible, with the highest amounts along the southern portions of the Western Kentucky Pennyrile and Jackson Purchase areas. Some sleet is possible as well. * WHERE...Along and south of a line extending from Doniphan, Missouri, northeastward to Eddyville, Illinois, then eastward to Calhoun, Kentucky. * WHEN...Ongoing until 6 PM CST Thursday with most of the precipitation occurring Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning. * IMPACTS...Expect dangerous and potentially life-threatening road conditions. Cold temperatures will keep surfaces frozen long after precipitation ends. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commutes. Some tree damage and power outages are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged as roads are likely to be treacherous. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ ILZ075>078-080>089-INZ081-082-085>088-MOZ076-086-087-100-107- 102300- /O.CON.KPAH.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Gibson- Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-Spencer-Perry MO-Bollinger- Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Including the cities of Mount Vernon, Fairfield, Albion, Mount Carmel, Pinckneyville, West Frankfort, McLeansboro, Carmi, Carbondale, Murphysboro, Herrin, Harrisburg, Shawneetown, Jonesboro, Vienna, Fort Branch, Petersburg, Poseyville, Evansville, Boonville, Rockport, Perryville, Marble Hill, Cape Girardeau, Jackson, Piedmont, and Van Buren 952 AM CST Wed Feb 10 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Ice accumulations of one to two tenths of an inch, with some light snow and sleet possible as well. * WHERE...Along and north of a line extending from Elsinore, Missouri, northeastward to Carmi, Illinois, then eastward to Santa Claus, Indiana. * WHEN...Ongoing until 6 PM CST Thursday with most of the precipitation occurring Wednesday through Wednesday night. * IMPACTS...Expect dangerous road conditions. Cold temperatures will keep surfaces frozen long after precipitation ends. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged. Even light amounts of ice accumulations are capable of making road conditions treacherous. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$
227 WWUS43 KPAH 101931 WSWPAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Paducah KY 131 PM CST Wed Feb 10 2021 ...Prolonged icing event expected Today through Thursday... .Significant ice accumulations are expected to produce treacherous, potentially life-threatening travel conditions through Thursday morning. While ice accumulations are expected to be higher over parts of West Kentucky, the southern tip of Illinois, and the Delta region of Southeast Missouri, dangerous road conditions are anticipated across the entire Quad State. Layering of sleet on top of freezing rain will heighten hazardous travel conditions. INZ081-082-085>088-110345- /O.UPG.KPAH.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KPAH.WS.W.0001.210210T1931Z-210212T0000Z/ Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-Spencer- Including the cities of Fort Branch, Petersburg, Poseyville, Evansville, Boonville, and Rockport 131 PM CST Wed Feb 10 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Sleet accumulations around one half inch and additional ice accumulations of up to one tenth inch. * WHERE...Portions of southwest Indiana. * WHEN...Until 6 PM CST Thursday, with the majority of the freezing rain accumulation Wednesday afternoon and the majority of the sleet accumulation Wednesday evening. * IMPACTS...Expect dangerous and potentially life-threatening road conditions. Cold temperatures will keep surfaces frozen long after precipitation ends. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commutes. Some tree damage and power outages are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged as roads are likely to be treacherous. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ ILZ090>094-KYZ001>022-MOZ108>112-114-110345- /O.CON.KPAH.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Pope-Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle- Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden- Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson- Daviess-McLean-Muhlenberg-Todd-Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott- Mississippi-New Madrid- Including the cities of Golconda, Elizabethtown, Cairo, Mound City, Metropolis, Hickman, Clinton, Bardwell, Wickliffe, Paducah, Mayfield, Smithland, Benton, Murray, Marion, Eddyville, Cadiz, Princeton, Morganfield, Dixon, Madisonville, Hopkinsville, Henderson, Owensboro, Calhoun, Greenville, Elkton, Doniphan, Poplar Bluff, Bloomfield, Sikeston, Charleston, and New Madrid 131 PM CST Wed Feb 10 2021 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total ice accumulations of two tenths to almost a half inch is possible, with the highest amounts along the southern portions of the Western Kentucky Pennyrile and Jackson Purchase areas. Some sleet is possible as well. * WHERE...Along and south of a line extending from Doniphan, Missouri, northeastward to Henderson, Kentucky, then eastward to Owensboro, Kentucky. * WHEN...Ongoing until 6 PM CST Thursday with most of the precipitation occurring Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning. * IMPACTS...Expect dangerous and potentially life-threatening road conditions. Cold temperatures will keep surfaces frozen long after precipitation ends. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commutes. Some tree damage and power outages are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged as roads are likely to be treacherous. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ ILZ075>078-080>089-MOZ076-086-087-100-107-110345- /O.CON.KPAH.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Perry MO- Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Including the cities of Mount Vernon, Fairfield, Albion, Mount Carmel, Pinckneyville, West Frankfort, McLeansboro, Carmi, Carbondale, Murphysboro, Herrin, Harrisburg, Shawneetown, Jonesboro, Vienna, Perryville, Marble Hill, Cape Girardeau, Jackson, Piedmont, and Van Buren 131 PM CST Wed Feb 10 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Ice accumulations of one to two tenths of an inch, with some light snow and sleet possible as well. * WHERE...Along and north of a line extending from Elsinore, Missouri, northeastward to West Salem, Illinois. * WHEN...Ongoing until 6 PM CST Thursday with most of the precipitation occurring Wednesday through Wednesday night. * IMPACTS...Expect dangerous road conditions. Cold temperatures will keep surfaces frozen long after precipitation ends. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged. Even light amounts of ice accumulations are capable of making road conditions treacherous. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$
619 WWUS43 KPAH 110320 WSWPAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Paducah KY 920 PM CST Wed Feb 10 2021 ILZ090>094-KYZ001>022-MOZ108>112-114-111030- /O.CON.KPAH.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Pope-Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle- Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden- Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson- Daviess-McLean-Muhlenberg-Todd-Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott- Mississippi-New Madrid- Including the cities of Golconda, Elizabethtown, Cairo, Mound City, Metropolis, Hickman, Clinton, Bardwell, Wickliffe, Paducah, Mayfield, Smithland, Benton, Murray, Marion, Eddyville, Cadiz, Princeton, Morganfield, Dixon, Madisonville, Hopkinsville, Henderson, Owensboro, Calhoun, Greenville, Elkton, Doniphan, Poplar Bluff, Bloomfield, Sikeston, Charleston, and New Madrid 920 PM CST Wed Feb 10 2021 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Significant icing expected. Additional ice accumulations of around a tenth of an inch are expected, primarily over portions of western Kentucky. This will bring total ice accumulations ranging between two and five tenths of an inch. Locally higher storm totals are possible, especially over the northern Pennyrile region of west Kentucky. Some minor sleet accumulations are possible as well. * WHERE...Along and southeast of a line extending from Doniphan, Missouri, northeastward to Henderson, Kentucky, then eastward to Owensboro, Kentucky. * WHEN...Most of the precipitation is expected to taper off from northwest to southeast tonight into early Thursday morning. If this trend continues, the warning may need to be cancelled early. * IMPACTS...Expect dangerous and potentially life-threatening travel conditions. Cold temperatures will keep untreated surfaces frozen long after precipitation ends. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday morning commute. Some tree damage and power outages are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged as roads are likely to be treacherous. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ INZ081-082-085>088-111030- /O.CON.KPAH.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-Spencer- Including the cities of Fort Branch, Petersburg, Poseyville, Evansville, Boonville, and Rockport 920 PM CST Wed Feb 10 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Only minor additional sleet and ice accumulations are expected. * WHERE...Portions of southwest Indiana. * WHEN...Most of the precipitation is expected to taper off late this evening into the overnight hours. If this trend continues, the warning may need to be expired early. * IMPACTS...Expect dangerous and potentially life-threatening travel conditions. Cold temperatures will keep untreated surfaces frozen long after precipitation ends. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday morning commute. Some tree damage and power outages are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged as roads are likely to be treacherous. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ ILZ075>078-080>089-MOZ076-086-087-100-107-111030- /O.CON.KPAH.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Perry MO- Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Including the cities of Mount Vernon, Fairfield, Albion, Mount Carmel, Pinckneyville, West Frankfort, McLeansboro, Carmi, Carbondale, Murphysboro, Herrin, Harrisburg, Shawneetown, Jonesboro, Vienna, Perryville, Marble Hill, Cape Girardeau, Jackson, Piedmont, and Van Buren 920 PM CST Wed Feb 10 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Only minor additional sleet and ice accumulations are expected. * WHERE...Along and northwest of a line extending from Elsinore, Missouri, northeastward to West Salem, Illinois. * WHEN...Most of the precipitation will taper off from northwest to southeast late this evening into the overnight hours. If this trend continues, the advisory will likely be cancelled by early Thursday morning. * IMPACTS...Expect dangerous travel conditions. Cold temperatures will keep untreated surfaces frozen long after precipitation ends. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged. Even light amounts of ice accumulations are capable of making road conditions treacherous. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ SP
873 WWUS43 KPAH 110956 WSWPAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Paducah KY 356 AM CST Thu Feb 11 2021 ...With ongoing icy road conditions, and the continuation of light wintry precipitation chances, warnings and advisories remain in effect... INZ081-082-085>088-112200- /O.CAN.KPAH.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KPAH.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-Spencer- Including the cities of Fort Branch, Petersburg, Poseyville, Evansville, Boonville, and Rockport 356 AM CST Thu Feb 11 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Minor additional snow, sleet, and ice accumulations. Temperatures will remain below freezing. * WHERE...Portions of southwest Indiana. * WHEN...The morning hours will be the time period for best additional minor wintry accumulations. The advisory is in effect until 6 PM CST this evening. * IMPACTS...Hazardous travel conditions will continue. Cold temperatures will keep untreated surfaces frozen, even as precipitation lessens. Commutes, especially this morning, will be affected. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...While only minor additional precipitation amounts are expected, due to the existing icy roads and continuation of sub freezing temperatures, hazardous travel conditions will be prolonged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. && $$ ILZ090>094-KYZ001>022-MOZ108>112-114-112200- /O.CON.KPAH.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Pope-Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle- Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden- Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson- Daviess-McLean-Muhlenberg-Todd-Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott- Mississippi-New Madrid- Including the cities of Golconda, Elizabethtown, Cairo, Mound City, Metropolis, Hickman, Clinton, Bardwell, Wickliffe, Paducah, Mayfield, Smithland, Benton, Murray, Marion, Eddyville, Cadiz, Princeton, Morganfield, Dixon, Madisonville, Hopkinsville, Henderson, Owensboro, Calhoun, Greenville, Elkton, Doniphan, Poplar Bluff, Bloomfield, Sikeston, Charleston, and New Madrid 356 AM CST Thu Feb 11 2021 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Significant icing on roads continues. Lingering light wintry precipitation may result in additional ice accumulations of around a tenth of an inch, mainly for southern portions of western Kentucky. Temperatures will remain below freezing. * WHERE...Along and southeast of a line extending from Doniphan, Missouri, northeastward to Henderson, Kentucky, then eastward to Owensboro, Kentucky. * WHEN...The morning hours will be the time period for best additional icing of roads and walkways, due to lingering wintry precipitation. The warning is in effect until 6 PM CST this evening. * IMPACTS...Dangerous travel conditions will continue. Cold temperatures will keep untreated surfaces frozen, and prolonged light wintry precipitation will hinder any daytime improvements as temperatures remain below freezing. Commutes, especially this morning, will be affected. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Due to the icy roads and continuation of sub freezing temperatures, and forecast of lingering, light wintry precipitation chances, existing dangerous travel conditions will be prolonged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged as roads are likely to be treacherous. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ ILZ075>078-080>089-MOZ076-086-087-100-107-112200- /O.CON.KPAH.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Perry MO- Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Including the cities of Mount Vernon, Fairfield, Albion, Mount Carmel, Pinckneyville, West Frankfort, McLeansboro, Carmi, Carbondale, Murphysboro, Herrin, Harrisburg, Shawneetown, Jonesboro, Vienna, Perryville, Marble Hill, Cape Girardeau, Jackson, Piedmont, and Van Buren 356 AM CST Thu Feb 11 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Minor additional snow, sleet, and ice accumulations. Temperatures will remain below freezing. * WHERE...Along and northwest of a line extending from Elsinore, Missouri, northeastward to West Salem, Illinois. * WHEN...The morning hours will be the time period for additional minor wintry precipitation and poor travel conditions. The advisory is in effect until 6 PM CST this evening. * IMPACTS...Hazardous travel conditions will continue. Cold temperatures will keep untreated surfaces frozen, even as precipitation lessens. Commutes, especially this morning, will be affected. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...While only minor additional precipitation amounts are expected, due to the existing icy roads and continuation of sub freezing temperatures, hazardous travel conditions will be prolonged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged. Even light amounts of ice accumulations are capable of making road conditions treacherous. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$
100 WWUS43 KPAH 111426 WSWPAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Paducah KY 826 AM CST Thu Feb 11 2021 ILZ090>094-KYZ004-005-007-010-014-015-018-019-MOZ108>112-114- 111530- /O.CAN.KPAH.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Pope-Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Ballard-McCracken-Livingston- Crittenden-Union KY-Webster-Henderson-Daviess-Ripley-Butler- Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- Including the cities of Golconda, Elizabethtown, Cairo, Mound City, Metropolis, Wickliffe, Paducah, Smithland, Marion, Morganfield, Dixon, Henderson, Owensboro, Doniphan, Poplar Bluff, Bloomfield, Sikeston, Charleston, and New Madrid 826 AM CST Thu Feb 11 2021 ...ICE STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... Precipitation has come to an end across the area. However, roads remain slick and hazardous in many areas. Avoid unnecessary travel. If you must head out today, allow extra time and slow down. This is especially true across the Henderson, Owensboro and Morganfield areas, where very slick roads persist. $$ ILZ075>078-080>089-INZ081-082-085>088-MOZ076-086-087-100-107- 111530- /O.CAN.KPAH.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Gibson- Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-Spencer-Perry MO-Bollinger- Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Including the cities of Mount Vernon, Fairfield, Albion, Mount Carmel, Pinckneyville, West Frankfort, McLeansboro, Carmi, Carbondale, Murphysboro, Herrin, Harrisburg, Shawneetown, Jonesboro, Vienna, Fort Branch, Petersburg, Poseyville, Evansville, Boonville, Rockport, Perryville, Marble Hill, Cape Girardeau, Jackson, Piedmont, and Van Buren 826 AM CST Thu Feb 11 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Precipitation has come to an end across the area. However, roads remain slick and hazardous in many areas. Avoid unnecessary travel. If you must head out today, allow extra time and slow down. $$ KYZ001>003-006-008-009-011>013-016-017-020>022-112230- /O.CON.KPAH.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Graves-Marshall-Calloway-Lyon-Trigg- Caldwell-Hopkins-Christian-McLean-Muhlenberg-Todd- Including the cities of Hickman, Clinton, Bardwell, Mayfield, Benton, Murray, Eddyville, Cadiz, Princeton, Madisonville, Hopkinsville, Calhoun, Greenville, and Elkton 826 AM CST Thu Feb 11 2021 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Lingering light wintry precipitation, including light freezing rain and sleet. * WHERE...South of a line from Calhoun to Benton to Bardwell in western Kentucky. * WHEN...Precipitation diminishing through Noon. * IMPACTS...Dangerous travel conditions will persist. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. && $$
605 WWUS43 KPAH 111653 WSWPAH URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Paducah KY 1053 AM CST Thu Feb 11 2021 KYZ001>003-006-008-009-011>013-016-017-020>022-111800- /O.CAN.KPAH.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210212T0000Z/ Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Graves-Marshall-Calloway-Lyon-Trigg- Caldwell-Hopkins-Christian-McLean-Muhlenberg-Todd- Including the cities of Hickman, Clinton, Bardwell, Mayfield, Benton, Murray, Eddyville, Cadiz, Princeton, Madisonville, Hopkinsville, Calhoun, Greenville, and Elkton 1053 AM CST Thu Feb 11 2021 ...ICE STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... Precipitation has come to an end across the area. However, roads remain slick and hazardous in many areas. Avoid unnecessary travel. If you must head out today, allow extra time and slow down. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this ice storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this ice storm warning went out at Feb 9, 3:47 AM CST, 11 hours 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 9, 3:47 AM CST, 11 hours 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
347 AM CST Tue Feb 9 2021
.SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday night)
Issued at 342 AM CST Tue Feb 9 2021
Freezing rain scenario advertised for the Tuesday through Thursday
time frame since this Sunday still looks be the dominant weather
concern at this time. The biggest challenge with this package has
been the southward translation of the deeper Arctic cold Layer
building into the area from the north. This is forcing the more
shallow cold layer from the center of the WFO PAH CWA further to
the south over southeast Missouri, extreme southern Illinois, the
Purchase area of west Kentucky and the southern half of the
Pennyrile region of west Kentucky. Higher ice accumulations will
be possible in that area.
Around 05z Tuesday (11 pm Monday) KVWX (Evansville) and KPAH
(Paducah) VAD wind profiles suggested a south to north upglide
zone of 300 to 800 feet AGL. The 12km NAM, RAP, 3km NAM-WRF NMM,
and to a lesser degree the Canadian guidance seemed to model this
thermal profile well and was verified based on freezing rain,
rain, and sleet reports late this evening. Utilized these models,
as well as WPC, NBM, and GFS guidance for the QPF, temperature,
precipitation type and coverage for the time period from today
through Thursday.
For the rest of tonight, will keep the current Winter Weather
Advisory going at least through 4 am CST Tuesday. Radar trends
suggest that the vast majority of the impactful precipitation
should move out of the WFO PAH forecast area before 6 am CST this
morning. Will make that decision at press time.
In collaborative discussion with neighboring NWS offices to the
west of the WFO PAH forecast area, briefly entertained
introducing an Winter Weather Advisory for the southeast Missouri
counties around 00-03z Wednesday (6 to 9 pm) for some isolated
patches of freezing drizzle, but the primary accumulations would
not really start until plus or minus two hours from the start of
the current Winter Storm Watch. At this time, will see what pans
out with respect to QPF with the 12z Tuesday model runs.
Based on model trends will extend the end time of the current
Winter Storm Watch to 00z Friday (6 pm Thursday) to handle
lingering freezing rain potential along the southern KY/northwest
TN border.
At this point in time, still have two time periods of concern with
this freezing rain event. The first period begins around midnight
tonight over southeast Missouri, stretching across the majority
of the WFO PAH forecast area into earlier Wednesday morning. Ice
accumulation amounts would be within advisory level. The second
period would begin Wednesday afternoon and persisting into mainly
Thursday morning, focused across the southeast half of southeast
Missouri, the southern tip of southern Illinois, and the southern
half of west Kentucky. It is in this area that ice accumulation
potential could approach or exceed ice storm warning potential.
Some of the concern is with a higher wind forecast over this area
which will likely lead to increased ice accretion on elevated
surfaces and power lines. Depending on the final QPF, wind, and
ice accumulation, could see some power line issues over parts of
the southern Purchase and Pennyrile region of west Kentucky late
Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Will try to highlight this
potential with the continues watch issuance with this package.
Again, as stated at the beginning of this discussion, the
challenge will be where the inflection point of the baroclinic
zone/lift will generate the most QPF. Right now, the shift with
this package has been further to the south.
.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Monday)
Issued at 342 AM CST Tue Feb 9 2021
A strong northern stream cyclone will be ushering in much below
normal temperatures this weekend, While cluster analysis reveals
there are some clusters offering more of a glancing blow to the
absolute coldest air vs a direct hit, both the NAEFS and ECMWF/ENS
indicate return intervals from 10-30 years on the context of the
actual cold air incoming, with SD's exceeding 3. The NAEFS appears
a little stronger with the extremes, overall. Cluster analysis
does show some argument, and the CPC is the outlier on Days 5-6,
though comes into more agreement by Day 7. There are, overall,
strong indicators to message the cold for the coming weekend. The
moisture available for wintry pcpn is definitely more of an iffy
prospect. The same examination of the ensembles suggests the
weekend prospects are fading, while early next week may see
increasing chances. The NBM is picking up on this trend,
diminishing to slight chance pops for Saturday night, as the shot
of arctic cold strengthens...but any amounts should stay a half
inch or less. The hints at a little better snow chance appear late
Monday, and just beyond, when a whitening of the ground or minor
accumulations may occur.
Single digits sneak into our northwest as early as Thursday night,
and range to near 20 degrees in our southeast. This trend holds thru
the day Friday, with Highs from the lower 20s northwest, to just
above freezing in our southeast. Friday will be the last day any
portion of our FA sees temperatures as warm as freezing, however.
Single digits and teens Friday night drop to all single digits
Saturday night, with the potential for a negative low temperature in
our far northwest. Saturday highs in the teens and 20s will be only
in the teens Sunday. Another night of negative temperatures in our
northwest, to single digits in our southeast, makes Sunday night the
coldest night. So you can see how the coldest air infiltrates and
expands across the FA, with Sunday-Sunday night the forecast peak
cold. This is right in line with the 10-30 year return intervals and
3+ standard deviations for this time frame.
Wind chills will also be at our coldest of the season during this
time frame, into negative territory each night Friday night through
Sunday night. The peak cold air temperatures will be Sunday night,
but the best winds/peak cold wind chills will be Saturday night,
when we'll range from -5 in our southeast, to -15 in our northwest.
&&
.AVIATION...
Issued at 342 AM CST Tue Feb 9 2021
MVFR to at times IFR cigs/vsbys in pcpn will continue during these
pre dawn hours, particularly north, where snow is possible. Further
south, where the precipitation is rain or a mix, cigs will be a
little slower in lowering to IFR, til around daybreak...but may
linger so restricted through the day, as opposed to some improvement
to MVFR conditions elsewhere later in the day, as pcpn winds down.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Thursday afternoon
for ILZ075>078-080>094.
Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for
ILZ075>078-080>088.
MO...Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Thursday afternoon
for MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114.
Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for
MOZ076-086-087-100-107>109.
IN...Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Thursday afternoon
for INZ081-082-085>088.
Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for
INZ081-082-085>088.
KY...Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Thursday afternoon
for KYZ001>022.
Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for
KYZ014-018.
&&
SHORT TERM...Smith
LONG TERM...DH
AVIATION...DHHazardous weather outlook, Feb 9, 6:16 AM CST, 8 hours 54 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 616 AM CST Tue Feb 9 2021 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-101100- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 616 AM CST Tue Feb 9 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Isolated very light freezing rain and flurries will be possible during the morning hours. Light freezing rain will begin to develop over southeast Missouri late this evening and expand across the remainder of the outlook area overnight. A Winter Storm Watch is in effect beginning at midnight for the entire outlook area. Please see the Winter Storm Watch for details. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday Intermittent periods of freezing rain is expected late Tuesday night through Thursday across parts of the outlook area may generate ice accumulations from one to two tenths of an inch over southern Illinois and southwest Indiana, most of southeast Missouri and northwest Kentucky. At this time, the highest amounts ranging from one quarter to locally one half inch will be possible over the southeast Missouri Delta, southern sections of the west Kentucky Pennyrile and the Purchase area of west Kentucky. Travel issues are likely to occur, along with some localized damage to trees and power lines possible. Minor snow accumulations may also be possible over parts of the outlook area between Tuesday night and Thursday. Please refer to the latest Winter Storm Watch for further details. The coldest air and wind chills of the season will hit this weekend. Wind chills are forecast to drop below zero each night Friday night through Sunday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. However, reports of precipitation type and any accumulations or related impacts would be appreciated. Smith/DH
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 9, 11:23 AM CST, 3 hours 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1123 AM CST TUE FEB 9 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1030 AM SNOW 2 NE BELLE PRAIRIE CITY 38.24N 88.52W
02/09/2021 M3.5 INCH HAMILTON IL TRAINED SPOTTER
RELAYED VIA TWITTER.
0929 AM SNOW 5 W BLUFORD 38.33N 88.82W
02/09/2021 E2.8 INCH JEFFERSON IL EMERGENCY MNGR
1113 AM SNOW CARMI 38.09N 88.17W
02/09/2021 M2.7 INCH WHITE IL TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM TOTAL SNOW.
0700 AM SNOW DE SOTO 37.81N 89.22W
02/09/2021 M0.7 INCH JACKSON IL COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IL-JK-14 DE SOTO IL 0.3
ESE.
0700 AM SNOW 9 W EVANSVILLE 37.99N 87.72W
02/09/2021 M0.5 INCH POSEY IN COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IN-PS-6 MOUNT VERNON IN
10.6 ENE.
&&Local storm report, Feb 9, 11:41 AM CST, 3 hours 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1141 AM CST TUE FEB 9 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1130 AM SNOW BENTON 38.01N 88.92W
02/09/2021 M1.8 INCH FRANKLIN IL PUBLIC
LATE REPORT.
&&
DWSLocal storm report, Feb 9, 11:42 AM CST, 3 hours 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1142 AM CST TUE FEB 9 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 AM SNOW 2 NNW BRIAR 36.67N 90.97W
02/09/2021 M0.1 INCH RIPLEY MO COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION MO-RP-6 FAIRDEALING MO 6 W.
0600 AM SNOW MOUNT CARMEL 38.42N 87.77W
02/09/2021 M4.0 INCH WABASH IL TRAINED SPOTTER
RELAYED VIA TWITTER.
0600 AM SNOW 1 NE MOUNT VERNON 37.95N 87.88W
02/09/2021 M0.5 INCH POSEY IN CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION MTVI3 MOUNT VERNON
IN.
0600 AM SNOW 1 ENE PETERSBURG 38.50N 87.26W
02/09/2021 M4.0 INCH PIKE IN COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IN-PK-1 PETERSBURG IN 1
ENE.
0600 AM SNOW 7 SE WINSLOW 38.31N 87.13W
02/09/2021 M0.8 INCH PIKE IN COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IN-PK-4 HOLLAND IN 6.3 NW.
0600 AM SNOW PRINCETON 38.36N 87.57W
02/09/2021 M2.0 INCH GIBSON IN BROADCAST MEDIA
0642 AM SNOW 9 WSW EVANSVILLE 37.93N 87.69W
02/09/2021 M0.4 INCH VANDERBURGH IN COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IN-VN-37 EVANSVILLE 8.8
WSW.
0700 AM SNOW 2 SE CHANDLER 38.02N 87.35W
02/09/2021 M0.3 INCH WARRICK IN COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IN-WK-22 BOONVILLE IN 4.5
WSW.
0700 AM SNOW HENDERSON 37.83N 87.58W
02/09/2021 M0.4 INCH HENDERSON KY COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION KY-HS-1 HENDERSON KY 0.4
SSW.
0700 AM SNOW 2 N PINCKNEYVILLE 38.10N 89.38W
02/09/2021 M0.5 INCH PERRY IL CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION PNKI2 PINCKNEYVILLE
IL 2 N.
0700 AM SNOW 6 WNW EVANSVILLE 38.02N 87.64W
02/09/2021 M0.5 INCH VANDERBURGH IN COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IN-VN-9 EVANSVILLE IN 5.9
WNW.
0700 AM SNOW 3 NE MOUNT VERNON 38.35N 88.87W
02/09/2021 M2.3 INCH JEFFERSON IL CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION MVNI2 MOUNT VERNON IL
3 NE.
0700 AM SNOW 2 NNE MELODY HILL 38.05N 87.50W
02/09/2021 M0.4 INCH VANDERBURGH IN COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IN-VN-41 EVANSVILLE 5.4
NNE.
0700 AM SNOW 6 W DARMSTADT 38.07N 87.69W
02/09/2021 M0.8 INCH VANDERBURGH IN COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IN-VN-31 EVANSVILLE IN 10
NW.
0700 AM SNOW 9 W EVANSVILLE 37.99N 87.72W
02/09/2021 M0.5 INCH POSEY IN COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IN-PS-6 MOUNT VERNON IN
10.6 ENE.
0700 AM SNOW 2 WNW PERRYVILLE 37.73N 89.92W
02/09/2021 M0.3 INCH PERRY MO CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION PRRM7 PERRYVILLE MO
WATER PLANT.
0700 AM SNOW 3 SW DARMSTADT 38.06N 87.62W
02/09/2021 M0.6 INCH VANDERBURGH IN COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IN-VN-40 EVANSVILLE 6.7 NW.
0700 AM SNOW 4 WNW ROCKPORT 37.90N 87.12W
02/09/2021 M0.1 INCH SPENCER IN COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IN-SP-4 ROCKPORT 4.0 WNW.
0700 AM SNOW DE SOTO 37.81N 89.22W
02/09/2021 M0.7 INCH JACKSON IL COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IL-JK-14 DE SOTO IL 0.3
ESE.
0700 AM SNOW 2 N BOONVILLE 38.08N 87.28W
02/09/2021 M0.1 INCH WARRICK IN COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IN-WK-5 BOONVILLE IN 2.4 N.
0700 AM SNOW FRANCISCO 38.33N 87.45W
02/09/2021 M3.1 INCH GIBSON IN COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IN-GB-9 FRANCISCO IN 0.1
SE.
0715 AM SNOW 2 ENE DIX 38.45N 88.91W
02/09/2021 M1.8 INCH JEFFERSON IL COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IL-JF-13 DIX 2.0 ENE.
0715 AM SNOW 1 NNE BENTON 38.02N 88.91W
02/09/2021 M1.2 INCH FRANKLIN IL COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IL-FK-6 BENTON IL 1 NE.
0740 AM SNOW OAKLAND CITY 38.34N 87.35W
02/09/2021 M1.5 INCH GIBSON IN BROADCAST MEDIA
0758 AM SNOW 4 WSW MOUNT CARMEL 38.40N 87.84W
02/09/2021 M4.0 INCH WABASH IL TRAINED SPOTTER
SNOW MELTED TO 0.40" OF LIQUID.
0800 AM SNOW 4 NW BONNIE 38.25N 88.95W
02/09/2021 M2.3 INCH JEFFERSON IL COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION IL-JF-10 MOUNT VERNON 5.2
SSW.
0800 AM SNOW FORT BRANCH 38.25N 87.57W
02/09/2021 M2.0 INCH GIBSON IN TRAINED SPOTTER
0800 AM SNOW 2 SW THOMPSONVILLE 37.90N 88.78W
02/09/2021 M2.0 INCH FRANKLIN IL CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION WFRI2 1.5 SW
THOMPSONVILLE.
0929 AM SNOW 5 W BLUFORD 38.33N 88.82W
02/09/2021 E2.8 INCH JEFFERSON IL EMERGENCY MNGR
1030 AM SNOW 2 NE BELLE PRAIRIE CITY 38.24N 88.52W
02/09/2021 M3.5 INCH HAMILTON IL TRAINED SPOTTER
RELAYED VIA TWITTER.
1113 AM SNOW CARMI 38.09N 88.17W
02/09/2021 M2.7 INCH WHITE IL TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM TOTAL SNOW.
1130 AM SNOW BENTON 38.01N 88.92W
02/09/2021 M1.8 INCH FRANKLIN IL PUBLIC
LATE REPORT.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 3:10 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | PAH | Daviess, Henderson, Union | 41 hr |
Nearby
Ice Storm Warnings in Kentucky, 2021Ice Storm Warnings in Missouri, 2021Ice Storm Warnings in Illinois, 2021Every ice storm warning in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.