Alert archive / Arkansas / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Little Rock, AR

August 13, 2021Lonoke County, Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this special weather statement at Aug 13, 2021, 3:01 PM CDT for Lonoke County, Arkansas. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 13, 2021, 3:01 PM CDT (20:01 UTC)
Expired
Aug 13, 2021, 3:30 PM CDT
In force
29 min
Issued by
NWS Little Rock, AR
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
40

County Lonoke County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 13, 12:49 PM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 13, 12:49 PM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1249 PM CDT Fri Aug 13 2021

.AVIATION...
A cold front is moving through northern Arkansas at this time.
Showers and thunderstorms will develop ahead of this front. A few
have developed already. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
move across the region this afternoon and evening. Some locations
should see MVFR conditions with the thunderstorms. Winds will be
generally westerly and remain light except in the vicinity of
showers and thunderstorms. Convective activity should diminish
overnight as it pushes east.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 646 AM CDT Fri Aug 13 2021)
UPDATE...

Updated to include the 12z aviation discussion.

AVIATION...

Prevailing VFR conds are expected today despite SHRA/TSRA
developing mid/late morning over Nrn terminals, then spreading
Swrd into Cntrl/SE AR this afternoon/evening. MVFR conds may
accompany TSRA activity which is most probable over the NErn half
of AR. Convective activity may see a lull near sunset before more
precip moves in from the N overnight ahead of an approaching cold
front.

PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 411 AM CDT Fri Aug 13 2021)
SHORT TERM...Today Through Saturday Night

Predawn showers and thunderstorms continue to dissipate over
NE/Ern AR as the outflow boundary outruns convection. This outflow
boundary should come to a halt before lifting back to the N
during the morning hours. Predawn temperatures were already in the
70s at most reporting locations, indicating values are a touch
cooler than the same time yesterday.

Today, surface high pressure and associated cold front will move
towards the state from the Mid/Upper MS Valley. CAM guidance suggest
moisture convergence is likely along and ahead of the Swrd moving
boundary. Combine this increase in atmospheric moisture with a
remnant outflow boundaries, warm temperatures characterized by
lower/mid 90s, dew points near 70 degrees, and redevelopment of
showers and thunderstorms are expected. Convection is expected to
fire up over Nrn portions of the state by late morning, spreading
Swrd during the afternoon. Any strong storms that manage to
develop would pose a damaging wind threat. Expect a decrease in
intensity and coverage as the precipitation moves into Srn AR.
Before ample clouds/precip develop, heat index values are
anticipated to reach 100 to 105 degrees over Cntrl/Srn AR. While
somewhat cooler than yesterday, it will not be by a whole lot.
Thus, held off an any heat related headlines for this afternoon.

PoPs will remain over the Nrn half of the state overnight as the
cold front enters the state. PoPs will increase again on Saturday
with best coverage expected during the afternoon. Overall, QPF
amounts should remain on the lower side, generally half an inch to
around a inch, with isolated higher amounts possible.
Temperatures will be cooler with precipitation/cloud coverage
more prevalent. Highs should top out in the 80s to around 90
degrees. The cold front should push across the state on Saturday.
Substantial relief is not expected with the frontal passage though
despite N/NErly flow.

LONG TERM...Sunday Through Thursday

A stalled front over southern Arkansas early in the period will move
slowly to the north with time. Surrounding the front, isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected, mainly during the
afternoon and early evening.

The other feature of interest will be tropical system Fred. It
appears Fred will track northward along the Gulf Coast of Florida on
Sunday, reaching the Florida panhandle on Monday. Fred should remain
well to the east of Arkansas, with no impacts locally.

As far as temperatures, below average readings are expected
Sunday/Monday given a front in the state, clouds, and chances of
rain. As the front drifts to the north, temperatures will return to
more seasonal levels as the period progresses.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

Aviation...51
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 13, 4:16 AM CDT, 10 hours 45 minutes before
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 13, 1:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 13, 1:44 PM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 13, 1:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 13, 3:01 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 12, 9:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKBaxter, Boone, Fulton, Marion42 min
Aug 13, 1:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKSaline23 min
Aug 13, 1:44 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKJackson31 min
Aug 13, 1:55 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKJackson35 min
Aug 13, 3:23 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKCleburne37 min
Aug 13, 3:34 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKWhite26 min
Aug 13, 3:57 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKPrairie33 min
Aug 13, 4:22 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKDallas23 min
Aug 13, 4:25 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKFaulkner35 min
Aug 13, 4:36 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKJefferson24 min
Aug 13, 5:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKPrairie28 min
Aug 13, 5:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKCleveland32 min
Aug 13, 5:31 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKPrairie29 min
Aug 13, 5:39 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKJefferson58 min
Aug 13, 5:48 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKBaxter27 min
Aug 13, 6:12 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKMarion, Newton33 min
Aug 13, 6:45 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKArkansas30 min
Aug 13, 6:48 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKJohnson, Marion, Newton, Searcy42 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Arkansas, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.