Special Weather Statement, NWS Mobile, AL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1146 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021

.AVIATION...
06Z issuance...MVFR to VFR ceilings this evening will continue to
lower after midnight as another round of showers and
thunderstorms enters the area. IFR ceilings and visibilities are
possible in showers and thunderstorms tonight and through the day
on Wednesday. /13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1020 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Thursday/...Zonal flow aloft will
transition to northwest on Thursday as a shortwave digs across
the Ohio Valley. At the surface, a stationary front over central
portions of the forecast area that has been a focus for several
rounds of rain the past few days will begin to slowly move
southward through Wednesday night and stall west to east along the
coast. The front will then drift offshore through Thursday
morning and well into the Gulf by the afternoon. This will keep
rain in the forecast through Wednesday night, then decreasing from
the northwest on Thursday as some drier air works into the area.
Severe storms are not expected, however heavy rain will continue
to be a threat. Flash flooding is possible due to the saturated
ground conditions and a Flash Flood Watch continues through
Wednesday afternoon for much of the area.

Lows tonight range from the low to mid 60s inland to upper 60s
along the coast. Lows Wednesday night will be cooler, in the mid
and upper 50s inland to low 60s along the coast. Highs on
Wednesday range from low to mid 70s inland to upper 70s along the
coast. Highs on Thursday will be in the upper 60s and low 70s. /13

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for ALZ051>053-055-
     056-059-261>266.

FL...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for FLZ201>204.

MS...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for MSZ067-075-076-
     078-079.

GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1238 AM CDT WED MAY 12 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HEAVY RAIN       8 SSE CRESTVIEW         30.65N 86.52W
05/11/2021  M2.80 INCH       OKALOOSA           FL   ASOS

            KEGI MEASURES 2.80 INCHES OF RAIN IN ONE
            HOUR, WITH THREE HOUR TOTAL OF 3.36 INCHES.
            SIX HOUR TOTAL OF 4.55 INCHES THROUGH 1900
            LOCAL TIME.

&&

MM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
124 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021

MSZ075-078-120730-
Stone MS-Perry MS-
124 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...PERRY AND STONE COUNTIES UNTIL 230 AM CDT...

At 123 AM CDT, the strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 4 miles southwest of Sunrise to 6 miles northwest of
Perkinston, and moving east at 15 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Wiggins, Richton, Perkinston, McHenry, Beaumont and New Augusta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3091 8914 3143 8915 3143 8886 3068 8889
      3069 8932 3091 8933
TIME...MOT...LOC 0623Z 270DEG 12KT 3125 8925 3082 8924

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
235 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021

ALZ261-263-MSZ079-120815-
Mobile Central AL-Mobile Inland AL-George MS-
235 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...NORTHWESTERN MOBILE AND GEORGE COUNTIES UNTIL 315 AM
CDT...

At 234 AM CDT, the strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Lucedale to 8 miles north of Latimer, and moving
east at 30 mph. This line of storms will affect George county and
move into western Mobile county through 315 AM.

Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Lucedale, Chunchula, Gulfcrest, Semmes, Tanner Williams and Wilmer.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3074 8841 3073 8880 3100 8859 3100 8808
      3055 8838 3055 8841
TIME...MOT...LOC 0734Z 280DEG 25KT 3090 8856 3062 8881

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
255 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021

ALZ052-053-262-120900-
Clarke AL-Baldwin Inland AL-Washington AL-
255 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...NORTH
CENTRAL BALDWIN...CENTRAL WASHINGTON AND SOUTHWESTERN CLARKE COUNTIES
UNTIL 400 AM CDT...

At 254 AM CDT, the strong thunderstorm was located 7 miles east of
Deer Park, or 11 miles north of Citronelle, moving northeast at 45
mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with this storm as well
as locally heavy rainfall.

Locations impacted include...
Jackson, Saint Stephens, Wagarville, Leroy, Deer Park, Tibbie and
McIntosh.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3170 8797 3115 8775 3115 8797 3117 8797
      3117 8799 3115 8802 3114 8830 3135 8837
TIME...MOT...LOC 0754Z 242DEG 39KT 3125 8820

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
331 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021

ALZ052-053-261>266-MSZ079-120915-
Clarke AL-Mobile Coastal AL-Baldwin Coastal AL-Baldwin Central AL-
Baldwin Inland AL-Washington AL-Mobile Central AL-Mobile Inland AL-
George MS-
331 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...MOBILE...BALDWIN...SOUTHERN WASHINGTON...SOUTHERN CLARKE
AND EASTERN GEORGE COUNTIES UNTIL 415 AM CDT...

At 329 AM CDT, the strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Movico to 4 miles east of Big Point, and moving east
at 65 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with these storms as wekk
as locally heavy rainfall.

Locations impacted include...
Midtown Mobile, Downtown Mobile, Prichard, Daphne, Tillmans Corner,
Fairhope, Saraland, Bay Minette, Foley, Theodore, Chickasaw, Satsuma,
Spanish Fort, Robertsdale, Citronelle, Creola, Loxley, Chunchula,
Stockton and Stapleton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3042 8791 3075 8793 3065 8793 3072 8797
      3074 8803 3067 8802 3067 8803 3075 8804
      3074 8805 3066 8803 3045 8811 3050 8840
      3074 8841 3074 8852 3100 8847 3100 8842
      3126 8842 3126 8767 3038 8762
TIME...MOT...LOC 0829Z 290DEG 56KT 3107 8804 3059 8841

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
406 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021

ALZ261>266-FLZ201-121000-
Mobile Coastal AL-Baldwin Coastal AL-Baldwin Central AL-
Baldwin Inland AL-Mobile Central AL-Mobile Inland AL-
Escambia Inland FL-
406 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...MOBILE...BALDWIN AND NORTHWESTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTIES UNTIL
500 AM CDT...

At 405 AM CDT, the strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 4 miles west of Axis to 3 miles northwest of Midtown
Mobile to 5 miles northwest of Grand Bay, and moving east at 35 mph.

Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Midtown Mobile, Prichard, Tillmans Corner, Saraland, Bay Minette,
Foley, Theodore, Chickasaw, Satsuma, Grand Bay, Robertsdale, Bayou La
Batre, Creola, Loxley, Chunchula, Stockton, Magnolia Springs,
Stapleton, Bon Secour and Axis.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3030 8773 3075 8793 3073 8804 3075 8804
      3025 8818 3025 8808 3023 8831 3025 8821
      3026 8818 3036 8819 3039 8840 3062 8841
      3111 8815 3098 8733 3048 8746 3025 8773
      3025 8771 3024 8772 3022 8803
TIME...MOT...LOC 0905Z 291DEG 31KT 3093 8810 3073 8817 3054 8839