Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 585, NWS Norman, OK

December 17, 2021Jefferson County, Stephens County, Oklahoma

NWS Norman, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Dec 17, 2021, 4:22 PM CST for Jefferson County, Stephens County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 23 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Dec 17, 2021, 4:22 PM CST (22:22 UTC)
Expired: Dec 17, 2021, 4:45 PM CST
In force: 23 min
Issued by: NWS Norman, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Jefferson County, OK, Stephens County, OK

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Dec 17, 4:28 PM CST	HAIL 1	2 Sw Comanche, OK	VIA MPING

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 6 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 808 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -56 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 575 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 300 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 300 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 4.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

976 
WUUS54 KOUN 172222
SVROUN
OKC067-137-172245-
/O.NEW.KOUN.SV.W.0585.211217T2222Z-211217T2245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Norman OK
422 PM CST Fri Dec 17 2021

The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  North central Jefferson County in southern Oklahoma...
  Eastern Stephens County in southern Oklahoma...

* Until 445 PM CST.

* At 421 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located 4 miles southeast
  of Comanche, moving northeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Comanche and Velma. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3425 9793 3434 9804 3461 9775 3447 9760
TIME...MOT...LOC 2221Z 228DEG 26KT 3433 9790 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Zwink

1 follow-up statement

958 
WWUS54 KOUN 172242
SVSOUN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
442 PM CST Fri Dec 17 2021

OKC067-137-172252-
/O.EXP.KOUN.SV.W.0585.000000T0000Z-211217T2245Z/
Jefferson OK-Stephens OK-
442 PM CST Fri Dec 17 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON AND
EASTERN STEPHENS COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM CST...
                 
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However
small hail and gusty winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3425 9793 3434 9804 3461 9775 3447 9760
TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 228DEG 26KT 3442 9778 

$$

Zwink

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Dec 17, 1:47 PM CST, 2 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 17, 1:47 PM CST, 2 hours 35 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
147 PM CST Fri Dec 17 2021

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 1140 AM CST Fri Dec 17 2021

Summary:

An area of showers and storms will continue across the southeast
half of Oklahoma and north Texas, with a slight risk for severe
storms this afternoon/evening in southeast Oklahoma.

A cold front will clear precipitation out tonight and bring in much
cooler temperatures tonight and tomorrow. Overnight lows will drop
below freezing for much of northern and northwest Oklahoma.

Meteorological Analysis:

Warm air advection has brought showers and storms to much of the
southeast half of Oklahoma and north Texas. Surface based
instability will gradually increase across southeast Oklahoma into
this afternoon (rising to 1000-1500 J/Kg) coinciding with effective
bulk shear of 40 to 50 kts. This will support a severe risk across
our far southeast counties (generally, southeast of a line from
Wichita Falls to Pauls Valley to Holdenville). Additionally, PWATs
are anomalously high (1.2 to 1.5 inches; near record). Despite dry
antecedent conditions, training storms could result in a localized
flooding threat.

A cold front will move through later this evening (entering NW OK
around noon, passing through central OK around 7-9pm). As this front
continues to push through the region overnight, precipitation should
clear out from northwest to southeast and colder temperatures will
fill in behind the front. Between cold air advection and some
clearing in the northwest, expect a decent temperature gradient for
overnight lows ranging from the low to mid 20s in far northwest
Oklahoma to the low to mid 30s across central into southwest
Oklahoma to the lower 40s in south central / southeast Oklahoma and
parts of north Texas. Breezy gradient winds of 15 to 25 mph are
expected to develop late overnight into tomorrow morning. OVernight
wind chills will drop into the teens (possibly single digits) across
much of northern and western Oklahoma.

Saturday will be cold (highs in the low 40s to low 50s). Winds will
be breezy in the morning, then diminish through the afternoon as the
pressure gradient relaxes. A small window of overlap between the
breezy morning winds and the afternoon RH minimum may result in some
brief elevated fire weather conditions across western Oklahoma and
western north Texas.

Day

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 141 PM CST Fri Dec 17 2021

As the cooler airmass settles over the southern Plains region,
Saturday night/Sunday morning will probably bring the coldest low
temperatures of the season to much of Oklahoma and north Texas.
Readings are expected to be in the teens and 20s F.

After that, a slow warming trend will follow for the remainder of
the forecast period, though there is some uncertainty about
temperatures toward the end of next week. Medium-range models
could be in better agreement in their placement of major features
then.

An upper-level low is forecast to move east across north Texas and
southern Oklahoma Sunday and Monday. Earlier forecasts included a
possibility of light rain and/or light snow with this system.
Now, it looks like moisture will be insufficient for measurable
precipitation.

CmS
&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1001 PM CST Thu Dec 16 2021

VFR conditions will continue across most of the region overnight
Thursday night into Friday morning. Scattered showers start to
expand from southeastern Oklahoma to the northwest Friday morning,
which will also bring lower ceilings and MVFR conditions across
the region. A cold front will move into the region from Kansas
Friday evening, shifting surface winds to the north and result in
some heavier showers and storms to develop ahead of the cold
front.

&&

.UPPER AIR...
Issued at 251 AM CST Thu Dec 16 2021

An Upper Air flight is not planned for today.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  35  44  21  45 /  30  10   0   0
Hobart OK         34  46  18  47 /  10  10   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  40  49  24  45 /  50  10   0   0
Gage OK           24  43  15  52 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     29  42  16  45 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         43  52  26  47 /  90  30   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....23
AVIATION...14

Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 17, 12:02 PM CST, 4 hours 20 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1202 PM CST Fri Dec 17 2021

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-181815-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1202 PM CST Fri Dec 17 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

.Heavy Rainfall...
Very localized flooding may occur in part of southeast Oklahoma
where rain and thunderstorms may train over the same areas later
today and this evening.

.Thunderstorms...
There is a slight risk for severe thunderstorms in southeastern
Oklahoma this afternoon and evening ahead of, then along, a cold
front that will move through this area. Damaging wind is the primary
hazard, and large hail secondary.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

.Fire Weather...
Elevated fire weather conditions are expected in western Oklahoma
Saturday and Sunday afternoons.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Dec 17, 3:12 PM CST, 1 hour 10 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
312 PM CST Fri Dec 17 2021

OKZ044-045-TXZ090-172145-
Cotton OK-Jefferson OK-Clay TX-
312 PM CST Fri Dec 17 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of west central
Jefferson, southeastern Cotton and northern Clay Counties through 345
PM CST...

At 311 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Dean, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Ryan, Petrolia, Byers, Dean, Jolly and Sugden.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3390 9842 3395 9842 3422 9812 3403 9790
      3380 9832
TIME...MOT...LOC 2111Z 228DEG 28KT 3391 9831

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Zwink

Special weather statement, Dec 17, 3:16 PM CST, 1 hour 6 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
316 PM CST Fri Dec 17 2021

OKZ030-031-040-042-172145-
Pottawatomie OK-Garvin OK-Pontotoc OK-Seminole OK-
316 PM CST Fri Dec 17 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Garvin,
southwestern Seminole, northwestern Pontotoc and south central
Pottawatomie Counties through 345 PM CST...

At 316 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Stratford, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Ada, Stratford, Konawa, Byng, Francis and Vanoss.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3484 9656 3465 9699 3478 9710 3486 9699
      3485 9693 3490 9693 3504 9673
TIME...MOT...LOC 2116Z 236DEG 28KT 3475 9697

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Zwink

Local storm report, Dec 17, 3:53 PM CST, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
353 PM CST FRI DEC 17 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0349 PM     HAIL             3 NNW ADA               34.82N 96.69W
12/17/2021  E0.25 INCH       PONTOTOC           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DIME HAIL AT US 377 AND CR 1510

&&

CMS

Local storm report, Dec 17, 3:55 PM CST, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
355 PM CST FRI DEC 17 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0349 PM     HAIL             3 NNW ADA               34.82N 96.69W
12/17/2021  E0.75 INCH       PONTOTOC           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DIME HAIL AT US 377 AND CR 1510

&&

CMS

Local storm report, Dec 17, 4:00 PM CST, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
400 PM CST FRI DEC 17 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0357 PM     HAIL             1 NNE ADA               34.79N 96.67W
12/17/2021  E1.00 INCH       PONTOTOC           OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CMS

Special weather statement, Dec 17, 4:14 PM CST, 8 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
414 PM CST Fri Dec 17 2021

TXZ086-089-090-172245-
Clay TX-Wichita TX-Archer TX-
414 PM CST Fri Dec 17 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of west central Clay,
northeastern Archer and southeastern Wichita Counties through 445 PM
CST...

At 414 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6
miles northwest of Archer City, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Wichita Falls, Archer City, Holliday, Scotland, northern Lake
Arrowhead, Lake Kickapoo and Lakeside City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3353 9869 3367 9883 3396 9852 3376 9830
TIME...MOT...LOC 2214Z 228DEG 26KT 3366 9870

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Zwink

The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 17, 7:42 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Garvin	33 min
Dec 17, 2:47 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Garvin	28 min
Dec 17, 3:06 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Seminole	24 min
Dec 17, 3:16 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Pontotoc	29 min
Dec 17, 3:18 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Cotton, Jefferson	42 min
Dec 17, 3:28 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Hughes, Pontotoc, Seminole	47 min
Dec 17, 3:58 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Jefferson, Stephens	47 min
Dec 17, 4:10 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Hughes, Pontotoc, Seminole	50 min
Dec 17, 4:31 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Murray	29 min
Dec 17, 4:41 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Carter, Jefferson	49 min
Dec 17, 5:02 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Hughes	28 min
Dec 17, 5:04 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Murray	26 min
Dec 17, 5:14 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Garvin, Murray, Pontotoc	46 min
Dec 17, 5:22 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	OUN	McClain	23 min
Dec 17, 5:27 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Carter, Murray	48 min
Dec 17, 5:34 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Cleveland, Garvin, McClain	41 min
Dec 17, 5:37 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Jefferson	23 min
Dec 17, 5:42 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Hughes	33 min
Dec 17, 5:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Coal, Hughes, Pontotoc, Seminole	48 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2021 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.