Frost Advisory 1, NWS Paducah, KY

Alexander County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Union County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, McCracken County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Perry County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO

149 
WWUS73 KPAH 030228
NPWPAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Paducah KY
928 PM CDT Fri Apr 2 2021

ILZ076>078-082-083-086-087-090-091-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ007>022-
031400-
/O.CON.KPAH.FZ.W.0003.210403T0700Z-210403T1400Z/
Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Hamilton-White-Saline-Gallatin-Pope-
Hardin-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-Spencer-Livingston-
Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Union KY-Webster-
Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-Muhlenberg-Todd-
Including the cities of Fairfield, Albion, Mount Carmel, 
McLeansboro, Carmi, Harrisburg, Shawneetown, Golconda, 
Elizabethtown, Fort Branch, Petersburg, Poseyville, Evansville, 
Boonville, Rockport, Smithland, Benton, Murray, Marion, 
Eddyville, Cadiz, Princeton, Morganfield, Dixon, Madisonville, 
Hopkinsville, Henderson, Owensboro, Calhoun, Greenville, 
and Elkton
928 PM CDT Fri Apr 2 2021

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM CDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30 degrees expected.

* WHERE...All of southwest Indiana, areas of southeast Illinois 
  located east of Interstate 57, and areas of west Kentucky 
  located east of US Highway 45.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

ILZ075-080-081-084-085-088-089-092>094-KYZ001>006-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-031400-
/O.CON.KPAH.FR.Y.0001.210403T0700Z-210403T1400Z/
Jefferson-Perry IL-Franklin-Jackson-Williamson-Union-Johnson-
Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-
McCracken-Graves-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-
Carter-Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
Including the cities of Mount Vernon, Pinckneyville, 
West Frankfort, Carbondale, Murphysboro, Herrin, Jonesboro, 
Vienna, Cairo, Mound City, Metropolis, Hickman, Clinton, 
Bardwell, Wickliffe, Paducah, Mayfield, Perryville, Marble Hill, 
Cape Girardeau, Jackson, Piedmont, Van Buren, Doniphan, 
Poplar Bluff, Bloomfield, Sikeston, Charleston, and New Madrid
928 PM CDT Fri Apr 2 2021

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM CDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Temperatures as low as 32 degrees will result in frost 
  formation.

* WHERE...All of southeast Missouri, areas of southwest Illinois 
  located along and west of Interstate 57, and areas of west 
  Kentucky located along and west US Highway 45.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if 
  left uncovered.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1029 AM CDT Fri Apr 2 2021

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1024 AM CDT Fri Apr 2 2021

Updated the forecast to expire the Freeze Warning and make tweaks
to the TAFs (see Aviation section below).

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday night)
Issued at 352 AM CDT Fri Apr 2 2021

Ongoing Freeze Warning appears on track, so plan no change to
coverage and expiration time this morning. In the review of the
gridded forecast for Saturday morning, decided against the
issuance of frost and freeze headlines, given the extremely
short period (an hour or less) and overall coverage of frost
and/or freezing temperatures near sunrise on Saturday. For the
remainder of the short term period, kept close to the NBM
initialization for the sensible weather elements.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 352 AM CDT Fri Apr 2 2021

Little operational change for the time period from Monday through
Wednesday with respect to temperatures and the timing of the
onset of precipitation. NBM has been fairly consistent in this
regard.

Made some minor tweaks, mainly upward, for PoPs and Weather for
the remainder of the extended forecast period. The model
dispersion in the NBM appears to lower obvious enhancement to
rainfall chances for mesoscale environment with the northern
stream low development late in the period.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 1024 AM CDT Fri Apr 2 2021

Updated the TAFs at all terminals to increase ESE winds to 5-10
kts through the rest of the afternoon. A few gusts to around 15
kts are possible at times as well. VFR conditions still expected.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

UPDATE...DWS
SHORT TERM...Smith
LONG TERM...Smith
AVIATION...DWS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
859 AM CDT Fri Apr 2 2021

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-031400-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
859 AM CDT Fri Apr 2 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Flooding continues on several points on area rivers. Please refer
to the latest flood statements for details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

A chance of thunderstorms is forecast Wednesday and Thursday. It
is too early to determine if any storms will reach strong to
severe limits at this time.

Flooding continues on several points on area rivers. Please refer
to the latest flood statements for details

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

DWS