Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2021
Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at Jun 9, 2021, 5:09 PM CDT for Pecos County, Texas. It was in force for 51 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 9, 2021, 5:09 PM CDT (22:09 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 9, 2021, 6:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 51 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
County Pecos County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2285 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -333 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1758 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 11 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 32 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 9, 2:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 9, 2:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
240 PM CDT Wed Jun 9 2021
.DISCUSSION...
This afternoon will be very hot over much of the area as the
subtropical ridge builds over northern Mexico. A heat advisory
is in place through this evening for southern portions of the
region due to the extreme heat. The dryline will progress east
and sharpen late this afternoon from FST to west of ODO to LUV.
12Z MAF sounding shows little in the way of a capping inversion
above the nocturnal inversion. Convective temperature is 100F,
which is the forecast high at MAF. Moisture this morning was very
high with dewpoints in the low 70s, but this moisture is shallow
and will mix out this afternoon due to drier air just above the
surface. The amount of mixing will likely determine the exact
placement of the dryline as well as overall thunderstorm chances.
HRRR guidance has little in the way of storms outside of the
higher terrain as it mixes the dryline east of MAF. This is an
outlier, as other CAMS keep the dryline west of MAF and dewpoints
remaining the mid 50s. With ridging in place, ascent will be
limited to the dryline and higher terrain for thunderstorm
development. MLCAPE will be high with steep mid-level lapse rates
and moderate shear, this could result in a few severe thunderstorms
with a large hail and severe wind threat. SPC has put eastern
portions of the region under a marginal risk as a result.
Thunderstorms will likely diminish shortly after dark as heating
ends and the nocturnal inversion begins to develop.
The subtropical ridge of high pressure will continue to strengthen
over the region, especially Thursday into Friday where 500 hpa
hghts will top out around 594-595 dam. In response, widespread
100+F degree temperatures will be common with 108+F along the
river valleys. We have issued a heat advisory for much of SE
New Mexico and W Texas along and W of the Pecos River tomorrow.
The advisory will likely need to be expanded further into the
Permian Basin on Friday. This heat wave should be taken seriously,
particularly by those who work outside. Make sure to take extra
precautions and take frequent breaks to avoid heat related
illnesses. Any convection that develops Thursday and Friday
afternoon should remain confined to the mountain areas west of
the Pecos River. By Saturday, 500 hpa hghts will lower as the
subtropical ridge begins to retrograde wwd. This will signal the
beginning of a cooling trend, although temperatures are still
likely to reach the triple digits Saturday afternoon. Mid range
models did show a complex of storms moving out of northerly flow
into the Permian Basin Saturday night, but have now backed off on
the latest 12Z runs. As the upper level ridge sets up over AZ/NM,
temperatures will continue to cool Sunday into the beginning of
next week with highs falling back to near normal by Monday.
-Salerno/Chehak
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 74 101 75 101 / 20 10 0 0
Carlsbad 71 107 70 107 / 0 0 0 0
Dryden 75 103 74 104 / 20 10 0 0
Fort Stockton 76 105 76 107 / 20 10 0 0
Guadalupe Pass 74 99 73 99 / 0 0 0 0
Hobbs 71 104 70 105 / 0 0 0 0
Marfa 65 101 65 101 / 10 10 0 10
Midland Intl Airport 74 102 74 105 / 10 10 0 0
Odessa 75 102 75 105 / 10 10 0 0
Wink 75 108 74 110 / 10 0 0 0
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Heat Advisory from noon to 7 PM MDT Thursday for Central Lea
County-Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy
County-Southern Lea County.
TX...Heat Advisory from 1 PM CDT /noon MDT/ to 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/
Thursday for Central Brewster County-Chinati Mountains-
Chisos Basin-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-
Eastern Culberson County-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000
Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Loving-Lower Brewster
County-Marfa Plateau-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reeves County
Plains-Terrell-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-
Winkler.
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for Central Brewster
County-Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Davis Mountains-Davis
Mountains Foothills-Lower Brewster County-Marfa Plateau-
Presidio Valley.
&&
27/24Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 9, 2:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 9 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 200 PM CDT Wed Jun 9 2021 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-101900- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 200 PM CDT Wed Jun 9 2021 /100 PM MDT Wed Jun 9 2021/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible today from the Davis Mountains east and north east across the Lower Trans Pecos and Central Permian Basin. The main hazards will include large hail and damaging wind. A Heat Advisory remains in effect for the Davis Mountains, Marfa Plateau, Presidio Valley, and Big Bend region through this evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday A Heat Advisory has been issued for Thursday afternoon for Southeast New Mexico and south through the Big Bend and Trans Pecos regions. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 9, 5:09 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 509 PM CDT Wed Jun 9 2021 TXZ075-092300- Pecos TX- 509 PM CDT Wed Jun 9 2021 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY UNTIL 600 PM CDT... At 509 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7 miles southwest of Fort Stockton, moving east at 20 mph. Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Fort Stockton, Fort Stockton-Pecos County Airport and Firestone Test Track. This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 246 and 273. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. && LAT...LON 3067 10317 3102 10309 3095 10263 3054 10273 TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 278DEG 15KT 3085 10300 84
The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2:15 PM CDT | Heat Advisory | MAF | Andrews, Borden, Brewster, Crane, Culberson, Dawson and 18 more | 30 hr |
| Jun 9, 5:44 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Pecos | 46 min |
| Jun 9, 5:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Pecos | 48 min |
| Jun 9, 6:38 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Upton | 52 min |
| Jun 9, 6:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Pecos, Ward | 34 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.