Alert archive / Florida / Areal Flood Advisories in 2021

Areal Flood Advisory 83, NWS Melbourne, FL

September 20, 2021Saint Lucie County, Florida

NWS Melbourne, FL issued this areal flood advisory at Sep 20, 2021, 5:32 PM EDT for Saint Lucie County, Florida. It was in force for 88 min.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 20, 2021, 5:32 PM EDT (21:32 UTC)
Expired
Sep 20, 2021, 7:00 PM EDT
In force
88 min
Issued by
NWS Melbourne, FL
Area
Storm-based polygon

County Saint Lucie County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2021-09-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 477 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2021-09-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 21 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
477 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-70 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1023 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-16 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Sep 20, 4:01 PM EDT, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 20, 4:01 PM EDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 20, 11:27 AM EDT, 6 hours 5 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1127 AM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-210400-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia-
Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Southern Brevard-Osceola-
Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-Martin-Coastal Volusia-
Southern Lake-Northern Brevard-
1127 AM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Numerous-to-widespread showers and lighting storms are forecast
to develop across east-central Florida once again this afternoon
as the sea breeze boundaries develop and move inland. The best
chance for storms is forecast north of the Treasure Coast between
I-4 and I-95 late this afternoon through early this evening as sea
breeze and outflow boundary collisions occur. Storm motion will
be slow and erratic with a general east to southeasterly movement
at 5 to 10 mph. Primary storm hazards will be flooding, heavy
rainfall, frequent cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, and wind
gusts up to 40 mph. Move indoors to safety at the first sign of
threatening skies or if you hear thunder.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
Slow moving storms will have the potential to produce torrential
rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher amounts
possible in some locations. Locations that have received persistent
heavy rainfall over the last several days will have to an
increased sensitivity to flooding today. Northeastern Lake,
western Volusia, Orange, Seminole, and northern Osceola counties
will be at most risk for flooding during periods of heavy rainfall
today. This will produce considerable ponding of water on
roadways and other poorly drained urban and low-lying areas. Never
drive through water of unknown depth, as the water may be too
deep to allow your vehicle to cross safely.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
A few stronger storms may be capable of wind gusts near 35 knots
over inland lakes and the Intracoastal and near shore Atlantic
waters. Mariners should watch for storms mainly approaching from
the west today. However, storm motion will mostly be slow and
erratic.

.WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
The combination of very moist air and light winds may lead to a
brief isolated waterspout over the Atlantic waters, in addition
to, along and near the Intracoastal Waterway, and larger inland
lakes. If you see a funnel cloud or waterspout start to develop,
give it a wide berth, and, if possible contact the National
Weather Service in Melbourne.

.RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
Repeated rounds of heavy diurnal rainfall over the past week has
caused water levels along the Saint Johns River to rise, especially
at Astor and near Geneva. The river at Astor is forecast to crest at
Minor Flood Stage between Monday and Wednesday and reach Action
Stage near Geneva on Wednesday, cresting by next weekend.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
Storm coverage will remain above normal as deep moisture remains
in place over the local area. Flooding, torrential downpours,
cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, and gusty winds will be the
main storm threats.

The risk of dangerous rip currents is expected to be moderate
through mid work week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed this afternoon and tonight,
however, spotters are encouraged to report any rainfall amounts
greater than three inches and any observed flooding issues from
heavy rainfall.

Watson

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 20, 3:49 PM EDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
349 PM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021

FLZ047-147-202030-
Southern Brevard County FL-Northern Brevard County FL-
349 PM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Brevard
County through 430 PM EDT...

At 348 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Suntree, or near Satellite Beach, moving north at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Melbourne, Rockledge, Cocoa, Cocoa Beach and Satellite Beach.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or hard-topped vehicle. Remember, when
thunder roars, go indoors!

&&

LAT...LON 2839 8056 2834 8057 2815 8055 2808 8059
      2815 8079 2850 8069 2844 8051
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 201DEG 23KT 2819 8067

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Sedlock
Local storm report, Sep 20, 4:04 PM EDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 19, 8:29 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningMLBSeminole, Volusia4 hr
Sep 19, 9:31 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningMLBLake, Volusia9 days
Sep 20, 3:11 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMLBVolusia2 hr
Sep 20, 3:43 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMLB92 min
Sep 20, 3:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMLBBrevard41 min
Sep 20, 4:27 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMLBIndian River, Saint Lucie93 min
Sep 20, 4:39 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMLBBrevard2 hr

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in Florida, 2021Every areal flood advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.