Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2021
Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at Jul 24, 2021, 2:28 PM CDT for Pecos County, Texas. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 24, 2021, 2:28 PM CDT (19:28 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 24, 2021, 3:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 32 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
County Pecos County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 84 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -320 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1752 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 113 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 106 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 24, 1:54 PM CDT, 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 24, 1:54 PM CDT, 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 154 PM CDT Sat Jul 24 2021 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 PM CDT Sat Jul 24 2021 VFR conditions and light winds will continue this TAF period. Isolated TS will be too sparse in coverage to mention in the TAFs at this time but could possibly be of concern for CNM,PEQ, & FST 22-02Z. Hennig && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Sunday night) Issued at 152 PM CDT Sat Jul 24 2021 As the 80s song goes, the heat is on. We have enjoyed a recent period of below average temperatures as high pressure normally centered close to West Texas in the summer, has instead been located over the western states where they have been plagued by heat. That is starting to change with the high pressure out west breaking down and repositioning over the South Plains. Southerly low level winds will advect warmer temperatures out of northern Mexico causing temperatures to increase both today and tomorrow. Fortunately, the upper jet is located far enough south to dampen the high enough so heights remain near normal, so while temperatures will be hot this weekend they will not be too far from normal. Radar is already showing convection developing west of the Pecos River today and more activity is expected later this afternoon and evening with peak heating before diminishing overnight. Subsidence associated with the upper high will increase Sunday and storms should be more isolated in coverage. Shear is weak so storms will remain below severe levels. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through Friday) Issued at 152 PM CDT Sat Jul 24 2021 The long term will be mainly dictated by the strength and positioning of the ridge to the north as it settles over the central plains. Near to above normal height pattern will allow for temps to trend slightly above normal for Mon/Tue before we see a slight shift in the upper pattern. Global models are keying on a transient tropical piece that rotates out of the Gulf and moves west under the guide of the ridge. The piece isn't overly strong, but certainly favors a wetter solution compared to blended guidance, so upped PoPs over most of the forecast area for Wednesday when the piece is progged to reach the area. Outside that, it's ridging for days with isolated to scattered convection in the far western areas, mainly our high terrain focal points in the Davis and Guadalupes. Temps will drop for mid-week with our disturbance, but we'll see them come back to near and above normal by Thu, onward. Lows will settle into the upper-60s and 70s areawide. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 72 98 71 97 / 10 0 0 0 Carlsbad 71 95 71 95 / 20 20 10 10 Dryden 73 100 71 99 / 10 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 72 98 71 99 / 20 10 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 66 87 69 88 / 40 30 20 10 Hobbs 70 94 69 94 / 10 20 10 10 Marfa 63 90 61 92 / 40 30 10 10 Midland Intl Airport 72 98 71 97 / 10 10 0 0 Odessa 73 98 71 97 / 10 10 0 0 Wink 74 100 72 100 / 20 10 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && SHORT TERM...80 LONG TERM....87 AVIATION...10
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 24, 12:58 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 1258 PM CDT Sat Jul 24 2021 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-251800- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 1258 PM CDT Sat Jul 24 2021 /1158 AM MDT Sat Jul 24 2021/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected across Southeast New Mexico, western Permian Basin, and the Trans Pecos with gusty winds, lightning, and brief heavy rain. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday No widespread hazardous weather is expected. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 24, 2:28 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 228 PM CDT Sat Jul 24 2021 TXZ075-242000- Pecos TX- 228 PM CDT Sat Jul 24 2021 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY UNTIL 300 PM CDT... At 228 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8 miles east of Fort Stockton. This storm was nearly stationary. Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Fort Stockton. This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 262 and 276. LAT...LON 3076 10278 3089 10286 3101 10268 3077 10255 TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 245DEG 3KT 3084 10275 10
The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 7:54 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Pecos | 51 min |
| Jul 24, 3:02 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Pecos | 43 min |
| Jul 24, 3:46 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Pecos | 44 min |
| Jul 24, 5:34 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Martin | 41 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.