Heat Advisory 4, NWS New York, NY

670 
WWUS71 KOKX 150812
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
412 AM EDT Thu Jul 15 2021

NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-152100-
/O.CON.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.210715T1500Z-210717T0000Z/
Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-
Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-
Eastern Union-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-
Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
412 AM EDT Thu Jul 15 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heat index values up to 99 today and heat index values up
  to 103 expected Friday.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New 
  York.

* WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat 
  illnesses to occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest temperatures and heat indices
  are expected between 1 PM and 5 PM each afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heat Advisory is issued when the combination of heat and
humidity is expected to make it feel like it is 95 to 99 degrees
for two or more consecutive days, or 100 to 104 degrees for any
length of time.

Seniors and those with chronic health problems or mental health
conditions are at an increased risk. Homes without air
conditioning can be much hotter than outdoor temperatures.

Use air conditioning to stay cool at home or go to a place that
has air conditioning. Check on vulnerable friends, family members
and neighbors.

To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and
Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency! In cases of heat stroke call 9 1 1.

&&

$$

652 
WWUS71 KOKX 151945
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
345 PM EDT Thu Jul 15 2021

NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ071>075-078-080-176>179-161000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210718T0000Z/
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-
Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-
Southwest Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-
Southern Nassau-
345 PM EDT Thu Jul 15 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heat index values up to 103 Friday and heat index values
  95 to 100 expected Saturday.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New 
  York.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat 
  illnesses to occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest temperatures and heat indices
  are expected between 1 PM and 5 PM each afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heat Advisory is issued when the combination of heat and
humidity is expected to make it feel like it is 95 to 99 degrees
for two or more consecutive days, or 100 to 104 degrees for any
length of time.

Seniors and those with chronic health problems or mental health
conditions are at an increased risk. Homes without air
conditioning can be much hotter than outdoor temperatures.

Use air conditioning to stay cool at home or go to a place that
has air conditioning. Check on vulnerable friends, family members
and neighbors.

To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and
Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency! In cases of heat stroke call 9 1 1.

&&

$$

NJZ002-NYZ079-081-161000-
/O.CON.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210717T0000Z/
Western Passaic-Northeast Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
345 PM EDT Thu Jul 15 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heat index values in the mid to upper 90s.

* WHERE...In New Jersey, Western Passaic County. In New York, 
  Southeast Suffolk and Northeast Suffolk Counties.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat 
  illnesses to occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest temperatures and heat indices
  are expected between 1 PM and 5 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heat Advisory is issued when the combination of heat and
humidity is expected to make it feel like it is 95 to 99 degrees
for two or more consecutive days, or 100 to 104 degrees for any
length of time.

Seniors and those with chronic health problems or mental health
conditions are at an increased risk. Homes without air
conditioning can be much hotter than outdoor temperatures.

Use air conditioning to stay cool at home or go to a place that
has air conditioning. Check on vulnerable friends, family members
and neighbors.

To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and
Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency! In cases of heat stroke call 9 1 1.

&&

$$

245 
WWUS71 KOKX 160737
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
337 AM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ071>075-078-080-176>179-162030-
/O.CON.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210718T0000Z/
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-
Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-
Southwest Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-
Southern Nassau-
337 AM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heat index values up to 101 today and heat index values 
  95 to 100 expected Saturday.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New 
  York.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat 
  illnesses to occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest temperatures and heat indices
  are expected between 1 PM and 5 PM each afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heat Advisory is issued when the combination of heat and
humidity is expected to make it feel like it is 95 to 99 degrees
for two or more consecutive days, or 100 to 104 degrees for any
length of time.

Seniors and those with chronic health problems or mental health
conditions are at an increased risk. Homes without air
conditioning can be much hotter than outdoor temperatures.

Use air conditioning to stay cool at home or go to a place that
has air conditioning. Check on vulnerable friends, family members
and neighbors.

To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and
Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency! In cases of heat stroke call 9 1 1.

&&

$$

NJZ002-NYZ079-081-162030-
/O.CON.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210717T0000Z/
Western Passaic-Northeast Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
337 AM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Heat index values in the mid to upper 90s.

* WHERE...In New Jersey, Western Passaic County. In New York, 
  Southeast Suffolk and Northeast Suffolk Counties.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat 
  illnesses to occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest temperatures and heat indices
  are expected between 1 PM and 5 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heat Advisory is issued when the combination of heat and
humidity is expected to make it feel like it is 95 to 99 degrees
for two or more consecutive days, or 100 to 104 degrees for any
length of time.

Seniors and those with chronic health problems or mental health
conditions are at an increased risk. Homes without air
conditioning can be much hotter than outdoor temperatures.

Use air conditioning to stay cool at home or go to a place that
has air conditioning. Check on vulnerable friends, family members
and neighbors.

To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and
Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency! In cases of heat stroke call 9 1 1.

&&

$$

105 
WWUS71 KOKX 161913
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
313 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

NYZ078-080-170000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210717T0000Z/
Northwest Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-
313 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Heat index values up to 100 today.

* WHERE...Western Suffolk County.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat 
  illnesses to occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest temperatures and heat indices 
  are expected between 1 PM and 5 PM each afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heat Advisory is issued when the combination of heat and
humidity is expected to make it feel like it is 95 to 99 degrees
for two or more consecutive days, or 100 to 104 degrees for any
length of time.

Seniors and those with chronic health problems or mental health
conditions are at an increased risk. Homes without air
conditioning can be much hotter than outdoor temperatures.

Use air conditioning to stay cool at home or go to a place that
has air conditioning. Check on vulnerable friends, family members
and neighbors.

To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and
Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency! In cases of heat stroke call 9 1 1.

&&

$$

NJZ002-NYZ079-081-170000-
/O.CON.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210717T0000Z/
Western Passaic-Northeast Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
313 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Heat index values in the mid to upper 90s.

* WHERE...In New Jersey, Western Passaic County. In New York, 
  Southeast Suffolk and Northeast Suffolk Counties.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat 
  illnesses to occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest temperatures and heat indices 
  are expected between 1 PM and 5 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heat Advisory is issued when the combination of heat and
humidity is expected to make it feel like it is 95 to 99 degrees
for two or more consecutive days, or 100 to 104 degrees for any
length of time.

Seniors and those with chronic health problems or mental health
conditions are at an increased risk. Homes without air
conditioning can be much hotter than outdoor temperatures.

Use air conditioning to stay cool at home or go to a place that
has air conditioning. Check on vulnerable friends, family members
and neighbors.

To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and
Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency! In cases of heat stroke call 9 1 1.

&&

$$

NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ071>075-176>179-170100-
/O.CON.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210718T0000Z/
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-
Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-
Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
313 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heat index values up to 100 today and heat index values
  95 to 98 expected Saturday.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New 
  York.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat 
  illnesses to occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest temperatures and heat indices 
  are expected between 1 PM and 5 PM each afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heat Advisory is issued when the combination of heat and
humidity is expected to make it feel like it is 95 to 99 degrees
for two or more consecutive days, or 100 to 104 degrees for any
length of time.

Seniors and those with chronic health problems or mental health
conditions are at an increased risk. Homes without air
conditioning can be much hotter than outdoor temperatures.

Use air conditioning to stay cool at home or go to a place that
has air conditioning. Check on vulnerable friends, family members
and neighbors.

To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and
Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency! In cases of heat stroke call 9 1 1.

&&

$$

843 
WWUS71 KOKX 170011
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
811 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

NJZ002-NYZ078>081-170115-
/O.EXP.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210717T0000Z/
Western Passaic-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-
Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
811 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

High temperatures on Saturday will reach the mid and upper 80s,
with heat index values remaining lower than 95. 

$$

NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ071>075-176>179-170900-
/O.CON.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210718T0000Z/
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-
Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-
Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
811 PM EDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heat index values in the upper 90s expected on Saturday. 

* WHERE...Most of northeast New Jersey, all five boroughs of New
  York City, and southern Westchester and Nassau counties. 

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Heat and humidity may cause heat illnesses to occur. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Highest temperatures and heat index values
  expected between 1 PM and 5 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seniors and those with chronic health problems or mental health 
conditions are at an increased risk. Homes without air 
conditioning can be much hotter than outdoor temperatures.

Use air conditioning to stay cool at home or go to a place that
has air conditioning. Check on vulnerable friends, family members
and neighbors.

To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and
Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency! In cases of heat stroke call 9 1 1.

&&

$$

824 
WWUS71 KOKX 170730
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
330 AM EDT Sat Jul 17 2021

NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ071>075-176>179-172030-
/O.CON.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210718T0000Z/
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-
Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-
Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
330 AM EDT Sat Jul 17 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Heat index values in the upper 90s.

* WHERE...Portions of northeastern New Jersey and southeastern 
  New York.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Heat and high humidity may cause heat illnesses to 
  occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Highest temperatures and heat index values
  expected between 1 PM and 5 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heat Advisory is issued when the combination of heat and
humidity is expected to make it feel like it is 95 to 99 degrees
for two or more consecutive days, or 100 to 104 degrees for any
length of time.

Seniors and those with chronic health problems or mental health
conditions are at an increased risk. Homes without air
conditioning can be much hotter than outdoor temperatures.

Use air conditioning to stay cool at home or go to a place that
has air conditioning. Check on vulnerable friends, family members
and neighbors.

To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and
Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency! In cases of heat stroke call 9 1 1.

&&

$$

709 
WWUS71 KOKX 171701
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
101 PM EDT Sat Jul 17 2021

CTZ005>007-009>011-NYZ069-070-078>081-172300-
/O.EXB.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210717T2300Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-
Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
101 PM EDT Sat Jul 17 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Heat index values in the mid 90s to near 100.

* WHERE...Portions of Southern Connecticut and Southeastern New 
  York.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Heat and high humidity may cause heat illnesses to
  occur.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heat Advisory is issued when the combination of heat and
humidity is expected to make it feel like it is 95 to 99 degrees
for two or more consecutive days, or 100 to 104 degrees for any
length of time.

Seniors and those with chronic health problems or mental health
conditions are at an increased risk. Homes without air
conditioning can be much hotter than outdoor temperatures.

Use air conditioning to stay cool at home or go to a place that
has air conditioning. Check on vulnerable friends, family members
and neighbors.

To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and
Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency! In cases of heat stroke call 9 1 1.

&&

$$

NJZ002-180000-
/O.EXA.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210718T0000Z/
Western Passaic-
101 PM EDT Sat Jul 17 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Heat index values in the mid 90s.

* WHERE...Western Passaic County New Jersey.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Heat and high humidity may cause heat illnesses to
  occur.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heat Advisory is issued when the combination of heat and
humidity is expected to make it feel like it is 95 to 99 degrees
for two or more consecutive days, or 100 to 104 degrees for any
length of time.

Seniors and those with chronic health problems or mental health
conditions are at an increased risk. Homes without air
conditioning can be much hotter than outdoor temperatures.

Use air conditioning to stay cool at home or go to a place that
has air conditioning. Check on vulnerable friends, family members
and neighbors.

To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and
Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency! In cases of heat stroke call 9 1 1.

&&

$$

NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ071>075-176>179-180000-
/O.CON.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210718T0000Z/
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-
Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-
Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
101 PM EDT Sat Jul 17 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Heat index values in the mid 90s to near 100.

* WHERE...Portions of Northeastern New Jersey and Southeastern 
  New York.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Heat and high humidity may cause heat illnesses to 
  occur.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heat Advisory is issued when the combination of heat and
humidity is expected to make it feel like it is 95 to 99 degrees
for two or more consecutive days, or 100 to 104 degrees for any
length of time.

Seniors and those with chronic health problems or mental health
conditions are at an increased risk. Homes without air
conditioning can be much hotter than outdoor temperatures.

Use air conditioning to stay cool at home or go to a place that
has air conditioning. Check on vulnerable friends, family members
and neighbors.

To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and
Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency! In cases of heat stroke call 9 1 1.

&&

$$

563 
WWUS71 KOKX 172233
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
633 PM EDT Sat Jul 17 2021

CTZ005>007-009>011-NYZ069-070-078>081-172345-
/O.CAN.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210717T2300Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-
Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
633 PM EDT Sat Jul 17 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Heat indices are below 95 degrees and are expected to remain below
95 degrees.

$$

NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ071>075-176>179-172345-
/O.CAN.KOKX.HT.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210718T0000Z/
Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-
Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-
Eastern Union-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-
Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
633 PM EDT Sat Jul 17 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Heat indices are below 95 degrees and are expected to remain below
95 degrees.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
158 PM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front lifts north of the region this morning. A weak
surface trough passes across the region this evening. High
pressure over the Western Atlantic will then be in control on
Thursday. A slow moving frontal boundary approaches from the
west on Friday into this weekend. The front is forecast to
slowly move east of the region by early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
The warm front is nearing Long Island and southern New York this
morning and is expected to lift to the north later today.

Partly to mostly sunny conditions are expected for much of the
region this afternoon. This will lead to a much warmer day with
temperatures warming well into the 80s except the southeast
coasts where onshore flow may keep readings in the upper 70s.
The usual warmer spots of urban NE NJ and the NYC metro should
reach around 90 degrees for high temperatures. These
temperatures combined with dew points 68 to 72 will lead to heat
indices 91-94 in the warmest spots of the NYC metro and NE NJ.
There may be a few isolated locations that observe a heat index
of 95 this afternoon, but it does not look widespread.

A weak middle level shortwave approaches late in the day. A
surface trough will result as well. The combination of these
features could develop a few showers and thunderstorms late this
afternoon and evening. The lift does not seem too impressive
and the 00z high res models (CAMS) are not showing widespread
coverage. CAPE values 1000- 1500 are indicated by forecast
soundings along with effective shear values around 20-25 kt. One
potential negating factor is a cap around 750-850 mb. Have
limited PoPs to chance late this afternoon and evening given the
expected lower coverage. A severe storm cannot be ruled out
with the main threat damaging winds. SPC has continued with a
marginal risk for much of the region.

The slow movement of the surface trough to the east supports a
slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, mainly east of the Hudson
River through about 06z. Partly cloudy skies should otherwise
prevail with a slight drop in low level moisture expected once the
trough moves offshore. Lows will be in the upper 60s to lower
70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
There is not much change to the large scale pattern on Thursday,
with a upper ridge over the eastern seaboard and surface high
pressure over the Western Atlantic. There does appear to be a
slight drop of about 1-2 degrees in 850 temperatures compared
to Wednesday. Thursday will be dry with no discernible feature
to support any shower or thunderstorm. It will be warm and humid
with high temperatures in the upper 80s to lower 90s, warmest
in urban NE NJ and the NYC metro. Dew points should start out in
the lower 70s, but mixing in the afternoon could lower them to
67-69. Max heat indices in the afternoon look to fall just short
of 95, except isolated portions of Union County. Trends in
temperatures and dew points will need to be watched as any
increase would bring a more widespread 95- 98 heat index.

Friday will be the warmest day this week as 850 mb temperatures
are progged to range from 18-19C. 500 mb heights also look to
rise to around 590dm. A continuation of SW flow around the
periphery of the surface high and offshore ridge should also
bring dew points in the low to mid 70s. This yields a more
widespread maximum heat index in the middle to upper 90s, with
portions of Urban NE NJ and the NYC metro possibly reaching
around 100. No heat advisory has been issued at this time.
However, if Thursday ends up warmer than current anticipated a
heat advisory would be needed for at least NE NJ, the NYC metro,
and portions of the Lower Hudson Valley and SW CT.

There is a chance of afternoon/evening convection, but with the
main upper trough and frontal boundary well to the west, have
capped PoPs at slight to chance. Some of the 00z models keep any
convection well to the north and west Friday afternoon/evening,
likely due to the high heights nearby and weak shear around 15
kt.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
No significant changes in the long term, with just some minor
adjustments, mainly to POPs. Generally, forecast is close to the
latest NBM guidance.

Friday night, while it should be mostly dry, can not rule out some
leftover showers continuing into the overnight hours. It will
remain mild with lows only in the 70s.

For Saturday, the mid level ridge will be farther offshore and a
deeper mid level trough moves into the local area. A cold front at
the surface will be approaching and eventually moving into the
region towards the latter part of the weekend. 850mb temperatures
are forecast to be near 18 to 19 degrees C Saturday from a model
consensus. The trough moves farther southward into the region
Sunday. The height falls this weekend aloft will allow for
convection to more easily develop and increase in coverage
especially with the cold front moving into the region. 850mb
temperatures lower a few degrees Sunday compared to the previous
day. At the surface, chances of showers and thunderstorms are in the
forecast for the weekend with highest likelihood Saturday afternoon
into Saturday evening and then Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening.
Highs forecast are in the mid 80s to near 90 for Saturday and low to
mid 80s for Sunday. Temperature forecast is of low confidence due to
the increasing amount of showers and thunderstorms expected.
Temperatures could be cooler than forecast depending on the duration
and frequency of shower and thunderstorm activity. See hydro section
for more details this weekend on potential hydrology issues for
possible minor flooding with thunderstorms.

For early next week, the trough axis will be near the local region
and is expected to move east of the region next Tuesday. At the
surface, the cold front is eventually expected to move across Monday
but may linger nearby going into Tuesday. Highs forecast stay mainly
in the 80s with chances of showers Monday but only a slight chance
of showers next Tuesday. Not as much instability is forecast so
thunderstorms for this time period are a slight chance.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A warm front will slowly move north this afternoon. Weak high
pressure builds toward the region Wednesday night.

Conditions are VFR across the metro terminals and should remain
VFR (outside of any showers and thunderstorms) through the TAF
period. Elsewhere, KISP is MVFR, while KGON is LIFR. VFR
conditions should return to KISP by 18Z-19Z, while KGON will
take until around 21 to become VFR. However, there is a low
chance that KGON remains below VFR the rest of the afternoon.

Outlying terminals may come back down to MVFR or lower tonight
(mainly KGON, KHPN, and KSWF) in low stratus and fog, with the
best chances for KGON. This may occur 04Z or later tonight.

There is a chance of showers and thunderstorms late in this
afternoon into the early evening, and mainly from the New York
City terminals, west and north. Local MVFR to IFR conditions are
possible with the showers and thunderstorms.

Light S to SW this afternoon 10 kt or less. Winds then shift to
the W and even NW late tonight into early Thursday morning.
Again, winds will be 10 kt or less, and may even go light and
variable, even in the metro terminals.

     NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Areal coverage and timing of thunderstorms this afternoon
remains somewhat uncertain. Best timing in the city looks to be
between 22z and 02z.

.OUTLOOK FOR 18Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
.Thursday...Mainly VFR.
.Friday-Saturday...Mainly VFR. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
.Sunday-Monday...MVFR/IFR possible in showers and
thunderstorms.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&

.MARINE...
Have issued a marine weather statement for patchy dense fog less
than 1 nm through 14z. There should be some improvement from
west to east as the warm front lifts to the north. Will have to
monitor observations and webcams this morning as some of the fog
could linger across the eastern LI sound and eastern LI bays as
the front may take longest to clear these waters.

Sub-SCA conditions through the weekend with a relatively weak
pressure gradient in place.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A few showers and thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon
into this evening. They should be moving relatively quickly with
only minor urban flooding possible.

Showers and thunderstorms are possible this weekend. Training of
cells is possible, plus PWATS near 2 inches point to possible
minor flooding with any thunderstorms.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
There is a moderate risk of rip currents at the ocean beaches
on today. There is a low risk of rip currents at the ocean
beaches on Thursday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
The monthly rainfall total for July at Central Park is 8.49
inches. With more than half the month to go, this is already the
7th highest July rainfall of record for the Park.

The all-time record July rainfall for the Park is 11.89 inches,
set in 1889. The monthly record could be in jeopardy later this
month given a unanimous consensus of the latest
GFS/ECMWF/Canadian model long-range ensemble forecasts.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BC/DS
NEAR TERM...DJ/DS
SHORT TERM...DS
LONG TERM...BC
AVIATION...JP
MARINE...BC/DS
HYDROLOGY...BC/DS
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...BC
CLIMATE...

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
337 AM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-150745-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic-
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-
Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-
Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
337 AM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time that would meet NWS
warning criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-150745-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the
Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
337 AM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time that would meet NWS
warning criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.