Alert archive / New Mexico / Fire Weather Watches in 2021

Fire Weather Watch 15, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

April 15, 2021Culberson County, Texas; 4 counties in New Mexico

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this fire weather watch at Apr 15, 2021, 2:29 PM CDT for Culberson County, Texas; 4 counties in New Mexico. It took effect at Apr 16, 2021, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 90 min.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2021, 2:29 PM CDT (19:29 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 16, 2021, 1:00 PM CDT
Expired
Apr 16, 2021, 2:30 PM CDT
In force
90 min
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Counties Chaves County, NM, Eddy County, NM, Lincoln County, NM, Otero County, NM, Culberson County, TX

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 268 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 431 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
454 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
431 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
436 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
8.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this fire weather watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this fire weather watch went out at Apr 15, 12:48 PM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 15, 12:48 PM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 15, 2:00 AM CDT, 12 hours 29 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
200 AM CDT Thu Apr 15 2021

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-160700-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
200 AM CDT Thu Apr 15 2021 /100 AM MDT Thu Apr 15 2021/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms are possible today and tonight, mainly east of the
Pecos.   Any storms that do develop will be accompanied by frequent
lightning, small hail, gusty winds, and brief, heavy rainfall. There
is a slight risk of severe storms today, mainly over the southeast
Permian Basin, capable of producing large hail and damaging winds.

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected today in the
Sacramento Foothills, Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains, and adjacent
plains.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

High winds will be possible through Guadalupe Pass Friday night and
Saturday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation would be appreciated today.

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

44

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 15, 10:04 AM CDT, 4 hours 25 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1004 AM CDT Thu Apr 15 2021

TXZ048-151515-
Scurry TX-
1004 AM CDT Thu Apr 15 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN SCURRY AND
NORTHEASTERN BORDEN COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 AM CDT...

At 1003 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles south of Lake Alan Henry, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern Scurry
and northeastern Borden Counties.

LAT...LON 3284 10104 3294 10118 3296 10117 3297 10116
      3296 10072
TIME...MOT...LOC 1503Z 240DEG 32KT 3294 10103

80

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 10:04 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFScurry11 min
Apr 15, 2:20 PM CDTHigh Wind WatchMAFCulberson12 hr

Nearby

Fire Weather Watches in New Mexico, 2021Fire Weather Watches in Texas, 2021Every fire weather watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.