Alert archive / Arkansas / Winter Storm Warnings in 2021

Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Little Rock, AR

February 15, 202136 counties in Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this winter storm warning at Feb 15, 2021, 4:10 PM CST for 36 counties in Arkansas. It took effect at Feb 16, 2021, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for 40 hr. 60 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 15, 2021, 4:10 PM CST (22:10 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 16, 2021, 6:00 PM CST
Expired
Feb 18, 2021, 9:32 AM CST
In force
40 hr
Issued by
NWS Little Rock, AR
All 36 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Baxter County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Conway County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Marion County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 15 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 17, 1:00 AM CSTSNOW 0.52 Nw Conway, ARNEW SNOW OF 0.5 INCH SNOW FAR.
Feb 17, 3:10 AM CSTSNOW 3Mountain Home, AR
Feb 17, 5:45 AM CSTSNOW 210 Sw Pine Bluff, AR
Feb 17, 7:05 AM CSTSNOW 0.5Sherwood, ARONE HALF INCH OF SNOW WAS MEASURED.
Feb 17, 9:00 AM CSTSNOW 1Little Rock, AR1 INCH OF ADDITIONAL SNOW WAS MEASURED, AS OF 9AM CST. SNOW BEGAN AT 0028 CST.
Feb 17, 9:00 AM CSTSNOW 1Little Rock, AR1 INCH OF ADDITIONAL SNOW WAS MEASURED AT THE LITTLE ROCK AIRPORT (ADAMS FIELD), AS OF 9AM CST. SNOW BEGAN AT 0028 CST.
Feb 17, 9:16 AM CSTSNOW 2Sherwood, ARPICTURE OF MEASURED SNOWFALL AS OF NOON ON WED. 2/17.
Feb 17, 9:34 AM CSTSNOW 2.6Stephens, ARPRECIPITATION TYPE IS SWINGING BACK AND FORTH BETWEEN SNOW AND SLEET.
Feb 17, 10:30 AM CSTSNOW 2Little Rock, AR2 INCHES OF SNOW MEASURED AT THE LITTLE ROCK AIRPORT (ADAMS FIELD) SINCE SNOW BEGAN AT 0028 CST 2/17/2021.
Feb 17, 11:00 AM CSTSNOW 3Star City, ARSNOWFALL AMOUNTS FROM 11 AM. SHERIFFS' OFFICE REPORTED THAT IT HAD BEEN SNOWING HEAVILY SINCE THAT TIME, BUT THEY WERE TOO BUSY TO MEASURE AT THE MOMENT.
Feb 17, 12:47 PM CSTHEAVY SNOW 5White Hall, ARHEAVY SNOW FALLING, RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR RECENTLY.
Feb 17, 12:55 PM CSTSNOW 4Rison, AR
Feb 17, 1:02 PM CSTSNOW 2.3Ferndale, AR
Feb 17, 1:04 PM CSTSNOW 2.5Little Rock, ARPICTURE OF MEASURED SNOWFALL AT 1 PM ON WED 2/17
Feb 17, 1:46 PM CSTSNOW 4Benton, AR
Feb 17, 1:49 PM CSTSNOW 3Bryant, ARESTIMATED 3.0 INCHES OF NEW SNOW TODAY.
Feb 17, 1:49 PM CSTSNOW 3Cabot, AR
Feb 17, 1:51 PM CSTSNOW 3Alexander, AR
Feb 17, 1:52 PM CSTSNOW 3Alexander, AR3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW MEASURED IN ALEXANDER.
Feb 17, 1:54 PM CSTSNOW 5Arkadelphia, AR5.0 INCHES OF MEASURED SNOW IN ARKADELPHIA FROM SOCIAL MEDIA PICTURE
Feb 17, 1:58 PM CSTSNOW 3.5Lono, AR3.5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW MEASURED TODAY. 10.75 ON THE GROUND FROM THE PAST FEW DAYS
Feb 17, 1:58 PM CSTSNOW 4Little Rock, AR4 INCHES OF SNOW MEASURED, AS OF 4PM CST AT THE LITTLE ROCK AIRPORT (ADAMS FIELD).
Feb 17, 2:08 PM CSTSNOW 3Vilonia, ARSOCIAL MEDIA POST REPORTING AN ESTIMATED NEW SNOWFALL VALUE OF 3.0 INCHES AS OF 1 PM 2/17
Feb 17, 2:28 PM CSTSNOW 6Rye, AR6 OF NEW SNOW IN RYE.
Feb 17, 2:30 PM CSTSNOW 71 E Sheridan, AR7 INCHES OF NEW SNOW EAST OF SHERIDAN
Feb 17, 2:30 PM CSTSNOW 7Arkadelphia, ARRECEIVED A CALL FROM ARKADELPHIA WITH 7.0 INCHES OF MEASURED SNOW
Feb 17, 2:31 PM CSTSNOW 7Camden, AR7 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN CAMDEN.
Feb 17, 2:34 PM CSTSNOW 5.5Prattsville, AR5.5 INCHES OF SNOW IN PRATTSVILLE.
Feb 17, 2:38 PM CSTSNOW 3.8Traskwood, AR3.8 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN TRASKWOOD, PICTURE ON SOCIAL MEDIA
Feb 17, 2:55 PM CSTSNOW 6Malvern, AR6 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN MALVERN.
Feb 17, 3:00 PM CSTSNOW 1.5Batesville, AR1.5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN BATESVILLE.
Feb 17, 3:12 PM CSTSNOW 6Little Rock, AR6.0 INCHES OF SNOW MEASURED, AS OF 3:00 PM CT AT LITTLE ROCK AIRPORT (ADAMS FIELD)
Feb 17, 3:13 PM CSTSNOW 6.5Stephens, AR6.5 OF NEW SNOW TODAY. 9.1 INCHES ON THE GROUND TOTAL FROM THE PAST FEW DAYS.
Feb 17, 3:16 PM CSTSNOW 2.8Cherokee Village, ARMEASURED 2.8 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN CHEROKEE VILLAGE.
Feb 17, 3:20 PM CSTSNOW 7Lono, AR7 INCHES OF NEW SNOW MEASURED. 3.5 INCHES OVER THE PAST 1.25 HOURS.
Feb 17, 3:25 PM CSTSNOW 8White Hall, AR8 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN WHITE HALL.
Feb 17, 3:28 PM CSTSNOW 7Pine Bluff, AR7 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN PINE BLUFF.
Feb 17, 3:29 PM CSTSNOW 7Landmark, AR7 INCHES OF NEW SNOW TODAY.
Feb 17, 3:30 PM CSTSNOW 5Camden, AR5 INCHES OF SNOW SINCE 11:50 A.M.
Feb 17, 3:34 PM CSTHEAVY SNOW 7Sheridan, ARSTORM SPOTTER MEASURED 7 INCHES OF SNOW SO FAR FOR THE DAY TODAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL SINCE SUNDAY HAS BEEN 12.
Feb 17, 3:36 PM CSTSNOW 910 Sw Pine Bluff, AR9 INCHES OF NEW SNOW 10 MILES SW OF PINE BLUFF.
Feb 17, 3:40 PM CSTHEAVY SNOW 7Lono, AR
Feb 17, 3:41 PM CSTSNOW 2Conway, AR
Feb 17, 3:43 PM CSTSNOW 2Vilonia, AR2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN VILONIA. 8 INCHES TOTAL ON THE GROUND.
Feb 17, 3:47 PM CSTHEAVY SNOW 8Camden, AR
Feb 17, 3:50 PM CSTHEAVY SNOW 10.2Poyen, AR
Feb 17, 5:00 PM CSTSNOW 7Tinsman, AR7 INCHES OF SNOW WAS ESTIMATED AT TINSMAN.
Feb 17, 6:45 PM CSTSNOW 13Malvern, AR13 INCHES OF SNOW FROM LAST NIGHT AND TODAY.
Feb 17, 6:57 PM CSTSNOW 42 E Cabot, AR
Feb 17, 6:57 PM CSTSNOW 6.82 E Cabot, ARUPDATED REPORT. 6.8 INCHES OF SNOW MEASURED.
Feb 17, 7:30 PM CSTSNOW 5.3Sherwood, AR5.3 INCHES SINCE 3 AM CST 2/17
Feb 17, 8:29 PM CSTSNOW 6.5Hot Springs, AR6.5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN HOT SPRINGS
Feb 17, 9:18 PM CSTSNOW 13Sheridan, AR13 INCHES OF SNOW TODAY. 18 INCHES THIS WEEK.
Feb 17, 9:20 PM CSTSNOW 7Delight, AR7 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ON TOP OF 8 INCHES THAT FELL ON 2/15
Feb 17, 9:22 PM CSTSNOW 7Delight, AR7 INCHES OF SNOW TODAY AND 15 INCHES FOR THE WEEK.
Feb 17, 9:28 PM CSTSNOW 72 Sw White Hall, AR7 INCHES OF NEW SNOWFALL
Feb 17, 9:37 PM CSTSNOW 9Benton, AR9 INCHES OF SNOW TODAY.
Feb 17, 9:44 PM CSTSNOW 13Sulphur Springs, AR13 INCHES OF SNOW TODAY. 17 INCHES STORM TOTAL.
Feb 17, 9:52 PM CSTSNOW 4.5Conway, AR4.5 INCHES OF SNOW TODAY ON TOP OF 7 INCHES THAT FELL 2/15
Feb 17, 10:00 PM CSTHEAVY SNOW 10.8Bauxite, ARTRAINED STORM SPOTTER IN BAUXITE REPORTED A SNOW DEPTH OF 17 INCHES LAST NIGHT ACCOUNTING FOR THE SNOW THAT FELL SUNDAY-TUESDAY.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2021-02-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2021-02-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 368 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
657 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
82 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
368 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
433 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

859 
WWUS44 KLZK 152210
WSWLZK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
410 PM CST Mon Feb 15 2021

...Extremely Dangerous Cold and Blowing Snow Tonight into
Tuesday Morning...
...Additional Heavy Snow and Sleet Tuesday Night through 
Thursday Morning... 

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>046-161030-
/O.NEW.KLZK.WS.W.0003.210217T0000Z-210218T1800Z/
/O.CON.KLZK.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210216T1500Z/
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-
Including the cities of Harrison, Bull Shoals, Flippin, 
Yellville, Summit, Mountain Home, Cherokee Village, 
Mammoth Spring, Cave City, Ash Flat, Hardy, Attica, Pocahontas, 
Jasper, Western Grove, Marshall, Leslie, Mountain View, 
Horseshoe Bend, Melbourne, Calico Rock, Oxford, Batesville, 
Walnut Ridge, Hoxie, Clarksville, Russellville, Fairfield Bay, 
Clinton, Heber Springs, Newport, Booneville, Paris, Morrilton, 
Conway, Searcy, Beebe, Augusta, McCrory, Cotton Plant, Waldron, 
Dardanelle, Danville, Ola, Perryville, Mena, Mount Ida, Norman, 
Hot Springs, Benton, Bryant, Little Rock, North Little Rock, 
Cabot, Lonoke, Des Arc, Hazen, and De Valls Bluff
410 PM CST Mon Feb 15 2021

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO NOON CST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT: Dangerous wind chills, blowing snow, and additional heavy
  snow.

* SNOW AMOUNTS: Six to ten inches of additional snow is expected. 

* WIND CHILLS: Wind chill values from zero to 20 below zero at 
  times. 

* WHEN: Dangerous cold will occur through at least Tuesday morning
  with blowing snow. Heavy snow is in the forecast Tuesday night
  through Thursday morning. 

* WHERE: Northern and central Arkansas.

* IMPACTS: Prolonged exposure could cause damage to exposed skin
  in 30 minutes or less. The cold air will also impact young
  livestock and pets. Snow and blowing snow will make travel
  dangerous. The weight of too much snow may compromise some roofs
  of homes and businesses.
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and
strong winds will create dangerously low wind chill values. This
could result in frost bite and lead to hypothermia or death if 
precautions are not taken.

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an 
emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight... 
food...and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

ARZ047-052>057-062>069-161030-
/O.NEW.KLZK.WS.W.0003.210217T0000Z-210218T1800Z/
/O.CON.KLZK.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210216T1500Z/
Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-
Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
Including the cities of Brinkley, Clarendon, Murfreesboro, 
Glenwood, Arkadelphia, Malvern, Sheridan, Pine Bluff, Stuttgart, 
De Witt, Fordyce, Rison, Kingsland, Star City, Gould, Dumas, 
McGehee, Camden, Hampton, Thornton, Warren, and Monticello
410 PM CST Mon Feb 15 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO NOON CST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT: Dangerous wind chills, blowing snow, and additional heavy
  snow and sleet.

* SNOW AMOUNTS: Four to more than eight inches of additional snow
  and sleet are expected. 

* WIND CHILLS: Wind chill values from the single digits to 10 
  below zero at times. 

* WHEN: Dangerous cold will occur through at least Tuesday morning
  with blowing snow. Heavy snow and sleet are in the forecast 
  Tuesday night through Thursday morning. 

* WHERE: Central and southern Arkansas.

* IMPACTS: Prolonged exposure could cause damage to exposed skin
  in 30 minutes or less. The cold air will also impact young
  livestock and pets. Snow and blowing snow will make travel
  dangerous. The weight of too much snow may compromise some roofs
  of homes and businesses.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that very cold air and strong winds
will combine to generate low wind chills. This could result in 
frost bite and lead to hypothermia if precautions are not taken. 
If you must venture outdoors...make sure you wear a hat and 
gloves.

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an 
emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight... 
food...and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

46/Cooper
7 follow-up statements
881 
WWUS44 KLZK 160841
WSWLZK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
241 AM CST Tue Feb 16 2021

...Extremely dangerous cold this morning...and additional heavy  
snow and sleet Tuesday night through Thursday morning...

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>046-162230-
/O.CON.KLZK.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210216T1500Z/
/O.CON.KLZK.WS.W.0003.210217T0000Z-210218T1800Z/
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-
Including the cities of Harrison, Bull Shoals, Flippin, 
Yellville, Summit, Mountain Home, Cherokee Village, 
Mammoth Spring, Cave City, Ash Flat, Hardy, Attica, Pocahontas, 
Jasper, Western Grove, Marshall, Leslie, Mountain View, 
Horseshoe Bend, Melbourne, Calico Rock, Oxford, Batesville, 
Walnut Ridge, Hoxie, Clarksville, Russellville, Fairfield Bay, 
Clinton, Heber Springs, Newport, Booneville, Paris, Morrilton, 
Conway, Searcy, Beebe, Augusta, McCrory, Cotton Plant, Waldron, 
Dardanelle, Danville, Ola, Perryville, Mena, Mount Ida, Norman, 
Hot Springs, Benton, Bryant, Little Rock, North Little Rock, 
Cabot, Lonoke, Des Arc, Hazen, and De Valls Bluff
241 AM CST Tue Feb 16 2021

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS
MORNING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON CST THURSDAY...

* WHAT: Dangerous wind chills and heavy snow. 

* SNOW AMOUNTS: Expect 4 to 8 inches of additional snow...with
  locally higher amounts possible.

* WIND CHILLS: Wind chill values from zero to 20 below zero at 
  times. 

* WHEN: Dangerous cold will occur through at least this morning. 
  Heavy snow is in the forecast Tuesday night through Thursday 
  morning. 

* WHERE: Northern and central Arkansas.

* IMPACTS: Prolonged exposure could cause damage to exposed skin 
  in 30 minutes or less. The cold air will also impact young 
  livestock and pets. Snow and blowing snow will make travel 
  dangerous. The weight of too much snow may compromise some 
  roofs of homes and businesses. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and
strong winds will create dangerously low wind chill values. This
could result in frost bite and lead to hypothermia or death if
precautions are not taken.

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an
emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight...
food...and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

ARZ047-052>057-062>069-162230-
/O.CON.KLZK.WS.W.0003.210217T0000Z-210218T1800Z/
/O.CON.KLZK.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210216T1500Z/
Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-
Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
Including the cities of Brinkley, Clarendon, Murfreesboro, 
Glenwood, Arkadelphia, Malvern, Sheridan, Pine Bluff, Stuttgart, 
De Witt, Fordyce, Rison, Kingsland, Star City, Gould, Dumas, 
McGehee, Camden, Hampton, Thornton, Warren, and Monticello
241 AM CST Tue Feb 16 2021

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS
MORNING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON CST THURSDAY...

* WHAT: Dangerous wind chills, and heavy snow and sleet. 

* SNOW AMOUNTS: Expect 4 to 8 inches of additional snow and sleet. 

* WIND CHILLS: Wind chill values from the single digits to 10 
  below zero at times. 

* WHEN: Dangerous cold will occur through at least this morning. 
  Heavy snow and sleet are in the forecast Tuesday night through 
  Thursday morning. 

* WHERE: Central and southern Arkansas.

* IMPACTS: Prolonged exposure could cause damage to exposed skin 
  in 30 minutes or less. The cold air will also impact young 
  livestock and pets. Snow and blowing snow will make travel 
  dangerous. The weight of too much snow may compromise some 
  roofs of homes and businesses. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that very cold air and strong winds
will combine to generate low wind chills. This could result in
frost bite and lead to hypothermia if precautions are not taken.
If you must venture outdoors...make sure you wear a hat and
gloves.

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an
emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight...
food...and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$
393 
WWUS44 KLZK 162110
WSWLZK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
310 PM CST Tue Feb 16 2021

...Additional heavy snow tonight through Thursday morning...

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-171030-
/O.CON.KLZK.WS.W.0003.210217T0000Z-210218T1800Z/
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
Including the cities of Harrison, Bull Shoals, Flippin, 
Yellville, Summit, Mountain Home, Cherokee Village, 
Mammoth Spring, Cave City, Ash Flat, Hardy, Attica, Pocahontas, 
Jasper, Western Grove, Marshall, Leslie, Mountain View, 
Horseshoe Bend, Melbourne, Calico Rock, Oxford, Batesville, 
Walnut Ridge, Hoxie, Clarksville, Russellville, Fairfield Bay, 
Clinton, Heber Springs, Newport, Booneville, Paris, Morrilton, 
Conway, Searcy, Beebe, Augusta, McCrory, Cotton Plant, Waldron, 
Dardanelle, Danville, Ola, Perryville, Mena, Mount Ida, Norman, 
Hot Springs, Benton, Bryant, Little Rock, North Little Rock, 
Cabot, Lonoke, Des Arc, Hazen, De Valls Bluff, Brinkley, 
Clarendon, Murfreesboro, Glenwood, Arkadelphia, Malvern, 
Sheridan, Pine Bluff, Stuttgart, De Witt, Fordyce, Rison, 
Kingsland, Star City, Gould, Dumas, McGehee, Camden, Hampton, 
Thornton, Warren, and Monticello
310 PM CST Tue Feb 16 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON CST THURSDAY...

* WHAT: Snow north and central. A mix of snow and sleet in the
  south. Ice accumulations up to one quarter inch are possible in
  the south. 

* SNOW AMOUNTS: Expect 4 to 8 inches of additional snow...with
  locally higher amounts possible. The lighter amounts will be
  northwest and southeast.

* WIND CHILLS: Wind chill values will be in the single digits
  Wednesday morning.  

* WHEN: Dangerous cold will continue tonight. Heavy snow is in the
  forecast tonight through Thursday morning. 

* WHERE: North, central, and south Arkansas.

* IMPACTS: Heavy snow and blowing snow will make travel  
  dangerous. The weight of too much snow may compromise some roofs
  of homes and businesses. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an 
emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight... 
food...and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

51
442 
WWUS44 KLZK 170942
WSWLZK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
342 AM CST Wed Feb 17 2021

...Significant winter weather expected through Thursday 
morning...

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-172230-
/O.CON.KLZK.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210218T1800Z/
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
Including the cities of Harrison, Bull Shoals, Flippin, 
Yellville, Summit, Mountain Home, Cherokee Village, 
Mammoth Spring, Cave City, Ash Flat, Hardy, Attica, Pocahontas, 
Jasper, Western Grove, Marshall, Leslie, Mountain View, 
Horseshoe Bend, Melbourne, Calico Rock, Oxford, Batesville, 
Walnut Ridge, Hoxie, Clarksville, Russellville, Fairfield Bay, 
Clinton, Heber Springs, Newport, Booneville, Paris, Morrilton, 
Conway, Searcy, Beebe, Augusta, McCrory, Cotton Plant, Waldron, 
Dardanelle, Danville, Ola, Perryville, Mena, Mount Ida, Norman, 
Hot Springs, Benton, Bryant, Little Rock, North Little Rock, 
Cabot, Lonoke, Des Arc, Hazen, De Valls Bluff, Brinkley, 
Clarendon, Murfreesboro, Glenwood, Arkadelphia, Malvern, 
Sheridan, Pine Bluff, Stuttgart, De Witt, Fordyce, Rison, 
Kingsland, Star City, Gould, Dumas, McGehee, Camden, Hampton, 
Thornton, Warren, and Monticello
342 AM CST Wed Feb 17 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT: Snow north and central. A mix of snow...sleet...and some
  light freezing rain in the southeast. 

* SNOW AMOUNTS: Expect 4 to 8 inches of additional snow...with 
  locally higher amounts possible. The lighter amounts will be 
  northwest and southeast. 

* WIND CHILLS: Wind chill values will be in the single digits
  Wednesday morning for many areas.

* WHEN: Through Thursday morning.
 
* WHERE: A large portion of Arkansas.

* IMPACTS: Heavy snow and blowing snow will make travel 
  dangerous. The weight of too much snow may compromise some 
  roofs of homes and businesses. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an
emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight...
food...and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$
692 
WWUS44 KLZK 172108
WSWLZK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
308 PM CST Wed Feb 17 2021

...Significant winter weather expected through Thursday morning...

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-180515-
/O.CON.KLZK.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210218T1800Z/
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
Including the cities of Harrison, Bull Shoals, Flippin, 
Yellville, Summit, Mountain Home, Cherokee Village, 
Mammoth Spring, Cave City, Ash Flat, Hardy, Attica, Pocahontas, 
Jasper, Western Grove, Marshall, Leslie, Mountain View, 
Horseshoe Bend, Melbourne, Calico Rock, Oxford, Batesville, 
Walnut Ridge, Hoxie, Clarksville, Russellville, Fairfield Bay, 
Clinton, Heber Springs, Newport, Booneville, Paris, Morrilton, 
Conway, Searcy, Beebe, Augusta, McCrory, Cotton Plant, Waldron, 
Dardanelle, Danville, Ola, Perryville, Mena, Mount Ida, Norman, 
Hot Springs, Benton, Bryant, Little Rock, North Little Rock, 
Cabot, Lonoke, Des Arc, Hazen, De Valls Bluff, Brinkley, 
Clarendon, Murfreesboro, Glenwood, Arkadelphia, Malvern, 
Sheridan, Pine Bluff, Stuttgart, De Witt, Fordyce, Rison, 
Kingsland, Star City, Gould, Dumas, McGehee, Camden, Hampton, 
Thornton, Warren, and Monticello
308 PM CST Wed Feb 17 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT: Snow north and central. A mix of snow and sleet in the 
  southeast. 

* SNOW AMOUNTS: Expect 4 to 6 inches of additional snow...with 
  locally higher amounts possible. The lighter amounts will be 
  northwest and southeast. 

* WIND CHILLS: Wind chill values will be in the single digits in
  the north Thursday morning.

* WHEN: Through Thursday morning.

* WHERE: A large portion of Arkansas.

* IMPACTS: Heavy snow and blowing snow will make travel 
  dangerous. The weight of too much snow may compromise some 
  roofs of homes and businesses. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an
emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight...
food...and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

51
342 
WWUS44 KLZK 180015
WSWLZK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
615 PM CST Wed Feb 17 2021

...Significant winter weather expected through Thursday morning
across the southeast half of Arkansas...

ARZ007-008-014>017-022>024-030-031-037-038-040-181030-
/O.CAN.KLZK.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210218T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KLZK.WW.Y.0008.210218T0015Z-210218T1800Z/
Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Pope-Van Buren-
Cleburne-Logan-Conway-Scott-Yell-Polk-
Including the cities of Cave City, Ash Flat, Hardy, Attica, 
Pocahontas, Mountain View, Horseshoe Bend, Melbourne, 
Calico Rock, Oxford, Batesville, Walnut Ridge, Hoxie, 
Russellville, Fairfield Bay, Clinton, Heber Springs, Booneville, 
Paris, Morrilton, Waldron, Dardanelle, Danville, Ola, and Mena
615 PM CST Wed Feb 17 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT: Light snow.
 
* SNOW AMOUNTS: An inch or less of additional snow, with locally
  up to two inches.

* WHEN: Through Thursday morning.

* WHERE: Portions of northern and western Arkansas.

* IMPACTS: Roads across the advisory area are already snow covered
  and hazardous. Any additional snow and lower visibilities after
  dark will make it more difficult to drive. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow 
covered roads and limited visibilities...and use caution while 
driving.

&&

$$

ARZ003>006-012-013-021-180115-
/O.CAN.KLZK.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210218T1800Z/
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Newton-Searcy-Johnson-
Including the cities of Harrison, Bull Shoals, Flippin, 
Yellville, Summit, Mountain Home, Cherokee Village, 
Mammoth Spring, Jasper, Western Grove, Marshall, Leslie, 
and Clarksville
615 PM CST Wed Feb 17 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

While some light snow or flurries will be possible in 
northern Arkansas through Thursday morning, little to no
additional accumulation is expected.

$$

ARZ025-032>034-039-041>047-052>057-062>069-181030-
/O.CON.KLZK.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210218T1800Z/
Jackson-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-
Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-
Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
Including the cities of Newport, Conway, Searcy, Beebe, Augusta, 
McCrory, Cotton Plant, Perryville, Mount Ida, Norman, 
Hot Springs, Benton, Bryant, Little Rock, North Little Rock, 
Cabot, Lonoke, Des Arc, Hazen, De Valls Bluff, Brinkley, 
Clarendon, Murfreesboro, Glenwood, Arkadelphia, Malvern, 
Sheridan, Pine Bluff, Stuttgart, De Witt, Fordyce, Rison, 
Kingsland, Star City, Gould, Dumas, McGehee, Camden, Hampton, 
Thornton, Warren, and Monticello
615 PM CST Wed Feb 17 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT: Snow and sleet, heavy at times in places.
 
* SNOW AMOUNTS: Two to four inches of additional snow is expected
  with locally higher totals. 

* WHERE: Much of central and southern Arkansas.

* IMPACTS: Heavy snow and blowing snow will make travel dangerous.
  Any additional snow and lower visibilities after dark will make
  it more difficult to drive. The weight of too much snow may
  compromise roofs of structures, including some homes and
  businesses, barns, sheds, and chicken houses.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an
emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight...
food...and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

46
104 
WWUS44 KLZK 181023
WSWLZK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
423 AM CST Thu Feb 18 2021

ARZ039-041-181130-
/O.CAN.KLZK.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210218T1800Z/
Perry-Montgomery-
Including the cities of Perryville, Mount Ida, and Norman
423 AM CST Thu Feb 18 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Most of the wintry weather has moved out of the area.
However...some hazardous travel conditions may remain due to
recent snowfall.

$$

ARZ014-015-022-023-030-031-037-038-040-181130-
/O.CAN.KLZK.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-210218T1800Z/
Stone-Izard-Pope-Van Buren-Logan-Conway-Scott-Yell-Polk-
Including the cities of Mountain View, Horseshoe Bend, Melbourne,
Calico Rock, Oxford, Russellville, Fairfield Bay, Clinton, 
Booneville, Paris, Morrilton, Waldron, Dardanelle, Danville, Ola,
and Mena
423 AM CST Thu Feb 18 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Most of the wintry weather has moved out of the area...with
impacts from any additional snowfall expected to be minimal.
However...hazardous travel conditions may remain due to the 
recent winter weather.

$$

ARZ025-032>034-042>047-052>057-062>069-181800-
/O.CON.KLZK.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210218T1800Z/
Jackson-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-
Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-
Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
Including the cities of Newport, Conway, Searcy, Beebe, Augusta, 
McCrory, Cotton Plant, Hot Springs, Benton, Bryant, Little Rock, 
North Little Rock, Cabot, Lonoke, Des Arc, Hazen, De Valls Bluff,
Brinkley, Clarendon, Murfreesboro, Glenwood, Arkadelphia, 
Malvern, Sheridan, Pine Bluff, Stuttgart, De Witt, Fordyce, 
Rison, Kingsland, Star City, Gould, Dumas, McGehee, Camden, 
Hampton, Thornton, Warren, and Monticello
423 AM CST Thu Feb 18 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

* WHAT: Additional accumulating snowfall. 

* SNOW AMOUNTS: An additional few tenths of a inch for most
  areas...with a band of locally heavier amounts of 1 to 2 inches
  from Redfield...to Lonoke...to Des Arc. This is in areas that 
  already saw several inches to over a foot of snow in some 
  locations.

* WHERE: Much of southern and eastern...and portions of central 
  Arkansas.

* WHEN: This morning.

* IMPACTS: Heavy snow and blowing snow will make travel 
  dangerous. Any additional snow and lower visibilities after 
  dark will make it more difficult to drive. The weight of too 
  much snow may compromise roofs of structures, including some 
  homes and businesses, barns, sheds, and chicken houses. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an
emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight...
food...and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

ARZ007-008-016-017-024-181800-
/O.CON.KLZK.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-210218T1800Z/
Sharp-Randolph-Independence-Lawrence-Cleburne-
Including the cities of Cave City, Ash Flat, Hardy, Attica, 
Pocahontas, Batesville, Walnut Ridge, Hoxie, and Heber Springs
423 AM CST Thu Feb 18 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
TODAY...

* WHAT: Light snow.

* SNOW AMOUNTS: A dusting to a tenth or two of additional
  snowfall. 

* WHEN: This morning.

* WHERE: Portions of north central and northeast Arkansas.

* IMPACTS: Roads across the advisory area are already snow 
  covered and hazardous. Any additional snow and lower 
  visibilities after dark will make it more difficult to drive. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow
covered roads and limited visibilities...and use caution while
driving.

&&

$$
946 
WWUS44 KLZK 181532
WSWLZK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
932 AM CST Thu Feb 18 2021

...Winter Weather Is Winding Down...

ARZ025-032>034-042>047-052>057-062>069-181645-
/O.CAN.KLZK.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210218T1800Z/
Jackson-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-
Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-
Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
Including the cities of Newport, Conway, Searcy, Beebe, Augusta, 
McCrory, Cotton Plant, Hot Springs, Benton, Bryant, Little Rock, 
North Little Rock, Cabot, Lonoke, Des Arc, Hazen, De Valls Bluff,
Brinkley, Clarendon, Murfreesboro, Glenwood, Arkadelphia, 
Malvern, Sheridan, Pine Bluff, Stuttgart, De Witt, Fordyce, 
Rison, Kingsland, Star City, Gould, Dumas, McGehee, Camden, 
Hampton, Thornton, Warren, and Monticello
932 AM CST Thu Feb 18 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Most of the winter weather has ended. Only minor flurries are
expected through the afternoon in the southeast.

$$

ARZ007-008-016-017-024-181645-
/O.CAN.KLZK.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-210218T1800Z/
Sharp-Randolph-Independence-Lawrence-Cleburne-
Including the cities of Cave City, Ash Flat, Hardy, Attica, 
Pocahontas, Batesville, Walnut Ridge, Hoxie, and Heber Springs
932 AM CST Thu Feb 18 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...


$$

51

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 15, 12:03 PM CST, 4 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 12:03 PM CST, 4 hours 7 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1203 PM CST Mon Feb 15 2021

.UPDATE...

Update to include the 18z aviation discussion.

.AVIATION...

A mix of IFR/LIFR conds prevail today across AR as a potent winter
storm moves across the state. SN, sometimes heavy at times, is and
has fallen at every TAF location as of 18z. BLSN is also
impacting runway visibilities at most terminals. Expect improving
conds to high-end IFR/low-end MVFR this evening, progressing from
SW to NE, across the state. SN will finally wind down near sunset
over Nrn terminals this evening. Dry conds are expected tonight.
Significant accumulating SN has impacted all 7 terminals in the
LZK CWA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 531 AM CST Mon Feb 15 2021)
DISCUSSION...

Updated to include the 12Z aviation discussion below...

AVIATION...

MVFR to tempo LIFR flight conditions will be seen through this
morning...with some slow improvements expected this afternoon and
evening. Expect some SN...heavy at times this morning...gradually
ending from SW to NE by this afternoon and evening. Some BLSN may
also be seen. CIGs/VIS will be lowest this morning with the most
intense area of SN...with CIGs/VIS increasing by tonight. Some VFR
conditions may even be seen by the end of this TAF period.

PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 308 AM CST Mon Feb 15 2021)

SHORT TERM...Today Through Thursday Night

Very cold airmass remains in place across the CWA early this Mon
morning...with temps in the single digits and teens for most
locations. Wind chills have dropped below zero for most areas of the
NRN half of the area...with single digits across SRN sections. Wind
chills colder than 10 below have been observed across the far NW.
Beyond this very cold air...areas of mainly snow have been seen off
and on Sun evening through this morning...though some sleet is
mixing in with this snow across SRN sections of the CWA.

The last wave of wintry wx will be seen through about midday this
Mon as an upper shortwave trough lifts NE over the state...and SFC
low pressure lifts north from off the Gulf Coast near New Orleans
into the SRN AL. Moisture will spread N/NW over the state...with
primarily snowfall expected through the early afternoon hrs.
Again...some sleet may mix in across the far S/SE...but should
quickly transition to all snow by later this morning.

Observed snow:liquid ratios by midnight have ranged from 10:1 to
nearly 20:1 across the central into NWRN AR...with a bit lower
ratios further south due to the added sleet. The transition to the
much higher snow:liquid ratios looks to be bisecting the state
generally along the I-30/US-67 corridor...with the higher ratios to
the NW of this corridor. Coincidentally...the lower QPF amounts are
expected to remain SE of this line. Even so...these higher ratios
and higher QPF look to result in even higher snowfall amounts since
the Sun even forecast update. Add in the fact there may be some
locally intense snow bands with some convection possible...this has
increased the confidence in a band of very heavy snow somewhere
along/near this I-30/US-67 corridor. Amounts along this corridor
will be in the 8-12 inch range...with lesser amounts to the NW due
to less QPF...and lesser amounts to the SE where more sleet is
possible. These areas could see 4-8 inches. Locally higher amounts
could be seen in any region of the state due to more localized
effects...and the possible convective nature.

This storm will move NE of the region by this Mon evening...with
precip ending from SW to NE by this evening. Some light snow or
flurries may linger across the NRN counties this evening...but
additional accumulations will be limited. Winds will relax...and
clouds will clear by near sunrise Tue morning. This setup...combined
with substantial snow-pack...will allow for significant radiational
cooling. Lows by Tue morning will drop below zero for generally the
NRN half...and WRN third of the CWA...with single digits expected
elsewhere.

SRLY flow will return briefly for Tue afternoon...but quickly
transition back to the E/NE by Tue night. Temps should rebound a bit
for Tue afternoon...with highs back in the teens and 20s.
However...a new upper shortwave trough will be approaching the state
in SW flow aloft...with precip returning to the forecast as early as
Tue night. However...the most widespread activity will be seen Wed
into Thu...before exiting Thu afternoon into Fri night. While
details still need to be worked out in the next day or two...another
round of significant winter wx is expected across most of the CWA
during the middle of the week. Given how cold temps will be leading
up to this mid-week system...and with significant winter wx likely
remaining in place...expect winter wx impacts to persist through at
least later this week. Any additional wintry wx will likely just
delay the potential for improvements in travel hazards...especially
considering there looks to be significant additional wintry precip
possible mid week.

No changes are expected with the current winter wx headlines. While
additional headlines are likely for the mid week winter storm...will
hold off issuing new watches/warnings at this time until the current
headlines are expired to reduce message confusion.

LONG TERM...Friday Through Sunday

The work week wl close out on a much quieter note for the Natural
State. The upper flow pattern bcms less amplified and returns to
more zonal. Sfc high pres ovr AR on Fri, wl shift to the E over the
weekend. This wl allow S/SW winds to return, along with sloly
moderating temps. Did not warm things up quite as fast as guidance
is showing due to the expected lingering snow cover acrs the area.
Rain chcs return to the fcst Sun as a new storm sys apchs fm the
W.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Wind Chill Warning until 9 AM CST Tuesday FOR Baxter-Boone-
Cleburne-Fulton-Independence-Izard-Johnson-Lawrence-Logan-Marion-
Newton-Pope-Randolph-Searcy-Sharp-Stone-Van Buren.

Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening FOR Arkansas-
Baxter-Boone-Bradley-Calhoun-Clark-Cleburne-Cleveland-Conway-
Dallas-Desha-Drew-Faulkner-Fulton-Garland-Grant-Hot Spring-
Independence-Izard-Jackson-Jefferson-Johnson-Lawrence-Lincoln-
Logan-Lonoke-Marion-Monroe-Montgomery-Newton-Ouachita-Perry-Pike-
Polk-Pope-Prairie-Pulaski-Randolph-Saline-Scott-Searcy-Sharp-
Stone-Van Buren-White-Woodruff-Yell.

Wind Chill Advisory until 9 AM CST Tuesday FOR Arkansas-Bradley-
Calhoun-Clark-Cleveland-Conway-Dallas-Desha-Drew-Faulkner-
Garland-Grant-Hot Spring-Jackson-Jefferson-Lincoln-Lonoke-Monroe-
Montgomery-Ouachita-Perry-Pike-Polk-Prairie-Pulaski-Saline-Scott-
White-Woodruff-Yell.

&&

Aviation...JONES
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 3:25 AM CST, 12 hours 45 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
325 AM CST Mon Feb 15 2021

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-161100-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
325 AM CST Mon Feb 15 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Snow...heavy at times...will continue for most of the area through
early this afternoon before ending from southwest to northeast by
this evening. Some sleet may mix in with the snow across southern
and southeast sections of the state. Storm total snowfall amounts
will be highest along the I-30/US-67 corridor...where 6 to 10
inches are expected. Locally higher amounts over 10 inches could
be seen. The northwest third of the area will see 4 to 8
inches...with the greater amounts in the highest terrain. The
southeast third of the area will also see accumulations of 4-8
inches...with some of this including sleet. Obviously...this
snowfall will create widespread travel hazards...with travel
discouraged.

Dangerous cold and very dangerous wind chills will also be seen
through tonight. Highs today will be in the single digits across
the north...teens in central...and low 20s across the south. With
a brisk north wind...wind chills will likely dip well below zero
for much of central...northern...and western Arkansas. Single
digit wind chills will be seen across the south.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday Through Sunday

Bitterly cold conditions will be seen Tuesday morning...with lows
below zero for the northern half and western third of the area.
Single digits are expected across the south. Wind chills will
remain even colder...though the wind speeds will be lower than
seen on Monday. Highs will only manage to warm into the teens and
20s Tuesday afternoon.

A new storm system will bring another round of significant winter
weather to the region late Tuesday night through Thursday. Several
more inches of snow and sleet will be possible...with significant
travel hazards expected to continue into the latter half of the
week. More details on the exact wintry weather accumulations will
come with subsequent forecasts...but there does look like a decent
potential for accumulating wintry weather.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 15, 2:59 PM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
259 PM CST MON FEB 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 PM     SNOW             CABOT                   34.97N  92.02W
02/15/2021  M9.0 INCH        LONOKE             AR   SOCIAL MEDIA

            THIS IS AN UPDATE FROM A PREVIOUS REPORT

&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME...EVENT...REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER LZK2100337

232
Local storm report, Feb 15, 3:06 PM CST, 1 hour 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
306 PM CST MON FEB 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     SNOW             2 SW WHITE HALL         34.26N  92.12W
02/15/2021  M4.6 INCH        JEFFERSON          AR   SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK2100405

232
Local storm report, Feb 15, 3:09 PM CST, 1 hour 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
309 PM CST MON FEB 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0309 PM     SNOW             POCAHONTAS              36.26N  90.97W
02/15/2021  M6.0 INCH        RANDOLPH           AR   SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK2100406

232
Local storm report, Feb 15, 3:21 PM CST, 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
321 PM CST MON FEB 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0318 PM     SNOW             FAIRFIELD BAY           35.61N  92.27W
02/15/2021  E9.5 INCH        VAN BUREN          AR   SOCIAL MEDIA

            THIS IS AN UPDATE FROM A PREVIOUS REPORT.

&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME...EVENT...REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER LZK2100385

232
Local storm report, Feb 15, 3:29 PM CST, 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
329 PM CST MON FEB 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     SNOW             HARRISON                36.24N  93.12W
02/15/2021  M7.0 INCH        BOONE              AR   CO-OP OBSERVER

            THIS IS AN UPDATE FROM A PREVIOUS REPORT

&&

CORRECTED EVENT DATE...EVENT TIME...EVENT...REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER LZK2100283

232
Local storm report, Feb 15, 3:52 PM CST, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
352 PM CST MON FEB 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     SNOW             PINE BLUFF              34.21N  92.02W
02/15/2021  M6.0 INCH        JEFFERSON          AR   PUBLIC

            THIS IS AN UPDATE FROM A PREVIOUS REPORT.

&&

CORRECTED EVENT DATE...EVENT TIME...EVENT...REMARKS...SOURCE

EVENT NUMBER LZK2100305

232

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Arkansas, 2021Every winter storm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.