Special Weather Statement, NWS New York, NY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
1057 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front slowly approaches from the north tonight, stalling over
the area. The front then lifts back north on Thursday. Elsa
approaches us through the day Thursday and impacts the region mainly
Thursday night and Friday. Please refer to the latest forecast and
track information on Elsa from the National Hurricane Center. Weak
high pressure briefly builds in this weekend before a warm front
moves in and pushes north of the area early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
First threat of showers and thunderstorms is early this evening,
well ahead of an approaching cold front from the north. Storms will
be potentially severe during this time with plenty of CAPE early on.
Main threat from these storms would be with wind gusts, but large
hail is also not out of the question. For the rest of the night, the
cold front eventually moves into the Tri-State area. A shortwave
also approaches from the SW late at night. With some elevated CAPE
around, this will maintain chance of showers and storms overnight.
Warm and muggy conditions continue overnight with lows generally in
the 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
The stationary front shifts back north as a warm front in the
morning. This will lessen the potential of boundary-influenced
moisture convergence in the area. Shower chances will however
increase through the day along with a chance of thunderstorms. Best
chances will be over the NW zones where synoptic scale lift
increases late in the day ahead of the right-entrance quadrant of an
upper jet streak. This jet streak will probably have greater
influence over the NW half of the forecast area into Thursday night.
PWATs increase to around 2 inches so heavy downpours will be
possible. Then late at night with the approach of Elsa, even greater
chances of heavy downpours. A flash flood watch now begins during
the late night hours for all but eastern LI and SE CT.

Regarding heat headlines, have gone a little below NBM deterministic
guidance for high temps since based on temps aloft and partly to
mostly cloudy conditions. Combined with the dewpoints, heat index
values for portions of Union and Essex Counties reach 95-97, but not
more than half than any one forecast zone. Not enough confidence to
extend the heat advisory in the areas into Thursday, especially
considering the potential cloud cover.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Elsa or remnants of Elsa pass over or nearby the forecast area
Friday morning with the Flash Flood Watch continuing through
the morning hours. See the hydrology section for more details on
impacts from the rain. Winds will pickup for a short time
Friday morning as they shift more east, then finally west to
northwest in most areas by noon. Rain chances and wind then
drop off in the afternoon and evening hours. Please refer to
the latest forecast and track information on Elsa from the
National Hurricane Center.

Upr ridge builds over the Atlc thru the long term. This will
result in a warming trend and increasing chances for shwrs and
tstms. Southwest flow aloft tends to favor interior/wrn zones
for best pcpn chances, but there is some uncertainty wrt the the
position of the ridge and the track and timing of the
associated upr low. The cwa could be close enough to the storm
track on the nrn periphery of the ridge to produce several
rounds of active wx. On the other hand, a drier scenario would
favor a few airmass tstms each day mainly over the interior. For
now, the blended approach was taken and the NBM followed.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A weak cold front approaches the region from the north this evening,
then weakens over the area on Thu.

Mainly VFR thru the TAF period. The threat for showers and
thunderstorms has generally ended for tonight, with just a very
low chance of a shower or thunderstorm developing, except for
KSWF, where VCTS is still possible due to the large area of
showers and thunderstorms that will pass just to the west of the
terminal.

Some patchy fog is possible in the outlying airports after 05Z,
with the highest probability of occurrence for eastern
terminals.

Increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms on Thursday.
VCSH from 12Z to 18Z, then VCTS from 18Z onward. However, VCTS
is possible from the 12Z to 18Z timeframe.

SW winds this eve, then winds become lgt and vrb overnight.
Strengthening S/SE flow on Thu.

     NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Amendments likely for thunderstorm uncertainty.

.OUTLOOK FOR 00Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

.Thu night...VFR, becoming MVFR to IFR with shwrs and tstms
possible.
.Fri...Elsa impacts possible. MVFR or lower likely. Locally hvy rain
and embedded tstms possible.
.Sat...Mainly VFR but isold shwrs and tstms possible.
.Sun...Chances for shwrs and tstms.
.Mon...Chances for shwrs and tstms.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&

.MARINE...
Sub-advisory conditions remain on all waters tonight. Southerly winds
ahead of Elsa's approach then begin to increase on Thursday into
Thursday night. At least SCA conds are probable Thursday
evening with potentially stronger winds for late Thursday night
into Friday as Elsa passes through or nearby.

Please refer to the latest forecast and track information on Elsa
from the National Hurricane Center.

Seas on the ocean will subside on Sat, with waves blw 5 ft expected
by Sat ngt attm. Winds will be blw sca lvls on all waters Sun-Tue.
Seas on the ocean may touch 5 ft at times Sun and Mon.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Minor flooding is possible with any storms this afternoon and
evening.

Flooding is possible late Thursday through Friday with periods of
rain and potential thunderstorms. 2 to 3 inches of rainfall
with locally higher amounts possible during this time. Areas of
poor drainage/urban flooding are likely, with potential for
some areas of flash flooding and flooding of fast reacting
small rivers and streams.

No hydrologic concerns from Saturday through Wednesday.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
There remains a high risk of rip currents at ocean beaches through
Thursday. Surf height of around 3 to 5 ft is expected through
Thursday due to 3 to 5 ft southerly wind waves mixed with
background long period SE swells. Dangerous rip currents are
likely to continue on Friday.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Tropical Storm Watch for CTZ008-010>012.
     Flash Flood Watch from late Thursday night through Friday
     morning for CTZ005-006-009-010.
NY...Tropical Storm Watch for NYZ078>081-179.
     Flash Flood Watch from late Thursday night through Friday
     morning for NYZ067>075-176>179.
     High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening for NYZ075-080-
     081-178-179.
NJ...Flash Flood Watch from late Thursday night through Friday
     morning for NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...Tropical Storm Watch for ANZ331-332-340-345-350-353-355.
&&

SYNOPSIS...JC/BG
NEAR TERM...JC
SHORT TERM...JC
LONG TERM...JMC/BG
AVIATION...JP
MARINE...JMC/JC/BG
HYDROLOGY...JC/BG
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
553 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

NYZ075-178-082200-
Kings (Brooklyn)-Southern Queens-
553 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 344 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Heat Advisory.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Flash Flood Watch.

Dangerous rip currents are also expected at ocean beaches on Friday.

Flash flooding is possible late Thursday through Friday evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ179-082200-
Southern Nassau-
553 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 344 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Heat Advisory.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
   Tropical Storm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Tropical Storm Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.

Dangerous rip currents are also expected at ocean beaches on Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ080-082200-
Southwest Suffolk-
553 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 344 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Heat Advisory.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
   Tropical Storm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Tropical Storm Watch.

Dangerous rip currents are also expected at ocean beaches on Friday.

Flash flooding is possible late Thursday night through Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ081-082200-
Southeast Suffolk-
553 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 344 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
   Tropical Storm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Tropical Storm Watch.

Dangerous rip currents are expected at ocean beaches on Friday.

Flash flooding is possible late Thursday night through Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ005-006-009-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>074-176-177-082200-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Southern Fairfield-
Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-
Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-
New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Northern Queens-
Northern Nassau-
553 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 344 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ007-082200-
Northern Middlesex-
553 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 344 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Flash flooding is possible late Thursday night through Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ008-011-012-NYZ079-082200-
Northern New London-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-
Northeast Suffolk-
553 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 344 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
   Tropical Storm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Watch.

Flash flooding is possible late Thursday night through Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ078-082200-
Northwest Suffolk-
553 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 344 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
   Tropical Storm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Watch.

Flash flooding is possible late Thursday night through Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ010-082200-
Southern New Haven-
553 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 344 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
   Tropical Storm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ331-332-340-345-350-353-355-082200-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the
Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
553 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 344 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
   Tropical Storm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Watch.

Tropical storm conditions are possible for the eastern waters late
Thursday Night into Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ335-338-082200-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-
553 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 344 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Tropical storm conditions are possible for the eastern waters late
Thursday Night into Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
802 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

CTZ005-080045-
Northern Fairfield-
802 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL FAIRFIELD
COUNTY...

At 802 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Wingdale, or
near Pawling, moving east at 20 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

This storm will be near...
  New Fairfield around 815 PM EDT.
  Sherman around 820 PM EDT.

LAT...LON 4166 7350 4166 7349 4165 7349 4164 7350
      4153 7345 4150 7344 4150 7343 4151 7339
      4149 7337 4150 7353 4167 7352
TIME...MOT...LOC 0002Z 271DEG 19KT 4162 7363

NV

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
906 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

CTZ007-008-080145-
Northern New London-Northern Middlesex-
906 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN NEW LONDON AND
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX COUNTIES...

At 906 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over New Britain,
moving southeast at 20 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

This storm will be near...
  Middletown and Middlefield around 915 PM EDT.
  Cromwell around 925 PM EDT.
  East Hampton and Portland around 935 PM EDT.
  East Haddam and Haddam around 945 PM EDT.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 4164 7229 4140 7243 4153 7275 4159 7275
      4161 7272 4163 7271 4164 7263 4163 7262
      4165 7250 4158 7246 4159 7242 4160 7241
      4159 7239 4160 7238 4160 7234 4161 7233
      4164 7233 4165 7232
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 293DEG 18KT 4165 7276

NV

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
941 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

CTZ006-080230-
Northern New Haven-
941 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN NEW HAVEN COUNTY...

At 941 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Oakville, or 7
miles northwest of Waterbury, moving east at 20 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

This storm will be near...
  Middlebury around 955 PM EDT.
  Waterbury and Naugatuck around 1000 PM EDT.
  Prospect around 1005 PM EDT.
  Wolcott and Cheshire around 1010 PM EDT.
  Hamden around 1020 PM EDT.
  Meriden and Wallingford around 1030 PM EDT.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 4162 7293 4156 7295 4156 7288 4154 7285
      4157 7284 4157 7283 4155 7282 4157 7280
      4158 7275 4142 7283 4154 7316 4156 7317
      4157 7309 4159 7308 4159 7306 4161 7305
      4162 7302 4163 7302 4164 7295 4164 7294
TIME...MOT...LOC 0141Z 288DEG 19KT 4162 7315

NV

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
1043 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

CTZ005-080330-
Northern Fairfield-
1043 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ...

At 1043 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Wingdale, or
near Sherman, moving northeast at 20 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Sherman.

LAT...LON 4166 7350 4166 7349 4165 7349 4164 7350
      4159 7347 4158 7353 4162 7352 4167 7352
TIME...MOT...LOC 0243Z 244DEG 19KT 4163 7356

NV

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
1119 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

NYZ067-080415-
Orange-
1119 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL ORANGE
COUNTY...

At 1119 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Parksville to Analomink. Movement
was east at 20 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail are possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Middletown, Port Jervis, Walden, Goshen, Howells, Montgomery,
Florida, Cuddebackville, Otisville, Huguenot, Unionville, Scotchtown,
Deerpark, Mechanicstown and Westtown.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 4149 7476 4150 7448 4157 7442 4160 7435
      4160 7433 4163 7426 4163 7425 4160 7425
      4159 7417 4122 7440 4136 7469 4137 7469
      4139 7471 4140 7474 4143 7474 4143 7476
      4145 7476 4146 7475
TIME...MOT...LOC 0319Z 255DEG 19KT 4186 7473 4104 7522

NV

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
1134 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

CTZ005-NYZ067>070-080430-
Northern Fairfield-Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Orange-
1134 PM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL
FAIRFIELD...NORTHERN WESTCHESTER...ORANGE...PUTNAM AND ROCKLAND
COUNTIES...

At 1134 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Olivebridge to near Middletown.
Movement was east at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail are possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Danbury, Newburgh, Middletown, Peekskill, Mount Kisco, Mahopac,
Monroe, Lake Carmel, Walden, West Point, Goshen, Sherman, Brewster,
Cold Spring and Howells.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 4165 7349 4149 7344 4150 7342 4114 7363
      4135 7461 4150 7453 4150 7448 4157 7442
      4163 7426 4160 7425 4158 7413 4161 7413
      4158 7405 4159 7395 4153 7400 4144 7398
      4149 7393 4153 7353 4167 7352
TIME...MOT...LOC 0334Z 282DEG 35KT 4189 7424 4141 7449

NV