Alert archive / Florida / Freeze Watches in 2021

Freeze Watch 1, NWS Melbourne, FL

February 3, 2021Okeechobee County, Osceola County, Florida

NWS Melbourne, FL issued this freeze watch at Feb 3, 2021, 3:53 AM EST for Okeechobee County, Osceola County, Florida. It took effect at Feb 4, 2021, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 3, 2021, 3:53 AM EST (08:53 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 4, 2021, 1:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 3, 2021, 2:17 PM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Melbourne, FL

Counties Okeechobee County, FL, Osceola County, FL

The nearest sounding before it

Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cape Canaveral, FL at 00:00Z on 2021-02-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cape Canaveral, FL at 00:00Z on 2021-02-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 95 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1718 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
79 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

371 
WWUS72 KMLB 030853
NPWMLB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
353 AM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

FLZ041-044-141-144-032100-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FZ.W.0002.210204T0600Z-210204T1300Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FZ.W.0001.210203T0900Z-210203T1400Z/
Inland Volusia-Northern Lake-Coastal Volusia-Southern Lake-
Including the cities of Debary, Deland, Deltona, Eustis, 
Mount Dora, Leesburg, Tavares, Daytona Beach, New Smyrna Beach, 
Ormond Beach, Clermont, Mascotte, and Groveland
353 AM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 32 expected this
  morning. For the second Freeze Warning, sub-freezing 
  temperatures as low as 31 expected Fromtonight.

* WHERE...Volusia and Lake Counties

* WHEN...Through 9 AM this morning. For the second Freeze Warning,
  from 1 AM to 8 AM Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Freezing temperatures will hurt sensitive persons 
  and outdoor pets. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops 
  other sensitive vegetation.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Cold weather shelters are open in many 
communities. Check with local county emergency management for 
locations and operating hours of shelters.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect the elderly, children, outdoor pets,
tender plants, and crops from the freezing temperatures.

&&

$$

FLZ045-046-147-032100-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FZ.W.0002.210204T0600Z-210204T1300Z/
Orange-Seminole-Northern Brevard-
Including the cities of Apopka, Maitland, Orlando, Winter Park, 
Union Park, Altamonte Springs, Casselberry, Oviedo, Sanford, 
Winter Springs, Cocoa, and Titusville
353 AM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 32 expected.

* WHERE...Orange, Seminole and Northern Brevard Counties.

* WHEN...From 1 AM to 8 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Freezing temperatures will hurt sensitive persons 
  and outdoor pets. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops 
  other sensitive vegetation.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Cold weather shelters are open in many 
communities. Check with local county emergency management for 
locations and operating hours of shelters.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect the elderly, children, outdoor pets,
tender plants, and crops from the freezing temperatures.

&&

$$

FLZ047-053-054-058-059-032100-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FZ.A.0001.210204T0600Z-210204T1300Z/
Southern Brevard-Osceola-Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-
Including the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, Rockledge, 
Celebration, Kissimmee, Saint Cloud, Sebastian, Vero Beach, 
Basinger, Fort Drum, Okeechobee, Port Saint Lucie, 
and Fort Pierce
353 AM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 32 possible.

* WHERE...Southern Brevard, Osceola, Indian River, Okeechobee 
  and St. Lucie Counties.

* WHEN...From late tonight through Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...Freezing temperatures could hurt sensitive persons 
  and outdoor pets. Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops 
  other sensitive vegetation.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Cold weather shelters are open in many 
communities. Check with local county emergency management for 
locations and operating hours of shelters.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect the elderly, children, outdoor pets,
tender plants, and crops from the freezing temperatures.

&&

$$

Rodriguez
2 follow-up statements
701 
WWUS72 KMLB 031451
NPWMLB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
951 AM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

FLZ041-044>046-141-144-147-041300-
/O.CON.KMLB.FZ.W.0002.210204T0600Z-210204T1300Z/
Inland Volusia-Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Coastal Volusia-
Southern Lake-Northern Brevard-
Including the cities of Debary, Deland, Deltona, Eustis, 
Mount Dora, Leesburg, Tavares, Apopka, Maitland, Orlando, 
Winter Park, Union Park, Altamonte Springs, Casselberry, Oviedo, 
Sanford, Winter Springs, Daytona Beach, New Smyrna Beach, 
Ormond Beach, Clermont, Mascotte, Groveland, Cocoa, 
and Titusville
951 AM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 31 expected.

* WHERE...Volusia, North Brevard, Lake, Seminole, and Orange 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 1 AM to 8 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Freezing temperatures will hurt sensitive persons 
  and outdoor pets. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops 
  other sensitive vegetation.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Cold weather shelters are open in many 
communities. Check with local county emergency management for 
locations and operating hours of shelters.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

FLZ047-053-054-058-059-041300-
/O.CON.KMLB.FZ.A.0001.210204T0600Z-210204T1300Z/
Southern Brevard-Osceola-Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-
Including the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, Rockledge, 
Celebration, Kissimmee, Saint Cloud, Sebastian, Vero Beach, 
Basinger, Fort Drum, Okeechobee, Port Saint Lucie, 
and Fort Pierce
951 AM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 32 possible.

* WHERE...Southern Brevard, St. Lucie, Okeechobee, Osceola and 
  Indian River Counties.

* WHEN...From late tonight through Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...Freezing temperatures could hurt sensitive persons 
  and outdoor pets. Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops 
  other sensitive vegetation.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Cold weather shelters are open in many 
communities. Check with local county emergency management for 
locations and operating hours of shelters.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$
999 
WWUS72 KMLB 031917
NPWMLB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
217 PM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

FLZ041-044>046-141-144-147-041300-
/O.CON.KMLB.FZ.W.0002.210204T0600Z-210204T1300Z/
Inland Volusia-Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Coastal Volusia-
Southern Lake-Northern Brevard-
Including the cities of Debary, Deland, Deltona, Eustis, 
Mount Dora, Leesburg, Tavares, Apopka, Maitland, Orlando, 
Winter Park, Union Park, Altamonte Springs, Casselberry, Oviedo, 
Sanford, Winter Springs, Daytona Beach, New Smyrna Beach, 
Ormond Beach, Clermont, Mascotte, Groveland, Cocoa, 
and Titusville
217 PM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 31 expected.

* WHERE...Volusia, Northern Brevard, Lake, Seminole, and Orange 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 1 AM to 8 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Freezing temperatures will hurt sensitive persons 
  and outdoor pets. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops 
  other sensitive vegetation.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Cold weather shelters are open in many 
communities. Check with local county emergency management for 
locations and operating hours of shelters.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

FLZ047-053-054-058-059-041300-
/O.UPG.KMLB.FZ.A.0001.210204T0600Z-210204T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.FR.Y.0004.210204T0900Z-210204T1300Z/
Southern Brevard-Osceola-Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-
Including the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, Rockledge, 
Celebration, Kissimmee, Saint Cloud, Sebastian, Vero Beach, 
Basinger, Fort Drum, Okeechobee, Port Saint Lucie, 
and Fort Pierce
217 PM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 8 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Low temperatures between 33 and 36 will result in frost 
  formation late tonight.

* WHERE...Southern Brevard, Osceola, Indian River, Okeechobee 
  and St. Lucie Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 AM to 8 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if 
  left uncovered.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

FLZ064-041300-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FR.Y.0004.210204T0900Z-210204T1300Z/
Martin-
Including the cities of Hobe Sound, Jensen Beach, Port Salerno, 
and Stuart
217 PM EST Wed Feb 3 2021

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 8 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Low temperatures between 34 and 37 will result in frost 
  formation late tonight.

* WHERE...Martin County, generally west of I-95.

* WHEN...From 4 AM to 8 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if 
  left uncovered.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this freeze watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this freeze watch went out at Feb 2, 8:16 PM EST, 7 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 2, 8:16 PM EST, 7 hours 37 minutes before
East Central Florida Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
816 PM EST Tue Feb 2 2021

.DISCUSSION...

...Freezing Temperatures in Spots North and West of Orlando...
...Wind Chill Advisory Overnight through Daybreak Wednesday...

Current-Tonight...Local winds will diminish further into the
overnight period; however, sufficient winds along with the cold
temperatures will bring hazardous wind chill readings to the area
overnight through daybreak.

Near optimal radiational cooling expected under mainly clear skies
with temperatures forecast to drop into the low to mid 30s overnight
across the area. Temperatures will drop fairly quickly this evening
due to the very dry/cool nature of the airmass. A Freeze Warning
is in effect for Lake and Volusia counties where temperatures will
drop to 31F-32F. Temperatures for other inland, rural, and wind
sheltered locations are forecast to drop to 33F-35F. It is certainly
possible a few spots could reach freezing for an hour or two just
around sunrise on Wednesday morning. It is fairly dry in the
low-levels, but patchy frost is also possible.

Cold Weather Safety: Sensitive persons should dress appropriately
for the cold weather. This includes wearing multiple layers of
clothing, a hat and gloves, as needed. Cold weather shelters may be
open in your location tonight. Check with local county emergency
management for locations and operating hours of shelters.

Be extra cautious if using space heaters and keep them well away
from combustible material such as pillows, blankets and curtains.
Outdoor pets and sensitive plants should be brought indoors tonight
to avoid being hurt by the cold. This will be the second of three
very cold nights in central Florida this week.

Wed...A very cold start to the day and feeling a bit more raw when
wind chill values are added to the equation. Surface high pressure
over the central CONUS will drop southeastward toward the FL
peninsula allowing the pressure gradient to begin to slacken with
WNW-NW winds near 10 mph over the interior/Volusia coast and 10-15
mph along the Space/Treasure Coast. Winds will also be less gusty
this day. Another day of near full sunshine, though temperatures in
this continued cold/dry airmass will struggle into the U50s to near
60F across the I-4 corridor and L60s southward.

Wednesday night...Final cold night with this event expected into
Wednesday night-early Thursday morning, as high pressure across the
area generates favorable radiational cooling conditions. It looks to
be at least as cold as tonight-early Wednesday morning, with
potential for a wider freeze as lows again drop into the low to mid
30s across much of the region. Some higher level clouds may move in
overnight, which could keep temps up a bit, preventing freezing
temperatures. However, frost development will also be likely across
much of the area, except barrier islands and Martin County coast
where min temps around 40 degrees are generally expected.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR over the next 36 hours. Winds have diminished as
expected with nightfall. Lighter and less gusty WNW-NW winds
will continue during Wed.

&&

.MARINE...Current-Tonight...Winds slowly diminishing over the open
Atlc. Higher gusts earlier today to gale force have abated, and a
Small Craft Advisory will continue for all waters through late
Wednesday morning.

Wed...WNW-NW winds gradually improve from late morning into the
afternoon. Initial seas 4-5 ft near shore and 5-8 ft offshore will
subside to 3-5 ft near shore and 4-6 ft offshore by the end of the
day. Should be able to scale back the SCA during the morning and
afternoon, though Cautionary Statements may be necessary for a
period or two once the SCA is dropped.

Thu-Sat...High pressure over the area Thursday will shift eastward
over the western Atlantic, with northerly winds decreasing and
eventually becoming more southerly by late Thu-Thu night. Winds
increase out of the southwest Fri to 15-20 knots as the high exits
over the SW Atlc, with seas building briefly offshore up to 5 feet
to potentially 6 feet well offshore of the Volusia County coast. On
Sat, a weak frontal boundary is forecast to stall over or just north
of the local Atlc waters which will reduce the pres grad and the
wind speeds, but will increase the chance of showers. Seas will
range from 2-4 feet.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Wed...Dry/cool conditions continue. WNW-NW (20FT/SFC) winds 10-15
mph. Min low RHs M-U20s interior and U20s-M30s near coast.

Thu...Low RH values continue with Min RH values again as low as the
upper 20s to low 30s across the interior, and around 40 percent
along the coast, with light and variable winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  32  57  32  65 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  35  61  35  67 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  35  61  33  67 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  35  61  33  68 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  34  60  36  66 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  33  60  35  67 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  35  61  39  68 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  36  63  33  69 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Wind Chill Advisory from 2 AM to 9 AM EST Wednesday for Coastal
     Volusia-Indian River-Inland Volusia-Martin-Northern Brevard-
     Northern Lake-Okeechobee-Orange-Osceola-Seminole-Southern
     Brevard-Southern Lake-St. Lucie.

     Freeze Warning from 4 AM to 9 AM EST Wednesday for Coastal
     Volusia-Inland Volusia-Northern Lake-Southern Lake.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Wednesday for Flagler Beach
     to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard
     County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Wednesday for Flagler Beach
     to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to
     Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian
     Inlet 20-60 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Wednesday for Sebastian
     Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm.

&&

JP/MW
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 2, 5:53 PM EST, 10 hours before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
553 PM EST Tue Feb 2 2021

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-031000-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia-
Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Southern Brevard-Osceola-
Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-Martin-Coastal Volusia-
Southern Lake-Northern Brevard-
553 PM EST Tue Feb 2 2021

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

.EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
It will be even colder tonight into Wednesday morning as temperatures
plummet into the low to mid 30s across east-central Florida. A Freeze
Warning is in effect for Lake and Volusia counties where temperatures
as low as 31 degrees are expected. In other counties, a few rural,
normally colder, and wind sheltered locations could reach near-
freezing around sunrise Wednesday. Patchy frost is also possible.
Wind chill values tonight will range from the mid 20s to lower
30s.

A Wind Chill Advisory is in effect for all of east central Florida
from 2 AM through 9 AM on Wednesday.

Cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills.
Make sure you dress appropriately for the cold weather, including
a coat, a hat and gloves. Cold weather shelters may be open in your
location tonight. Check with local county emergency management
for locations and operating hours of shelters.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
There is a high risk of strong, dangerous rip currents at all
central Florida Atlantic beaches. A long period swell will also
produce breaking waves of 5 to 6 feet. Entering the chilly water
is not recommended.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
A Small Craft Advisory remains in place over the Atlantic waters
where wind speeds around 20-25 knots will produce seas 5 to 7
feet nearshore, and 7 to 9 feet offshore.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
The cold episode this week will continue Wednesday night into
Thursday morning with temperatures dropping into the low to mid
30s. Due to light winds and clear skies, conditions appear
favorable for frost to develop across much of the area, or for
freezing temperatures to occur.

Sensitive fire weather conditions will continue through Thursday
due to dry conditions. Hazardous marine and boating conditions
along with a high risk of rip currents will continue into
Wednesday before conditions improve late week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed tonight.

Pendergrast

The office that day

Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 3, 3:53 AM ESTFreeze WarningMLBLake, Orange, Seminole, Volusia28 hr
Feb 3, 2:17 PM ESTFrost AdvisoryMLBOkeechobee, Osceola18 hr

Nearby

Freeze Watches in Florida, 2021Every freeze watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.