River Flood Advisory 66, NWS Nashville, TN

840 
WGUS84 KOHX 301802
FLSOHX

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Nashville TN
102 PM CDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...The Flood Advisory is expired for the following rivers in 
Tennessee...

  Harpeth River Near Kingston Springs affecting Cheatham County.

TNC021-301915-
/O.EXP.KOHX.FL.Y.0066.000000T0000Z-210330T1800Z/
/KINT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
102 PM CDT Tue Mar 30 2021

...The Flood Advisory for the Harpeth River Near Kingston Springs 
has expired.

* At 12:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 16 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:00 AM CDT Tuesday was 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 7.7 feet Saturday 
  evening.


&&

LAT...LON 3629 8712 3617 8710 3613 8700 3604 8704
      3614 8724 3631 8720

$$

Whitehead

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
307 AM CDT Tue Mar 30 2021

.DISCUSSION...

Clear skies overnight with morning low temperatures in the lower
to middle 40s. Skies will be mostly sunny during the morning hours
with clouds increasing this afternoon a head of the next frontal
system. The short term models are in excellent agreement that a
longwave troughs will move through the central US. This will once
again turn the winds southerly and open up the Gulf of Mexico
moisture. A flash flood watch is in effect from this evening
through early Thursday morning. Total rainfall looks to range from
around 1" northwest to 2.25" southeast. Several rivers are
already running high so any additional rainfall could exasperate
the local streams and creeks.

Temperatures today will warm nicely with highs in the lower middle
70s. Once the trough comes through there will be sharp drop in
temperatures. Highs tomorrow will be 10 to 25 degrees cooler than
today. Overnight lows Wednesday night/Thursday morning will be in
the upper 20s to around 30s and even colder the next night. Those
that may have planted already should pay attention. Since the
growing season has started outside of the Cumberland Plateau some
sort of NPW will be needed...but will wait until the rainfall at
least gets starts.

The extended models are not in as good of agreement. The GFS has a
broad trough moving through the Central US past the end of the
current extended forecast while the EURO is much slower. Have
included a small chance for pops next Tuesday. Temperatures will
rebound from the frigid temperatures after the cold front.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR conditions are expected this TAF period. Light south to
southeast winds and only a few cirrus clouds will be seen early in
the TAF period, but winds will increase substantially by/after 15Z
with gusts near/over 20 kts at times. Increasing low to mid level
clouds and -SHRA will arrive at airports between 30/22Z to 31/01Z
and continue past the current TAF period, with a few TS possible
Tuesday evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      76  51  54  31  51 /  10  90  80  10   0
Clarksville    75  46  51  28  48 /  40 100  60  10   0
Crossville     71  57  60  28  43 /   0 100 100  30   0
Columbia       74  52  53  30  50 /  30  90  80  10   0
Lawrenceburg   74  55  57  30  50 /  20  90  90  10   0
Waverly        75  46  50  30  49 /  70  90  80  10   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch from this evening through late Wednesday night
for Bedford-Cannon-Cheatham-Clay-Coffee-Cumberland-Davidson-De
Kalb-Dickson-Fentress-Giles-Grundy-Hickman-Houston-Humphreys-
Jackson-Lawrence-Lewis-Macon-Marshall-Maury-Montgomery-Overton-
Perry-Pickett-Putnam-Robertson-Rutherford-Smith-Stewart-Sumner-
Trousdale-Van Buren-Warren-Wayne-White-Williamson-Wilson.

&&

DISCUSSION......12
AVIATION........Shamburger

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
506 AM CDT Tue Mar 30 2021

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-311015-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-Jackson-
Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-Coffee-
Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
506 AM CDT Tue Mar 30 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middle Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Flooding along many rivers and streams is ongoing as a result of
weekend rainfall event.

Some strong to severe thunderstorms may be possible for locations
approaching central and western portions of Tennessee River Valley
Region tonight. Main concern will be damaging winds.

A flash flood watch is in effect for all of middle Tennessee starting
this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Several river and stream levels will remain elevated through at
least midweek, some continuing through Sunday...with some warnings
and advisories continuing also.

Some strong to severe thunderstorms may be possible for locations
approaching central and western portions of Tennessee River Valley
Region through early Wednesday morning. Main concern will be
damaging winds.

A flash flood watch is in effect for all of Middle Tennessee through
Wednesday evening. With already significant saturated ground
conditions, 1 to 2 inches...with locally higher amounts around 3
inches...of rainfall possible. Rainfall will cause excess runoff and
localized flash flooding, including adding additional water level
rises on already elevated area rivers and creeks.

It is expected to turn colder late week with several frosty nights.
A widespread freeze is expected Thursday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed. Please relay any
information about observed severe weather to the NWS while following
all local, state, and CDC guidelines.

12