Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Weather Advisories in 2021

Winter Weather Advisory 21, NWS Marquette, MI

December 4, 2021Alger County, Luce County, Schoolcraft County, Michigan

NWS Marquette, MI issued this winter weather advisory at Dec 4, 2021, 9:09 AM EST for Alger County, Luce County, Schoolcraft County, Michigan. It took effect at Dec 4, 2021, 10:00 AM EST. It was in force for 15 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 4, 2021, 9:09 AM EST (14:09 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 4, 2021, 10:00 AM EST
Expired
Dec 5, 2021, 1:00 AM EST
In force
15 hr
Issued by
NWS Marquette, MI

Counties Alger County, MI, Luce County, MI, Schoolcraft County, MI

The radar

The Marquette radar (KMQT), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 256 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2021-12-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2021-12-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -93 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1317 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
104 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-93 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
47 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

810 
WWUS43 KMQT 041409
WSWMQT

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Marquette MI
909 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

MIZ007-050300-
/O.NEW.KMQT.WW.Y.0021.211204T1500Z-211205T0300Z/
Luce-
Including the city of Newberry
909 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4
  to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph may lead to
  localized blowing snow. 

* WHERE...Luce County.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rapidly changing travel conditions are
  expected with locally heavy snow and low visibilities at times. 
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
278 
WWUS43 KMQT 041552
WSWMQT

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Marquette MI
1052 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

MIZ006-085-050300-
/O.EXB.KMQT.WW.Y.0021.211204T1600Z-211205T0600Z/
Alger-Northern Schoolcraft-
Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, and Seney
1052 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4
  to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph may lead to 
  localized blowing snow.

* WHERE...Eastern Alger and Northern Schoolcraft Counties.
  Advisory criteria snow amounts are expected to stay east of
  Munising. 

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rapidly changing travel conditions are 
  expected with locally heavy snow and low visibilities at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ007-050300-
/O.CON.KMQT.WW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-211205T0300Z/
Luce-
Including the city of Newberry
1052 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 
  4 to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph may lead to 
  localized blowing snow.

* WHERE...Luce County.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rapidly changing travel conditions are 
  expected with locally heavy snow and low visibilities at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$
866 
WWUS43 KMQT 042031
WSWMQT

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Marquette MI
331 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

MIZ007-051045-
/O.NEW.KMQT.WS.W.0003.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMQT.WW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-211205T0300Z/
Luce-
Including the city of Newberry
331 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow expected. Total
  snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches. For the Winter Weather
  Advisory, lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of up
  to two inches. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph may result in 
  patchy blowing snow this evening.

* WHERE...Luce County.

* WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 7 AM Sunday to 1 AM 
  EST Monday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 10 PM EST 
  this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility through this evening. For
  tomorrow, heavy falling snow will lead to reduced visibility.
 
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow gradually ends tonight
  with a couple inches of additional accumulation. A period of
  widespread heavy snow is expected Sunday morning into Sunday 
  night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ006-085-051045-
/O.NEW.KMQT.WS.W.0003.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMQT.WW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-211205T0600Z/
Alger-Northern Schoolcraft-
Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, and Seney
331 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
SUNDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow expected. Total
  snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches. For the Winter Weather
  Advisory, lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of up
  to two inches. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph may result in 
  patchy blowing snow this evening.

* WHERE...Alger and Northern Schoolcraft Counties.

* WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 7 AM Sunday to 1 AM 
  EST Monday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 1 AM EST 
  Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility through this evening. For
  tomorrow, heavy falling snow will lead to reduced visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow gradually ends tonight
  with a couple inches of additional accumulation. A period of
  widespread heavy snow is expected Sunday morning into Sunday 
  night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

MIZ013-014-051045-
/O.NEW.KMQT.WS.W.0003.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
Delta-Southern Schoolcraft-
Including the cities of Escanaba, Gladstone, and Manistique
331 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 
  inches.

* WHERE...Delta and Southern Schoolcraft Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Heavy falling snow
  will lead to reduced visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread heavy snow is expected Sunday 
  morning into Sunday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ001-003-051045-
/O.NEW.KMQT.WS.W.0003.211205T1200Z-211206T0600Z/
Keweenaw-Northern Houghton-
Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock
331 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph may result in patchy
  blowing snow.

* WHERE...Keweenaw and Northern Houghton Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Heavy falling snow and
  blowing snow will lead to reduced visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread heavy snow is expected Sunday
  morning into Sunday night, transitioning to lake effect snow by
  early Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ002-009-051045-
/O.NEW.KMQT.WS.W.0003.211205T1000Z-211206T0000Z/
Ontonagon-Gogebic-
Including the cities of Ontonagon and Ironwood
331 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021 /231 PM CST Sat Dec 4 2021/

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EST /4 AM CST/ TO
7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 7
  inches with heavier amounts primarily at higher elevations.

* WHERE...Ontonagon and Gogebic Counties.

* WHEN...From 5 AM EST /4 AM CST/ to 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Heavy falling snow
  will lead to reduced visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread heavy wet snow is expected
  Sunday morning into Sunday night, transitioning to lake effect
  snow by early Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ005-010-011-051045-
/O.NEW.KMQT.WS.W.0003.211205T1100Z-211206T0000Z/
Marquette-Iron-Dickinson-
Including the cities of Gwinn, Marquette, Iron River, 
and Iron Mountain
331 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021 /231 PM CST Sat Dec 4 2021/

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST /5 AM CST/ TO
7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 8 
  inches.

* WHERE...Marquette, Iron and Dickinson Counties.

* WHEN...From 6 AM EST /5 AM CST/ to 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Heavy falling snow will
  lead to reduced visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread heavy snow is expected Sunday 
  morning into Sunday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ004-084-051045-
/O.NEW.KMQT.WS.W.0003.211205T1100Z-211206T0000Z/
Baraga-Southern Houghton-
Including the cities of L'Anse, Kenton, and Sidnaw
331 PM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 7
  inches with heavier amounts primarily at higher elevations.

* WHERE...Baraga and Southern Houghton Counties.

* WHEN...From 6 AM to 7 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Heavy falling snow 
  will lead to reduced visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread heavy snow is expected Sunday 
  morning into Sunday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

&&

$$

MIZ012-051045-
/O.NEW.KMQT.WW.Y.0022.211205T1100Z-211206T0000Z/
Menominee-
Including the city of Menominee
231 PM CST Sat Dec 4 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 6 PM CST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches
  with the heaviest amounts across the north half of the county.

* WHERE...Menominee County.

* WHEN...From 5 AM to 6 PM CST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Falling snow may 
  lead to reduced visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread moderate to locally heavy snow 
  is expected Sunday morning into Sunday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Marquette, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Dec 4, 6:58 AM EST, 2 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 4, 6:58 AM EST, 2 hours 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Marquette MI
658 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 520 AM EST SAT DEC 4 2021

A strong 160-170kt upper jet is streaking from southern Manitoba
across Upper MI early this morning. With this strong upper jet, a
shortwave is passing just n of Lake Superior, and caa is underway
into the fcst area, sparking a significant increase in w to nw flow
LES over the last few hrs. 850mb temps have fallen to -10C across
eastern Lake Superior and -12C over western Lake Superior. Upstream
00z KINL sounding certainly did not look very supportive for
noteworthy LES due to a well mixed profile blo a low inversion at
850mb (temp -11C) and an overall dry column. Nonetheless, decent
LES has developed with radar reflectivities suggestive of at least
brief 1 in/hr snowfall rates with LES streaming across Baraga
County where upsloping is maximized and also into the eastern
fcst area.

850mb thermal trof with temps near -15C will move across Lake
Superior today. Given the ongoing intensity of the LES, expect 1-2
maybe locally 3 inches of snow across Baraga County/southern
Houghton County before LES diminishes later morning/early aftn under
falling inversion. Outside of that area, snow accumulations over the
w should be under an inch. To the e, LES may sneak into advy amounts
across eastern Alger/northern Schoolcraft/Luce counties with
inversion around 10kft thru at least early aftn and DGZ becoming
better positioned in convective layer. For now, have 12hr snow
accumulations in the 2-4 inch range. Over the next few hrs, will
monitor trends and reevaluate potential for increasing snow amounts
that would necessitate advy issuance.

Any lingering light LES/flurries over the w will end this evening as
high pres ridge passes and winds back southerly. LES over the e
probably won't completely shift offshore until late tonight.
Additional snow accumulations around 1 inch will be possible. Late
tonight, strengthening waa/isentropic ascent regime will spread e
toward the area in response to shortwave reaching the Dakotas.
Models have slowed the onset of the snow a little, not surprising
given the antecedent dry air mass over the area. Light snow
should develop in the 09-12z time frame generally s and w of a
line from Ontonagon to Escanaba. Maybe an inch of snow at Ironwood
by 12z.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 618 AM EST SAT DEC 4 2021

The extended period starts with a strengthening Alberta Clipper
progging east into our area Sunday before lifting northeastward
Monday. As the warm front of the low moves over Upper MI Sunday,
expect widespread snowfall across the area. Snow at times may be
heavy, as frontogenetical forcing and moisture from the Gulf of
Mexico parks over the region (take a look at the IVTs in the NAEFS,
for instance. Moisture transport in the 90th percentile is parking
just over or to the south of us). As the low pressure moves in
Sunday night, we are expecting to see snowfall rates beginning to
die down in the interior areas outside the NW snow belts. Whether it
is a complete stop or not of the snowfall across some of the area
Sunday night depends on where the low tracks. Most models have the
sfc low going over the western UP, although some have a secondary
low forming over Lake MI; still yet, others (such as the NAM12km),
have the low going through western Lake Superior. Should the NAM12km
solution be true, we could see a break in the snowfall Sunday night
as the dry slot moves in (some freezing drizzle may be plausible at
that point). Snowfall amounts in the NAM12km solution would be lower
than what is currently predicted in this forecast. However, should
that not be the case (which I'm somewhat confident that it won't be
considering that it is an outlier), we should see snow continue
throughout the night into Monday morning, albeit the rate of
snowfall is expected to decrease throughout the night. The one
exception would be the NW snow belts, especially in the west as the
comma head of the low passes over; could see some nice lake-
enhancement from the Keweenaw down to Ironwood, particularly Monday
morning. As the comma head of the low lifts northeastward Monday,
expect the snowfall to transition to lake-effect in the NW snow
belts. As the low continues to pull away early next week, the LES is
expected to shift to the west snow belts.

Snowfall amount-wise, we are expecting 5 to 9 inches across most of
the area from late Saturday night to Sunday night. Would not be
surprised if we saw some places get up to a foot, especially in the
areas where mesoscale banding happens. Thinking the snowfall is
going to start wet across much of the area, in particular during the
early part of the event. As the low moves through, we should see
SLRs rise from west to east Sunday into Sunday night, as temps cool
and snowflakes spend more time in the dendritic growth zone.
However, as temp profiles continue cooling behind the comma head of
the low Monday, expect SLRs to drop as dendritic growth processes
stop and sector plating begins to take over.

What all does this mean for impacts? Given breezy conditions Sunday
and Monday, we could see patchy blowing snow across the UP. Combined
with heavy snowfall rates at times, and we could see visibilities
reduced to a quarter mile or less in these areas of blowing and
heavy snow. We could also see slick road conditions, as snowfall
should start sticking across most of the area from the event onset.
Another impact is that the roads may become snow covered rather
quickly, especially in the spots where snowfall is the heaviest.
Also, given that around half a foot of snowfall is expected across
most of the area, it may be prudent to take your time shoveling any
snowfall (don't over-exert yourself). For the areas near Menominee
and Lake MI, expect some refreeze of melted snowfall, as temps
during the afternoon are expected to peak above freezing for a
little bit; therefore, those areas could be extra slick/icy.

After this system, LES in the west snow belts looks to continue
until around Wednesday, when a shortwave from the Northern Plains
Tuesday moves into Lower MI Wednesday. After that, model guidance
shows some divergence as to what will happen. However, the models do
seem to converge on the idea that a Colorado Low will form sometime
late this week/early next weekend and lift northeastward. Where the
low tracks will decide what weather we get late in the extended
period.
&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 658 AM EST SAT DEC 4 2021

Colder air flowing into the Upper Lakes will support lake effect
-shsn off Lake Superior into the evening hrs. However, IWD/CMX/SAW
should not be significantly impacted. Expect VFR conditions to
prevail thru much of this fcst period at IWD with only some flurries
possible into the early aftn. WNW winds will be gusty to 25-30kt
thru the morning. Winds will then become light this evening. Late
tonight, an approaching low pres system will spread -sn into western
Upper MI. Expect IWD to fall to IFR near the end of the fcst period.
At KCMX, MVFR conditions should prevail into at least the mid aftn
hrs. Expect -shsn/flurries at times with wnw winds gusting to around
35kt. Cigs will improve to VFR late aftn, if not sooner. VFR
conditions will then continue thru tonight. Winds will also become
light tonight. At SAW, VFR conditions should prevail thru the fcst
period. Expect some flurries at times for much of the day along with
gusty wnw winds to around 25kt. Winds will become light tonight.
&&

.MARINE...(For the 4 AM Lake Superior forecast issuance)
Issued at 554 AM EST SAT DEC 4 2021

Changeable conditions across Lake Superior over the next few days
will feature 3 gale events. The first is ongoing in the wake of low
pres that is currently e of Lake Superior and quickly moving east. W
to nw gales to 40kt will continue thru the morning before
diminishing from w to e this aftn/evening. Winds will fall off to
under 20kt from w to e tonight for a short time as a high pres ridge
moves across the area. As the ridge departs and low pres approaches
from the Dakotas, se winds will quickly ramp up on Sun to 35-40kt
gales. There could be a few hrs of 40-45kt gales across portions of
central and eastern Lake Superior. Winds will diminish a little for
a time Sun night as the low pres moves across Lake Superior.
However, as the low passes, n to nw gales of 35-40kt will develop in
its wake. Winds will then diminish from w to e Mon night/Tue,
leading to winds under 20kt for Tue night/Wed.
&&

.MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Upper Michigan...
None.
Lake Superior...
  Gale Watch from Sunday morning through Monday evening for
     LSZ265>267.

  Gale Warning until 3 PM EST this afternoon for LSZ249>251-266-
     267.

  Gale Watch from Sunday morning through Monday morning for LSZ162-
     263-264.

  Gale Warning until 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ this morning for LSZ162.

  Gale Warning until 1 PM EST /noon CST/ this afternoon for
     LSZ240>244-248-263>265.

Lake Michigan...
  Gale Watch from Sunday morning through Monday evening for LMZ221-
     248-250.

&&

SHORT TERM...Rolfson
LONG TERM...TAP
AVIATION...Rolfson
MARINE...Rolfson
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 4, 6:41 AM EST, 2 hours 28 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Marquette MI
641 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

MIZ001>003-051300-
Keweenaw-Ontonagon-Northern Houghton-
641 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western Upper
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Waves of 8 to 11 feet on western Lake Superior this morning may
lead to minor beach erosion and localized lakeshore flooding on
beaches from around Ontonagon north to Copper Harbor.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A system moving through the Upper Great Lakes Region will produce
widespread moderate snowfall Sunday, transitioning to lake
enhanced snow and blowing snow late Sunday night and Monday
morning. Several inches of snow are possible on Sunday with
several more possible late Sunday night and Monday morning. The
snow on Sunday will be wet and dense, making travel hazardous and
making snow removal more difficult. The Monday morning commute may
be difficult. See the latest Special Weather Statement for
additional details.

Some minor lakeshore flooding and beach erosion is possible over
the east side and tip of the Keweenaw Peninsula Sunday afternoon
and evening. Some more minor lakeshore flooding and beach erosion
is possible on beaches from near Silver City to the tip of the
Keweenaw on Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any observed lakeshore flooding
or beach erosion to the National Weather Service in Marquette.
The public may also submit reports to the National Weather
Service via phone, on our website, or through Facebook or Twitter
using #906wx.

MIZ004-005-009>014-084-085-051300-
Baraga-Marquette-Gogebic-Iron-Dickinson-Menominee-Delta-
Southern Schoolcraft-Southern Houghton-Northern Schoolcraft-
641 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021 /541 AM CST Sat Dec 4 2021/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western Upper
Michigan and central Upper Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A system moving through the Great Lakes Region will produce
widespread moderate snowfall Sunday, transitioning to lake
enhanced snow and blowing snow near Lake Superior late Sunday
night and Monday morning. Several inches of snow are possible on
Sunday, and several more are possible late Sunday night and
Monday morning near Lake Superior. The snow on Sunday will be wet
and dense, making travel hazardous and making snow removal more
difficult. The Monday morning commute may be difficult. See the
latest Special Weather Statement for additional details.

Minor lakeshore flooding and beach erosion is possible from Cedar
River to Escanaba, along the tip of the Stonington Peninsula, and
along Lake Michigan Sunday into Sunday evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

The need for weather spotter reports is not anticipated at this
time.

MIZ006-007-051300-
Alger-Luce-
641 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Upper
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Waves of 9 to 14 feet on eastern Lake Superior today and this
evening may lead to minor beach erosion and localized lakeshore
flooding.

A few inches of lake effect snow are expected today into this
evening for the northwest wind lake effect belts. There may be
isolated areas of moderate accumulation that result in some
hazardous driving conditions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A system moving through the Great Lakes Region will produce
widespread moderate snowfall Sunday, transitioning to lake
enhanced snow and blowing snow late Sunday night and Monday
morning. Several inches of snow are possible on Sunday with
several more possible late Sunday night and Monday morning. The
snow on Sunday will be wet and dense, making travel hazardous and
making snow removal more difficult. The Monday morning commute
may be difficult. See the latest Special Weather Statement for
additional details.

Waves building to 10 to 14 feet Monday into Monday evening may
lead to minor beach erosion and localized lakeshore flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any observed lakeshore flooding,
beach erosion, or snowfall to the National Weather Service in
Marquette. The public may also submit reports to the National
Weather Service via phone, on our website, or through Facebook or
Twitter using #906wx.

LSZ162-240>251-263>267-051300-
Lake Superior west of a line from Saxon Harbor WI to Grand
Portage MN beyond 5NM-Saxon Harbor WI to Black River MI-
Black River to Ontonagon MI-
Ontonagon to Upper Entrance of Portage Canal MI-
Upper Entrance of Portage Canal to Eagle River MI-
Eagle River to Manitou Island MI-
Manitou Island to Point Isabelle MI-
Point Isabelle to Lower Entrance of Portage Canal MI-
Lower Entrance of Portage Canal To Huron Islands MI Including
Keweenaw and Huron Bays-Huron Islands to Marquette MI-
Marquette to Munising MI-Munising to Grand Marais MI-
Grand Marais to Whitefish Point MI-
Lake Superior from Saxon Harbor WI to Upper Entrance to Portage
Canal MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian border including Isle
Royale National Park-
Lake Superior from Upper Entrance to Portage Canal to Manitou
Island MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian Border-
Lake Superior West of Line from Manitou Island to Marquette MI
Beyond 5NM from shore-
Lake Superior East of a line from Manitou Island to Marquette MI
and West of a line from Grand Marais MI to the US/Canadian Border
Beyond 5NM from shore-
Lake Superior from Grand Marais MI to Whitefish Point MI 5NM off
shore to the US/Canadian border-
641 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021 /541 AM CST Sat Dec 4 2021/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Eastern Lake
Superior...Central Lake Superior and Western Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Northwest gales of 35 to 40 knots are expected across Lake
Superior this morning. See the latest Lake Superior Open Lake
Forecast and Marine Weather Message for further details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Southeast gales of 35 to 40 knots are expected across mainly the
eastern half of the lake Sunday afternoon and evening. See the
latest Open Lake Forecast and Marine Weather Message for further
details.

North to northwest gales to 35 to 40 knots are expected across
much of Lake Superior late Sunday night and Monday. See the latest
Open Lake Forecast and Marine Weather Message for further details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

The need for weather spotter reports is not anticipated at this
time.

LMZ221-248-250-051300-
Green Bay North of line from Cedar River MI to Rock Island
Passage-Seul Choix Point to Point Detour MI-
5NM East of a line from Fairport MI to Rock Island Passage-
641 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Northern Lake
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Southeast gales 35 to 40 knots are possible Sunday afternoon and
evening. See the latest Nearshore Marine Forecast and Marine
Weather Message for more details.

West to northwest gales of 35 to 40 knots are possible late Sunday
night into Monday. See the latest Nearshore Marine Forecast and
Marine Weather Message for more details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

The need for weather spotter reports is not anticipated at this
time.

TAP/Rolfson

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Dec 4, 5:34 AM EST, 3 hours 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Marquette MI
534 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021

MIZ001>007-009>014-084-085-042130-
Keweenaw-Ontonagon-Northern Houghton-Baraga-Marquette-Alger-Luce-
Gogebic-Iron-Dickinson-Menominee-Delta-Southern Schoolcraft-
Southern Houghton-Northern Schoolcraft-
Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Ontonagon, Houghton,
Hancock, L'Anse, Gwinn, Marquette, Grand Marais, Munising,
Newberry, Ironwood, Iron River, Iron Mountain, Menominee,
Escanaba, Gladstone, Manistique, Kenton, Sidnaw, and Seney
534 AM EST Sat Dec 4 2021 /434 AM CST Sat Dec 4 2021/

...WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOW SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

A winter storm is expected to move across the Upper Great Lakes
Sunday through Monday. As this system approaches, widespread, wet
snowfall will move across Upper Michigan from west to east,
beginning early Sunday morning. There is the potential for 6
inches or more of snow by Sunday evening. Snow will diminish for a
time Sunday evening, then lake enhanced snow will develop late
Sunday night and Monday morning as blustery northwest winds
develop off of Lake Superior. An additional 6 inches or more of
snow is possible across western Upper Michigan late Sunday night
and Monday morning. The moderate snow and blustery conditions
will spread east across northern Upper Michigan by sunrise Monday,
but additional snow accumulations in that area during Monday
morning should not be as high as what occurs over western Upper
Michigan.

The snow Sunday will be wet, which will make for hazardous
driving conditions during the day Sunday. It will also be heavier,
so snow shoveling could require more effort and lead to quicker
exhaustion. Snowfall rates may be heavy at times, leading to
reduced visibilities. Late Sunday night and Monday morning, gusty
northwest winds will develop, resulting in areas of blowing snow
near Lake Superior. The Monday morning commute near Lake Superior
may be difficult, especially across western Upper Michigan.

TAP/Rolfson

The office that day

Everything else NWS Marquette, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 4, 4:40 AM ESTGale WatchMQT12 hr
Dec 4, 4:40 AM ESTGale WarningMQT6 hr
Dec 4, 4:40 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryMQT20 hr
Dec 4, 3:31 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningMQTAlger, Baraga, Delta, Dickinson, Gogebic, Houghton and 7 more51 hr
Dec 4, 3:31 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryMQTMenominee13 hr
Dec 4, 4:48 PM ESTGale WatchMQT12 hr
Dec 4, 4:48 PM ESTGale WarningMQT56 hr
Dec 4, 4:48 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryMQT32 hr

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in Michigan, 2021Every winter weather advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.