Alert archive / Arkansas / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 219, NWS Little Rock, AR

June 1, 2021Independence County, Jackson County, Lawrence County, Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this river flood warning at Jun 1, 2021, 9:34 AM CDT for Independence County, Jackson County, Lawrence County, Arkansas. It took effect at Jun 2, 2021, 3:06 AM CDT. It was in force for 7 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 1, 2021, 9:34 AM CDT (14:34 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 2, 2021, 3:06 AM CDT
Expired
Jun 8, 2021, 8:55 PM CDT
In force
7 days
Issued by
NWS Little Rock, AR
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Independence County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Black River at Black Rock (BKRA4). The gauge peaked at 17.36 ft at Jun 3, 2021, 4:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate1015202506/0106/0206/0306/0406/0506/0606/0706/0806/0906/10
Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
14 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
28 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07072500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

466 
WGUS44 KLZK 011434
FLWLZK

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
934 AM CDT Tue Jun 1 2021

...The National Weather Service in Little Rock AR has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC063-067-075-021445-
/O.NEW.KLZK.FL.W.0219.210602T1825Z-210606T0937Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.210602T1825Z.210603T1200Z.210605T0336Z.NO/
934 AM CDT Tue Jun 1 2021

The National Weather Service in Little Rock has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* From Wednesday afternoon to late Saturday night.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage at 14.0 
  feet on Wednesday and expected to crest at 16.5 feet on Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farm ground along 
  east bank begins to flood.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Low lying cultivated land and pastures in 
  Lawrence, Jackson, and Independence counties flood.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Wed   Thu   Fri  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  11.0 Tue 8 AM  12.5 16.5 15.2   16.5 7 AM 6/03     





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$
16 follow-up statements
045 
WGUS84 KLZK 020127
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
827 PM CDT Tue Jun 1 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC063-067-075-030130-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0219.210602T0806Z-210606T0000Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.210602T0806Z.210603T0600Z.210604T1800Z.NO/
827 PM CDT Tue Jun 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* From late tonight to Saturday evening.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  Tuesday night to a crest of 18.1 feet early Thursday morning. It 
  will then fall below flood stage early Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Low lying cultivated land and pastures in 
  Lawrence, Jackson, and Independence counties flood.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 7 PM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Wed   Thu   Fri  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  12.0 Tue 8 PM  17.5 16.9 12.9   18.1 1 AM 6/03     





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$

Goudsward
882 
WGUS84 KLZK 021350
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
850 AM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC063-067-075-031400-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0219.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210603T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 AM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.5 feet 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Low lying cultivated land and pastures in 
  Lawrence, Jackson, and Independence counties flood.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Thu   Fri   Sat  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  16.6 Wed 8 AM  18.5 18.1 17.3   18.5 7 AM 6/03     





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$

67
617 
WGUS84 KLZK 030115
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
815 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC063-067-075-040115-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0219.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210603T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
815 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.5 feet 
  tomorrow morning. Additional rainfall could lead to additional 
  rises. Monitor the latest river forecast.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Low lying cultivated land and pastures in 
  Lawrence, Jackson, and Independence counties flood.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 7 PM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Thu   Fri   Sat  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  16.6 Wed 8 AM  17.7 16.4 15.2   18.5 7 AM 6/03     





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$

234
897 
WGUS84 KLZK 030135
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
835 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC063-067-075-040145-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0219.000000T0000Z-210608T1200Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210603T1800Z.210607T0600Z.NO/
835 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.0 feet 
  Thursday afternoon. Then, the river is expected to fall to a stage 
  near 16.4 feet on Friday. However, additional rainfall could lead 
  to additional rises. Monitor the latest river forecast.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Low lying cultivated land and pastures in 
  Lawrence, Jackson, and Independence counties flood.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 7 PM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Thu   Fri   Sat  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  17.1 Wed 7 PM  17.7 16.4 15.2   18.0 1 PM 6/03     





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$

234
108 
WGUS84 KLZK 040116
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
816 PM CDT Thu Jun 3 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC063-067-075-050130-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0219.000000T0000Z-210609T1200Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210604T0600Z.210608T0600Z.NO/
816 PM CDT Thu Jun 3 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.4 feet 
  early Friday morning. It will then continue to slowly fall.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Low lying cultivated land and pastures in 
  Lawrence, Jackson, and Independence counties flood.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 7 PM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Fri   Sat   Sun  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  17.4 Thu 7 PM  17.0 16.1 15.2   17.4 1 AM 6/04     





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$

234
979 
WGUS84 KLZK 041522
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1022 AM CDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC063-067-075-051530-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0219.000000T0000Z-210608T0600Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210604T0715Z.210607T0000Z.NO/
1022 AM CDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* Until late Monday night.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday 
  evening and continue falling to 12.7 feet Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farm ground along 
  east bank begins to flood.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Low lying cultivated land and pastures in 
  Lawrence, Jackson, and Independence counties flood.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 1 PM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Sat   Sun   Mon  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  17.0 Fri 9 AM  15.3 14.2 13.5    Falling      





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$

Condry
976 
WGUS84 KLZK 050159
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
859 PM CDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC063-067-075-060200-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0219.000000T0000Z-210608T0600Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210604T0715Z.210607T0000Z.NO/
859 PM CDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* Until late Monday night.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday 
  evening and continue falling to 12.7 feet Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farm ground along 
  east bank begins to flood.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Low lying cultivated land and pastures in 
  Lawrence, Jackson, and Independence counties flood.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 7 PM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Sat   Sun   Mon  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  17.0 Fri 9 AM  15.5 14.5 13.6     Falling     





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$

Cavanaugh
641 
WGUS84 KLZK 051422
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
922 AM CDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC063-067-075-061430-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0219.000000T0000Z-210609T0600Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210604T0715Z.210608T0000Z.NO/
922 AM CDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage Monday 
  evening and continue falling to 13.1 feet Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farm ground along 
  east bank begins to flood.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Sun   Mon   Tue  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  16.1 Sat 9 AM  15.1 14.2 13.8    Falling      





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$

Condry
247 
WGUS84 KLZK 060114
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
814 PM CDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC063-067-075-070115-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0219.000000T0000Z-210609T0600Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210604T0715Z.210608T0000Z.NO/
814 PM CDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to continue to fall, and could 
  fall below the 14 foot flood stage early next week.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Low lying cultivated land and pastures in 
  Lawrence, Jackson, and Independence counties flood.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 7 PM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Sun   Mon   Tue  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  15.6 Sat 7 PM  14.6 14.0 13.6    ***Falling***   





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$

57
751 
WGUS84 KLZK 061514
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1014 AM CDT Sun Jun 6 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC063-067-075-071515-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0219.000000T0000Z-210608T2000Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210604T0715Z.210607T1400Z.NO/
1014 AM CDT Sun Jun 6 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Tuesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tomorrow morning and continue falling to 11.8 feet Friday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farm ground along 
  east bank begins to flood.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 1 PM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Mon   Tue   Wed  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  15.0 Sun 9 AM  13.8 13.0 12.5    Falling      





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$

Condry
848 
WGUS84 KLZK 070134
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
834 PM CDT Sun Jun 6 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC063-067-075-080145-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0219.000000T0000Z-210608T2000Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210604T0715Z.210607T1400Z.NO/
834 PM CDT Sun Jun 6 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tonight or early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farm ground along 
  east bank begins to flood.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 7 PM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Mon   Tue   Wed  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  14.5 Sun 8 PM  13.6 12.9 12.4   ***Falling***   





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$

57
472 
WGUS84 KLZK 071558
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1058 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in 
Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC063-067-075-081600-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0219.000000T0000Z-210612T1800Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210604T0715Z.210611T1200Z.NO/
1058 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 10:00 AM CDT Monday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.0 feet 
  on Wednesday morning. Additional rainfall may lead to additional 
  rises. Monitor the latest river forecast.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farm ground along 
  east bank begins to flood.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 1 PM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Tue   Wed   Thu  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  14.5 Mon 10 AM 14.7 15.0 14.4   15.0 7 AM 6/09     





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$

234
120 
WGUS84 KLZK 071753
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1253 PM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC063-067-075-081800-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0219.000000T0000Z-210613T0000Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210604T0715Z.210611T1800Z.NO/
1253 PM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 12:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.0 feet 
  early Tuesday morning. Additional rainfall may lead to additional 
  rises. Monitor the latest river forecast.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Low lying cultivated land and pastures in 
  Lawrence, Jackson, and Independence counties flood.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 1 PM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Tue   Wed   Thu  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  15.0 Mon 12 PM 15.8 15.3 14.6   16.0 1 AM 6/08     





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$

234
172 
WGUS84 KLZK 080106
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
806 PM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC063-067-075-090115-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0219.000000T0000Z-210613T0000Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210604T0715Z.210611T1800Z.NO/
806 PM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to slowly fall a few inches over 
  the next 24 hours. However, a secondary crest around 15.0 feet is 
  expected by late Wednesday or early Thursday. The river could fall 
  below flood stage by the weekend.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farm ground along 
  east bank begins to flood.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 7 PM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Tue   Wed   Thu  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  15.0 Mon 7 PM  14.5 14.9 14.6   15.0 1 AM 6/10     





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$

57
904 
WGUS84 KLZK 081429
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
929 AM CDT Tue Jun 8 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC063-067-075-091430-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0219.000000T0000Z-210612T1500Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210604T0715Z.210611T0900Z.NO/
929 AM CDT Tue Jun 8 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.0 feet 
  early Wednesday morning. Then, the river is expected to fall to a 
  stage near 13.9 feet on Friday. However, additional rainfall may 
  lead to additional rises. Continue to monitor the latest river 
  forecast.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farm ground along 
  east bank begins to flood.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Wed   Thu   Fri  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  14.4 Tue 9 AM  14.9 14.4 13.9   15.0 1 AM 6/09     





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$
998 
WGUS84 KLZK 090155
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
855 PM CDT Tue Jun 8 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Black River At Black Rock affecting Jackson, Independence and 
  Lawrence Counties.

ARC063-067-075-090300-
/O.CAN.KLZK.FL.W.0219.000000T0000Z-210609T0155Z/
/BKRA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210604T0715Z.210611T0900Z.NO/
855 PM CDT Tue Jun 8 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Black River At Black Rock has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Black River At Black Rock.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 11.7 feet Sunday 
  evening.

&&


           Fld   Observed        Forecast 7 PM      Crest           
Location   Stg   Stg Day/Time   Wed   Thu   Fri  Crest  Time  Date  

Black River
Black Rock 14.0  14.0 Tue 8 PM  13.4 13.0 12.6    Falling     





&&

LAT...LON 3570 9140 3590 9125 3611 9115 3610 9101
      3588 9110 3564 9128

$$

62

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 1, 6:23 AM CDT, 3 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 1, 6:23 AM CDT, 3 hours 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
623 AM CDT Tue Jun 1 2021

.DISCUSSION...

Updated to include the 12Z aviation discussion below...

&&

.AVIATION...

SHRA has become more widespread this morning as activity lifts NE
over the state. Some sites have already seen MVFR or lower
conditions as a result...with other sites likely to follow this
morning and afternoon. Some TSRA will also be possible at
sites...with VCTS mentioned. No significant improvements are
expected through the end of this TAF period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 253 AM CDT Tue Jun 1 2021)

SHORT TERM...Today Through Wednesday Night

Scattered showers continue to lift ne across the CWA early this Tue
morning downstream of a larger-scale upper trough to the west of the
state. A weak upper level disturbance is moving NE towards the state
early this morning downstream of this larger upper trough to the
west. The coverage of SHRA will become more widespread over time as
this upper disturbance passes over the state. Weak SFC low pressure
to the SW of the state early this morning will also attempt to lift
NE into SRN sections of the state by this afternoon...with some
increased chances for TSRA as well...as instability will be
increasing somewhat.

While the overall threat for seeing organized SVR Wx looks to remain
low through this afternoon/evening...there could be a couple strong
to briefly SVR storms...mainly across the SRN/South central sections
of the state. This will be in closer proximity to the SFC low where
there will be some increased...albeit still limited...instability.
Strong to damaging winds will be possible with the strongest storms
in this region of the state...though some marginally SVR hail could
also be possible.

Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible across central to the
NWRN portion of the CWA through this evening...with an increased
threat for flash flooding as a result. This is also in the same
areas as some recent heavy rainfall over the past 7-10 days. Will
keep the FFA going for the counties already in place as a result.

Chances for SHRA/isolated TSRA will continue beyond tonight as the
parent upper trough to the west/NW will keep sending disturbances NE
over the state through Wed afternoon/evening. These additional rounds
of SHRA will keep at least an increased threat for locally heavy
rainfall beyond tonight...with some isolated flash flooding
remaining possible Wed. However...organized and widespread heavy
rainfall is not expected at this time beyond tonight.

Temps through the short-term period will remain relatively cool for
this time of year due to the cloud cover and rain chances. Temps
will be mainly in the 60s and 70s today...and 70s to low 80s for
Wed. The active and wet pattern will persist into at least the early
part of the long term period.

LONG TERM...Thursday Through Monday

At the beginning of the period, what surface features there were
near/around the area will be ill-defined or washed out. Even with
lack of large scale synoptic forcing at the onset, shallow moisture
will interact with daytime heating and give us at least isolated/
scattered, diurnally-driven convection. By the weekend, however,
precip coverage should increase as longwave troughing digs down into
the Southern Plains from the Great Lakes Region and expands
westward, with a closed upper low developing near Baja California.
At the same time, longwave ridging will amplify over the southeast
coast.

The pattern will remain highly amplified as it shifts through the
weekend and into early next week. Long range models continue to
want to develop a blocking pattern over the western conus, and if
this scenario were to pan out, we could be looking at an extended
period of unsettled and rainy weather as upper flow will be
conducive to a continual influx of Pacific moisture into the region
while southerly surface winds reinforce low level moisture from the
Gulf.

With heavy rainfall already expected in the short term, and soils
nearly saturated as it is, it is quite likely we could need
additional flood/flash-flood related headlines during the long term
periods as this particular setup tends to be conducive to cellular
training.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday morning FOR Baxter-Boone-
Conway-Fulton-Izard-Johnson-Logan-Marion-Montgomery-Newton-Perry-
Pike-Polk-Pope-Scott-Searcy-Sharp-Stone-Van Buren-Yell.

&&

Aviation...62
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 1, 3:33 AM CDT, 6 hours 1 minute before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
333 AM CDT Tue Jun 1 2021

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-021000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
333 AM CDT Tue Jun 1 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and a few thunderstorms will become more numerous through
this afternoon and evening. Some strong to briefly severe
thunderstorms could be seen across mainly the southern half to
third of the state. Strong winds will be the primary threat with
the strongest storms...along with some marginally severe hail also
possible. Some areas of heavy rainfall could also be seen through
tonight...with an increased flash flood threat as a result over
western...northwestern and into northern sections of the area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday Through Monday

For the middle of the week...scattered mainly afternoon and
evening showers and thunderstorms will be possible. By the weekend
however...showers and thunderstorms will become more widespread
as a slow-moving upper level system affects the state. Showers and
thunderstorms will remain likely into early next week. Rain could
be heavy at times...and this could lead to the threat of flash
flooding...especially in areas that received heavy rainfall early
this week. Some rises on area rivers and streams are possible as
well.

At this time...the threat of strong to severe thunderstorms is
low Wednesday through Monday.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 6:28 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKClark, Hot Spring117 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.