Fire Weather Watch 26, NWS Medford, OR

327 
WWUS86 KMFR 030250
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
750 PM PDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...GUSTY WINDS, VERY LOW RH, AND UNSTABLE HAINES 6 CONDITIONS 
   ALONG, NEAR, AND EAST OF THE CASCADES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.Dryness, instability, and breezy conditions along and near the
Cascades eastward will result in critical conditions Tuesday 
afternoon and evening and, more so, Wednesday afternoon and 
evening.

ORZ625-030400-
/O.EXP.KMFR.FW.W.0034.000000T0000Z-210803T0300Z/
South Central Oregon Desert including the BLM Land in Eastern Lake
and Western Harney Counties-
750 PM PDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
   ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 625...

Thunderstorms are moving out of the area.

&&

$$

CAZ281-284-285-032200-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0035.210803T2100Z-210804T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0026.210804T2000Z-210805T0500Z/
Central Siskiyou County Including Shasta Valley-
Siskiyou County from the Cascade Mountains East and South to Mt
Shasta-Modoc County Except for the Surprise Valley-
750 PM PDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM PDT
   TUESDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER
   ZONES 281...284 AND 285...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
   THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH 
   FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 281...284 AND 285...

* Impacts:  Strong, gusty wind with very low relative humidity,
  critically dry vegetation, and dry, unstable conditions will 
  greatly increase the spread potential of any new and existing 
  fires.

* Affected area: 
  In Northern CA...Fire Weather Zones 281...284 and 285.

* Wind: South 10 to 20 mph with gusts 20 to 30 mph Tuesday.
        South 15 to 25 mph with gusts 25 to 40 mph Wednesday.

* Minimum Humidity: 6 to 12 percent.

* Additional Information: Conditions will be more critical and
  more widespread Wednesday as compared to Tuesday.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Avoid tossing burning cigarettes on the ground, parking hot
vehicles on dry vegetation, and using equipment that can cause
sparks. Follow all fire restrictions. Find links to restrictions
at weather.gov/medford/wildfire. One less spark, one less
wildfire.

A Red Flag Warning does not mean there is a fire. It means that
critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will
shortly. These conditions promote rapid spread of fire which may
become life threatening. Evacuate if ordered to, or if a fire
threatens.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are possible during the valid watch time. These conditions could
promote the rapid spread of wildfires which could become life-
threatening. Check weather.gov/medford for forecast updates and a
possible upgrade of the this watch to a Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

ORZ624-032200-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0035.210803T2100Z-210804T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0026.210804T2000Z-210805T0500Z/
Klamath Basin and the Fremont-Winema National Forest-
750 PM PDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM PDT
   TUESDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH AND DRY, UNSTABLE
   HAINES 6 CONDITIONS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
   THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH AND
   DRY, UNSTABLE HAINES 6 CONDITIONS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624...

* Impacts: Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity, dry,
  unstable high level Haines 6 conditions, and critically dry 
  vegetation will greatly increase the spread potential of any new 
  and existing fires.

* Affected area: 
  In South Central OR...Fire Weather Zone 624.

* Wind: Southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts 20 to 30 mph.

* Humidity: 6 to 12 percent.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Avoid tossing burning cigarettes on the ground, parking hot
vehicles on dry vegetation, and using equipment that can cause
sparks. Follow all fire restrictions. Find links to restrictions
at weather.gov/medford/wildfire. One less spark, one less
wildfire.

A Red Flag Warning does not mean there is a fire. It means that
critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will
shortly. These conditions promote rapid spread of fire which may
become life threatening. Evacuate if ordered to, or if a fire
threatens.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are possible during the valid watch time. These conditions could
promote the rapid spread of wildfires which could become life-
threatening. Check weather.gov/medford for forecast updates and a
possible upgrade of the this watch to a Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

CAZ280-282-ORZ623-032200-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0026.210804T2000Z-210805T0500Z/
Western Klamath National Forest-Shasta-
Trinity National Forest in Siskiyou County-
Southern Oregon Cascades-
750 PM PDT Mon Aug 2 2021

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
   THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR
   FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...282 AND 623...

* Impacts: Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity and 
  critically dry vegetation will greatly increase the spread 
  potential of any new and existing fires.

* Affected area: 
  In Northern CA Fire Zones...280...282.
  In Southwest OR Fire Zone....623.

* Wind: Southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

* Humidity: 6 to 14 percent.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Plan now to avoid using equipment that could cause sparks during
the period when critical weather conditions are possible. Visit
weather.gov/medford/wildfire for links to fire restrictions in
your area.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are possible during the valid watch time. These conditions could
promote the rapid spread of wildfires which could become life-
threatening. Check weather.gov/medford for forecast updates and a
possible upgrade of the this watch to a Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

Visit us at www.weather.gov/Medford

443 
WWUS86 KMFR 032027
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
127 PM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021

CAZ285-040830-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0026.210804T2000Z-210805T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0036.210804T2100Z-210805T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.A.0027.210805T2100Z-210806T0500Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0035.210803T2100Z-210804T0300Z/
Modoc County Except for the Surprise Valley-
127 PM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 285...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 10 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR
STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 285...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 285...

The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Red Flag
Warning...which is in effect from 2 PM to 10 PM PDT Wednesday. A
Fire Weather Watch has also been issued and is in effect from
Thursday afternoon through Thursday evening. 

* Impacts: Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity and 
  critically dry vegetation will greatly increase the spread 
  potential of any new and existing fires.

* Affected area: 
  In Northern CA...Fire Weather Zone 285.

* Wind: Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 to 35 mph.

* Minimum Humidity: 5 to 12 percent.

* Additional Information: Conditions will be most critical
  Wednesday as winds increase and RH reach their minimum. 

* View the hazard area in detail at:
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Avoid tossing burning cigarettes on the ground, parking hot
vehicles on dry vegetation, and using equipment that can cause
sparks. Follow all fire restrictions. Find links to restrictions
at weather.gov/medford/wildfire. One less spark, one less
wildfire.

Gather your fire evacuation kit now. Collect essentials you don't
want to lose and prioritize your checklist. Visit ready.gov/kit
for more information.

Familiarize yourself with your evacuation plan. Where will you go?
How will you get there? Who will you call to let others know your
are safe? Visit ready.gov/wildfires for more information.

A Red Flag Warning does not mean there is a fire. It means that
critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will
shortly. These conditions promote rapid spread of fire which may
become life threatening. Evacuate if ordered to, or if a fire
threatens.

&&

$$

ORZ624-040830-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0026.210804T2000Z-210805T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0036.210804T2100Z-210805T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.A.0027.210805T2100Z-210806T0500Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0035.210803T2100Z-210804T0300Z/
Klamath Basin and the Fremont-Winema National Forest-
127 PM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH AND HAINES 6 OVER THE BOOTLEG
FIRE FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624... 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 10 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR
STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH AND HAINES 6 OVER THE BOOTLEG FIRE 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624... 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 
THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH AND HAINES 6 
OVER THE BOOTLEG FIRE FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624...

The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Red Flag
Warning...which is in effect from 2 PM to 10 PM PDT Wednesday. A
Fire Weather Watch has also been issued and is in effect from 
Thursday afternoon through Thursday evening. 

* Impacts: Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity and
  critically dry vegetation will greatly increase the spread
  potential of any new and existing fires. Very dry and unstable 
  conditions will support extreme fire behavior. Plume domination 
  is possible with locally-generated erratic and gusty winds. 
  Spotting could be problematic.

* Affected area: In South Central OR...Fire Weather Zone 624, 
  including the Bootleg Fire.

* Wind: Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 to 35 mph.

* Humidity: 5 to 10 percent.

* Additional Information: Conditions will be most critical
  Wednesday as winds increase and RH reach their minimum.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Avoid tossing burning cigarettes on the ground, parking hot
vehicles on dry vegetation, and using equipment that can cause
sparks. Follow all fire restrictions. Find links to restrictions
at weather.gov/medford/wildfire. One less spark, one less
wildfire.

Gather your fire evacuation kit now. Collect essentials you don't
want to lose and prioritize your checklist. Visit ready.gov/kit
for more information.

Familiarize yourself with your evacuation plan. Where will you go?
How will you get there? Who will you call to let others know your
are safe? Visit ready.gov/wildfires for more information.

A Red Flag Warning does not mean there is a fire. It means that
critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will
shortly. These conditions promote rapid spread of fire which may
become life threatening. Evacuate if ordered to, or if a fire
threatens.

&&

$$

CAZ284-040830-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0026.210804T2000Z-210805T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0036.210804T2100Z-210805T0500Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0035.210803T2100Z-210804T0300Z/
Siskiyou County from the Cascade Mountains East and South to Mt
Shasta-
127 PM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 284...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 10 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR
STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 284...

The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Red Flag
Warning...which is in effect from 2 PM to 10 PM PDT Wednesday. 

* Impacts: Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity and
  critically dry vegetation will greatly increase the spread
  potential of any new and existing fires. 

* Affected area: In Northern CA...Fire Weather Zone 284. This does
  include the Antelope Fire.

* Wind: Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Minimum Humidity: 5 to 10 percent.

* Additional Information: Conditions will be most critical
  Wednesday as winds increase and RH reach their minimum.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Avoid tossing burning cigarettes on the ground, parking hot
vehicles on dry vegetation, and using equipment that can cause
sparks. Follow all fire restrictions. Find links to restrictions
at weather.gov/medford/wildfire. One less spark, one less
wildfire.

Gather your fire evacuation kit now. Collect essentials you don't
want to lose and prioritize your checklist. Visit ready.gov/kit
for more information.

Familiarize yourself with your evacuation plan. Where will you go?
How will you get there? Who will you call to let others know your
are safe? Visit ready.gov/wildfires for more information.

A Red Flag Warning does not mean there is a fire. It means that
critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will
shortly. These conditions promote rapid spread of fire which may
become life threatening. Evacuate if ordered to, or if a fire
threatens.

&&

$$

CAZ281-040830-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0026.210804T2000Z-210805T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0036.210804T2100Z-210805T0500Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0035.210803T2100Z-210804T0300Z/
Central Siskiyou County Including Shasta Valley-
127 PM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 281...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 10 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR
STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 281...

The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Red Flag
Warning...which is in effect from 2 PM to 10 PM PDT Wednesday.

* Impacts: Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity and
  critically dry vegetation will greatly increase the spread
  potential of any new and existing fires.

* Affected area: In Northern CA...Fire Weather Zone 281. For today,
  critical conditions are expected south of Yreka. On Wednesday,
  critical conditions are expected across most of the Shasta
  Valley.

* Wind: South 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* Minimum Humidity: 5 to 10 percent.

* Additional Information: Conditions will be most critical
  Wednesday as winds increase and RH reach their minimum.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Avoid tossing burning cigarettes on the ground, parking hot
vehicles on dry vegetation, and using equipment that can cause
sparks. Follow all fire restrictions. Find links to restrictions
at weather.gov/medford/wildfire. One less spark, one less
wildfire.

Gather your fire evacuation kit now. Collect essentials you don't
want to lose and prioritize your checklist. Visit ready.gov/kit
for more information.

Familiarize yourself with your evacuation plan. Where will you go?
How will you get there? Who will you call to let others know your
are safe? Visit ready.gov/wildfires for more information.

A Red Flag Warning does not mean there is a fire. It means that
critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will
shortly. These conditions promote rapid spread of fire which may
become life threatening. Evacuate if ordered to, or if a fire
threatens.

&&

$$

ORZ616-040830-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0036.210804T2100Z-210805T0500Z/
/O.EXA.KMFR.FW.W.0035.210803T2100Z-210804T0300Z/
Umpqua Basin-
127 PM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
HAINES 6 OVER THE SKYLINE COMPLEX IN FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616... 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 10 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR 
HAINES 6 OVER THE SKYLINE COMPLEX IN FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616...

The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Red Flag
Warning...which is in effect until 8 PM PDT this evening. A Red
Flag Warning has also been issued from 2 PM to 10 PM PDT
Wednesday.

* Impacts: Very dry and unstable conditions will support extreme 
  fire behavior. Plume domination is possible with locally-
  generated erratic and gusty winds. Spotting could be problematic.

* Affected area: The Skyline Complex in Fire Weather Zone 616.

* Wind: Northwest 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.

* Minimum Humidity: 15 to 20 percent.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Avoid tossing burning cigarettes on the ground, parking hot
vehicles on dry vegetation, and using equipment that can cause
sparks. Follow all fire restrictions. Find links to restrictions
at weather.gov/medford/wildfire. One less spark, one less
wildfire.

Gather your fire evacuation kit now. Collect essentials you don't
want to lose and prioritize your checklist. Visit ready.gov/kit
for more information.

Familiarize yourself with your evacuation plan. Where will you go?
How will you get there? Who will you call to let others know your
are safe? Visit ready.gov/wildfires for more information.

A Red Flag Warning does not mean there is a fire. It means that
critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will
shortly. These conditions promote rapid spread of fire which may
become life threatening. Evacuate if ordered to, or if a fire
threatens.

&&

$$

ORZ623-040830-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0026.210804T2000Z-210805T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0036.210804T2100Z-210805T0500Z/
Southern Oregon Cascades-
127 PM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 10 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR
STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 623...

The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Red Flag
Warning...which is in effect from 2 PM to 10 PM PDT Wednesday. The
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* Impacts: Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity and
  critically dry vegetation will greatly increase the spread
  potential of any new and existing fires. 

* Affected area: In Southwest OR...the southern portion of Fire 
  Weather Zone 623, roughly south of Hwy 140.

* Wind: West to southwest 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.

* Humidity: 10 to 15 percent.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Avoid tossing burning cigarettes on the ground, parking hot
vehicles on dry vegetation, and using equipment that can cause
sparks. Follow all fire restrictions. Find links to restrictions
at weather.gov/medford/wildfire. One less spark, one less
wildfire.

Gather your fire evacuation kit now. Collect essentials you don't
want to lose and prioritize your checklist. Visit ready.gov/kit
for more information.

Familiarize yourself with your evacuation plan. Where will you go?
How will you get there? Who will you call to let others know your
are safe? Visit ready.gov/wildfires for more information.

A Red Flag Warning does not mean there is a fire. It means that
critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will
shortly. These conditions promote rapid spread of fire which may
become life threatening. Evacuate if ordered to, or if a fire
threatens.

&&

$$

CAZ280-282-040830-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0026.210804T2000Z-210805T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0036.210804T2100Z-210805T0500Z/
Western Klamath National Forest-Shasta-
Trinity National Forest in Siskiyou County-
127 PM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 10 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR
STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280 AND 
282...

The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Red Flag
Warning...which is in effect from 2 PM to 10 PM PDT Wednesday.

* Impacts: Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity and
  critically dry vegetation will greatly increase the spread
  potential of any new and existing fires. 

* Affected area: In Northern CA...The eastern portion of Fire
  Weather Zone 280, to include the River Complex, and all of Fire 
  Weather Zone 282.

* Wind: South to southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph.

* Humidity: 5 to 10 percent.

* View the hazard area in detail at:
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Avoid tossing burning cigarettes on the ground, parking hot
vehicles on dry vegetation, and using equipment that can cause
sparks. Follow all fire restrictions. Find links to restrictions
at weather.gov/medford/wildfire. One less spark, one less
wildfire.

Gather your fire evacuation kit now. Collect essentials you don't
want to lose and prioritize your checklist. Visit ready.gov/kit
for more information.

Familiarize yourself with your evacuation plan. Where will you go?
How will you get there? Who will you call to let others know your
are safe? Visit ready.gov/wildfires for more information.

A Red Flag Warning does not mean there is a fire. It means that
critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will
shortly. These conditions promote rapid spread of fire which may
become life threatening. Evacuate if ordered to, or if a fire
threatens.

&&

$$


Visit us at www.weather.gov/Medford

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
255 PM PDT Mon Aug 2 2021

.DISCUSSION...FireWx discussion to come in a quick update...

Smoke from the River Complex is spreading to a higher altitude
than expected as fires became plume dominated and thus avoiding
the boundary layer NW flow. As a result it is spreading northward
across western Jackson county and slowing becoming more diffuse
across eastern Jackson and Western Klamath County. A fire to the
NW of this one has also had its smoke plume show up on radar. For
now these are the only fire related radar signatures.

On satellite, stratus can be seen remaining impacted along the coast
south of Cape Blanco. While a better picture of the smoke can be
garnered. The smoke is making its way over central Douglas County,
while smoke from further south in California is moving towards the
Mt. Shasta area.

There are other signatures on radar though, specifically those
associated with the convection going off east of the Cascades.
Frequent intra-cloud lightning is associated with the cells so far.
Cloud to ground strikes have been a little more scarce, but have
been frequent in the cells that are moving north near Bend. Would
expect as the afternoon progresses and lapse rates steepen over a
warmer surface that CG strikes become more common.

Like today, models are trending the area most conducive to
thunderstorms further northeast and have trimmed the slight chance
to the eastern half of Lake County. Hot temperatures in the valleys
west of the Cascades will continue through this time as well.
Tonight and tomorrow are likely to have the worst overnight
temperature recoveries.

On Wednesday a strong disturbance over the offshore waters will
approach the forecast area, and this will bring increasing marine
layer low clouds to the coast and gusty winds to most locations.
While the models could be misrepresenting drizzle as rain, there
should be enough moisture to get more than a trace out of this
front. Therefore, have increased PoPs along the coast, mainly north
of Cape Blanco, and along the coast range. Nonetheless,
precipitation with this feature is going to be limited, likely to
due to shallow moisture, but certainly not due to lack of dynamics.
A healthy jet of 100kt moves overhead late Wednesday into Thursday
morning, so this will trigger at least a chance of showers and
thunderstorms, focused east of the Cascades where at least some
moisture resides and dynamics are favorable.

Much cooler air will follow in the footsteps of this system, with
below normal temperatures expected Thursday through at least the
beginning of the weekend. Breezy and dry conditions will
characterize the weather on these days for inland areas. -Miles

&&

.AVIATION...For the 02/18Z TAF Cycle...Over the coastal waters,
along the coast, and in the coastal valleys...Areas of IFR/LIFR
cigs/vsbys in low clouds and fog is slow to burn off. The lower
conditions should gradually improve to VFR between 20-21Z for the
coastal valleys, but it may not be until after 22z at the coast. Any
improvement will be brief with marine stratus moving back onshore
early this evening and lasting through the end of the TAF period.

Over the remainder of the area...VFR conditions will persist through
the TAF period. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will develop
afternoon and evening, mainly from the Cascades east, but with a
focus in northern Klamath County and northern/eastern Lake County.
Any storms could bring strong, gusty winds. Smoke and haze from area
wildfires will also continue, but most won't be enough to drop
visibilities below VFR, except possibly very near the fires.
-Petrucelli

&&

.MARINE...Updated 200 PM PDT Monday 2 August 2021...Offshore high
pressure and a thermal trough near the coast will both persist
through Wednesday morning. This will result in a continuation of
gusty north winds with the strongest winds expected to be south of
Bandon, except near shore from Gold Beach southward where southerly
wind reversals will occur at times. Areas of marine stratus and fog
will also persist. North winds will weaken Wednesday afternoon as an
upper trough approaches from the south followed by a surface front
that will move onshore Wednesday night. The thermal trough and
stronger north winds will return this weekend. -Petrucelli

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...Red Flag Warning until 11 PM PDT this evening for ORZ625.
     Red Flag Warning from 2 PM to 8 PM PDT Tuesday for ORZ624.
     Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday
     evening for ORZ623-624.
     Heat Advisory until 10 PM PDT Tuesday for ORZ024-026.

CA...Red Flag Warning until 11 PM PDT this evening for
     CAZ281-284-285.
     Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday
     evening for CAZ280>282-284-285.
     Heat Advisory until 10 PM PDT Tuesday for CAZ080-081.

Pacific Coastal Waters...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM PDT Wednesday for
     PZZ356-370-376.