Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 12, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

February 15, 2021Duplin County, North Carolina

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued this river flood warning at Feb 15, 2021, 7:30 AM EST for Duplin County, North Carolina. It took effect at Feb 15, 2021, 8:21 PM EST. It was in force for 9 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 15, 2021, 7:30 AM EST (12:30 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 15, 2021, 8:21 PM EST
Expired
Feb 24, 2021, 9:36 PM EST
In force
9 days
Issued by
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Duplin County, NC

The radar

The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point N.E. Cape Fear River near Chinquapin (CHIN7). The gauge peaked at 16.39 ft at Feb 20, 2021, 2:00 PM EST.

actionminormoderate1012141602/1502/1602/1702/1802/1902/2002/2102/2202/2302/2402/2502/26
Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
16 ft
Major stage
18 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02108000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

211 
WGUS42 KMHX 151230
FLWMHX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
730 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021

...The National Weather Service in Newport/Morehead City NC has 
issued a Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-160330-
/O.NEW.KMHX.FL.W.0012.210217T1200Z-210219T0602Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210217T1200Z.210217T1200Z.210218T2335Z.NO/
730 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021

The National Weather Service in Newport/Morehead City has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* From Wednesday morning to late Thursday night.
* At 6:30 AM EST Monday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  Wednesday morning to a crest of 13.3 feet Wednesday morning. It 
  will then fall below flood stage Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Low land flooding adjacent to the river and 
  its tributaries is expected. River access docks are impacted as 
  well.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

SGK
22 follow-up statements
227 
WGUS82 KMHX 151540
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1040 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-160645-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.210216T1200Z-210219T1800Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210216T1200Z.210217T1800Z.210219T1200Z.NO/
1040 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* From Tuesday morning to Friday afternoon.
* At 10:30 AM EST Monday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  tomorrow morning to a crest of 13.4 feet early Wednesday 
  afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Low land flooding adjacent to the river and 
  its tributaries is expected. River access docks are impacted as 
  well.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

CEB
603 
WGUS82 KMHX 160121
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
821 PM EST Mon Feb 15 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-161630-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.210216T0121Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210215T2125Z.210217T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
821 PM EST Mon Feb 15 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* From this evening until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM EST Monday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM EST Monday was 13.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.9 feet 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Low land flooding adjacent to the river and 
  its tributaries is expected. River access docks are impacted as 
  well.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

5
056 
WGUS82 KMHX 161614
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1114 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-170715-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210215T2125Z.210217T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1114 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 10:30 AM EST Tuesday was 14.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 14.7 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Secondary roads adjacent to the river flood 
  and may be impassable. Tributaries that drain into the river flood 
  secondary roads. Water surrounds homes and properties in the River 
  Landing community in Wallace.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

CEB
384 
WGUS82 KMHX 170108
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
808 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-171630-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210215T2125Z.210218T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
808 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM EST Tuesday was 14.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.1 feet 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Secondary roads adjacent to the river flood 
  and may be impassable. Tributaries that drain into the river flood 
  secondary roads. Water surrounds homes and properties in the River 
  Landing community in Wallace.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

5
353 
WGUS82 KMHX 171423
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
923 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-180530-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210215T2125Z.210221T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
923 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:30 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 AM EST Wednesday was 14.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 15.0 feet tomorrow morning. It 
  will then fall to 14.8 feet and begin rising again early Friday 
  afternoon. It will rise to 15.5 feet Sunday morning. It will then 
  fall again but remain above flood stage.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Secondary roads adjacent to the river flood 
  and may be impassable. Tributaries that drain into the river flood 
  secondary roads. Water surrounds homes and properties in the River 
  Landing community in Wallace.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

26
571 
WGUS82 KMHX 180131
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
831 PM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-181645-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210215T2125Z.210221T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
831 PM EST Wed Feb 17 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM EST Wednesday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM EST Wednesday was 14.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 14.9 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then rise to 15.6 feet 
  Saturday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Many secondary roads are flooded. Water 
  affects Highways 41 and 50 and travel delays are likely. Areas 
  many miles from the river are affected as small streams backup and 
  flood. Muddy Creek, Cypress Creek, and Island Creek flood areas 
  around Chinquapin.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

11
913 
WGUS82 KMHX 181425
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
925 AM EST Thu Feb 18 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-190530-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210215T2125Z.210221T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
925 AM EST Thu Feb 18 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:30 AM EST Thursday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 AM EST Thursday was 14.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.5 feet 
  early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Secondary roads adjacent to the river flood 
  and may be impassable. Tributaries that drain into the river flood 
  secondary roads. Water surrounds homes and properties in the River 
  Landing community in Wallace.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

26
092 
WGUS82 KMHX 190134
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
834 PM EST Thu Feb 18 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-191645-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210215T2125Z.210221T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
834 PM EST Thu Feb 18 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM EST Thursday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 PM EST Thursday was 14.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.5 feet 
  early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Secondary roads adjacent to the river flood 
  and may be impassable. Tributaries that drain into the river flood 
  secondary roads. Water surrounds homes and properties in the River 
  Landing community in Wallace.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

11
935 
WGUS82 KMHX 191458
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
958 AM EST Fri Feb 19 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-200600-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210215T2125Z.210220T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
958 AM EST Fri Feb 19 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:30 AM EST Friday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:30 AM EST Friday was 15.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.9 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Secondary roads adjacent to the river flood 
  and may be impassable. Tributaries that drain into the river flood 
  secondary roads. Water surrounds homes and properties in the River 
  Landing community in Wallace.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Many secondary roads are flooded. Water 
  affects Highways 41 and 50 and travel delays are likely. Areas 
  many miles from the river are affected as small streams backup and 
  flood. Muddy Creek, Cypress Creek, and Island Creek flood areas 
  around Chinquapin.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

SGK
216 
WGUS42 KMHX 191948
FLWMHX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
248 PM EST Fri Feb 19 2021

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in North Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Moderate 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-201100-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.2.ER.210215T2125Z.210221T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
248 PM EST Fri Feb 19 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until further notice.
* At 2:30 PM EST Friday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 2:30 PM EST Friday was 15.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.2 feet 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Many secondary roads are flooded. Water 
  affects Highways 41 and 50 and travel delays are likely. Areas 
  many miles from the river are affected as small streams backup and 
  flood. Muddy Creek, Cypress Creek, and Island Creek flood areas 
  around Chinquapin.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

11
637 
WGUS82 KMHX 200107
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
807 PM EST Fri Feb 19 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Moderate 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-201615-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.2.ER.210215T2125Z.210221T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
807 PM EST Fri Feb 19 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM EST Friday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM EST Friday was 15.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.3 feet 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Many secondary roads are flooded. Water 
  affects Highways 41 and 50 and travel delays are likely. Areas 
  many miles from the river are affected as small streams backup and 
  flood. Muddy Creek, Cypress Creek, and Island Creek flood areas 
  around Chinquapin.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

11
480 
WGUS82 KMHX 201334
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
834 AM EST Sat Feb 20 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Moderate 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-210445-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.2.ER.210215T2125Z.210221T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
834 AM EST Sat Feb 20 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:30 AM EST Saturday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 AM EST Saturday was 16.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.5 feet 
  this evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Many secondary roads are flooded. Water 
  affects Highways 41 and 50 and travel delays are likely. Areas 
  many miles from the river are affected as small streams backup and 
  flood. Muddy Creek, Cypress Creek, and Island Creek flood areas 
  around Chinquapin.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

TS
968 
WGUS82 KMHX 210045
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
745 PM EST Sat Feb 20 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Moderate 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-211600-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.2.ER.210215T2125Z.210220T2030Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
745 PM EST Sat Feb 20 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM EST Saturday the stage was 16.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM EST Saturday was 16.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 13.4 feet Thursday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Many secondary roads are flooded. Water 
  affects Highways 41 and 50 and travel delays are likely. Areas 
  many miles from the river are affected as small streams backup and 
  flood. Muddy Creek, Cypress Creek, and Island Creek flood areas 
  around Chinquapin.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

27
330 
WGUS82 KMHX 211307
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
807 AM EST Sun Feb 21 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Moderate 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-220415-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.2.ER.210215T2125Z.210220T2030Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
807 AM EST Sun Feb 21 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:30 AM EST Sunday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 AM EST Sunday was 16.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 13.2 feet Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Many secondary roads are flooded. Water 
  affects Highways 41 and 50 and travel delays are likely. Areas 
  many miles from the river are affected as small streams backup and 
  flood. Muddy Creek, Cypress Creek, and Island Creek flood areas 
  around Chinquapin.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

TS
883 
WGUS82 KMHX 220044
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
744 PM EST Sun Feb 21 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-221600-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210227T0000Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210215T2125Z.210220T2030Z.210226T1800Z.NO/
744 PM EST Sun Feb 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Friday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until Friday evening.
* At 7:30 PM EST Sunday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM EST Sunday was 16.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  Friday afternoon and continue falling to 12.9 feet Friday evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Many secondary roads are flooded. Water 
  affects Highways 41 and 50 and travel delays are likely. Areas 
  many miles from the river are affected as small streams backup and 
  flood. Muddy Creek, Cypress Creek, and Island Creek flood areas 
  around Chinquapin.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

27
567 
WGUS82 KMHX 221427
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
927 AM EST Mon Feb 22 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-230530-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210226T1500Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210215T2125Z.210220T2030Z.210226T0900Z.NO/
927 AM EST Mon Feb 22 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Friday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until Friday morning.
* At 8:30 AM EST Monday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 AM EST Monday was 16.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  Friday morning and continue falling to 12.3 feet Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Secondary roads adjacent to the river flood 
  and may be impassable. Tributaries that drain into the river flood 
  secondary roads. Water surrounds homes and properties in the River 
  Landing community in Wallace.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

DAG
534 
WGUS82 KMHX 230210
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
910 PM EST Mon Feb 22 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-231715-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210226T2100Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210215T2125Z.210220T2030Z.210226T1500Z.NO/
910 PM EST Mon Feb 22 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 8:30 PM EST Monday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 PM EST Monday was 15.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  Friday morning and continue falling to 12.0 feet Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Secondary roads adjacent to the river flood 
  and may be impassable. Tributaries that drain into the river flood 
  secondary roads. Water surrounds homes and properties in the River 
  Landing community in Wallace.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

26
106 
WGUS82 KMHX 231452
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
952 AM EST Tue Feb 23 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-240600-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210226T2100Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210215T2125Z.210220T2030Z.210226T1500Z.NO/
952 AM EST Tue Feb 23 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 9:30 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:30 AM EST Tuesday was 15.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 14.3 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Secondary roads adjacent to the river flood 
  and may be impassable. Tributaries that drain into the river flood 
  secondary roads. Water surrounds homes and properties in the River 
  Landing community in Wallace.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

DAG
967 
WGUS82 KMHX 231522
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1022 AM EST Tue Feb 23 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-240630-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210226T1800Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210215T2125Z.210220T2030Z.210226T1200Z.NO/
1022 AM EST Tue Feb 23 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 9:30 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:30 AM EST Tuesday was 15.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage Friday 
  morning and continue falling to 11.4 feet Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Secondary roads adjacent to the river flood 
  and may be impassable. Tributaries that drain into the river flood 
  secondary roads. Water surrounds homes and properties in the River 
  Landing community in Wallace.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

DAG
495 
WGUS82 KMHX 240112
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
812 PM EST Tue Feb 23 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-241615-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210226T1800Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210215T2125Z.210220T2030Z.210226T1200Z.NO/
812 PM EST Tue Feb 23 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 7:30 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM EST Tuesday was 14.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage Friday 
  morning and continue falling to 11.0 feet Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Low land flooding adjacent to the river and 
  its tributaries is expected. River access docks are impacted as 
  well.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

26
722 
WGUS82 KMHX 241439
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
939 AM EST Wed Feb 24 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

For the North East Cape Fear River...including Chinquapin...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at water.weather.gov/ahps.


NCC061-250545-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210225T1800Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210215T2125Z.210220T2030Z.210225T1200Z.NO/
939 AM EST Wed Feb 24 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early tomorrow 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 9:30 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:30 AM EST Wednesday was 14.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.4 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Low land flooding adjacent to the river and 
  its tributaries is expected. River access docks are impacted as 
  well.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

DAG
140 
WGUS82 KMHX 250236
FLSMHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
936 PM EST Wed Feb 24 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County.

NCC061-250345-
/O.CAN.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210225T0236Z/
/CHIN7.1.ER.210215T2125Z.210220T2030Z.210225T0052Z.NO/
936 PM EST Wed Feb 24 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Northeast Cape Fear River Near 
Chinquapin has been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* At 9:30 PM EST Wednesday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 8.9 feet Monday 
  evening.


&&

LAT...LON 3499 7780 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
      3482 7792 3498 7795

$$

26

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 15, 6:57 AM EST, 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 6:57 AM EST, 33 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
657 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure briefly builds in from the north today. A dynamic
storm system will approach from the south tonight, with a warm
front lifting through the area overnight. Then a cold front will
push through the forecast area tomorrow. After another brief
period of high pressure another strong storm system will move
through the region Thursday into Friday. High pressure then
builds over the area this weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
As of 650 AM Mon...High pressure will build in at the surface
today, however with warm southwesterly flow aloft, the low level
inversion will remain strong over most of the area, leading to
continued widespread low clouds and cold air damming.
Temperatures are not expected to move much through the day over
the coastal plain, with highs mostly in the low 40s. Closer to
the coast, a few peaks of sun, could allow for slightly more
warming, and expect highs in the upper 40s to around 50. Given
the moist low levels, and continued warm air advection aloft,
patchy drizzle or widely scattered light showers are possible
today, with the best chances being over the coastal plain.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM TUESDAY/...
As of 310 AM Mon...Deep longwave trough over the
central US will consolidate as the upper ridge strengthens over
the eastern Atlantic tonight. This will result in a westward
shift of the storm track from recent days, with low pressure
developing over the northern Gulf of Mexico and Deep South
today. This low will then track up the east coast, just west of
the I-95 corridor, with a warm front extending eastward, which
will lift through the area tonight.

The main concern overnight continues to be the threat of severe
weather behind this warm front, as rapid warm advection is
expected to develop with temperatures rising 20 or more degrees
over the span of 6-9 hours. This will bring in rich moisture and
the potential for instability on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg.
Strong dynamics will also be present in the form of 0-6 km shear
60+ kts, and SRH values 300+ m/s2, which will favor supercell
development. This will of course to lead to the threat for all
severe hazards, including damaging wind gusts, hail, and
isolated tornadoes. The two big questions that are unknown at
this time, which will determine the scope and magnitude of the
severe threat tonight, will be the degree of warming across the
area, and how far inland the low level inversion will dissipate
because of this warming.

Shower activity will increase late in the evening from west to
east, with a possible broken line of convection forming and
moving across the area overnight into early Tuesday morning.
Have increasing PoPs overnight, coming up to categorical for a
several hour period early Tuesday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 4 AM Mon...A cold front will push offshore Tuesday morning,
followed by high pressure building in through Wednesday. A strong
frontal system will impact the area Thursday and Friday. High
pressure returns this weekend into early next week.

Tuesday through Wednesday...Guidance has generally sped up the
frontal progression for Tuesday morning with the primary band of
prefrontal moisture now pushing off the Outer Banks around sunrise,
the initial cold front pushing through mid-to-late morning, and a
reinforcing/backdoor cold front Tuesday evening. A few light showers
are possible with the initial front, justifying low end chance POPs
lingering through late Tuesday morning, but dry conditions expected
thereafter. Temperature advection will be modest behind the initial
front, but drier low level air and subsidence aloft will allow skies
to clear by Tuesday afternoon, with temps remaining well above
normal through the day. Stronger CAA arrives with the evening
backdoor front as high pressure building over the Northeast begins
to ridge down the Eastern Seaboard. This ridging will continue to
dominate Wednesday.

Wednesday Night through Friday...A strong shortwave rounding the
base of the broad upper troughing over the eastern US will lift
across the region Thursday and Friday. Developing surface low
pressure associated with this feature will cross the deep south
Wednesday night and Thursday, prompting WAA to begin locally. The
dissipation of the inland wedge during this time is and will likely
remaining uncertain, as guidance is notoriously poor with this
process, but overrunning precip should begin Wednesday night as
strong low level WAA occurs under strengthening mid-level height
falls/broad lift.

The surface low will continue to strengthen as it lifts along the I-
95 corridor Thursday night and Friday. Eastern NC will be squarely
in the warm sector during this time, continuing the chance for
showers and thunderstorms. A strong (60-65 kt) LLJ on the eastern
side of the low will bring very strong low level shear and the
potential for thunderstorm organization/severe weather late Thursday
into Friday as the main line of prefrontal storms crosses the area.
Additionally, sustained winds could be strong, especially along the
coast, and elevated water levels along the northern shores of area
waterways are possible. Winds are expected to subside and the severe
weather and precip chances will end as the cold front crosses the
area later Friday.

Saturday through Monday...High pressure builds in through the
weekend, passing offshore early next week. This will bring a more
settled period with steadily moderating temps.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Short Term /through Tuesday Morning/...
As of 650 AM Mon...IFR/LIFR conditions are expected to persist
through the TAF period as the low level inversion remains in
place behind a departing area of low pressure. Ceilings should
remain steady around 400-600 ft through tonight. Visibilities
will remain 4-5 miles or greater today, but from this evening
onward dense fog is expected inland, and especially over the
coastal plain, as the atmosphere rapidly warms behind a warm
front. Widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms overnight
will keep ceilings down at IFR levels through early tomorrow
morning. There are some signs that at least the coastal areas
could reach MVFR ceilings after sunrise tomorrow after
convection moves offshore, however inland locations should
remain IFR/LIFR through most of tomorrow morning at least.

Low level wind shear is expected to develop tonight, as winds
increase above a low level inversion. Wind speeds as high as
40-50 kts can be expected only 1500-2000 ft above the surface
lasting into tomorrow morning.

Long Term /Tuesday through Saturday/...
As of 4 AM Mon...VFR prevails Tuesday. High pressure ridges in
from the north Tuesday night and Wednesday, with moisture
overriding this wedge bringing the potential for reduced
ceilings at times through midweek. The next frontal system
impacts the area Thursday and Friday, bringing the threat for
periods of flight restrictions for both visibility (in showers
and thunderstorms) and lower ceilings.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term /Today and Tonight/...
As of 700 AM Mon...Small craft conditions continue for the
coastal waters as winds continue at N 20-25 kts, with seas 6-9
ft. Winds will subside later this morning to 15-20 kts, however
seas will remain at or above 6 feet across the coastal waters
through the afternoon, with winds calming further to 5-15 kts.

A strong warm front will approach from the SW this evening, with
winds strengthening rapidly behind it. As a result the Small
craft advisories have been extended for the coastal waters
through the extent of this system, ending Wednesday night. New
advisories for the inland sounds have also been issued. Winds
early tonight increase to S 15-25 kts, and then strengthen
further to SSW 20-30 kts overnight, with seas building to 5-9
ft.

Long Term /Tuesday through Saturday/...
As of 4 AM Mon...Breezy to gusty southerly winds Tuesday morning
become more WSW and gradually subside as a cold front crosses the
waters midday Tuesday. Then, Tuesday evening, a backdoor cold front
crosses the waters, with winds becoming north and possibly surging
to 20-25 kt for several hours. High pressure ridging inland
continues moderate to breezy winds Wednesday and Wednesday night.
Then, a developing low over the Deep South on Thursday will prompt
winds to become southerly, with a strong LLJ bringing gusty to
strong winds Thursday night into Friday as the low passes just
inland, with Gales possible when winds are the strongest Friday
morning.

Seas remain elevated, around 5-8 ft Tuesday before beginning to
subside as southerly swell wanes Tuesday night and Wednesday. SCAs
for the combination of breezy to gusty winds and 6+ ft seas continue
for the coastal waters through Wednesday. Seas begin to increase
again Thursday as southerly windswell quickly builds, with seas
peaking at 8-10+ ft Friday morning.

Hi-res guidance indicates that sea fog is possible Tuesday morning
as a warm and humid airmass is in place ahead of a cold front that
will cross the waters midday. However, breezy S to SW winds during
this time will likely br strong enough to preclude any significant
fog impacts and coverage, and fog has been left out of the official
forecast for now.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM to 5 PM EST Tuesday for AMZ135.
     Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM to 1 PM EST Tuesday for AMZ131-
     230-231.
     Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST Wednesday for AMZ152-154-
     156-158.
     Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Wednesday for AMZ150.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...SGK
SHORT TERM...SGK
LONG TERM...CB
AVIATION...SGK/CB
MARINE...SGK/CB
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 4:54 AM EST, 2 hours 36 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
454 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193>196-198-199-203>205-161000-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort-
Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven-
Southern Craven-West Carteret-East Carteret-Inland Onslow-
Coastal Onslow-Northern Outer Banks-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
454 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with the threat of damaging
winds guts, and isolated tornadoes will be possible late tonight into
tomorrow morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Another strong storm system will bring the threat of strong to severe
thunderstorms to the area Thursday into Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 15, 6:47 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryMHX36 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.