River Flood Advisory 31, NWS Nashville, TN

006 
WGUS84 KOHX 181730
FLSOHX

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1230 PM CDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...The Flood Advisory is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...Tennessee...

  Shoal Creek Near Iron City affecting Lauderdale and Lawrence 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Advisory means river or stream flows are elevated, or 
ponding of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.


ALC077-TNC099-182100-
/O.EXT.KOHX.FL.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-210318T2100Z/
/IRCT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1230 PM CDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...The Flood Advisory is now in effect until late this afternoon...

The Flood Advisory continues for
  the Shoal Creek Near Iron City.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 11:30 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 10.2 feet and falling.
* Action stage is 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to continue falling this 
  afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 3515 8747 3510 8741 3500 8756 3486 8754
      3485 8760 3500 8763

$$

CMA

289 
WGUS84 KOHX 181857
FLSOHX

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Nashville TN
157 PM CDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...The Flood Advisory is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Alabama...Tennessee...

  Shoal Creek Near Iron City affecting Lauderdale and Lawrence 
  Counties.

ALC077-TNC099-182000-
/O.CAN.KOHX.FL.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-210318T1857Z/
/IRCT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
157 PM CDT Thu Mar 18 2021

...The Flood Advisory for the Shoal Creek Near Iron City has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Advisory is cancelled for
  the Shoal Creek Near Iron City.
* At 1:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 9.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to continue to fall.


&&

LAT...LON 3515 8747 3510 8741 3500 8756 3486 8754
      3485 8760 3500 8763

$$

CMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
654 AM CDT Thu Mar 18 2021

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

The warm front struggled to move its way north earlier in the day
yesterday, which prevented more unstable air from reaching the
mid state. All of the rain earlier in the day cooled the surface
as well and kept surface temperatures cooler even when the wind
shift of the warm front moved through in the evening. Showers are
ongoing early this morning as the upper low works its way eastward
across the MS River Valley. As the upper low continues east, we
are going to get a short break in rain chances later in the
morning but will move back in during the late morning and
afternoon. Winds will pick up as the surface pressure gradient
increases behind the cold front today, so southwesterly winds
around 10-20 mph and gusts up to around 30 mph will be possible
during the daytime hours. As a result, the temperatures will
fall from late morning through the afternoon, and high temps will
be in the morning. On Friday, we will be on the backside of the
upper low, and strong northerly flow will keep temps cool with
highs only in the low 50s for most under drier conditions.

The weekend will see an increase in temperatures as upper ridging
works its way over the region. But, before that, the CAA behind
the trough will bring near freezing temps across the mid state
Saturday morning and even Sunday morning. High temps will be on
the rise in the low 60s Saturday and upper 60s Sunday, and dry.
Warming trend will continue to start the work week with highs
Monday around 70 for most. Next chance for rain will move in later
in the day on Tuesday with a Plains trough which has been further
south over the past few model runs. Models also want to keep an
active pattern through the week, with additional shortwaves
bringing chances for showers and even some thunderstorms Wednesday
through early Friday. Agreement between the models is low past
Wednesday though, so wont put too much weight on any solution, but
the active pattern should continue up to next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Showers will continue off an on for CSV this morning. Other sites
will see vicinity showers later today. Cigs will fall in and out
of IFR heights today and then likely stay low overnight tonight.
Winds will be gusty around 10 to 15 knots out of the southwest
throughout the taf period.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

DISCUSSION......Barnwell
AVIATION........11

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
521 AM CDT Thu Mar 18 2021

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-191030-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-Jackson-
Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-Coffee-
Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
521 AM CDT Thu Mar 18 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middle Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

06