Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2021
Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at Apr 27, 2021, 8:31 PM CDT for Howard County, Texas. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 27, 2021, 8:31 PM CDT (01:31 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 27, 2021, 9:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 44 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
County Howard County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 94 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 18 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -14 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3768 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 41 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 32 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
950
WWUS84 KMAF 280131
SPSMAF
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
831 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021
TXZ047-051>053-280215-
Mitchell TX-Martin TX-Howard TX-Borden TX-
831 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN SCURRY...
NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL...SOUTHEASTERN BORDEN...HOWARD AND EAST CENTRAL
MARTIN COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM CDT...
At 831 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles northwest of Big Spring, moving northeast at 45 mph.
Pea size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Big Spring, Coahoma, Luther, Vincent, Knott, Vealmoor and Big Spring
McMahon-Wrinkle Airpark.
This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 167 and 183.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for
western Texas.
LAT...LON 3218 10165 3232 10179 3275 10147 3254 10117
3253 10117 3253 10116 3241 10099
TIME...MOT...LOC 0131Z 227DEG 38KT 3231 10166
$$
87What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Apr 27, 6:11 PM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 27, 6:11 PM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
611 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021
.DISCUSSION...
Please see the 00z aviation discussion below.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours with overcast
skies overnight at most terminals. Scattered thunderstorms will
continue to develop across the Permian Basin this evening, with
TSRA possible at KMAF through the early morning hours.
Development and timing are uncertain with these storms, so have
left out of the TAFs for now. Will amend as needed. Gusts will
die down over the next few hours and winds will calm overnight,
veering out of the SW/W. Gusts will again pick up late in the TAF
period.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 255 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021/
DISCUSSION...
Current radar and observations are showing a quasi-stationary
dryline from Monahans to the Gaines/Dawson County line. Winds are
holding from the south which is keeping dewpoints higher than
models were originally suggesting. This could be a significant
development as more low level moisture would make it easier to
break the cap currently suppressing convection and allowing for
more storms to develop...and earlier. It appears currently that
strong shear is limiting deep convection over the MAF CWA but
instability continues increasing with high temperatures still a
couple of hours away. Large hail and strong winds will be the
primary threats with a very low chance for an isolated tornado.
The deep upper low pulling the moisture into the Permian Basin is
only slowly moving east so the severe weather threat will continue
across the area through early Wednesday morning.
Wednesday we will be in the dry slot of the upper low keeping rain
chances mostly to our east and north. Models begin to diverge on
the movement of the low with GFS being more progressive and other
medium range models cutting off the low for a couple of days
before finally moving it to the east on Sunday. The low will bring
a cold front on Thursday and how much precipitation is associated
with it will depend greatly on the position of the low. Have kept
low chance PoPs in the forecast through Thursday given the model
uncertainty but this may need to be extended farther out should
the slower track prove correct. Temperatures drop below normal
Thursday and Friday behind the cold front before a warming trend
takes hold for the weekend.
Hennig
FIRE WEATHER...
Temperatures today are expected to be around 10 degrees above
normal. Minimum relative humidity values are expected to be 15
percent or less along and west of a line from the central Permian
Basin to the Lower Trans Pecos to the Big Bend area. Some
locations may experience single digit RH values. High winds are
expected in the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains with winds near
or above 20 mph across much of the area. RFTI values are expected
to be between 3 and 8 across the western half of the area. ERC
values will generally be in the 70th to 89th percentile and 90th
to 96th percentile. These conditions have resulted in critical
fire weather generally along and west of a line from the western
Permian Basin...to Stockton Plateau...to the Presidio Valley for
today. There may be sudden shifts in wind direction this afternoon
and evening due to outflow boundaries from possible storms across
the Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos. There will be a slight
improvement in RH values for Wednesday but still expecting
widespread 10 to 15 percent RH across the area. Winds will
decrease slightly across the area for Wednesday but expect 20+ mph
winds from the Davis Mountains northward to Eddy County. This
will result in RFTI values of 3 to 5 in the above mentioned areas
and may lead to near critical to critical fire weather. Both RH
and wind improve on Thursday with below normal temperatures. The
only fire weather concerns on Thursday may be in the Guadalupe and
Delaware Mountains where winds are expected to be 20+ mph.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 62 84 53 70 / 50 10 20 30
Carlsbad 51 74 46 68 / 10 20 20 40
Dryden 66 90 58 79 / 30 10 10 20
Fort Stockton 58 81 53 72 / 30 10 10 30
Guadalupe Pass 49 65 44 62 / 0 10 10 40
Hobbs 50 75 46 67 / 10 10 20 40
Marfa 46 73 40 67 / 10 10 10 30
Midland Intl Airport 59 82 53 70 / 40 10 20 30
Odessa 58 80 51 70 / 40 10 20 30
Wink 53 80 50 72 / 20 10 20 40
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for Chaves Plains-
Eddy Plains-Lea-Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe
Mountains.
High Wind Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for Guadalupe
Mountains of Eddy County.
TX...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening for
Andrews-Chinati Mountains-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains
Foothills-Eastern Culberson County-Gaines-Guadalupe
Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Loving-Marfa Plateau-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reeves County
Plains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.
High Wind Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for Guadalupe
Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.
&&
88/29Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 27, 3:44 PM CDT, 4 hours 47 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 344 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-282045- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 344 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021 /244 PM MDT Tue Apr 27 2021/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and tonight mainly over the Western Low Rolling Plains and Permian Basin. Any storms that do develop will be accompanied by frequent lightning, small hail, gusty winds, and brief, heavy rainfall. There is a slight risk of severe storms, capable of producing large hail, damaging winds, and an isolated tornado. A Red Flag warning is in effect through early evening for Southeast new Mexico and much of West Texas. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is anticipated. Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland 44
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Apr 27, 6:54 PM CDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
654 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021
TXZ048-280045-
Scurry TX-
654 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN SCURRY COUNTY UNTIL 745
PM CDT...
At 653 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms 8 miles west of Hobbs, or near Snyder, moving
northeast at 15 mph.
Half inch hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Snyder and Hermleigh.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3259 10078 3271 10091 3297 10070 3296 10066
3262 10066
TIME...MOT...LOC 2353Z 237DEG 18KT 3276 10073
87Special weather statement, Apr 27, 7:19 PM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
719 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021
TXZ047-048-052-053-280115-
Mitchell TX-Scurry TX-Howard TX-Borden TX-
719 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN SCURRY...
NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL...SOUTHEASTERN BORDEN AND EASTERN HOWARD
COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT...
At 718 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 7 miles southeast of Snyder to near Big Spring.
Movement was northeast at 10 mph.
Pea size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Big Spring, Snyder, Coahoma, Sand Springs, Colorado City Airport, J B
Thomas Reservoir, Big Spring Country Club, Dunn, Vincent, Ira,
Winston Field and Cuthbert.
This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 178 and 204.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3208 10149 3209 10151 3244 10146 3275 10094
3255 10072
TIME...MOT...LOC 0018Z 205DEG 9KT 3263 10084 3226 10144
87Special weather statement, Apr 27, 7:35 PM CDT, 56 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 735 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021 TXZ061-062-280115- Midland TX-Ector TX- 735 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN ECTOR...SOUTHEASTERN ANDREWS AND WESTERN MIDLAND COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT... At 735 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Odessa, moving northeast at 10 mph. Pea size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Midland, Odessa, Midland International Air and Space Port, West Odessa, Odessa Schlemeyer Field, Warfield, Midland Airpark and Cotton Flat. This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 105 and 139. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 3171 10218 3172 10254 3209 10249 3204 10200 TIME...MOT...LOC 0035Z 207DEG 11KT 3182 10235 87
Local storm report, Apr 27, 8:09 PM CDT, 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
809 PM CDT TUE APR 27 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0808 PM TSTM WND GST MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL A 31.94N 102.19W
04/27/2021 M58 MPH MIDLAND TX ASOS
&&
DEVIN.CHEHAKLocal storm report, Apr 27, 8:31 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
831 PM CDT TUE APR 27 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0747 PM TORNADO 4 SW HERMLEIGH 32.60N 100.81W
04/27/2021 Scurry TX TRAINED SPOTTER
MULTIPLE REPORTS FROM SPOTTERS OF A TORNADO WEST OF
HERMLEIGH.
&&
DEVIN.CHEHAKSpecial weather statement, Apr 27, 8:31 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
831 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021
TXZ047-051>053-280215-
Mitchell TX-Martin TX-Howard TX-Borden TX-
831 PM CDT Tue Apr 27 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN SCURRY...
NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL...SOUTHEASTERN BORDEN...HOWARD AND EAST CENTRAL
MARTIN COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM CDT...
At 831 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles northwest of Big Spring, moving northeast at 45 mph.
Pea size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Big Spring, Coahoma, Luther, Vincent, Knott, Vealmoor and Big Spring
McMahon-Wrinkle Airpark.
This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 167 and 183.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for
western Texas.
LAT...LON 3218 10165 3232 10179 3275 10147 3254 10117
3253 10117 3253 10116 3241 10099
TIME...MOT...LOC 0131Z 227DEG 38KT 3231 10166
87The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 7:19 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Howard | 56 min |
| Apr 27, 7:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Mitchell, Scurry | 58 min |
| Apr 27, 7:35 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Ector | 40 min |
| Apr 27, 7:43 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Mitchell, Scurry | 3 hr |
| Apr 27, 7:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Scurry | 47 min |
| Apr 27, 7:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Mitchell | 34 min |
| Apr 27, 8:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Martin, Midland | 40 min |
| Apr 27, 9:24 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Scurry | 51 min |
| Apr 27, 9:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Howard, Mitchell, Scurry | 53 min |
| Apr 27, 10:22 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Howard | 38 min |
| Apr 27, 11:05 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Scurry | 40 min |
| Apr 27, 11:34 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Crane, Midland | 56 min |
| Apr 27, 11:37 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Howard | 38 min |
| Apr 27, 11:40 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Crane, Glasscock, Midland, Pecos, Upton | 3 hr |
| Apr 27, 11:49 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Borden, Dawson | 41 min |
| Apr 28, 12:08 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Howard, Mitchell, Scurry | 3 hr |
| Apr 28, 12:15 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Howard, Mitchell, Scurry | 60 min |
| Apr 28, 12:36 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Midland, Pecos, Reagan, Upton | 54 min |
| Apr 28, 1:33 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Glasscock, Howard, Midland, Mitchell | 57 min |
| Apr 28, 3:49 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Reagan | 41 min |
| Apr 28, 4:24 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Reagan | 51 min |
| Apr 28, 4:27 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Glasscock, Reagan | 33 min |
| Apr 28, 5:00 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Mitchell | 45 min |
| Apr 28, 4:13 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Howard | 47 min |
| Apr 28, 4:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Howard, Mitchell | 39 min |
| Apr 28, 4:52 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Glasscock | 38 min |
| Apr 28, 4:54 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Borden, Dawson | 51 min |
| Apr 28, 5:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Glasscock | 26 min |
| Apr 28, 5:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Howard, Mitchell | 63 min |
| Apr 28, 5:39 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Borden | 66 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.