River Flood Advisory 108, NWS Nashville, TN

207 
WGUS84 KOHX 210110
FLSOHX

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Nashville TN
810 PM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

...The Flood Advisory is replaced with a River Flood Warning for the 
following rivers in Tennessee...

  Duck River At Centerville affecting Hickman County.

TNC081-210215-
/O.CAN.KOHX.FL.Y.0108.000000T0000Z-210921T0110Z/
/CNVT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
810 PM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

...The Flood Advisory for the Duck River At Centerville has been 
replaced...

The Flood Advisory is replaced by a river flood warning for
  the Duck River At Centerville.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 21.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.0 feet 
  early Wednesday morning. It will then fall below flood stage early 
  Thursday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3582 8776 3592 8765 3577 8721 3566 8732

$$

Rose

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
158 PM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

.DISCUSSION...

Just a couple more days of wet weather and then a lengthy dry
spell sets in for the weekend and into next week. Radar trends for
this afternoon show decreasing coverage across the I-65 corridor
where the bulk of the rain fell today, but still a few moderate
rain showers with isolated lightning strikes between I-65 and the
Tennessee River that may cause some minor flooding issue into the
early evening hours. HRRR guidance depicts this scenario, with
activity really coming to an end about 00Z. The Flash Flood Watch
for the entire mid-state will be allowed to expire at 7pm this
evening unless something changes.

Short-term guidance shows a fairly dry overnight and early
morning, with showers and thunderstorm chances returning again by
noon and persisting into the evening. It doesn't look like
coverage and intensity will be like what we have seen the last
couple of days until the evening hours when a cold front
approaches the area. Along this front heavy rain is likely, as
precipitable water values remain unseasonably high near 2 inches
and CAPE values peak around 1000 J/kg. A Flash Flood Watch may
need to be issued during the mid-shift or early tomorrow for this
time period as any intense downpour will likely cause some
flooding issues given the soil saturation. A few strong storms
with gusty winds can also be expected Tuesday evening.

Light to moderate rain showers will persist through Wednesday as
the upper trough moves across the mid-south. A steady northwest
flow should keep highs in the mid-upper 60s for most areas along
with a steady northwest wind of 10-20 mph. Dig out that jacket you
put away in the spring. Come Thursday, abundant sunshine returns
and afternoon temperatures slowly warm back into the 70s through
the weekend, with low 80s possible by Monday next week. Overnight
lows are a bit brisk with 40s for Wednesday night and Thursday
night, and 50s through the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Showers will continue to impact the terminals through the
afternoon before dissipating this evening. Visibilities will
continue to vary depending on rain intensity. After the rain comes
to an end, MVFR cigs will linger and some late night fog could
impact the terminals. Winds this afternoon with be out of the SE
around 10 kts with a couple gusts up to 20 kts at BNA/MQY this
afternoon before decreasing to 5 kts or less for the rest of the
forecast period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      68  82  60  67  50 /  30  90  90  50  10
Clarksville    68  80  57  66  48 /  20  80  90  40  10
Crossville     64  76  61  64  46 /  40  70  80  70  10
Columbia       68  82  59  69  48 /  50  90  90  50   0
Lawrenceburg   68  82  60  70  48 /  30  80  90  50   0
Waverly        68  81  56  68  49 /  20  90  90  30   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for Bedford-Cannon-
Cheatham-Clay-Coffee-Cumberland-Davidson-De Kalb-Dickson-
Fentress-Giles-Grundy-Hickman-Houston-Humphreys-Jackson-Lawrence-
Lewis-Macon-Marshall-Maury-Montgomery-Overton-Perry-Pickett-
Putnam-Robertson-Rutherford-Smith-Stewart-Sumner-Trousdale-Van
Buren-Warren-Wayne-White-Williamson-Wilson.

&&

DISCUSSION......05
AVIATION........Reagan

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
238 AM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-211000-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-Jackson-
Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-Coffee-
Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
238 AM CDT Mon Sep 20 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middle Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

A Flash Flood Watch continues for all of Middle Tennessee through
this evening. Numerous additional showers and a few thunderstorms
with moderate to locally heavy rainfall are expected again today.
Additional rainfall up to 1 to 2 inches is possible today, which may
lead to flash flooding of roads and low lying areas. Rain will
briefly end across the area tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

A strong cold front will move slowly across the area Tuesday
afternoon through Wednesday morning, bringing another round of
showers and thunderstorms. Additional rainfall amounts around 1 to
2 inches are possible, which could cause some localized flooding of
roads and low lying areas. In addition, a couple of strong storms
are possible with gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed today due to the risk of flash
flooding. Please relay any information about observed severe weather
to the NWS while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines.

Shamburger

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1035 AM CDT MON SEP 20 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1028 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 WSW HAMPSHIRE         35.59N  87.33W
09/20/2021                   MAURY              TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MINOR FLOODING IN THE HAMPSHIRE AREA.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX2100653

CMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1123 AM CDT MON SEP 20 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1116 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BON AQUA                35.95N  87.33W
09/20/2021                   HICKMAN            TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER OVER OLD HWY 46 AND MISSIONARY RIDGE ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX2100654

CMA