Alert archive / New Mexico / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

July 26, 2021Lea County, New Mexico

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at Jul 26, 2021, 1:14 PM MDT for Lea County, New Mexico. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 26, 2021, 1:14 PM MDT (19:14 UTC)
Expired: Jul 26, 2021, 2:00 PM MDT
In force: 46 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

County Lea County, NM

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 164 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -396 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2586 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 7 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 46 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 26, 1:04 PM MDT, 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 26, 1:04 PM MDT, 10 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
204 PM CDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Mon Jul 26 2021

VFR conditions will continue across all TAF sites during the period.
Winds will be light out of the southeast with scattered cumulus
possible at KMAF, KHOB, and KCNM this afternoon. Thunderstorms
appear likely based on latest convective allowing guidance in
southeast New Mexico. Have added VCTS this afternoon in TAFs at KCNM
and KHOB based on this guidance. Not all guidance have thunderstorm
development, but a majority do. Confidence is moderate in this
outcome, but will amend if later trends and guidance suggest
otherwise. Winds will be light and variable tonight. Tomorrow
morning, winds will once again be light out of the south and
southeast.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday night)
Issued at 154 PM CDT Mon Jul 26 2021

The subtropical ridge continues to build across the central and
northern plains. The southern plains will remain on the southern
periphery of the high during the short term period. Thunderstorms
will be possible this evening across southeast New Mexico, mainly
over the higher terrain, but a few thunderstorms may reach down into
the far western plains along convective outflow boundaries. This
activity will wane into the evening due to the loss of heating.
Tomorrow afternoon, thunderstorm chances will return to southeast
New Mexico, primarily over the higher terrain once again. Additional
thunderstorms will be possible over the eastern Permian Basin. This
area will have slightly warmer temperatures and slightly higher
moisture building in from the east and will potentially reach
convective temperature during the afternoon. No severe weather is
expected as flow remains weak throughout the depth of the
troposphere. Highs will be near to slightly above average as the
highest heights will continue to be to our north. Lows tonight and
tomorrow night will be mild and around average for this time of year
across the region.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through  Sunday)
Issued at 154 PM CDT Mon Jul 26 2021

On Wednesday the upper ridge will be centered over the KS/NE
border and will stretch across the middle of the country from
Mexico to Canada. This ridge will drift southward becoming
centered over OK by Saturday and the TX/NM border Sunday.

After a warm start to the week expect a return to below normal
temperatures in the low to mid 90s Wednesday through Friday.  These
readings are expected to climb into the upper 90s with more 100s
over the weekend as the ridge builds south.  Lows in the mid 60s to
mid 70s.  No fronts expected this week and the wind will generally
remain S to SE keeping low level moisture up.

As far as rain chances storms look possible mainly south Wednesday
while Thursday has a slight chance of storms over the mountains...
rainfall totals should be low.  Not much precip expected Friday with
low pops over the mountains again Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               99  74  98  74 /   0   0  20  10
Carlsbad                 96  70  96  72 /  10  10  10  10
Dryden                   99  73 100  75 /   0   0  10  10
Fort Stockton            98  70  98  73 /   0   0  10  10
Guadalupe Pass           88  69  90  70 /  20  20  10  10
Hobbs                    95  69  96  71 /  10  20  10  10
Marfa                    92  59  91  62 /  10  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport     98  73  98  74 /   0   0  10  10
Odessa                   98  72  98  74 /   0  10  10  10
Wink                    100  73 100  74 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...91
LONG TERM....72
AVIATION...91

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 26, 1:26 AM MDT, 11 hours 48 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 26, 1:14 PM MDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
114 PM MDT Mon Jul 26 2021

NMZ029-033-262000-
Northern Lea County NM-Central Lea County NM-
114 PM MDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN LEA COUNTY UNTIL 200
PM MDT...

At 114 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Tatum, moving northwest at 20 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Tatum.

LAT...LON 3324 10327 3286 10346 3295 10369 3346 10366
TIME...MOT...LOC 1914Z 124DEG 17KT 3321 10341

91

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 25, 6:19 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Midland	41 min
Jul 25, 6:40 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Martin	50 min
Jul 25, 7:02 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Midland	43 min
Jul 25, 7:04 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Midland	3 hr
Jul 25, 7:12 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Martin, Midland	38 min
Jul 26, 1:45 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Yoakum	45 min
Jul 25, 7:21 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Eddy	3 hr
Jul 26, 2:50 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Lea	115 min
Jul 26, 3:12 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Eddy	48 min
Jul 26, 3:19 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	41 min
Jul 26, 3:59 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Eddy	46 min
Jul 26, 4:02 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	43 min
Jul 26, 4:35 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Eddy	40 min
Jul 26, 5:44 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Eddy	2 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New Mexico, 2021 Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.