Special Weather Statement, NWS Missoula, MT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
247 PM MDT Sun Jul 4 2021

.DISCUSSION...A few thunderstorms have developed across parts of
southwest Montana and in Lemhi county, Idaho. This convection,
which will produce brief heavy rain, gusty winds, and lightning,
will move east of the region by early evening.

High pressure will strengthen over the Northern Rockies Monday and
Tuesday. Dry conditions with temperatures in the mid and upper 90s
will occur across western Montana. Central Idaho will continue to
be hot with the lower valleys reaching the mid 100s each day.

A change in the weather pattern will occur Wednesday and
Thursday as a pretty strong shortwave will approach the region.
There will be some moisture to produce some scattered
thunderstorms across western Montana, however the bigger impact
Wednesday will be increasing westerly winds with pressure
gradients tightening from the approaching front.

The mainly dry cold front will pass through the region Wednesday
night and Thursday. Westerly winds with gusts of 20-30 mph are
expected. One good piece of news with this front is that
temperatures will lower some 5-10 degrees over the region. Many
locations may not reach 90 degrees, which hasn't happened since June
27th, 2021. Unfortunately, that news is temporary, since strong
high pressure will redevelop Friday and bring a return of
temperatures back into the 90s, with triple digits in the Camas
Prairie and lower valleys of central Idaho.

&&

.AVIATION...High density altitudes continue under dominant high
pressure. Scattered thunderstorms are possible at both KBTM and
KSMN through 05/0200Z. Lightning, gusty winds greater than 35
knots, and heavy rain will be the main impacts. Otherwise, hot
and dry conditions prevail for the rest of the Northern Rockies.

&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Missoula MT
328 PM MDT Sun Jul 4 2021

MTZ007-042200-
Butte/Blackfoot Region MT-
328 PM MDT Sun Jul 4 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN DEER LODGE...NORTH
CENTRAL SILVER BOW AND SOUTHERN POWELL COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM MDT...

At 327 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Gregson Hot Springs, or 10 miles east of Anaconda, moving northeast
at 40 mph.

Pea size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Silver Bow, Walkerville, Warm Springs, Gregson Hot Springs,
Crackerville, Opportunity and Ramsay.

LAT...LON 4633 11245 4628 11256 4625 11257 4624 11260
      4622 11257 4618 11257 4618 11251 4614 11252
      4609 11247 4607 11246 4596 11280 4612 11293
      4630 11257 4629 11255 4637 11243
TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 239DEG 34KT 4608 11277